Valdai Discussion Club
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ While Russia seeks to realise its eastern pivot, the Southeast Asia has undergone a major transformation, with deep implications for its positioning.

The intensification of the US-China rivalry and the reimagining of the region as the Indo-Pacific, not to mention cooperation among states in the Quad and AUKUS format, are issues where Moscow will face key questions regarding its own policy formulation.

Russia has opposed the Indo-Pacific notion and has reservations about AUKUS, which also found an expression in the recent Sino-Russian joint statement. But its other strategic partner in the region โ€” India โ€” has embraced the Indo-Pacific and Quad, having grown increasingly concerned about the rise of an aggressive China. Other regional powers like Japan and Australia are also increasingly interacting with each other and key Western partners amidst increasing concerns about the kind of power China will emerge to be, and recognising the need to ensure a โ€˜more balanced Asia.โ€™

Ideally, Russia too would benefit from an Asia that is multipolar, and where its engagement in the region is not disproportionately dependent on China. 

It is clear that how the ongoing crisis is resolved will have an impact on Russiaโ€™s policy towards the East as well, writes Valdai Club expert Nivedita Kapoor.

๐Ÿ”— Russiaโ€™s Pivot to Asia โ€“ A 10-Year Policy Review

#Asia_and_Eurasia #AsiaPacific #India

@valdai_club โ€” The Valdai Discussion Club
๐ŸŒ The countries of the Asia-Pacific region are motivated to join forces with Washington on the issue of containing China, not because they share democratic values, but because they are concerned about the strengthening of Chinaโ€™s military and economic power amid unresolved territorial disputes and Beijingโ€™s assertiveness in promoting Chinaโ€™s interests and narrative in the region, writes Valdai Club expert Yana Leksyutina.

๐Ÿ”— The Potential Impact of the US-Chinese Conflict in Asia

#Asia_and_Eurasia #AsiaPacific

@valdai_club โ€” The Valdai Discussion Club
๐ŸŒ€๐ŸŒ So far the events taking place in Europe affect the Asia-Pacific only tangentially.

The geopolitical tsunami that emerged in late February this year in Europe has had a devastating effect on the international system and the world order in Europe. But in the Asia-Pacific, due to its geographical remoteness, the geopolitical tsunami has so far manifested itself only as small ripples in the regional space.

The processes launched by the current military-political conflict in Europe and the confrontation between the West and Russia have not yet had a fundamental impact on the Asia-Pacific, they havenโ€™t led to a breakdown of the regional order.

At the present stage, processes continue to develop in the region. The impetus for this was largely given by the course initiated by then-US President Obama in 2009 for the โ€œrebalancingโ€ of the United States to Asia as Washingtonโ€™s reaction to the rise of China. 

The demolition, restructuring or crumbling of the world order, which was first discussed in earnest in the wake of the confrontation between the West and Russia, has yet to hit the Asia-Pacific, writes Yana Leksyutina, professor at the Department of American Studies at the Faculty of International Relations at St. Petersburg University, for the 13th Asian conference of the Valdai Discussion Club.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-development-dynamics-of-the-asia-pacific/

#ASIANVALDAI #AsiaPacific

@valdai_club
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ While the conflict in Ukraine is still on-going and with Gaza falling now under firing and bomb shelling exchanges between Hamas and Israel, Chinaโ€™s security concerns are also rising, particularly to its east out there in the Pacific Ocean where challenges are on the increase.

There are still no signs of de-escalation of tension between the US and China with disagreements over such issues including the Taiwan problem, the maritime disputes China has with countries like the Philippines, and the sliding down of Chinaโ€™s relations with Japan and South Korea. Behind all of these issues, China sees the visible and invisible hand of the US.

The repeated statements of China on its position towards seeking a peaceful return of Taiwan to the motherland have met with open resentment by the US which has rallied up the supporting response among its allies such as Canada and some European countries.

By selling and sending weapons to Taiwan and patting on the shoulders of the regime in Taipei, the White House continues to play with its โ€œstrategic ambiguityโ€ when it still claims that the US โ€œdoes not support Taiwanโ€™s independenceโ€.

China seems to have exhausted its patience in continuing to play the game with the US by laying its cards clear on the tableNelson Wong writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/china-and-its-security-challenges-in-the-pacific/

#Asia_and_Eurasia #China #UnitedStates #Taiwan #AsiaPacific

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๐Ÿ“† ANNOUNCEMENT: On November 27 at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the Asian perspective on the Middle East crisis.

The sharp escalation of the Arab-Israeli conflict has become the main event of late 2023, pushing the conflicts in the South Caucasus and Europe into the background. Its political significance extends far beyond the Middle East region. International relations, including in Asia, will now depend on how the Middle East crisis develops further.

