Valdai Discussion Club
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๐ŸŒณ๐ŸŒ COP26: Tough Negotiations at Hard Times

On November 18, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion on the results of the United Nations Climate Change Conference, more commonly referred to as COP26, titled โ€œFrom Paris to Glasgow: The Victory of Scepticism or Real Progress?โ€

The participants discussed the expectations that existed before the conference, its results, as well as more general problems in dealing with the changing crisis. The discussion was moderated by Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.

๐Ÿ”น Ruslan Edelgeriev, Special Representative of the President of the Russian Federation on Climate Issues, spoke about how the conference was held and the success of the Russian delegation. According to him, discussions often went beyond the framework of the Paris Agreement, and the main struggle was over coal and hydrocarbons.

๐Ÿ”น James Reynolds, head of delegation for the International Committee of the Red Cross in Mali, shared his experience of working in one of the most problematic regions in terms of exposure to climate change. He pointed out that climate-related challenges have become more and more urgent for his organisation, and gave examples of measures taken by the Red Cross to counter these challenges.

๐Ÿ”น Clive Hamilton, Professor of Public Ethics at Charles Sturt University in Canberra, gave a number of potential future scenarios entailing varying degrees of danger, explaining that the nature of the situation that plays out depends on how much itโ€™s possible to reduce emissions and at what level it will be possible to curb warming.

๐Ÿ”น Alexey Kokorin, Director of the Climate and Energy Program of the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) in Russia, summed up the overall results of COP26 in Glasgow. He explained the decision that each country should achieve a balance between emissions and absorption on its territory, as well as Russiaโ€™s strategy, which is characterised by a relatively small reduction in emissions, coupled with a large-scale increase in net absorption. According to the expert, achieving this will not be easy, but is quite possible in principle.

๐Ÿ”— COP26: Tough Negotiations at Hard Times

#COP26 #ecology #climatechange

@valdai_club โ€” The Valdai Discussion Club
โš–๏ธ๐ŸŒ In 2021, the coronavirus pandemic continued to be one of the most important events.

Naturally, its influence on world politics and society remained the main focus of the Valdai Discussion Club experts.

In addition to the pandemic, the climate agenda has become the most important event of 2021. The COP-26 Summit in Glasgow in October-November was at the centre of global interest, sparking a heated debate in the world regarding the strategy and pace of green transformation. 

A separate large topic of the Clubโ€™s work was the impact of the pandemic on international migration, on the value and ethical perception of global migrants, and on the dynamics of migrant phobia in host societies.

The politics of historical memory in recent years has become one of the key topics in the expert work of the Club. Its analysis was continued this year as well.

๐Ÿ‘‰ All these topics (the pandemic, climate and history) directly affect the evolution of values and moral norms in todayโ€™s global society, writes Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.

๐Ÿ”— Pandemic and Climate, History and Values: Results of the Valdai Club Expert Programme

#Morality_and_Law #Valdai_WrapUp2021 #pandemic #climatechange #migration

@valdai_club โ€” The Valdai Discussion Club
๐Ÿ›’๐ŸŒพ Climate change has become one of the most pressing challenges in the world.

The IPCC-6 report released in August 2021 indicated that a minimum of 2 degrees of warming is inevitable. As a result, the COP-26 conference in Glasgow in November 2021 generated immense public interest.
 
In the face of climate change and land and water scarcity, world food security now features prominently on the agenda and global agriculture no longer appears sustainable.

The most acute challenges include decertify cation and massive droughts impacting large areas in the Sahel and Asia, including Afghanistan. They shrink range and arable land, fuel conflicts and can cause widespread famine and food shortages in entire countries. This will increase migration flows and cause humanitarian disasters.

๐Ÿ“„ Read a new Valdai Club report, titled โ€œClimate Change and Food Security: A Recipe for Food Totalitarianism?โ€, on our website.

#Norms_and_Values #valdai_report #ClimateChange #FoodSecurity

@valdai_club
๐ŸŒณ๐ŸŒ In recent years, climate change has become a central political issue in the West.

However, its ideologisation hinders both understanding of the complexity and ambiguity of this issue, and the very fact that there is no consensus in the scientific community on how humans influence climatic dynamics, writes independent economist Alexander Zotin.

๐Ÿ”— The Climate Agenda: How to Separate Science From Ideology?

#Valdai_WorldEconomy #ClimateChange

@valdai_club โ€” The Valdai Discussion Club
โš–๏ธ๐ŸŒ In the 21st century conditions, in addition to general socio-economic inequality, new forms of inequality are becoming increasingly important.

One of them is closely connected with the climate agenda, as a large-scale green transformation is now on the agenda of certain international institutions and individual states.

The solution of these problems is possible only through additional compensation being provided by the developed countries to the developing world.

