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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ On August 15, Justin Trudeau, the Prime Minister of Canada and leader of the Liberal Party, announced an early parliamentary election and scheduled it for September 20, 2021.

At the centre of the Liberals’ election campaign is the fight against the COVID-19 epidemic in Canada and the economic recovery.

In his statement, Justin Trudeau emphasised that β€œCanadians need to choose how we finish the fight against COVID-19 and build back better. Canadians deserve their say, and that’s exactly what we are going to give them.” Thus, the main declared goal of the Liberals is to get a vote of confidence from the public for the continuation of the measures taken by the government.

The goal, which the prime minister did not voice, is the desire of the Liberal Party to win an absolute majority in the Parliament. 

Liberal analysts are concerned that the registration process to submit ballots by mail could stop their supporters from voting, thereby undermining Trudeau’s drive to reclaim a majority government, writes Natalya Vyakhireva, Expert and Program Manager of the Russian International Affairs Council.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/early-elections-in-canada/

#Canada #elections #Trudeau

@valdai_club β€” The Valdai Discussion Club
πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· The presidential elections in Turkey are scheduled for May 14.

For all their undoubted importance for Turkish society, one cannot fail to note the fact that these elections are now attracting close and sometimes highly emotional attention in Russia as well.

πŸ”Ή In the most apocalyptic forecasts, one can read that if Erdogan loses, then Russia’s last window of opportunity will close, and the situation will become completely gloomy.

πŸ”Ή At the same time, there is an opinion that if Erdogan wins, then Russia should not expect anything good either.

πŸ”Ή The Turkish president has been skilfully kept Russia on a string for years, and after such a victory he will continue to do so with even greater pleasure.

In general, the assessments are polarized; one might even say bipolar. In any case, they are dialectical.

Both the high degree of emotional response to the Russian media image of President Erdogan and the understandable acuteness of the current geopolitical situation have led to a situation when Russian society is now awaiting the Turkish elections with only slightly less excitement than Turkey itself, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Oleg Barabanov

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/elections-in-turkey-and-anxiety-in-russia/

#Norms_and_Values #Turkey #elections

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πŸ“† ANNOUNCEMENT: On May 30 at 11:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion on the results of the presidential elections in Turkey.

The presidential elections in Turkey are in the focus of the international political and expert community. In the first round, incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan won 49.52% of the vote, beating opposition candidate Kemal KΔ±lΔ±Γ§daroğlu by almost 5%. The results of the first round show that the preferences of voters were divided between the main candidates almost equally, which is why the results of the second round are of particular interest both at home and abroad.

Amid the current geopolitical conditions, Turkey retains its key importance for Russia. The country seeks to mediate the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and is an active participant in the Black Sea grain deal, which was extended on May 17. Moreover, after the closure of European airspace for Russian aircraft, the main tourist and business flows from Russia have taken place through Turkey.

❓What can Moscow expect from Turkey's foreign and domestic policy after the elections?
❓Will there be continuity in Ankara's political course towards Russia?
❓Which areas will be affected by the changes, and which areas of cooperation can be developed?

Participants of the expert discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

πŸŽ™ Speakers:

πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Hasan Selim Γ–zertem, political analyst, Turkey 

πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Pavel Shlykov, Associate Professor, Department of History of the Countries of the Near and Middle East, ISAA, Lomonosov Moscow State University, RIAC expert

πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Hasan Ünal, Professor, Maltepe University (Turkey)

πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Alexei Yerkhov, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to the Republic of Turkey @embrusturkey @MFARussia

Moderator:

🚩 Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club

https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-results-of-the-presidential-elections-in-turkiye/

Working languages: Russian, English.

ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to get accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our web site. If you have any questions about the event, please call +79269307763

A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the TwitterTelegram and Zen.

#Norms_and_Values #Turkey #elections

@valdai_club
⏰ TODAY at 11:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion on the results of the presidential elections in Turkey.