More than half of the total Muslim population lives in the Asia-Pacific region. How will the Arab-Israeli conflict affect the politics of the Asia-Pacific countries?

โ“How does the prospect of an aggravation of the Arab-Israeli conflict threaten international security?
โ“How do states in South Asia and the Asia-Pacific region perceive the Middle East crisis?
โ“Which Asian countries could be involved in the conflict?
โ“What might be their role in the settlement?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Speakers:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Rakesh Bhadauria, Major General (ret.), Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Modelling, Joint Institute for Defence Studies of India (New Delhi)

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Rahakundini Bakrie Connie, Lecturer at Jenderal Achmad Yani University, Indonesia

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ John Gong, Professor, Vice President of Research and Strategy at the University of International Business and Economics โ€“ Israel (UIBE โ€“ Israel)

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ Raza Muhammad, President, Institute of Policy Studies, Islamabad, Pakistan

Moderator:

๐Ÿšฉ Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai  Discussion Club

https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-asian-vision-of-the-middle-east-crisis/

Working languages: Russian, English.

โ„น๏ธ Information for the media: Dear journalists, in order to be accredited for the event, In order to get accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our web site. If you have any questions about the event, please call +79269307763.

A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the 
websiteVKontakteTelegram and Dzen.

#Norms_and_Values #Palestine #Israel #AsiaPacific

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โฐ TODAY at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the Asian perspective on the Middle East crisis.

โ“How does the prospect of an aggravation of the Arab-Israeli conflict threaten international security?
โ“How do states in South Asia and the Asia-Pacific region perceive the Middle East crisis?
โ“Which Asian countries could be involved in the conflict?
โ“What might be their role in the settlement?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the websiteVKontakteTelegram and Dzen.

#Norms_and_Values #Palestine #Israel #AsiaPacific

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๐Ÿ—ฃ On November 27, 2023, the Valdai Discussion Club held an expert discussion dedicated to the Asian perspective on the Middle East crisis.

๐Ÿ“ท Photo gallery

๐ŸŽฅ Video

#Norms_and_Values #Palestine #Israel #AsiaPacific

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๐ŸŒ๐ŸŒ The Middle East Crisis through an Asian Prism

On November 27, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion on the Asian vision of the Middle East crisis.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Moderator Oleg Barabanov, programme director of the Valdai Club, noted that since the Middle East is part of Asia as a larger region, the political, economic and humanitarian consequences of the Middle East conflict cannot but affect all Asian countries.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Rakesh Bhadauria, Major General (ret.), Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies and Modelling of the Joint Institute of Defence Studies of India (New Delhi), called the crisis in the Middle East a legacy of colonial times. Describing India's position, he noted that it has good relations with both Israel and Palestine, but that India condemns harm to civilians on both sides and attaches importance primarily to human suffering as a result of the conflict. According to him, it is now important to prevent the expansion of the confrontation, because if it grows, then the entire Global South will be involved and, in addition, energy security will be at risk.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Rahakundini Bakrie Connie, Lecturer at Jenderal Achmad Yani University in Indonesia, called for a search for a political solution within the framework of the UN. She emphasized that Indonesia, as both a Muslim country and a trading partner of Israel, favours a peace process with the active participation of Russia. In her opinion, in order to establish peace in the Middle East, it would be useful to return to the idea of a Middle East Quartet consisting of the European Union, the UN, the United States and Russia, in order to provide mediation efforts. However, the confrontation between Russia and the Western countries makes this unlikely.

๐Ÿ’ฌ John Gong, Professor, Vice President of Research and Strategy at the University of International Business and Economics โ€“ Israel (UIBE โ€“ Israel), briefly outlined the situation around the Gaza Strip and the main trends in Israeli politics at the moment, noting that the consequences of what is happening will have a long-term impact on the world in the future. Speaking about China's position, he pointed out that it is gradually changing and becoming more balanced. At first, Beijing did not directly condemn Hamas, but later it put forward a draft resolution that contained a condemnation. Nevertheless, Israel considers the Chinese position to be rather pro-Palestinian, the analyst admitted, adding that, in his opinion, China seeks to maintain neutrality and achieve a truce between the parties, advocating the two-state principle.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Raza Muhammad, President of the Institute of Policy Studies, Islamabad, presented the Pakistani perspective on the issue. He said Pakistan has always supported the Palestinian people and called Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip unacceptable, underscoring that what is happening there is a full-blown humanitarian disaster. In his opinion, ultimately everything depends on the position of two countries โ€“ the United States and Israel. Until they decide to end this conflict, there is nothing the world can do.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/the-middle-east-crisis-through-an-asian-prism/

#Norms_and_Values #Palestine #Israel #AsiaPacific

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