🇷🇺🇺🇦🇪🇺 US President Joe Biden recently admitted that the conflict over Ukraine will become protracted, making it a kind of competition of wills between Russia and Europe.
The conflict is really turning into a duel of endurance potentials: there is a determination on the Russian side to see things through to the end, there are no doubts about Ukraine’s determination to wage war, despite the large number of losses and the growing tension in society.
The negotiating line that Russia came up with in March can be seen as a big win for Kiev: recognition of the Donbass republics and Russian sovereignty over Crimea, removal of nationalists from government and law enforcement agencies, military neutrality of the country and demilitarisation.
Russia will no longer return to the negotiating table with the same proposal; Russia’s next offer will be developed from other positions. Of course, it will take shape as a result of hostilities on the territory of Ukraine.
However, the Russian position will also be formed with an eye to the social processes in the West: now there is no certainty that Ukraine will remain in its list of priorities over the long term. Already now in the West, fatigue from the bloody hostilities ripens.
Until the last Soviet cartridge is fired in Kiev’s arsenal, until the mistakes of the command give rise to a cascade of tactical defeats at the front, and as long as their Western sponsors support them with weapons, Ukraine will fight, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine
@valdai_club
The conflict is really turning into a duel of endurance potentials: there is a determination on the Russian side to see things through to the end, there are no doubts about Ukraine’s determination to wage war, despite the large number of losses and the growing tension in society.
The negotiating line that Russia came up with in March can be seen as a big win for Kiev: recognition of the Donbass republics and Russian sovereignty over Crimea, removal of nationalists from government and law enforcement agencies, military neutrality of the country and demilitarisation.
Russia will no longer return to the negotiating table with the same proposal; Russia’s next offer will be developed from other positions. Of course, it will take shape as a result of hostilities on the territory of Ukraine.
However, the Russian position will also be formed with an eye to the social processes in the West: now there is no certainty that Ukraine will remain in its list of priorities over the long term. Already now in the West, fatigue from the bloody hostilities ripens.
Until the last Soviet cartridge is fired in Kiev’s arsenal, until the mistakes of the command give rise to a cascade of tactical defeats at the front, and as long as their Western sponsors support them with weapons, Ukraine will fight, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Legitimation of War and Ukraine’s Potential for Endurance
Zelensky is fully invested in the “warring Ukraine” project, and today he personifies the party of war. However, being the president of war and a president of peace are completely different modalities, between which it is often impossible to move, writes…
🌍🇺🇦🇷🇺 Many African nations refrain from condemning Russia's role in the Ukraine crisis.
They are taking a more independent stance because of their histories of imperialist control and ties with the USSR and the Russian Federation.
Numerous African governments and mass organizations refused to side with the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in its efforts to encircle Russia in order to leave it as a diminished state dependent upon the dominant imperialist nations globally.
Attitudes towards US military policy among Africans reveals the unsustainability of this approach to international affairs. These peoples know that the reckless approach by Washington and Wall Street will have a negative social impact on billions around the globe, writes Abayomi Azikiwe, Editor and Publisher of the Pan-African News Wire.
#Norms_and_Values #Africa #Ukraine
@valdai_club
They are taking a more independent stance because of their histories of imperialist control and ties with the USSR and the Russian Federation.
Numerous African governments and mass organizations refused to side with the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in its efforts to encircle Russia in order to leave it as a diminished state dependent upon the dominant imperialist nations globally.
Attitudes towards US military policy among Africans reveals the unsustainability of this approach to international affairs. These peoples know that the reckless approach by Washington and Wall Street will have a negative social impact on billions around the globe, writes Abayomi Azikiwe, Editor and Publisher of the Pan-African News Wire.
#Norms_and_Values #Africa #Ukraine
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Reactions in Africa to the Ukrainian Crisis
Many African nations refrain from condemning Russia's role in the Ukraine crisis. They are taking a more independent stance because of their histories of imperialist control and ties with the USSR and the Russian Federation. Since the post-World War II period…
🔎⚔️🗞 Most analysts in the West have developed a special kind of moral blindness, which is rooted in the feeling of being chosen; the ideological, moral superiority of the Western model of development.
They believe that they are advancing at a high speed along the path of progress, that there is a right side of history, and that the movement along it justifies the means by which this progress is achieved. They value civilian deaths quite differently depending on which side they represent. This is a special type of hypocrisy — to divide people into those who are on the right side of history and who are on the wrong side of history.
