ππ The forthcoming NATO summit in Madrid on June 28-30 may, however, deviate from the usual plot.
On the eve of the event, unanswered questions remain, the solutions to which will have to be found in the presence of leaders. At the same time, plots that until recently were positioned as central fade into the background. And on some agenda items, compromises on the eve of the summit are not visible at all.
Participants will have to come to terms with the fact that the unresolved issues will continue to undermine the image of indestructible transatlantic unity.
Questions regarding the results make the upcoming summit uncommon, highlighting it against the background of the usual diplomatic routes. At the same time, the substantive results are likely to be drowned in the standard victorious reports. Trivial platitudes, and real breakthroughs, and probable failures will be mixed in the array of adopted documents (as is often the case, NATO declarations tend to lengthen from summit to summit).
The further course of NATO will be determined by the development of the international situation, and not by the provisions that the authors of the much-touted document forced out, writes Valdai Club expert Igor Istomin.
#ModernDiplomacy #NATOSummit
@valdai_club
On the eve of the event, unanswered questions remain, the solutions to which will have to be found in the presence of leaders. At the same time, plots that until recently were positioned as central fade into the background. And on some agenda items, compromises on the eve of the summit are not visible at all.
Participants will have to come to terms with the fact that the unresolved issues will continue to undermine the image of indestructible transatlantic unity.
Questions regarding the results make the upcoming summit uncommon, highlighting it against the background of the usual diplomatic routes. At the same time, the substantive results are likely to be drowned in the standard victorious reports. Trivial platitudes, and real breakthroughs, and probable failures will be mixed in the array of adopted documents (as is often the case, NATO declarations tend to lengthen from summit to summit).
The further course of NATO will be determined by the development of the international situation, and not by the provisions that the authors of the much-touted document forced out, writes Valdai Club expert Igor Istomin.
#ModernDiplomacy #NATOSummit
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
NATO in Madrid: An Extraordinary Summit
Textο»ΏThose who expect revelations from the new Strategic Concept will be disappointed. Experts will be able to discuss the meaning of individual paragraphs, and compare them with previous versions. Nevertheless, the further course of NATO will be determinedβ¦
ππ The picture of the alliance's world formulated for the Madrid summit is fundamentally different from the one presented in 2010, when, amid conditions of peace and stability in the Euro-Atlantic region, NATO could afford the luxury of formulating threats in a general matter.
However, it differs both from the communiquΓ© and from the report of the 2021 expert group in which the main mega-trend in the development of the external environment of the alliance is the revival of great power competition as a challenge to the βrules-based orderβ.
The new document more sharply and frankly captures the features of the present, which should determine the policy of the alliance in the future, writes Julia Melnikova, RIAC Program Coordinator.
#EconomicStatecraft #NATO #NATOsummit
@valdai_club
However, it differs both from the communiquΓ© and from the report of the 2021 expert group in which the main mega-trend in the development of the external environment of the alliance is the revival of great power competition as a challenge to the βrules-based orderβ.
The new document more sharply and frankly captures the features of the present, which should determine the policy of the alliance in the future, writes Julia Melnikova, RIAC Program Coordinator.
#EconomicStatecraft #NATO #NATOsummit
@valdai_club
ππ A Predictable NATO Summit in an Unpredictable World
On July 1, the Valdai Club held an expert discussion on the results of the NATO summit and the new strategic concept of the alliance.
The discussion was moderated by Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Club, Dean of the Faculty of International Relations at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO).
The participants discussed the new strategic concept of the alliance, the change in its ideological underpinnings, as well as the accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO and Turkeyβs response to this process.
π¬ Alexander Grushko, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, noted that the results of the NATO summit will still be subjected to a thorough analysis both from a political and military point of view. Speaking about his impressions, he called the Madrid summit "the most predictable in the history of the alliance", adding that in Madrid the organisation had "completed an evolutionary somersault in its development and returned to its roots, that is, to the military security schemes of the Cold Warβ. He also stressed that now the alliance is declaring a threat to the very existence of Russia as a state, and confrontation with Russia on all fronts using all tools is becoming a new NATO ideology. "The vector of NATO's military activity is predetermined - it is the threat from the east, it is the containment of Russia," the diplomat summed up.
π¬ Gregory Simons, author and researcher from Uppsala, Sweden, has analysed the situation surrounding Sweden and Finland joining NATO. βSweden and Finland have joined the ideological project based on a unipolar world, integrating ever deeper into Western-centric institutions,β Simons said. They want to be members of this exclusive club. As a result, these countries voluntarily give up the role of subjects in international relations and become objects, he added.
π¬ βWhat NATO has succeeded in is marketing itself,β said Igor Istomin, Associate Professor at the Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems, and Senior Research Fellow at MGIMO's Center for Advanced American Studies. He called the NATO Strategic Concept the most striking example of such "overrated advertising".
π¬ HΓΌseyin Bagci, Professor, Department of International Relations at Turkey's Middle East Technical University, noted that the consequences of what is happening now will be no less than those of the Second World War. If then there was a transition to a bipolar world, now the world is moving towards multipolarity. Describing the position of Turkey, the political scientist noted that it is important for Ankara to simultaneously have some points of influence within Western structures while maintaining good relations with Russia.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/a-predictable-nato-summit-in-an-unpredictable-world/
π₯ The video of the discussion is available here.
#NATO #NATOsummit
@valdaiclub
On July 1, the Valdai Club held an expert discussion on the results of the NATO summit and the new strategic concept of the alliance.
The discussion was moderated by Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Club, Dean of the Faculty of International Relations at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO).
The participants discussed the new strategic concept of the alliance, the change in its ideological underpinnings, as well as the accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO and Turkeyβs response to this process.
