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🧊🌐 Cooperation in the Arctic has been renowned for being largely immune to geopolitics.

Even at times of great power conflict during the Cold War, cooperation in the Arctic continued for mutually beneficial cooperation and trust-building. This era appears to have come to an end.

Over the past two decades, relations between the NATO countries and Russia have continued to deteriorate and the Arctic increasingly becomes the home of competing interests. The decision by the collective West to suspend cooperation with Russia in the Arctic Council over the war in Ukraine suggests that reliable cooperation in the Arctic has likely come to an end.

As Russia reduces reliance on NATO states and increases cooperation with non-Arctic powers in the high north, it is reasonable to expect that BRICS will become an Arctic institution.

The great economic realignment is increasingly organised with non-Western technologies, ships, insurances, investment banks and currencies. As the economic infrastructure is de-Americanised and transformed, it is reasonable to expect the institutional framework to change. This will also occur in the Arctic, Glenn Diesen @glenndiesen writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/room-for-cooperation-in-the-arctic/

#Asia_and_Eurasia #Arctic #Eurasia #geopolitics

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🌏 The concept of a civilisation state is now becoming almost an official approach to understand Russia’s place in the world.

It occupied a prominent place in Vladimir Putin’s recent speech at the 20th Annual meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club. This concept has both domestic and foreign policy dimensions. It relies to a certain extent on the works of conservative pre-revolutionary Russian thinkers (Ilyin, Danilevsky), and is intended to provide justification for the “peculiarity” and “special path” of Russia.

In more or less modern world politics as it is theoretically understood, the revival of attention to civilisational issues is associated not least with Samuel Huntington’s “Clash of Civilisations”. The main provisions of this concept were published in 1993. The text itself appeared as a kind of response to the overly optimistic concept of the “End of History”, put forward in 1989 by Francis Fukuyama under the influence of the euphoria of the end of Cold War and bipolar confrontation.

Huntington’s concept played a role in promoting the idea of “the West vs the Rest” and therefore promoted a kind of internal mobilisation of the West in the new political conditions after the end of the Cold War. Although not directly, the influence of this concept can be traced in the development of the political practice of Western countries in the “projection of democracy” to other regions of the world and civilisation in the Huntingtonian sense. Thus, a course was laid for the universalisation of Western civilisation and its absorption by all others in the future (leaving only cultural differences in a kind of folklore sense).

The Russian case of a civilisation state, even if accepted on its own, still leaves room for questions about its universal applicability in other countries of the world, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Oleg Barabanov.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/civilisation-state-theory-and-practice/

#Norms_and_Values #civilisation #geopolitics

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🗺️ In the new international environment, geopolitics is increasingly beginning to determine the structure of economic interaction in the world.

We are inside a large long-term political cycle that will last in different countries, political circles and national elites. There are estimates that the current geopolitical crisis will last at least several years: in open American sources, the top officials have specified a period of 6-7 years. This sets a certain predictability for the development of events, although it does not make the situation simpler.

Just a year ago, business circles in different countries found it difficult to come to terms with the fact that geopolitics now determines the global economy. We have seen energetic attempts to unite industrialists and entrepreneurs in European countries to challenge the political vector that their government has chosen.

In Germany we observed clear public disagreement with this course on the part of individual leaders of particular states, who are interested in interaction with Russia. However, this has not affected the general strategic vector of the German government, which runs counter to the opinion of the country’s own businesses; many believe this is suicidal for the German economy.

The United States feels comfortable in the current prolonged crisis. An extremely important American goal is to eliminate any impulses of autonomy on the European continent, which are expected mostly from the countries of Western Europe.

However, non-Western states, with interests which are different from those of Europe and the United States, are ready to come up with their own ideas about how this crisis should be resolved, writes Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/who-is-better-prepared-for-a-long-geopolitical/

#ModernDiplomacy #geopolitics #WorldOrder

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🇨🇺 Cuba is one of the most important countries in the world; one of the few that can really disturb the sleep of the United States.

Geography makes this island geostrategic and whoever wants to challenge the United States must set foot on it. Dividing Cuba and the United States is a strip of sea that can be flown over in just one hour by plane, which means that the island is the perfect staging ground for  challenging the latter.

Geographical proximity can be a political advantage as well as a political risk, which is why the United States has historically gone to great lengths to gain control of this small island. 

Cuba has a role to play in the current hegemonic struggle between the West and the Rest. Russia and the BRICS should take advantage of its geostrategic and geopolitical position and act accordingly – Cuba's salvation might mean the Multipolar Transition's culmination, writes Emanuel Pietrobon, geopolitical analyst, political consultant and author from Italy.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-strategic-importance-of-cuba/

#EconomicStatecraft #Cuba #geopolitics

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🗺️ In 2023, many of us finally realized that the collapse of the past international order wasn’t a disaster, and contains far more positive things for the development of the whole world.

Among signs of a new international order, several of the most important features can be seen.

1️⃣ First, the emergence of democratic multipolarity, symbolized by the BRICS association.