At the initial stage of the current phase of the crisis in the West, analysts began to play the role of activists and rhetorically exclaim: “how is that?”, “no war”, and “we are for peace.” For them, there is only one participant in the conflict worthy of support — Ukraine, which is on the right side of history. Accordingly, its missile attacks on Donbass and Russian territory are righteous. There was not a single sympathetic statement in the West regarding the murder of pro-Russian citizens in Odessa on May 2, 2014.
The tacit acceptance of a consistent defeat of the rights of Russians in Ukraine is completely unacceptable for Russia, and Western experts will not find understanding in Moscow until they stop looking at the problem selectively, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine #West
@valdai_club
They believe that they are advancing at a high speed along the path of progress, that there is a right side of history, and that the movement along it justifies the means by which this progress is achieved. They value civilian deaths quite differently depending on which side they represent. This is a special type of hypocrisy — to divide people into those who are on the right side of history and who are on the wrong side of history.
At the initial stage of the current phase of the crisis in the West, analysts began to play the role of activists and rhetorically exclaim: “how is that?”, “no war”, and “we are for peace.” For them, there is only one participant in the conflict worthy of support — Ukraine, which is on the right side of history. Accordingly, its missile attacks on Donbass and Russian territory are righteous. There was not a single sympathetic statement in the West regarding the murder of pro-Russian citizens in Odessa on May 2, 2014.
The tacit acceptance of a consistent defeat of the rights of Russians in Ukraine is completely unacceptable for Russia, and Western experts will not find understanding in Moscow until they stop looking at the problem selectively, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine #West
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Blind Spots of the Moral Position of the West in the Ukrainian Crisis
Most analysts in the West have developed a special kind of moral blindness, which is rooted in the feeling of being chosen; the ideological, moral superiority of the Western model of development.
🌐 Probably only Russia among the classical European powers retained its diplomatic tradition.
Thanks to a strong school of diplomacy and a developed institutional environment for cultivating professional experience, Russian diplomats develop the ability to see the world pragmatically, and without ideological lenses, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/what-do-the-political-elites-of-ukraine/
#ModernDiplomacy #Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
@valdaiclub
Thanks to a strong school of diplomacy and a developed institutional environment for cultivating professional experience, Russian diplomats develop the ability to see the world pragmatically, and without ideological lenses, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/what-do-the-political-elites-of-ukraine/
#ModernDiplomacy #Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
@valdaiclub
Valdai Club
What Do Political Elites of Ukraine and the West Think – Is There Any Room for Dialogue?
Probably only Russia among the classical European powers retained its diplomatic tradition. Thanks to a strong school of diplomacy and a developed institutional environment for cultivating professional experience, Russian diplomats develop the ability to…
🪖 The unprecedented hardships of the real war that Ukraine is now facing could be significantly less if the government of Vladimir Zelensky showed it was ready to pursue a diplomatic settlement of the crisis.
Russia has repeatedly come up with diplomatic initiatives to resolve this conflict.
For example, at its first stage, such negotiations took place in Belarus and, later, in Turkey. However, under the influence of the United States and Britain, the government of Zelensky took a course of prolonging the conflict, counting on the fact that military assistance from the West would allow Ukraine to achieve its goals during this crisis.
It is unlikely that Zelensky is counting on a military victory for his country. For this, Ukraine does not have its own military-economic resources, and the funds provided by the West will never be sufficient to inflict a final defeat on Russia.
Probably, the calculation of the president of Ukraine is based on offering Ukraine as a tool for the West in the fight against Russia, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/why-does-zelensky-need-a-long-conflict-with-russia/
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine
@valdai_club
Russia has repeatedly come up with diplomatic initiatives to resolve this conflict.
For example, at its first stage, such negotiations took place in Belarus and, later, in Turkey. However, under the influence of the United States and Britain, the government of Zelensky took a course of prolonging the conflict, counting on the fact that military assistance from the West would allow Ukraine to achieve its goals during this crisis.
It is unlikely that Zelensky is counting on a military victory for his country. For this, Ukraine does not have its own military-economic resources, and the funds provided by the West will never be sufficient to inflict a final defeat on Russia.
Probably, the calculation of the president of Ukraine is based on offering Ukraine as a tool for the West in the fight against Russia, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/why-does-zelensky-need-a-long-conflict-with-russia/
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Why Does Zelensky Need a Long Conflict With Russia?
