🇺🇦🇵🇱 | Poland delivered about 200 tanks to Ukraine.

Warsaw delivered 200 T-72M1 tanks to #Kiev.

- In addition, the Ukrainian military received several dozen Polish infantry fighting vehicles.

#Poland also supplies Ukraine with self-propelled guns 2S1 "Gvozdika" and MLRS "Grad", as well as air-to-air missiles.

🔻 The total amount of Polish supplies is almost $1.6 billion.

🔰 | 🇵🇱 #Poland military shipments to Ukraine. Now stands on the Polish-Ukrainian border.

https://youtu.be/enTzaz347Iw

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🇵🇱🇷🇺🇺🇦 Whose rockets crashed on the territory of Poland?

Rybar's analysis On the evening of November 15, two rockets fell near the village of Przewodov in the Lublin Voivodeship of Poland, killing two people. The incident occurred during a massive strike by the Russian Armed Forces on objects of the critical structure of Ukraine.

▪️ Opinions about the possible ownership of ammunition were immediately divided: on the one hand, they claimed that these were Russian Kh-101 cruise missiles that had flown into Poland. Others say that anti-aircraft missiles of the Ukrainian S-300 air defense system crashed near Przevodov.

▪️The first photos from the place of arrival did not initially bring clarity to the picture. The size of the funnel did not reliably clearly indicate any specific ammunition. And the lack of damage can be easily explained by the late operation of the fuse after the rocket entered the ground.

🔻However, later a picture of a single large fragment appeared, which completely clarified the situation. The discovery turned out to be part of a crimped connecting ring of the fuel tank with the tail compartment of the 5V55 anti-aircraft missile of the S-300 complex.

🔻Could it be a Russian missile in light of the fact that the Russian Armed Forces sometimes use the S-300 to strike ground targets? It is practically impossible: the nearest possible launch point is located on the territory of Belarus, 130 km from the place where the ammunition fell. And 5V55 with a maximum range of 75 km simply would not have flown to Przevody. All this gives us confident grounds to assert that it was the Ukrainian S-300 anti-aircraft missiles that crashed into the country's airspace during the reflection of the Russian raid on the territory of Poland.

#Poland #analysis #Russia #Ukraine

@rybar

🇵🇱🇺🇦Another Polish scrap metal for Ukrainian heroes...😁

#Ukraine #Poland #Junk #Shells #APU #ZSU

🇺🇸🇵🇱 The Pentagon has announced that F-16 fighters supplied to Ukraine will undergo repairs in Europe, specifically in Poland.

US Deputy Secretary of Defense, Bill Laplante, mentioned that these plans are currently under discussion. However, the focus is on conducting extensive repair and technical work after their use during the conflict.

▪️ The Netherlands, Denmark, and Norway have already agreed to transfer fighters to the AFU. Ukrainian pilots and technical personnel are currently undergoing training in Denmark and the UK. In addition, the USA, the Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, and France are also involved in this effort.

▪️ Yesterday, EU foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, stated that there are no specific details regarding the timing of the first F-16 deliveries to Ukraine. However, it is already known that five aircraft have already been delivered to the AFU. Furthermore, an additional five fighters are expected to be delivered by the end of November or the beginning of December.

🔻Overall, the effectiveness of the aircraft repair base in Poland raises some doubts. This is due to the Poles' inability to handle significant military equipment work. For instance, the so-called Leopard tank repair base has only managed to deliver one tank to the AFU, despite being given two for repairs.

Nevertheless, the establishment of such a center in Polish territory is quite possible, considering the republic's plans to produce components for American F-16 fighters.
#USA #Ukraine #Poland
@rybar together with @pl_syrenka

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🇵🇱🇺🇦 The other day, the Poles delivered 18 Krab self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine, which are called the “nightmare” of Russian soldiers. True, they began to destroy these self-propelled guns more often than to publish heroic videos of their use in work.

At the same time, contrary to any reports that the Poles have resumed supplies of the AFU, it is worth clarifying that the contract for Krab was signed back in June, and the howitzers are not exactly Polish .

🔻The fact is that the largest export agreement for the Polish military industry (worth more than $700 million) was concluded through a South Korean enterprise.