๐Ÿ”น It is necessary to actively use and implement best practices and technologies around the world that will ensure sustainable consumption and production that do not exacerbate climate change, including by providing equal access to mineral fertilizers for developing countries.

๐Ÿ”น The use of the system of financial innovations should also become widespread. This will require a high level of solidarity on the part of the rich countries towards the poor.

๐Ÿ”น It is also critical that the global policy focus should be on eliminating overconsumption in the developed world, rather than perpetuating barriers to under-consumption in the developing world.

In the context of Indiaโ€™s G20 Presidency, Prime Minister Modi's LiFE (Life for Environment) programme is becoming an extremely important mechanism for creating fair new values of equality, both in access to fuel and energy, and in production and consumption for the future of mankind, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Oleg Barabanov.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/international-institutions-fighting-inequality/

#Norms_and_Values #inequality #overconsumption #climatechange

@valdai_club
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โฐ TODAY at 11:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion on the environmental agenda and the results of the COP28 climate conference in Dubai.

โ“What will the outcome of COP28 mean in practice?
โ“How realistic is the adopted course in the medium term?
โ“How will oil-producing countries react?
โ“What will Russiaโ€™s position be?
โ“How will the current geopolitical situation affect the environmental agenda?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKontakteTelegram and Dzen.

#GlobalAlternatives #COP28 #climate #ClimateChange

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UPD: The livestream is over. The video of the discussion is available via the same link. Stay tuned!

๐ŸŽฅ LIVE: at 11:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), we are starting an expert discussion on the environmental agenda and the results of the COP28 climate conference in Dubai.

https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239159

#GlobalAlternatives #COP28 #climate #ClimateChange

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๐ŸŒฑ 2023 was a year of climate records around the world. There are risks of extreme weather conditions. By the end of this century, between a third and half of the worldโ€™s population โ€” three to six billion people โ€” could be pushed beyond the โ€œlivable zonesโ€.

We created an infographic on consequences of climate change in 2023. The full infographic is available on the website.

#valdai_infogaphics #ClimateChange

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๐Ÿญ COP28: Towards a Just Energy Transition?

On January 24, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion on the environmental agenda and the results of the COP28 climate conference in Dubai. The moderator was Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Club.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Igor Makarov, head of the Department of World Economy and Head of the Laboratory for the Economics of Climate Change at the National Research University Higher School of Economics, who participated in COP28, called the issue of abandoning fossil fuels โ€œthe main drama of the conference.โ€ The main result, in his opinion, is that it was possible to reach a compromise, called the โ€œUAE consensusโ€. This compromise consists, firstly, in the fact that the parties agreed on softer language, providing for a โ€œmovement awayโ€ from fossil fuels instead of a โ€œtotal rejectionโ€. Second, a clause recognizing the role of โ€œtransition fuelsโ€ in facilitating the energy transition was added to the text of the final document. What exactly we are talking about is not explained, but traditionally such fuel means gas. Third, the final formulations mentioned a variety of channels for reducing emissions, which fully reflects the principle of technological neutrality promoted by Russia. Fourth, the final document emphasizes that the fight against climate change and the move towards carbon neutrality must be carried out in an equitable and fair manner. This would allow poorer countries to link emissions reduction targets to international aid.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Yakov Kuzyakov, head of the departments of forest soil science and agro-soil science at the University of Gรถttingen (Germany), noted that although the transition to renewable sources will occur, there are some areas of both industry and transport where it is impossible. A completely fair solution in this area is also impossible โ€” the economic interests of different countries are too different, and a quick and easy replacement of energy sources with alternative ones is hardly feasible. Speaking about the absorption of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by artificial and natural ecosystems, Kuzyakov noted the importance in this process of plantations that are intensively used for timber production. Overall, he suggested that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere will continue to rise in the coming decades and, accordingly, temperatures will rise.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Francine Mestrum, president of the NGO Global Social Justice and member of the board of the Belgian CETRI (Centre Tricontinental), dedicated her speech to the political conflict in Western Europe between farmers protesting government climate measures that threaten their usual way of life, and the environmental movement. Far right forces that deny climate change are on the farmersโ€™ side. Against this background, the standard policies of progressive and green parties, accustomed to calling on voters to give up their usual comfort for the sake of a better future, turn out to be ineffective. In todayโ€™s Europe, no one is ready to make sacrifices without compensation.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Elena Maslova, senior researcher at the Institute of International Studies at MGIMO University under the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and senior researcher at the Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences, raised the question of how the fight against climate change is managed. Although a kind of โ€œgreen consensusโ€ was formed in the world, claiming the status of a moral and ethical imperative, and no one doubts that climate change is an ontological threat, countries independently choose their approaches and their own paths to achieve climate neutrality. During the summit in Dubai, an attempt was made to shake this status quo and develop a unified paradigm.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/cop28-towards-a-just-energy-transition/

#GlobalAlternatives #COP28 #climate #ClimateChange

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