It is unlikely that Zelensky is counting on a military victory for his country. For this, Ukraine does not have its own military-economic resources, and the funds provided by the West will never be sufficient to inflict a final defeat on Russia. Probably…
🪖🌐 The conflict in Ukraine has become central to world discourse.
The sharing of real or fake photos and videos on social media has become a hallmark of press attention, making the boundaries between fact and fiction increasingly indiscernible. Over the course of this year of conflict, it became clear that anything goes when it comes to advancing a particular narrative, from video game images to the famous myth of the “ghost of Kiev”.
In fact, the spectacularization of this conflict has reached levels that are unprecedented in recent history. This not only keeps Western audiences entertained daily but also fuels the NATO war machine and its voyeuristic desires with the tragedy of others.
In the face of this debate, peace negotiations have been replaced by an external verdict to the parties involved in the conflict: Russia must lose at all costs. Throughout this one year, the factor of time has been manipulated both chronologically and ideationally to achieve this goal. In the chronology of events, the mainstream narrative about the conflict asserts that Russia is losing because it failed to conquer the second largest country in Europe in a month. The imagined verdict by the West is that Putin had and has this ambition. Even if that were the case, little is said about the consequences if the Kremlin had actually pursued a strategy of total control of Ukrainian territory in a few weeks. Such a presumption may be formulated from a self-expectation of mimicking the Western modus operandi in previous conflicts.
The NATO war in Ukraine against Russia has been prolonged and intensified, as increasing hostilities. If we understand violence as the acceleration of time, the longer the conflict lasts, the greater its consequences will be, writes Valdai Club expert Boris Perius Zabolotsky.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukraine-a-matter-of-time/
#Norms_and_Values #Ukraine
🗣 🗣 🗣
The sharing of real or fake photos and videos on social media has become a hallmark of press attention, making the boundaries between fact and fiction increasingly indiscernible. Over the course of this year of conflict, it became clear that anything goes when it comes to advancing a particular narrative, from video game images to the famous myth of the “ghost of Kiev”.
In fact, the spectacularization of this conflict has reached levels that are unprecedented in recent history. This not only keeps Western audiences entertained daily but also fuels the NATO war machine and its voyeuristic desires with the tragedy of others.
In the face of this debate, peace negotiations have been replaced by an external verdict to the parties involved in the conflict: Russia must lose at all costs. Throughout this one year, the factor of time has been manipulated both chronologically and ideationally to achieve this goal. In the chronology of events, the mainstream narrative about the conflict asserts that Russia is losing because it failed to conquer the second largest country in Europe in a month. The imagined verdict by the West is that Putin had and has this ambition. Even if that were the case, little is said about the consequences if the Kremlin had actually pursued a strategy of total control of Ukrainian territory in a few weeks. Such a presumption may be formulated from a self-expectation of mimicking the Western modus operandi in previous conflicts.
The NATO war in Ukraine against Russia has been prolonged and intensified, as increasing hostilities. If we understand violence as the acceleration of time, the longer the conflict lasts, the greater its consequences will be, writes Valdai Club expert Boris Perius Zabolotsky.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukraine-a-matter-of-time/
#Norms_and_Values #Ukraine
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Valdai Club
Ukraine: A Matter of Time?
The NATO war in Ukraine against Russia has been prolonged and intensified, as increasing hostilities. If we understand violence as the acceleration of time, the longer the conflict lasts, the greater its consequences will be, writes Valdai Club expert Boris…
⚔️ Would the Ukraine crisis be limited to Ukraine’s territory?
Russia is fully cognizant that currently the American bureaucratic procedures governing the allocation of resources essential for sustaining Ukraine are duly reflected in the military budget for the upcoming fiscal year, implying that the conflict is unlikely to conclude within this timeframe.
Both the US Congress and the White House exhibit a shared comprehension and alignment in their objective to achieve “victory over Russia” on the battlefield. This institutional consolidation renders the United States a formidable adversary in this conflict, particularly within the scope of the annual timeframe.
Nevertheless, our interlocutors seem to be struggling to fully grasp the notion that Russia possesses invincible military capabilities. Russia has unequivocally conveyed its commitment to pursue its goals through any means necessary, even if it involves prolonged military action. Given such circumstances, negotiations would have been a more rational approach to dealing with Russia.
Understanding the significance of Ukraine to Russia and recognising the necessity of engaging in dialogue to address the matter would have been prudent. Russia will achieve its goals anyway.
Societies appear fatigued by the prolonged crisis, but this exhaustion has not yet led to significant shifts in public opinion among the European countries.