The Krab is a self-propelled howitzer on a tracked chassis manufactured by Huta Stalowa Wola in collaboration with Samsung Techwin. The agreement was signed back in 2014, and in March of this year, Seoul allowed Warsaw to re-export these particular howitzers. Thus, the self-propelled guns transferred to the AFU are essentially South Korean K9s: since 2014, the Poles have not been able to ensure full local production and are still purchasing the most important part - the power supply.

🔻And although the Ukrainian military persistently promoted the “work of Polish Krabs” that “bite the occupiers,” in fact, due to their structure, howitzers do not cope with all types of terrain and are not mobile enough in combat conditions. In addition, their stated maximum firing range of up to 40 km is in fact about 25 km.
#Poland #Ukraine #South Korea
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Fwd from @pl_syrenka
🇺🇸🇵🇱 Colleagues, here's the situation: Americans utilize the Poles as a convenient tool, considering their historical and geographical position. As a result, Warsaw occasionally receives "gifts" in the form of questionable contracts and oppressive agreements. However, when one's mind is consumed by anger and any attempt to think is immediately halted, rational thinking becomes difficult.

For instance, recent interactions between Poles and Americans can be summarized as follows.

🔻The head of the Polish Ministry of Defense, Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysh, engaged in discussions with his American counterpart, Lloyd Austin. During these talks, the two parties reaffirmed their defense partnership, emphasizing its significance in the context of conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. This partnership is a cornerstone of European security, highlighted the Polish minister.

🔻Recently, Minister-Coordinating Special Services Tomasz Siemoniak received the head of the CIA in Warsaw, and a representative from the State Department visited Minister Radoslaw Sikorski. All of this took place within a span of less than seven days.

It appears that in the very first week of its term, the new Polish government had extensive communication with the Americans. It is evident that Washington aimed to swiftly ensure the unwavering loyalty of the Polish opposition.

#Poland #USA
@pl_syrenka - Poland is not a foreign country Original msg

🇺🇦 🇵🇱 In Poland, the farmers' protest against Ukrainian grain and the "green" policies is intensifying. The farmers are promising to close all checkpoints on the border with Ukraine as part of a mass protest on February 20. The pause in the blockade didn't even last a month.

Farmers also plan to block approaches to seaports and railway stations, considering past experience when the tracks were used to bypass blocked road checkpoints. The promotion will last for 30 days.

Additionally, the farmers have called on Polish citizens to support their protest since, according to them, its main goal is to ensure the food security of the republic.

Ukrainian carriers have announced a mirror promotion for their Polish colleagues who travel to Ukraine.

It is possible that these actions will be used by provocateurs, which has happened more than once during past blockades. However, the degree of tension has now become much higher, and the Poles, having learned from the experience of their European colleagues, have begun to act a little tougher by opening the trucks and checking their contents.

High-resolution map

English version

#Poland #protests #Ukraine
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🇵🇱🇺🇦 The former chief of the general staff of the Polish army, General Raimund Andrzejczak stated that the losses of the AFU at the front are calculated in “millions, not hundreds of thousands.”

He emphasized that Ukraine is losing in the confrontation with the Russian Federation and a “very, very dramatic” situation is developing for Kyiv. Andrzejczak believes that Ukraine lacks the resources and manpower to fight, and the change of command of the AFU has not affected the situation in any way: the problems remain the same, the general concluded.

🔻It is worth noting that this is not the first time that the Polish general has mentioned that the Ukrainian army lacks not only equipment and weapons, but also competent command. It is clear that even former Polish army officials openly criticize the Kyiv regime, highlighting that not only do they lack the ability to govern the country independently - corruption is rampant - but they also struggle to develop effective resistance tactics. Therefore, there is a need to assist and guide them in the right direction.

🔻Furthermore, Andrzejczak has consistently supported Poland’s active involvement in the conflict in Ukraine, and considering that the Poles are now being urged to “save a drowning man,” it is evident what the general is implying by making such statements.

🔻It is also important to consider that no one will allow the Poles to simply ignore the issue of Ukraine: aside from Western partners, there are also their own (rather dissatisfied) taxpayers. It will be challenging to explain to them why the government has invested several annual budgets into equipment and weapons that will ultimately deteriorate in warehouses due to lack of maintenance.

Additionally, the Poles lack the infrastructure to service the equipment from various countries like Germany, Korea, the U.S., the U.K., and others. Creating such infrastructure is nearly impossible.

