๐ฆ๐ซ๐น๐ฏ๐บ๐ฟ Many experts on Afghanistan argue that without the permission of the Taliban, such extremist and terrorist groups will not violate the borders of the CIS member states, but the experience of the 90s suggests otherwise.
The recent events in Afghanistan have clearly shown once again that the post-Soviet countries of Central Asia should closely cooperate within such authoritative international regional organisations as the CSTO and the SCO in order to protect their sovereignty and national independence, writes Khudoberdi Kholiknazar, Director of the Center for the Study of Central Asia and China.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-afghan-threat-to-central-asia/
#Global_Governance #Afghanistan #Taliban
@valdai_club
The recent events in Afghanistan have clearly shown once again that the post-Soviet countries of Central Asia should closely cooperate within such authoritative international regional organisations as the CSTO and the SCO in order to protect their sovereignty and national independence, writes Khudoberdi Kholiknazar, Director of the Center for the Study of Central Asia and China.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-afghan-threat-to-central-asia/
#Global_Governance #Afghanistan #Taliban
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
The Afghan Threat to Central Asia
The hasty withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan which began in May 2021 has already created a series of problems for the countries which border it. The first and most acute problem for all of Afghanistan's neighbours was the influx of Afghan refugees.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฆ๐ซ Tehran has not yet worked out a solution and cannot answer the main question for itself: is it worth recognising the Taliban at all?
The capture of Kabul and the establishment of Taliban power over virtually the entire territory of Afghanistan have added another batch of headaches to Iranโs problems.
While Iran has officially welcomed the withdrawal of the Americans from its neighbour to the east, in reality, not everyone in Iran is delighted with the current situation, since they do not fully understand how to interact with the Taliban in Kabul and what, in principle, Iranian-Afghan relations will be like in the medium term, writes Valdai Club expert Farhad Ibrahimov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/iran-s-policy-toward-the-taliban/
#Morality_and_Law #Taliban #Iran #Afghanistan
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The capture of Kabul and the establishment of Taliban power over virtually the entire territory of Afghanistan have added another batch of headaches to Iranโs problems.
While Iran has officially welcomed the withdrawal of the Americans from its neighbour to the east, in reality, not everyone in Iran is delighted with the current situation, since they do not fully understand how to interact with the Taliban in Kabul and what, in principle, Iranian-Afghan relations will be like in the medium term, writes Valdai Club expert Farhad Ibrahimov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/iran-s-policy-toward-the-taliban/
#Morality_and_Law #Taliban #Iran #Afghanistan
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Iranโs Policy Toward the Taliban
Tehran has not yet worked out a solution and cannot answer the main question for itself: is it worth recognising the Taliban at all? However, what the Islamic Republic of Iran is exactly interested in is establishing a constructive dialogue with the Talibanโฆ
๐ฆ๐ซ What are the consequences of the emergence of the Taliban regime in the international arena?
At the first stage, the Taliban* will strengthen their power within the country. Any attempt to expand outside could cost them dearly, since it will cause a negative reaction from all neighbouring states. It will also deprive the Taliban of any chance at international recognition or foreign aid. Therefore, they can do this only in two cases: if the regime is on the verge of collapse and it needs an external enemy to rally the population around itself, or vice versa - the regime feels so sure that it embarks on a path of external expansion. Neither of these options is likely in the foreseeable future, writes Konstantin Khudoley, professor at the Faculty of International Relations at St. Petersburg State University.
The Taliban's success will provide an important boost to other radical and extremist movements in the Muslim world.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/is-the-afghanistan-problem-really-global/
#Global_Governance #Taliban #Afghanistan
*banned in Russia
@valdai_club โ The Valdai Discussion Club
At the first stage, the Taliban* will strengthen their power within the country. Any attempt to expand outside could cost them dearly, since it will cause a negative reaction from all neighbouring states. It will also deprive the Taliban of any chance at international recognition or foreign aid. Therefore, they can do this only in two cases: if the regime is on the verge of collapse and it needs an external enemy to rally the population around itself, or vice versa - the regime feels so sure that it embarks on a path of external expansion. Neither of these options is likely in the foreseeable future, writes Konstantin Khudoley, professor at the Faculty of International Relations at St. Petersburg State University.