The Ukraine crisis would be limited to the territory of Ukraine only if no armed forces of NATO countries would enter the frontline, writes Valdai Club Program Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/would-the-ukraine-crisis-be-limited-to-ukraine/
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine #UkraineCrisis
🗣 🗣 🗣
Russia is fully cognizant that currently the American bureaucratic procedures governing the allocation of resources essential for sustaining Ukraine are duly reflected in the military budget for the upcoming fiscal year, implying that the conflict is unlikely to conclude within this timeframe.
Both the US Congress and the White House exhibit a shared comprehension and alignment in their objective to achieve “victory over Russia” on the battlefield. This institutional consolidation renders the United States a formidable adversary in this conflict, particularly within the scope of the annual timeframe.
Nevertheless, our interlocutors seem to be struggling to fully grasp the notion that Russia possesses invincible military capabilities. Russia has unequivocally conveyed its commitment to pursue its goals through any means necessary, even if it involves prolonged military action. Given such circumstances, negotiations would have been a more rational approach to dealing with Russia.
Understanding the significance of Ukraine to Russia and recognising the necessity of engaging in dialogue to address the matter would have been prudent. Russia will achieve its goals anyway.
Societies appear fatigued by the prolonged crisis, but this exhaustion has not yet led to significant shifts in public opinion among the European countries.
The Ukraine crisis would be limited to the territory of Ukraine only if no armed forces of NATO countries would enter the frontline, writes Valdai Club Program Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/would-the-ukraine-crisis-be-limited-to-ukraine/
#ModernDiplomacy #Ukraine #UkraineCrisis
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Valdai Club
Would The Ukraine Crisis be Limited to Ukraine’s Territory?
What are the prospects of the current ever-escalating crisis? While historical events are often characterised as continuous experiments, a resemblance can be observed between the Korean War and the ongoing crisis. The Korean War involved a significant deployment…
⚔️🌏 This crisis is a test of the quality of the strategy of all participants: everyone entered this crisis with their initial understanding of what the world looks like, how it works and where history is going.
The United States truly believes that foreign policy is part of its domestic policy.
Moreover, every American foreign policy strategy is one component of the country’s internal struggles; American self-absorption greatly unnerves their near and far allies and creates uncertainty in the development of the situation.
Ukraine is a convenient, rather cheap tool for weakening and containing Russia, as well as forcing the European allies to embrace discipline and obedience, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukraine-in-the-hands-of-the-united-states-tool/
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine #WorldOrder
🗣 🗣 🗣
The United States truly believes that foreign policy is part of its domestic policy.
Moreover, every American foreign policy strategy is one component of the country’s internal struggles; American self-absorption greatly unnerves their near and far allies and creates uncertainty in the development of the situation.
Ukraine is a convenient, rather cheap tool for weakening and containing Russia, as well as forcing the European allies to embrace discipline and obedience, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukraine-in-the-hands-of-the-united-states-tool/
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine #WorldOrder
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Valdai Club
Ukraine in the Hands of the United States: Tool, Asset or Mistake?
🌏🌎 The expansion of NATO is the immediate external factor behind the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
As a military alliance, NATO could only maintain its internal peace, but has brought about adverse impacts on the overall security of the European continent.
The global strategic imbalance which emerged after the Cold War is a crucial reason why the Russia-Ukraine conflict is still going on today.
The conflict should be regarded as a consequence of a global and regional strategic political imbalance.
Active efforts should be made to rectify such an imbalance. To do so, developing countries should work together to make a contribution to building a new global balance, write Wang Yiwei and Duan Minnong.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/two-years-into-the-russia-ukraine-conflict/
#WiderEurasia #NATO #Ukraine #WorldOrder
🗣 🗣 🗣
As a military alliance, NATO could only maintain its internal peace, but has brought about adverse impacts on the overall security of the European continent.
The global strategic imbalance which emerged after the Cold War is a crucial reason why the Russia-Ukraine conflict is still going on today.
The conflict should be regarded as a consequence of a global and regional strategic political imbalance.
Active efforts should be made to rectify such an imbalance. To do so, developing countries should work together to make a contribution to building a new global balance, write Wang Yiwei and Duan Minnong.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/two-years-into-the-russia-ukraine-conflict/
#WiderEurasia #NATO #Ukraine #WorldOrder
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📆 ANNOUNCEMENT: On September 19 at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?”