π¬ Alexander Grushko, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, noted that the results of the NATO summit will still be subjected to a thorough analysis both from a political and military point of view. Speaking about his impressions, he called the Madrid summit "the most predictable in the history of the alliance", adding that in Madrid the organisation had "completed an evolutionary somersault in its development and returned to its roots, that is, to the military security schemes of the Cold Warβ. He also stressed that now the alliance is declaring a threat to the very existence of Russia as a state, and confrontation with Russia on all fronts using all tools is becoming a new NATO ideology. "The vector of NATO's military activity is predetermined - it is the threat from the east, it is the containment of Russia," the diplomat summed up.
π¬ Gregory Simons, author and researcher from Uppsala, Sweden, has analysed the situation surrounding Sweden and Finland joining NATO. βSweden and Finland have joined the ideological project based on a unipolar world, integrating ever deeper into Western-centric institutions,β Simons said. They want to be members of this exclusive club. As a result, these countries voluntarily give up the role of subjects in international relations and become objects, he added.
π¬ βWhat NATO has succeeded in is marketing itself,β said Igor Istomin, Associate Professor at the Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems, and Senior Research Fellow at MGIMO's Center for Advanced American Studies. He called the NATO Strategic Concept the most striking example of such "overrated advertising".
π¬ HΓΌseyin Bagci, Professor, Department of International Relations at Turkey's Middle East Technical University, noted that the consequences of what is happening now will be no less than those of the Second World War. If then there was a transition to a bipolar world, now the world is moving towards multipolarity. Describing the position of Turkey, the political scientist noted that it is important for Ankara to simultaneously have some points of influence within Western structures while maintaining good relations with Russia.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/a-predictable-nato-summit-in-an-unpredictable-world/
π₯ The video of the discussion is available here.
#NATO #NATOsummit
@valdaiclub
Valdai Club
A Predictable NATO Summit in an Unpredictable World
On July 1, the Valdai Club held an expert discussion on the results of the NATO summit and the new strategic concept of the alliance. The participants discussed the new strategic concept of the alliance, the change in its ideological underpinnings, as wellβ¦
π For the North Atlantic Alliance, the transition of the conflict between Russia and the West to a new phase with the start of the Special Military Operation in Ukraine created this very seemingly productive chaos.
Prior to this, for decades, NATO was in search of a social function and a corresponding renewal of its collective identity: from a military bloc that existed to contain the USSR to a crisis manager, an anti-terrorist organisation and a security conductor whose focus is already directed to the whole world.
By 2019-2020, as one of the main directions of the blocβs potential development, the United States began to consider the possibility of using it to counter China in Asia. None of this contributed to centripetal tendencies: the problems of the unity of the allies did not leave the agenda, primarily between the United States and the large EU countries, which are by no means interested in a confrontation with the PRC.
Uncomfortable questions arose in connection with the need to increase defence budgets, transform the NATO military machine in the Asia-Pacific region, and develop European security projects, such as the Permanent Structured Defence Cooperation, the development of the Strategic Compass, and the strengthening of the European Defence Fund.
Russiaβs operation in Ukraine seemed to have eliminated all these problems, returning NATO to an obvious and easily conceptualised sense of existence. The Madrid 2022 summit demonstrated a rare unity and transatlantic solidarity. The idea of a common enemy personified by Russia returned to the adopted new strategic concept, designed for eight years, and a decision was made to further strengthen the eastern borders of the alliance. It is also important that Germany, which resisted the increase in defence budgets for a long time, surrendered, Finland and Sweden began preparations for entry, and discussions of the membership of Ukraine and Georgia began again. In other words, all the prerequisites were created for NATO to move up the stairway of chaos.
Under these conditions, the semiotics of the 2023 Vilnius summit are again aimed at demonstrating the unity of the transatlantic allies, writes Julia Melnikova.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/nato-summit-in-vilnius-stairways-change-directions/
#EconomicStatecraft #NATO #NATOSummit
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Prior to this, for decades, NATO was in search of a social function and a corresponding renewal of its collective identity: from a military bloc that existed to contain the USSR to a crisis manager, an anti-terrorist organisation and a security conductor whose focus is already directed to the whole world.
By 2019-2020, as one of the main directions of the blocβs potential development, the United States began to consider the possibility of using it to counter China in Asia. None of this contributed to centripetal tendencies: the problems of the unity of the allies did not leave the agenda, primarily between the United States and the large EU countries, which are by no means interested in a confrontation with the PRC.
Uncomfortable questions arose in connection with the need to increase defence budgets, transform the NATO military machine in the Asia-Pacific region, and develop European security projects, such as the Permanent Structured Defence Cooperation, the development of the Strategic Compass, and the strengthening of the European Defence Fund.
Russiaβs operation in Ukraine seemed to have eliminated all these problems, returning NATO to an obvious and easily conceptualised sense of existence. The Madrid 2022 summit demonstrated a rare unity and transatlantic solidarity. The idea of a common enemy personified by Russia returned to the adopted new strategic concept, designed for eight years, and a decision was made to further strengthen the eastern borders of the alliance. It is also important that Germany, which resisted the increase in defence budgets for a long time, surrendered, Finland and Sweden began preparations for entry, and discussions of the membership of Ukraine and Georgia began again. In other words, all the prerequisites were created for NATO to move up the stairway of chaos.
Under these conditions, the semiotics of the 2023 Vilnius summit are again aimed at demonstrating the unity of the transatlantic allies, writes Julia Melnikova.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/nato-summit-in-vilnius-stairways-change-directions/
#EconomicStatecraft #NATO #NATOSummit
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