Valdai Discussion Club
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¦πŸ‡« The war in Afghanistan is an extraordinary textbook on the American strategy that can be summed up as a growing up novel.

Inflated expectations, a sense of omnipotence, which, through a series of crises, gives way to deep disappointment and the overestimation of goals.

This painful experience for the United States was too expensive, but perhaps it will push it to become more sober in the future, writes Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-war-in-afghanistan-as-a-textbook-on-us/

#Conflict_and_Leadership #Afghanistan #USA @valdai_club
πŸ—½πŸŒ The inglorious end of the US military intervention in Afghanistan (and in the Middle East) made it possible to speculate that the end of the domination of the Western powers in world affairs has finally come.

The only problem standing in the way of a more just international order is America’s inability to recognise the new balance of power in world politics and economics, Valdai Club Programme Director Timofei Bordachev writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/are-rules-of-the-game-possible/

#Global_Governance #globalism #politics #USA

@valdai_club β€” The Valdai Discussion Club
πŸ—½πŸŒ The inglorious end of the US military intervention in Afghanistan (and in the Middle East) made it possible to speculate that the end of the domination of the Western powers in world affairs has finally come.

The only problem standing in the way of a more just international order is America’s inability to recognise the new balance of power in world politics and economics, Valdai Club Programme Director Timofei Bordachev writes.

#Global_Governance #worldorder #politics #USA

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/are-rules-of-the-game-possible/

@valdai_club β€” The Valdai Discussion Club
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ This US trend of military escalation is thereby a general threat to humanity. Why the US is embarking on such policy?

The core of the issue is that the US has already lost overwhelming world economic predominance. Even taking the US’s single biggest competitor economy, China, the US no longer has an overwhelming lead.

At market exchange rates the US economy is still bigger than China but in realistic price levels, purchasing power parities (PPPs), China’s economy is already 18% larger than the US. The economy the global era of multipolarity has already arrived.

The great present danger is that while the US has irreversibly lost global economic dominance it has not yet lost military supremacy. Certainly, in nuclear weapons the US and Russia are approximately equal but the conventional military spending of the US is far higher than any other country.

In 1912 German Chief of Staff Moltke made the notorious statement β€œwar is unavoidable and the sooner the better.” This, from Germany’s viewpoint, was a rational calculation. Russia and the US’s economies were growing more rapidly than Germany - inevitably leading to them becoming militarily stronger than Germany.

This is similarly the great present danger flowing from the US. The US is attempting to use its military strength to avoid the geopolitical consequences of its relative economic decline, writes Valdai Club expert John Ross.

πŸ”— Russia-China Cooperation Crucial in a Very Dangerous Moment for Humanity

#Norms_and_Values #USA #militarism

@valdai_club β€” The Valdai Discussion Club