The United States presidential elections, which will be held in November, are especially significant. Political polarisation in the country has reached a critical point. If a few years ago the peak of this process was an attempt to seize the Congress building by force, this year we witnessed an assassination attempt on a presidential candidate.
Amid domestic political contradictions, material problems are also accumulating: the infrastructure is deteriorating, the railway industry is facing difficulties, external debt is growing, migration policy is stalling, and inflation remains high.
Problems in foreign policy are also multiplying. The discussion about China presenting a key challenge to American influence is becoming more active, but the Ukrainian conflict also remains in sight.
❓Republicans and Democrats disagree on many issues, but how different are their positions really?
❓How can US foreign policy change? Will it change at all?
❓What scenario awaits Ukraine after the American elections?
The participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
🎙️ Speakers:
🔹 Dimitri Simes, Channel One host, founder and former president of The Center for the National Interest (USA)
🔹 Sergey Kislitsyn, Acting Director of the Institute of the USA and Canada at the Russian Academy of Sciences
🔹 Ivan Safranchuk, Director of the Centre for Eurasian Studies, MGIMO University
🔹 Vladimir Pechatnov, Professor at the Department of History and Politics of European and American Countries, MGIMO University
Moderator:
🗣 Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-us-presidential-elections-and-future-of-ukraine/
Working languages: Russian, English.
ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to get accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our web site. If you have any questions about the event, please call +79269307763
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, X (formerly Twitter), VK, Telegram and Dzen.
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
🗣 🗣 🗣
The United States presidential elections, which will be held in November, are especially significant. Political polarisation in the country has reached a critical point. If a few years ago the peak of this process was an attempt to seize the Congress building by force, this year we witnessed an assassination attempt on a presidential candidate.
Amid domestic political contradictions, material problems are also accumulating: the infrastructure is deteriorating, the railway industry is facing difficulties, external debt is growing, migration policy is stalling, and inflation remains high.
Problems in foreign policy are also multiplying. The discussion about China presenting a key challenge to American influence is becoming more active, but the Ukrainian conflict also remains in sight.
❓Republicans and Democrats disagree on many issues, but how different are their positions really?
❓How can US foreign policy change? Will it change at all?
❓What scenario awaits Ukraine after the American elections?
The participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
🎙️ Speakers:
🔹 Dimitri Simes, Channel One host, founder and former president of The Center for the National Interest (USA)
🔹 Sergey Kislitsyn, Acting Director of the Institute of the USA and Canada at the Russian Academy of Sciences
🔹 Ivan Safranchuk, Director of the Centre for Eurasian Studies, MGIMO University
🔹 Vladimir Pechatnov, Professor at the Department of History and Politics of European and American Countries, MGIMO University
Moderator:
https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-us-presidential-elections-and-future-of-ukraine/
Working languages: Russian, English.
ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to get accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our web site. If you have any questions about the event, please call +79269307763
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, X (formerly Twitter), VK, Telegram and Dzen.
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
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Valdai Club
Valdai Club to Discuss the US Presidential Elections and Future of Ukraine
On September 19 at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?”
⏰ TODAY at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?”
❓Republicans and Democrats disagree on many issues, but how different are their positions really?
❓How can US foreign policy change? Will it change at all?
❓What scenario awaits Ukraine after the American elections?
The participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, X (formerly Twitter), VK, Telegram and Dzen.
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
🗣 🗣 🗣
❓Republicans and Democrats disagree on many issues, but how different are their positions really?
❓How can US foreign policy change? Will it change at all?
❓What scenario awaits Ukraine after the American elections?
The participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, X (formerly Twitter), VK, Telegram and Dzen.
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
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https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239206
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
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Valdai Club to Discuss the US Presidential Elections and Future of Ukraine
On September 19 at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?” More: https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-us-presidential-elections-and-future…
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
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🇺🇸 High-Stakes Elections: Foreign and Domestic Policy Dimensions of the US Presidential Campaign
On September 19, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?”
💬 Moderator Andrey Sushentsov noted that the American presidential elections scheduled for November 5 are of concern to most countries throughout the world, and will affect many areas of international life. For Vladimir Zelensky and his entourage, it is especially important who will lead the United States. The Ukrainian government is trying to adapt to any scenario.
💬 Sergey Kislitsyn, Acting Director of the Institute of the USA and Canada at the Russian Academy of Sciences, analysed the economic dimension of the upcoming elections. He emphasised that the recent reduction in the key rate by the Federal Reserve, which occurred for the first time since 2020, shows that the Biden administration is generally coping with economic policy, including the inflation problem and job creation. At the same time, the Biden administration has acted taking into account the fact that the Republicans could take the White House and embrace more aggressive forms of protectionism that destroy relations with European partners, and therefore created not trade agreements, but rather platforms for cooperation that Trump will probably not destroy.