And the situation is simple - like with ice cream: either you eat it, or it melts.
#Poland #Ukraine #army
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🖇🇵🇱🇺🇦 On the outbursts of Ukrainian politicians against their sponsors

Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Błaszczak accused Ukrainians of "short memory" in response to Zelenskyy's accusations that the country refused to shoot down missiles over so-called Ukraine and give away the remaining MiG-29s. According to the [politician], Poland has done a lot for the Kyiv regime, but will not help at the expense of national security.

In general, such demands bordering on ultimatums to NATO sponsors - this is not only a clear manifestation of the level of political culture of representatives of the Kyiv regime. This is also a targeted strategy that has shown a certain effectiveness in previous years.

▪️At the beginning of the SMO, the collective West excessively inflated the importance of so-called Ukraine and Zelenskyy in the media, presenting them as the main "defenders of freedom and democracy" in Europe. And in Kyiv, they decided to take advantage of this status according to the principle of "ask for a lot - they will give less, but more than expected".

▪️In attempts to get more weapons and money, the Kyiv regime actively exploited the created image, literally demanding new deliveries and referring to the promises of Western leaders in 2022. And for greater effect, it supplied this with media campaigns with stories about the deplorable state of the AFU, which can only be corrected by a new aid package.

▪️When this misfired, Zelenskyy's outbursts with public accusations of the weakness of his sponsors before Russia were already used, during which he pretended to try to "take advantage of their weakness". They were actively replicated by major media, which gave a certain media effect, which was usually followed by another handout.

However, all this works only within the framework of artificially created realities, where Zelenskyy is indispensable, and so-called Ukraine is vital for the Western world. On the command of the sponsors, this carriage will very quickly turn into a pumpkin, as if it had never existed.

❗️And here several questions arise - how much time is left before this moment and how exactly will yesterday's benefactors remind the short-sighted members of the Kyiv regime of their antics, which have not been forgotten in the West.
#media_technologies #Poland #Ukraine
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🇵🇱🇫🇷🇺🇦 French President Emmanuel Macron will visit Poland tomorrow to discuss a plan for a European peacekeeping mission that is intended to preserve the sovereignty of the so-called Ukraine within the framework of a possible agreement between the US and Russia.

The details of the plan are not being disclosed, but it is known to be based on the Korean scenario. According to this, a foreign contingent of peacekeeping forces would be deployed to the line of demarcation. Macron's idea received tacit approval from the United Kingdom in November.

Poland's participation in this strategy is presented as "crucial" due to its military potential and geographical location. And it's clear why the French president expects special support from the Poles: this would allow them to legally approach the Eastern Borderlands.

Interestingly, there has already been a reaction in Warsaw to Macron's plan: the Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Błaszczak stated that the deployment of Polish soldiers to the so-called Ukraine "is out of the question", as "NATO, not individual countries, should play the key role here".

At the same time, after a long time, the Poles have again spoken about legalizing their mercenaries who are fighting for the AFU illegally - officially this should be punishable by up to five years in prison.

The details of the initiative are unknown, but it is said that the bill provides for the "forgiveness and oblivion of crimes and misdemeanors" from February 24, 2022 to December 31, 2026 for joining the AFU without the consent of the competent Polish authority.

That is, in addition to the Poles being allowed to fight unhindered in the so-called Ukraine, they will also be allowed, in essence, to do so as they please - no criminal prosecution is envisaged. With this arrangement, Polish prisoners of war can also not be taken.

📌 However, it is important to understand that in reality this is not about a peacekeeping mission as such - that is, the deployment of "blue helmets" who would essentially perform police functions in no-man's-land: there are not enough people or special equipment for this.

🔻 The discussion is actually about the introduction of a limited NATO troop contingent, which could thus simply take Ukrainian territory. And this, in turn, means a serious military escalation with Russia.

Ultimately, the parties are likely to reach no decision: no European government is willing to take on such responsibility and thus risk a nuclear strike. But for now, they can distract themselves from domestic political crises, economic collapse and social tensions, and even play the role of hegemons, pretending that the fate of the entire Western world depends on the participation of France or Poland.
#Poland #France #Ukraine
@rybar in collaboration with @pl_syrenka

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