❓What can Moscow expect from Turkey's foreign and domestic policy after the elections?
❓Will there be continuity in Ankara's political course towards Russia?
❓Which areas will be affected by the changes, and which areas of cooperation can be developed?

Participants of the expert discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the TwitterTelegram and Zen.

#Norms_and_Values #Turkey #elections

@valdai_club
πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Turkey’s Election Results as a Triumph of Multipolarity

On May 30, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion on the results of the presidential elections in Turkey that ended on May 28. Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Club, acted as a moderator.

πŸ’¬ β€œIt is very important that the electoral process went on as a whole on a regular basis, without any special problems, conflicts, incidents, protests, complaints, and so on,” said Alexei Yerkhov, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to the Republic of Turkey, emphasising that even the West did not put forward serious claims that make it possible to doubt the legitimacy of the Turkish elections, and is unlikely to put them forward. The diplomat additionally pointed to the competent and professionally correct work of the Turkish media and the exceptionally clear work of the election commissions. Addressing the consequences of the elections, he noted that in the structures of the legislative and executive power of Turkey, there will most likely be a rotation, and many new faces will appear. β€œThen, I am sure, work will continue on the further development of mutually beneficial bilateral cooperation. We have many projects, ideas, and plans,” he concluded.

πŸ’¬ Hassan Unala professor at the Turkish University of Maltepe, called the election results in Turkey a triumph of multipolarity over unipolarity. According to him, those who wanted to keep Turkey within the framework of a unipolar world, on the side of the collective West, had lost. β€œPresident Erdogan came to power as a darling of the European Union and the West, but after a while he completely distanced himself from this foreign policy, going towards rapprochement with Russia,” Unal explained. He considers the current foreign policy course to be in the interests of Turkey and its people, since the pro-Western vector preferred by the opposition and attempts to join the EU would mean serious strategic concessions, including possibly implementing anti-Russian sanctions, which would have devastating consequences for the Turkish economy.

πŸ’¬ Pavel Shlykov, Associate Professor at the Department of History of the Countries of the Near and Middle East at ISAA Moscow State University and RIAC expert, believes that big changes await the Turkish authorities. Among the key tasks that Erdogan will face in domestic politics, he noted the restoration of the country after the earthquake, the withdrawal of Turkey from the economic crisis, the solution of the refugee problem and an increase in the rating of the Justice and Development Party. In foreign policy, the old trends will continue: the restoration of relations with the UAE and the Gulf countries, the search for a compromise with Greece and Egypt, as well as ways of reconciliation with Syria. Discussing the future of Russian-Turkish relations, Shlykov pointed out that although our points of view do not always coincide, Turkey and Russia are able to create a mode of dialogue.

πŸ’¬ Hasan Selim Ozerteman Ankara-based political analyst, believes that political stability awaits Turkey in the next five years, and the economy will become a priority for the government in the near future. Foreign policy, in his opinion, will be multi-vector and autonomous. In particular, he expects a reset in relations between Turkey and the United States in light of the upcoming US elections and strengthening economic relations with the countries of Central Asia. As for Russia, it will continue to be regarded as one of Turkey's main partners, Ozertem is convinced.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/turkey-s-election-results-as-a-triumph-of-multipolarity/

#Norms_and_Values #Turkey #elections

@valdai_club
πŸ—£ ANNOUNCEMENT: On February 29 at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States.

The US presidential election campaign is gaining momentum. According to public opinion polls, the most popular candidates, as in 2020, are Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden. Both candidates evoke controversial feelings among American voters. The latest reports about the deteriorating health of incumbent President Joe Biden have become resonant, and his potential opponent Donald Trump continues to be threatened with criminal prosecution by the US authorities.

Both the Democratic and Republican camps are looking for new faces β€“ candidates who could participate in the election if Biden or Trump drop out of the race. White House policy on a number of domestic issues, from taxes to migration, will depend on who exactly takes the presidency. At the same time, many experts believe that changes in the American establishment are unlikely to lead to a change in foreign policy or the normalisation of relations with Russia, especially against the backdrop of a deep crisis in relations between Moscow and the collective West.