💬 Vladimir Pechatnov, professor of the Department of History and Politics of European and American Countries at MGIMO, believes that the current elections stand out from preceding ones in terms of volatility, but in themselves do not contain anything revolutionary. Nevertheless, the election campaign can serve as an indicator of deeper changes in American society. However, the outcome of the vote is not yet clear: the gap between the candidates is still small and Kamala Harris has too many weaknesses that Donald Trump can exploit.
💬 Ivan Safranchuk, Director of the Centre for Eurasian Studies at the MGIMO Institute, opined that hopes that the US position on Ukraine will change in the event of a Republican victory are largely misleading. Donald Trump apparently has no feasible plan for the Ukrainian crisis and his approach is rather dictated by a rejection of the current administration’s policies. The basis of the Trump team’s idea apparently assumes a “draw” and fixation of the situation along the line of contact between combatants. However, according to Safranchuk, a conflict of such intensity, scale and dynamics cannot end like that – there must be a loser.
💬 Dimitri Simes, Channel One host, founder and former president of The Center for the National Interest (USA), contended that the seriousness of what is happening around the elections is not to be underestimated, despite the exaggerated accusations and fears on both sides. "Undoubtedly, the stakes are very, very high," he emphasised. Simes pointed to the colossal level of mutual distrust between Republicans and Democrats, which will inevitably continue after the elections.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/high-stakes-elections-foreign-and-domestic-policy-dimensions-of-the-us-presidential-campaign/
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
🗣 🗣 🗣
On September 19, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?”
💬 Moderator Andrey Sushentsov noted that the American presidential elections scheduled for November 5 are of concern to most countries throughout the world, and will affect many areas of international life. For Vladimir Zelensky and his entourage, it is especially important who will lead the United States. The Ukrainian government is trying to adapt to any scenario.
💬 Sergey Kislitsyn, Acting Director of the Institute of the USA and Canada at the Russian Academy of Sciences, analysed the economic dimension of the upcoming elections. He emphasised that the recent reduction in the key rate by the Federal Reserve, which occurred for the first time since 2020, shows that the Biden administration is generally coping with economic policy, including the inflation problem and job creation. At the same time, the Biden administration has acted taking into account the fact that the Republicans could take the White House and embrace more aggressive forms of protectionism that destroy relations with European partners, and therefore created not trade agreements, but rather platforms for cooperation that Trump will probably not destroy.
💬 Vladimir Pechatnov, professor of the Department of History and Politics of European and American Countries at MGIMO, believes that the current elections stand out from preceding ones in terms of volatility, but in themselves do not contain anything revolutionary. Nevertheless, the election campaign can serve as an indicator of deeper changes in American society. However, the outcome of the vote is not yet clear: the gap between the candidates is still small and Kamala Harris has too many weaknesses that Donald Trump can exploit.
💬 Ivan Safranchuk, Director of the Centre for Eurasian Studies at the MGIMO Institute, opined that hopes that the US position on Ukraine will change in the event of a Republican victory are largely misleading. Donald Trump apparently has no feasible plan for the Ukrainian crisis and his approach is rather dictated by a rejection of the current administration’s policies. The basis of the Trump team’s idea apparently assumes a “draw” and fixation of the situation along the line of contact between combatants. However, according to Safranchuk, a conflict of such intensity, scale and dynamics cannot end like that – there must be a loser.
💬 Dimitri Simes, Channel One host, founder and former president of The Center for the National Interest (USA), contended that the seriousness of what is happening around the elections is not to be underestimated, despite the exaggerated accusations and fears on both sides. "Undoubtedly, the stakes are very, very high," he emphasised. Simes pointed to the colossal level of mutual distrust between Republicans and Democrats, which will inevitably continue after the elections.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/high-stakes-elections-foreign-and-domestic-policy-dimensions-of-the-us-presidential-campaign/
#Return_of_Diplomacy #UnitedStates #Ukraine
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Valdai Club
High-Stakes Elections: Foreign and Domestic Policy Dimensions of the US Presidential Campaign
On September 19, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “Elections in the USA: What Awaits Ukraine?” Moderator Andrey Sushentsov noted that the American presidential elections scheduled for November 5 are of concern to most countries throughout…