2️⃣ Second, the gradual erosion of the monopoly of a narrow group of states in various sectors of the world economy.

3️⃣ Third, the revival of foreign policy activity of the majority of countries, which we define as the World Majority.

The World Majority countries do not set themselves the task of breaking the existing international order and destroying globalisation. However, they are gradually increasing the degree of their independence in determining foreign policy decisions and economic partnerships, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Timofei Bordachev.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/signs-of-a-new-international-order

#WiderEurasia #geopolitics #NewWorldOrder

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📆 ANNOUNCEMENT: On January 18 at 12:00 noon Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion on the results of Russia’s chairmanship of the Arctic Council in 2021–2023.

In recent years, Russia has made serious efforts to strengthen its economic position in the Arctic and to create new transport and logistics systems. The Arctic region has acquired fundamental importance for the internal connectivity of the Russian economy and strengthened its export potential.

On March 3, 2022, soon after the start of Russia’s special operation in Ukraine, seven member countries of the Arctic Council announced the suspension of their participation in all official events. As a result, Russia focused on the intranational goals of its chairmanship and the development of the Russian regions of the Far North.

What has been achieved during the Russian chairmanship of the Arctic Council?
What can Russia do to further develop the Arctic?
What will be the role of the Far North regions in the national development strategy?
How will NATO expansion affect the activities of the Arctic Council?
What are the prospects for Russia's participation in the AC and the creation of an alternative organisation with the participation of Asian states?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

🎙️ Speakers:

🇳🇴 Glenn Diesen @glenndiesen, Professor at the University of South-Eastern Norway

🇷🇺 Anastasia Likhacheva, Dean of the Faculty of World Economy and International Politics, Higher School of Economics

🇷🇺 Vladimir Panov, Special Representative of the Rosatom State Corporation on Arctic Development Issues

Moderator:

🗣 Timofei Bordachev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club

https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-russia-s-chairmanship-of-the-arctic-council/

Working languages: Russian, English.

ℹ️ Information for the media: Dear journalists, to be accredited for the event, please 
fill out the form on our website. If you have any questions about the event, call +79269307763

Links to the live broadcast of the open sessions will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the 
websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKontakteTelegram and Dzen.

#WiderEurasia #Arctic #geopolitics

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TODAY at 12:00 noon Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion on the results of Russia’s chairmanship of the Arctic Council in 2021–2023.

What has been achieved during the Russian chairmanship of the Arctic Council?
What can Russia do to further develop the Arctic?
What will be the role of the Far North regions in the national development strategy?
How will NATO expansion affect the activities of the Arctic Council?
What are the prospects for Russia's participation in the AC and the creation of an alternative organisation with the participation of Asian states?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

Links to the live broadcast of the open sessions will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKontakteTelegram and Dzen.

#WiderEurasia #Arctic #geopolitics

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🧊 The End of the Arctic Consensus?

On January 18, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion on the results of Russia’s chairmanship of the Arctic Council in 2021–2023

💬 Timofei Bordachev, the discussion moderator, emphasized that the issue of development of the Arctic region and Russia’s policy there is now of fundamental importance, since Russia has unique geographical opportunities to study and use the natural, transport and logistics resources of the Arctic.

💬 Anastasia Likhacheva, Dean of the Faculty of World Economy and International Politics, Higher School of Economics, believes that Russia should build relations with foreign partners as the main Arctic power in the world. The depth of strategic planning and development of the Arctic region in Russia is much deeper than that of other Arctic and non-Arctic states, Likhacheva noted. This does not negate possible interaction with other countries. Moreover, the basis of Russia’s state policy in the Arctic, in addition to ensuring security, provides for reliance on international cooperation in matters of economic development. However, the Arctic has now become a region of fierce international competition, and the illusions associated with the ultra-consensual approach of the Arctic Council over the past two years have been greatly devalued.

💬 Glenn Diesen @glenndiesen, Professor at the University of South-Eastern Norway, pointed out that the Arctic Council, of course, should remain in the new conditions, but its role should change. In his opinion, the development of the Arctic in the future will be associated with a reorientation of Russian policy – a departure from the idea of Greater Europe in favor of Greater Eurasia and a turn to the East as a whole. The Arctic, ceasing to be a frozen desert, is turning into a region of geostrategic tension, Diesen believes. This is due to the race for resources and control over transport routes. Against this background, Russia’s interests will lie in both finding new partners for the development of the Arctic and incentives to establish cooperation with the West in the future. The Eurasian approach to the Arctic, perhaps with the involvement of the BRICS, can resolve both of these issues, the expert believes.

💬 Vladimir Panov, Special Representative of the Rosatom State Corporation on Arctic Development Issues, outlined the situation around the “indicator of Arctic development” – the Northern Sea Route. Panov said that in 2023 a record was set for the volume of cargo and transit traffic. He indicated that there is great interest in redirecting cargo from the Suez Canal to the Northern Sea Route. This is also related to issues of ensuring the sustainability and safety of navigation. Speaking about the state of affairs in the Arctic as a whole, Panov emphasized that Russia is ahead of many countries in the field of Arctic projects for objective reasons.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/the-end-of-the-arctic-consensus/

#WiderEurasia #Arctic #geopolitics

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📆 ANNOUNCEMENT: On September 16 at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host the presentation of the Valdai Paper titled “Maritime Geopolitics of the Pacific and Indian Oceans: A View from Moscow”.