❓Will the elections affect the US foreign policy?
❓Will relations with China change?
❓What will the relationship look like with NATO allies?
❓Will the position on the Iran nuclear deal change?
❓Finally, what will be the policy towards Russia?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

πŸŽ™οΈ Speakers:

πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Dmitry Trenin, research professor at the Higher School of Economics, leading researcher at IMEMO RAS

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Robert Legvold,  Marshall D. Shulman Professor Emeritus, Columbia University, and Director of the Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative (USA)

Moderator:

πŸ—£ Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club

https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-presidential-elections-in-the-united-states/

Working languages: Russian, English.

ℹ️ Information for the media: Dear journalists, to be accredited for the event, please 
fill out the form on our website. If you have any questions about the event, call +79269307763

Links to the live broadcast of the open sessions will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the 
websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKTelegram and Dzen

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity #UnitedStates #elections

πŸ—£πŸ—£πŸ—£
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⏰ TODAY at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States.

❓Will the elections affect the US foreign policy?
❓Will relations with China change?
❓What will the relationship look like with NATO allies?
❓Will the position on the Iran nuclear deal change?
❓Finally, what will be the policy towards Russia?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

The link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the websiteX (formerly Twitter)VKTelegram and Dzen

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity #UnitedStates #elections

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Who Should We Root For in the American Elections?

On February 29, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States. 

πŸ’¬ Ivan Timofeev, the moderator of the discussion, emphasised that the American elections attract great attention in Russia, regardless of the state of bilateral relations. β€œElections in America are often perceived as some kind of championship in which you need to root for one of the candidates,” Timofeev noted, calling for such an approach to be avoided. He said we shouldn’t consider the candidates pro-Russian and anti-Russian, or take everything that is heard during public debates seriously. He called the future elections atypical due to the fact that both main candidates are in a relatively vulnerable position and, moreover, this time foreign policy and domestic policy problems have converged.

πŸ’¬ Robert Legvold, Marshall D. Shulman Professor Emeritus at Columbia University, and Director of the Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative, pointed out that the outcome of the elections is still practically unpredictable. A lot will depend on the swing states. Also, there is the possibility that one of the main candidates will withdraw his candidacy. Speaking about how events will develop if Donald Trump wins, Legvold suggested that β€œTrump 2.0” may turn out to be more conservative than in the first term, but radical steps, primarily regarding migrants and the supposed β€œdeep state”, cannot be excluded. In foreign policy, the United States under Trump will be less committed to cooperation with allies and global institutions and less concerned about the Ukrainian conflict and the Taiwan issue. In relation to Russia, policy in general is unlikely to change. However, for Russia, President Trump may be somewhat preferable, since he will probably concentrate more on domestic issues. Relations with China will continue to move towards a Cold War, but a war over Taiwan is unlikely in the near future.

πŸ’¬ Dmitry Trenin, research professor at the Higher School of Economics and leading researcher at IMEMO RAS, noted that for Russia, the result of these elections is much less important than ever, since the opportunities for constructive relations with the United States are minimal. In essence, their agenda boils down to preventing a nuclear war; he emphasized that the world is on the brink of this worst-case scenario, as well as a major war in Europe. Moreover, in fact, Russia and the United States have found themselves in a state of proxy war. The decades-old paradigm of Russian-American relations, which presupposed a combination of cooperation and competition, is a matter of the past; relations have become openly hostile, and their very foundation has collapsed. Trenin, citing the words of President Putin, pointed to the possibility that in the current conditions, Russia may prefer the candidacy of Joseph Biden as a more predictable player. The expert also added that the American elections in Russia are viewed with interest, but as a kind of entertainment, without any expectations that the situation could improve.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/who-should-we-root-for-in-the-american-elections/

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity #UnitedStates #elections

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