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🇺🇸🇷🇺🇨🇳 In geometry, it is impossible to change two angles in a triangle without altering the third. Whether this holds true in international affairs?

The incoming Biden administration has declared its intent to reverse many Trump-era policies, such as Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on climate change and his ban on travel by foreign nationals from several Middle East countries to the United States. Nevertheless, few expect the new U.S. president to change the Trump administration’s assessment that long-term strategic competition with China and Russia is America’s “central challenge.” 

How the
Biden administration pursues this competition will contribute substantially to defining the emerging international system. 

The Biden administration will have to make fundamental decisions in pursuing competition with Beijing and Moscow. The first and most important such decision is whether to compete equally and simultaneously with each or, alternatively, to continue strong competition with one while seeking less a tense form of competition with the other. 

Whether or not the Biden administration makes a conscious strategic choice, U.S. relations with China seem set to improve somewhat—if Beijing is prepared to reciprocate—even as ties to Russia remain adversarial in tone and content, writes Paul J. Saunders, Senior Fellow at US Foreign Policy Center for National Interest.

#Global_Governance #Biden #Russia #China

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/america-s-evolving-approach-to-great-power/
🇺🇸🇦🇫 Biden, an experienced politician, took an important theme from the Republicans: “the end of forever wars”.

America’s image as a “responsible superpower” has faltered, but it is unlikely that American allies in other regions will learn from this story.

For Eurasia, the Taliban’s coming to power is fraught with not leaving, but returning the topic of combating terrorism to the current agenda, and the advanced American weapons left in Afghanistan hypothetically bring this struggle to a new technological level, writes Valdai Club expert Maxim Suchkov @postamerica.

#Conflict_and_Leadership #Afghanistan #Biden

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/biden-s-withrawal-from-afghanistan-consequences/
🇺🇸🇦🇫 Apres nous le deluge?

The withdrawal of American troops not only turned into a worldwide crisis of confidence in the United States, but also became the biggest challenge for the presidential administration on the domestic political front.

It is becoming obvious that after the “Afghan exodus” a real war of compromising materials began in Washington. The State Department blamed the Pentagon, the Pentagon — intelligence, and intelligence agencies blamed the White House. Together they blame former President Donald Trump: he was wrong to make an agreement with the Taliban, organised the negotiation process poorly, etc. However, it was Joe Biden who turned Afghanistan into one of the most critical problems literally from scratch. It was supposed to coincide with the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks.

The metaphorical connection between the 20th anniversary of the terrible terrorist attacks and the inglorious end of the retaliatory operation deeply hurts the American public and the elite alike, Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/apres-nous-le-deluge-afghanistan/

#Conflict_and_Leadership #UnitedStates #Biden #Afghanistan

@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🇺🇸🇷🇺 From attempts to universalise the American-centric world order, the United States has moved to its consolidation and defence, and from the “post-Cold War” era to the era of a new global confrontation.

US foreign policy is undergoing an important transition. The US withdrawal from Afghanistan drew a final and symbolic line under the period of its foreign policy, which began not on September 11, 2001, but in the early 1990s — what’s commonly called the “post-Cold War” period. 

The abandonment of the paradigm of universalisation of the American-centric world order is in no way a signal of the readiness of the United States to form a joint multipolar world order with non-Western centres of power, primarily with China and Russia. 

Liberal ideology in its newest left-liberal form is turning from a means of expansion into an instrument for consolidating the “collective West”, defining “us and them” and splitting the international community into opposing blocs, writes Valdai Club expert Dmitry Suslov.

🔗 New Paradigm of US Foreign Policy and Relations with Russia

#Conflict_and_Leadership #UnitedStates #Biden #worldorder #geopolitics

@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🗽 Both Trump and Biden seem to have jumped into the 21st century from a completely different era — a time when the ability of the United States to determine the fate of other sovereign peoples was not indisputable. They consistently tried to integrate their power into the changing landscape of multipolar global politics.

However, the problem is that the external environment is not becoming more favourable for the United States. Thanks to the enormous accumulated resources of “structural strength”, Americans can still make rather creative decisions and even meet with the readiness of other countries to agree with them. Nevertheless, now, as ever, any consent to follow American policy must be paid for in hard currency.

In fact, in the last stages of the Cold War and after its conclusion, the United States paid off its allies with access to benefits on a global scale. Now there are fewer and fewer opportunities to do this — only the weakness of the rest of the West, particularly Europe, saves American interests, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Timofei Bordachev.

🔗 The Confused Superpower: A Year After America's Elections

#Global_Governance #Biden #Trump #UnitedStates #politics

@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club