❗️🇷🇺🇸🇾 Crisis in Syria (Syrian desert and border areas): third day of aid convoys arriving in Aleppo
Situation as of the end of December 1, 2024

In the desert at the junction of the Homs, Hama and Deir ez-Zor provinces, the battle of fakes, rumors and hearsay for primacy in the information agenda continues.

▪️On the very first day, there were reports of the mobilization of the "Free Syrian Army" (ex-"Jaysh Maghawir al-Thawra") forces, trained at the US base in At-Tanf, and their alleged advance either towards Palmyra, Tifor or even Damascus.

The group's strength is a few hundred people, and theoretically they could have infiltrated through the desert - especially given the withdrawal of troops. But so far, there is no objective evidence of this in the public domain.

▪️From Deir ez-Zor, the Bakkarah tribe loyal to Bashar Assad allegedly set out on the first day and went almost in full force to Aleppo. Similarly, parts of the 4th division of Maher Assad allegedly moved out from Deir ez-Zor, although it seems they were not even there.

▪️This did not prevent the militants (both ISIS and HTS with the SNA) from claiming that the convoys heading to aid Assad had already been bombed by the militants. Some wrote about ISIS, others about the "Free Syrian Army" from Et-Tanf. As a result, no one went anywhere and no one killed anyone.

📍But real reinforcements set out on the third day.

Footage appeared in Sout showing Iraqi "Al-Hashd al-Shaabi" detachments crossing the border with Syria at the official border crossing of Al-Bu Kamal from the Iraqi Al-Qaim. Given that the Iranian military base named after Imam Ali is quite close to Al-Bu Kamal, and further west there is a road leading directly to Palmyra from the south, it is logical to assume that the reinforcements split into several columns, and the footage captured only one of them.

📌The column was immediately "destroyed" in the media, with claims of an attack by the Americans. In fact, the explosions were attributed to the work of the Syrian military against roaming militants in the desert (which once again confirms the activity of terrorists).

As we have already written, the appearance of the Iranian "Al-Hashd al-Shaabi" detachments should not be recorded as an unambiguous Iranian move, since the Al-Hashd al-Shaabi certainly do not consider themselves to be openly pro-Iranian groups. In this case, it is primarily about assistance from Iraq.

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⚡️🇸🇾🏴 Crisis in Syria (Hama Province): Fall of Hama
Situation as of 7:00 PM on December 5, 2024

The situation in Hama Province has reached a catastrophic point, with the withdrawal of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) from Hama. By the most conservative estimates, the territory controlled by HTS and other terrorist factions has increased by at least threefold.

▪️ Practically the entire or a large part of Hama has fallen under the control of terrorists. Moreover, there are reports of further advances by the militants. In the area of the settlement of Salamiyah, the local council of sheikhs allegedly decided to adhere to neutrality. The city of Akerbat has also fallen into the hands of the militants.

❗️ From this, we can conclude that the militants will soon be able to reach the T4 airbase along highway 40. Given its importance for pro-Iranian groups using it to deploy their drones, the situation is distressing.

🔻 The scale of Syrian losses in the battle for Hama is not yet entirely clear, but it seems that the Syrian army abandoned a significant part of its armored vehicles during the retreat. Moreover, the militants are gradually publishing footage from the Hama Airport, where they captured several aircraft and helicopters. It is also not entirely clear how far the Syrian troops have withdrawn from the city in general.

▪️ The Syrian troops, it seems, did not linger in the city of Ar-Rastan, where they could have taken up a defense along the Orontes River. Moreover, in Ar-Rastan, there was even an attack by local residents on a convoy of the Syrian army. Rastan is a city with an opposition past. The so-called "Rastan Cauldron" was located in this area, from which many militants were evacuated to Idlib at the time.

And now "Idlib is going in the opposite direction."

▪️ Additionally, there is information that in Tell Bisa, Syrian aviation or artillery struck a blow. What happened is not yet entirely clear, but if the militants have reached this settlement, then by evening, clashes on the outskirts of Homs will begin.


❗️ The situation is deteriorating rapidly, and by evening, it is quite possible that it will become even more distressing.

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⚡️🇸🇾🇺🇦 Crisis in Syria (border of Hama and Homs provinces): Advance of HTS militants towards Homs and the desert
Situation as of 3:00 PM on December 6, 2024

The situation on the border of Hama and Homs provinces continues to deteriorate rapidly. Despite the Syrians' statements about successful airborne operations and counterattacks in the vicinity of Hama, so far this has not affected the militants' advance in any way.

At the same time, the militants continue to move towards Homs along the M5 highway. Nighttime strikes on the bridge near Ar-Rastan did not lead to anything, the bridge was only damaged, but remained quite passable. Moreover, the militants are gradually expanding the area under their control, both in the vicinity of Ar-Rastan and relying on Tell Bisa on the northern outskirts of Homs. At the same time, there are no credible reports of battles and any resistance from the Syrian troops so far.

East of Hama, the militants claim control over several more settlements, in particular Ithriya and Akerbat. There are no footage from there yet, however, our sources are already gradually confirming the passage of militants in this direction and the transfer of equipment to this area as well.

The situation is deteriorating rapidly, which means that in the near future we will receive confirmations from new locations that have come under the control of the terrorists.

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