The Taliban's success will provide an important boost to other radical and extremist movements in the Muslim world.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/is-the-afghanistan-problem-really-global/
#Global_Governance #Taliban #Afghanistan
*banned in Russia
@valdai_club โ The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Is the Afghanistan Problem Really Global?
๏ปฟThe Afghan crisis is still on the front pages of the world media; politicians, diplomats, public figures and experts talk about it, and think tank conferences, multilateral negotiations and consultations are held. But this wave will soon subside, since theโฆ
๐ฆ๐ซ In practice, over the past two years, the Taliban has not fully satisfied either positive or negative expectations.
The Taliban did not abandon its principles. The movement considers itself a liberator of the country from foreign occupation. They are confident that they deserve victory and have the right to be in power. No constitution, no elections, no inclusivity (no coalition government with anyone who isnโt โour ownโ). The Talibanโs right to power stems from its ability to take and hold this power.
The Taliban has held out and has generally managed to control power. It cannot be said that the Taliban order in Afghanistan is something completely unusual in comparison with other countries. Afghanistan under the Taliban fits into the spectrum of global diversity. However, long-term problems still remain.
The Americans left, but faith in their myths about the prospects for economic development and expectations of corresponding projects from foreigners have remained. In terms of belief in these American myths, the Taliban is no different from the leaders of the previous pro-American government. Moreover, the Taliban tends to ask their regional neighbours for the implementation of American myths, Ivan Safranchuk writes.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/two-years-after-the-return-of-the-taliban/
#Asia_and_Eurasia #Afghanistan #Taliban
๐ฃ ๐ฃ ๐ฃ
The Taliban did not abandon its principles. The movement considers itself a liberator of the country from foreign occupation. They are confident that they deserve victory and have the right to be in power. No constitution, no elections, no inclusivity (no coalition government with anyone who isnโt โour ownโ). The Talibanโs right to power stems from its ability to take and hold this power.
The Taliban has held out and has generally managed to control power. It cannot be said that the Taliban order in Afghanistan is something completely unusual in comparison with other countries. Afghanistan under the Taliban fits into the spectrum of global diversity. However, long-term problems still remain.
The Americans left, but faith in their myths about the prospects for economic development and expectations of corresponding projects from foreigners have remained. In terms of belief in these American myths, the Taliban is no different from the leaders of the previous pro-American government. Moreover, the Taliban tends to ask their regional neighbours for the implementation of American myths, Ivan Safranchuk writes.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/two-years-after-the-return-of-the-taliban/
#Asia_and_Eurasia #Afghanistan #Taliban
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๐ฆ๐ซ The rise to power of the Taliban* in Afghanistan marked the end of many years of war.
Today, peace has virtually returned to Afghanistan. The Taliban are consolidating their power and preparing for long-term rule there.
Afghanistan in the future, while strengthening peace, ensuring stability and developing the national economy, will completely change the geopolitical and geo-economic alignment in the region.
Central Asia is in search of an acceptable model of interaction with the new government of Afghanistan. The path of a new confrontation with the Taliban is an extremely ineffective exercise for any foreign policy forces.
Based on the above, today the main global and regional players in the geopolitical space of our region have opted for a bad peace with the Taliban rather than a good war with them, Rustam Khaydarov writes.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-afghan-challenge-is-the-problem-decreasing/
*banned in Russia by court order
#Asia_and_Eurasia #Taliban #Afghanistan
๐ฃ ๐ฃ ๐ฃ
Today, peace has virtually returned to Afghanistan. The Taliban are consolidating their power and preparing for long-term rule there.
Afghanistan in the future, while strengthening peace, ensuring stability and developing the national economy, will completely change the geopolitical and geo-economic alignment in the region.
Central Asia is in search of an acceptable model of interaction with the new government of Afghanistan. The path of a new confrontation with the Taliban is an extremely ineffective exercise for any foreign policy forces.
Based on the above, today the main global and regional players in the geopolitical space of our region have opted for a bad peace with the Taliban rather than a good war with them, Rustam Khaydarov writes.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-afghan-challenge-is-the-problem-decreasing/
*banned in Russia by court order
#Asia_and_Eurasia #Taliban #Afghanistan
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VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Valdai Club
The Afghan Challenge: Is the Problem Decreasing?
The path of a new confrontation with the Taliban is an extremely ineffective exercise for any foreign policy forces. Based on the above, today the main global and regional players in the geopolitical space of our region have opted for a bad peace with theโฆ