Indonesia is the largest ASEAN state. It controls the largest number of sea passages linking the Pacific Ocean with the Indian Ocean. In the event of an escalation of confrontation in the Asia-Pacific, its outcome will largely depend on Indonesia’s position.

The Valdai Club has been developing partnerships with the countries of Southeast Asia for many years. The Club's conferences on general regional topics have repeatedly been held in ASEAN countries, including Indonesia. 

The Valdai Paper on the national interests of Indonesia and Russia in the Asia-Pacific region was prepared by Alexey Kupriyanov, head of the Indian Ocean Region Centre at IMEMO RAS.

🎙️ Speakers:

🔹 Lyudmila Vorobyova, Director of the Third Asian Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry

🔹 Pyotr Skorospelov, Director of the Russian State Archive of Socio-Political History

🔹 Alexey Kupriyanov, Head of the Indian Ocean Region Centre at IMEMO RAS

Moderator:

🗣 Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai International Discussion Club

https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-in-indonesia-maritime-geopolitics-of-the-pacific-and-indian-oceans/

Working languages: Russian, English.

ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to get accredited for the event, please 
fill out the form on our web site. If you have any questions about the event, please call +79269307763

Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the 
websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKTelegram and Dzen.

#GlobalAlternatives #geopolitics

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TODAY at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host the presentation of the Valdai Paper titled “Maritime Geopolitics of the Pacific and Indian Oceans: A View from Moscow”.

The Valdai Paper on the national interests of Indonesia and Russia in the Asia-Pacific region was prepared by Alexei Kupriyanov, head of the Indian Ocean Region Centre at IMEMO RAS, especially for the Russian-Indonesian seminar titled “Indonesia – Russia: From the Past to the Future, History and Prospects”. The event will be held on September 24 in Jakarta (Indonesia)

Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKTelegram and Dzen.

#Indonesia2024 #GlobalAlternatives #geopolitics

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🗣 On September 16, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted the presentation of the Valdai Paper titled “Maritime Geopolitics of the Pacific and Indian Oceans: A View from Moscow”.

📷 Photo gallery

🎥 Video

#Indonesia2024 #GlobalAlternatives #geopolitics

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🇷🇺🇮🇩 Russia and Indonesia: A Time-Tested Partnership

On September 16, the Valdai Club hosted a presentation of the analytical paper titled “Maritime Geopolitics of the Pacific and Indian Oceans: A View from Moscow”, prepared ahead of the Russian-Indonesian Seminar in Jakarta. The moderator was Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Club.

💬 Lyudmila Vorobyova, Director of the Third Asian Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry, briefly spoke about Russian-Indonesian cooperation, describing Indonesia as a time-tested partner for Russia in the Asia-Pacific region. She added that next year will mark the 75th anniversary of the establishment of bilateral relations. They were especially warm in the 1960s. Today, the countries continue to embrace the traditions of friendship, trust, and mutual assistance established during the last century. Political dialogue is developing, meetings between foreign ministers and interparliamentary exchanges are held regularly, and cooperation takes place at international platforms. In the economic sphere, Russia is committed to further expanding trade and investment cooperation with its Indonesian partners; the development of a free trade agreement between the EAEU and Indonesia is in its final stage.

💬 Pyotr Skorospelov, Director of the Russian State Archive of Socio-Political History, said that a special report has been prepared for the seminar based on recently declassified documents about the "golden decade" of Russian-Indonesian relations under Khrushchev and Sukarno. Interest in Indonesia arose in Moscow in the last years of Stalin's life on the wave of foreign policy's turn to the East after the People’s Republic was established in China. Khrushchev fully embraced the interests of the Global South, expanded the geographic scope of this policy, and provided a material basis for it. In terms of economic aid, Indonesia was a priority for Khrushchev, roughly on par with Egypt. The USSR assumed that Indonesia was a regional power centre and a potential great power, and built its policy on this premise.

💬 Alexey Kupriyanov, head of the Indian Ocean Region Centre at the IMEMO RAS and the author of the paper, emphasised that Russia, probably for the first time in its history, is in a situation where the main focus of its economic and political efforts is directed to the East. This was not the case even during the Cold War. This poses the task of developing a plan of action for dealing with Asia. Kupriyanov pointed out the key role of Indonesia in terms of maritime geopolitics, as it controls all the straits of the Malay Barrier. "It holds the key to all passages from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean," the expert noted. The situation in the region is currently becoming increasingly tense, and against this backdrop, Indonesia's importance will only increase.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/russia-and-indonesia-a-time-tested-partnership/

#Indonesia2024 #GlobalAlternatives #geopolitics

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