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Forwarded from Rybar in English
❗️ πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ About Ukrainian UAV raid on Dzhankoy

Tonight, another mass strike by Ukrainian UAVs was carried out on the Crimean peninsula. At least six UAVs of the Mugin-5 type, equipped with explosives, were used against Dzhankoy.

As a result, two drones were shot down by the crew of the Pantsir air defense missile system, and two fell on administrative buildings near the railway station. A fifth destroyed a grocery store, while shrapnel from a sixth damaged private houses on Yuzhnaya, Gagarin and Chekhov streets.

The map shows the approximate areas of destruction and impact of drones, based on data from open sources.

πŸ”» What was the purpose of the AFU?

Initially, information was received that the Ukrainian formations of the AFU launched drones from the Shkolny airfield (Odessa) to strike at the Russian military airfield. However, judging by the area of application of the UAV, an attempt was made to hit the station building and the railway track.

Dzhankoy is the main transit hub for the Russian group in Crimea. Railway lines to Sevastopol and mainland Russia pass through urban station, and an attempt to strike at the object looks logical.

Despite the statements of the GUR of Ukraine that the train with Kalibr cruise missiles was hit as a result of the attack, this is not so. In the event of a defeat of a train with such weapons, at least a secondary detonation would be visible - there are no consequences of the explosion.

In addition, when launching drones over a long distance, the AFU, as a rule, fill in the coordinates in advance to increase the noise immunity of electronic warfare equipment. It is extremely difficult to hit a moving train in this way.

πŸ”»Information support

After the first sounds of the explosion and the activation of air defense in the Dzhankoy city chat rooms, Ukrainian information desks began to work actively, misinforming the population and causing panic.

Various Telegram channels (for example, Trukha and Insider) published posts about a dozen explosions in various parts of the city. These reports were accompanied by criticism of Chinese President Xi Jinping, who arrived in Moscow the day before.

At the same time, the Western agenda was worked out with the condemnation of the activities of the Chinese government. The attempted strike on the Crimea was presented as a "punishment for friendship with China."

πŸ”»Differences from previous promotions

The AFU once again changed tactics. The attack was carried out without reconnaissance aircraft from NATO countries: at night, neither the Global Hawk nor the Reaper worked in the air.

#Dzhankoy #Crimea #Russia #Ukraine Original msg
Forwarded from Rybar in English
β—οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ On the AFU's preparations for strikes on Crimea and Sevastopol

πŸ”»Yesterday was notable for the fact that the southern Russian territories sounded the alarm several times, either due to the takeoff of tactical aviation or the appearance of unidentified objects on air defense systems.

The exact reason still remains unclear. But as a rule, when this happens, it is associated with the launch of decoy missiles (most likely, ADM-160 MALD). And it was most likely these that the air defense stations reacted to.

❓What is the purpose of this? This gives the enemy the opportunity to assess the reaction of our air defense units to targets appearing in the air. Radar stations are put into active operation, and NATO intelligence records this and determines the location.

And all this is confirmed by the high activity of NATO aircraft and drones. In the air were American U-2S, P-8A, two MQ-9A Reapers, as well as a British RC-135V and a French AWACS E-3F aircraft accompanied by four Rafale fighters.

❗️Their simultaneous appearance in the Black Sea region together with false missile launches does not look accidental. The British electronic warfare reconnaissance aircraft approached Sevastopol to a distance of 230 km, and the French AWACS - to 190 km from Sochi.

β–ͺ️And today, the intensity of flights is not decreasing. Since night, the American drone RQ-4B has been actively operating south of the Crimean Bridge, and the Italian long-range radar detection aircraft G-550 is functioning over the Black Sea - a rare guest in this area.

β–ͺ️NATO satellites are searching for and detecting air defense positions across the peninsula. The number of sessions has almost doubled compared to the average number of images.

πŸ”»In summary, over the past few days, the following has been noted:
βž–Increased activity of NATO reconnaissance aviation
βž–Launches of decoy missiles towards Crimea
βž–High intensity of aerial photography of the surface of Crimea

If we add the official statements about additional deliveries of long-range missiles, including ATACMS and Storm Shadow (not that they weren't there before, it's just that now the green light has been given for their use), we get a complete picture: new attempts at strikes are not far off.

And this may happen during the May holidays, and even more likely, by the inauguration of the president on May 7. Given the love of the authorities of the so-called Ukraine and their curators for symbolism, the Crimean Bridge, to which attention is already very high, may once again become the target.

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English version

#Dzhankoy #Crimea #Russia #Sevastopol #Ukraine
@rybar

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