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Is Qatar a sovereign state? What’s next for Arab regimes?

States that are demographically and geographically limited should not exist as “states.”

If you look closely, we still live in the age of empires.

A small state that cannot protect itself has to rely on a foreign military base from a powerful force capable of safeguarding its existence.

By doing so, it loses its autonomy and becomes an extension of the protecting empire.

Despite the good intentions of the authorities of such a state may have, they do not fully control their decision-making.

Since the launch of Al Jazeera in 1996, Qatar had one of the most open media outlets, if not the only one in the Arab world, with a very large margin of freedom compared to other Arab entities. This reached its peak in 2011.

And since the states limited geographically and demographically cannot be truly sovereign,

this margin has gradually shrunk,

until it is no longer significantly different from the media of other Arab entities, except in limited cases and on a few issues.

Arab regimes are still living in a pre-October 7 world.

The demands of the people now, due to the aftermath of Al-Aqsa Flood, are sharper and greater than what the regimes imagine.

This has created a very large awareness gap between Arab populations and their regimes, which can be explained by reading the reality, the policies, and the pulse of Arab peoples

Sinwar’s objective in his Al-Aqsa Flood operation was not the liberation of Palestine, but rather it may be the only military operation in modern history whose goal was the ripple effects of its results.

Today, we are living some of those ripple effects.

All Arab regimes so far have failed to deal with these consequences for their own survival, except the Moroccan regime, which managed to absorb public anger on many issues, one of them being Gaza, by allowing protests for Gaza, while other regimes prevented such protests, posing a significant pending risk to themselves.

The direct causes of wars and uprisings are not the real motives. The causes are always cumulative, and the spark is what ignites them.

The assassination of Franz Ferdinand was not the real motive for World War I, nor was the death of Khaled Said the real motive for the 2011 uprising in Egypt, or Bouazizi in Tunisia.

And this spark cannot be predicted or recognized when it occurs.

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⚡️Hebrew sources:

A Hezbollah drone struck a building in the Upper Galilee, with injuries reported.


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⚡️Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf:

How can the US, which can't even protect its own soldiers at its bases in the region and instead leaves them stashed away in hotels and parks, protect them on our soil?


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⚡️Hezbollah:

We targeted two Merkava tanks and an armored personnel carrier in the Wadi al-Oyoun area in the town of Debel with drones, achieving direct hits.


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WarfareAnalysis News
⚡️West Bank sources: Israeli army shot unarmed Palestinian in the head, in Qalandiya refugee camp, north of Jerusalem. Follow us: https://t.iss.one/WarfareAnalysis V
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The second Palestinian killed by the Israeli army in the refugee camp within hours.

A farewell to Sofyan Abu Leil, 46, who was shot in the head by the Israeli army in Qalandiya refugee camp, north of Jerusalem in the West Bank, this afternoon.

The first one: https://t.iss.one/WarfareAnalysis/41


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⚡️Hebrew media:

Bar Kupershtein, a former Hamas captive in Gaza who spent two years in captivity, delivered a speech to Battalion 932 of the Nahal Brigade of the Israeli army before entering Lebanon.

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📍A few days ago, a major explosion and fire devastated Valero’s Port Arthur refinery, one of the largest U.S. refining facilities in Texas.

Wood Mackenzie released a North American Refinery Intelligence Service report about this fire, after analysing aerial imagery captured with 24 hours of the incident using infrared monitoring. Key findings include damage to the diesel hydrotreater, impacts on surrounding infrastructure, and the operational status of major units across the site.

With geopolitical pressures already tightening global energy markets, this outage adds further uncertainty to refined product supply in the US.

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⚡️Italian oil giant Eni has withdrawn from a consortium with the Israeli firm Ratio Energies and the UK-based Dana Petroleum, which was set to explore natural gas in the offshore area known as Block “G” off Israel’s coast.

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