🌏 Each of the states not directly involved in the European conflict will strive to ensure that its negative impact on the development of national economies and the ability to ensure their own security is less than could be imagined in the worst-case scenario.
In this sense, for the small and medium-sized states of Eurasia, which make up the majority of the members of the CSTO and the EAEU, the task will be how to use these institutions in the interests of their own development in an international environment that is becoming less and less favourable.
In the case of Kazakhstan, the CSTO countries have shown for the first time their ability to make the organisation an instrument of internal stability - now any forces that intend to destabilise allies from the outside or from the inside know that they may face a strong response.
Now it becomes relevant for all CSTO countries not only to coordinate their actions, but also to create new practical mechanisms for responding to emerging external and internal threats, writes Timofei Bordachev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
🔗 The CSTO and EAEU in a New Era: From Abstraction to Practice
#Asia_and_Eurasia #CSTO #EAEU
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
In this sense, for the small and medium-sized states of Eurasia, which make up the majority of the members of the CSTO and the EAEU, the task will be how to use these institutions in the interests of their own development in an international environment that is becoming less and less favourable.
In the case of Kazakhstan, the CSTO countries have shown for the first time their ability to make the organisation an instrument of internal stability - now any forces that intend to destabilise allies from the outside or from the inside know that they may face a strong response.
Now it becomes relevant for all CSTO countries not only to coordinate their actions, but also to create new practical mechanisms for responding to emerging external and internal threats, writes Timofei Bordachev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
🔗 The CSTO and EAEU in a New Era: From Abstraction to Practice
#Asia_and_Eurasia #CSTO #EAEU
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
The CSTO and EAEU in a New Era: From Abstraction to Practice
It is difficult now to operate with abstract schemes like the respected concept of “Greater Eurasia”, but it is quite clear that real interaction, which makes it possible to reduce the threats from a world economic war and even gain benefits from it, will…
⏰ TODAY at 12:00 pm, the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?”
❓How serious are the consequences of the current food crisis?
❓Which countries and regions are most likely to be affected?
❓What measures can the international community take to deal with the crisis?
❓Should Russian consumers be afraid of interruptions in food supplies?
Participants of the discussion will answer these and other questions.
A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online-platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, on Telegram and Twitter.
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
❓How serious are the consequences of the current food crisis?
❓Which countries and regions are most likely to be affected?
❓What measures can the international community take to deal with the crisis?
❓Should Russian consumers be afraid of interruptions in food supplies?
Participants of the discussion will answer these and other questions.
A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online-platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, on Telegram and Twitter.
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🎥 LIVE: at 12:00 pm, we are starting an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?”
https://vk.com/video-117768947_456239336
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
https://vk.com/video-117768947_456239336
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Vk
LIVE: A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis? An Expert Discussion
On March 31 at 12:00 pm, the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?” More: https://valdaiclub.com/multimedia/video/a-world-on-the-edge-of-hunger-an-expert-discussion/
Valdai Discussion Club pinned «🎥 LIVE: at 12:00 pm, we are starting an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?” https://vk.com/video-117768947_456239336 @valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club»
📷 Today, on March 31, the Valdai Discussion Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?”
Photo gallery of the discussion is available in our VK account.
The video of the discussion is available via this link.
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Photo gallery of the discussion is available in our VK account.
The video of the discussion is available via this link.
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🌾🌐 Wheat is the staple food for more than 35% of the world's population.
Supply chain and logistics disruptions to grain and oilseeds production in Ukraine and Russia, as well as restrictions on exports from Russia, will have serious implications for the food security of at least fifty countries that depend on Russian and Ukrainian exports by 30% or more.
We created an infographic on dynamics in the world grain warket. The full high-res infographic is available here.
#wheat #grain #Ukraine #export
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Supply chain and logistics disruptions to grain and oilseeds production in Ukraine and Russia, as well as restrictions on exports from Russia, will have serious implications for the food security of at least fifty countries that depend on Russian and Ukrainian exports by 30% or more.
We created an infographic on dynamics in the world grain warket. The full high-res infographic is available here.
#wheat #grain #Ukraine #export
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🌾🌐 Food Security: Does Hunger Threaten Russia and the World?
On March 31, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?” The moderator was Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
🔹 Oleg Kobiakov, Director of the Moscow Office of the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations, stressed that food security is important for all of us. COVID-19 has exacerbated the situation, but the events in Ukraine have made it especially dangerous. Many of the world’s poorest countries depend, to a great extent, on Russian and Ukrainian agricultural products, primarily grain.
🔹 Aniset Gabriel Kotchofa, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Republic of Benin to the Russian Federation and the CIS countries (2012–2016), an Associate Professor of Lomonosov Moscow State University, pointed out the danger that sanctions against Russia pose for African countries. “Sanctions can kill the population of Africa, as it is directly dependent on supplies from Russia,” the diplomat said. “There is a need for cooperation between Russia and Africa in ensuring food security. It's time for the world to remember those things that are more important than the economy and political games."
🔹 Dairy farmer Oleg Sirota, Head of the Union of Russian Cheese Makers, was optimistic about the prospects for Russian agribusiness. According to him, the Russian agricultural industry often benefits from global tension. Profits rise with the value of grain, rapeseed, and soybeans. Russian agribusiness is very profitable and remains one of the driving forces of the economy, he stressed. In his opinion, the largest supplier of wheat and fertilizer, cannot be ejected from the market.
🔹 Nourhan ElSheikh, professor of political science at Cairo University, outlined the state of affairs in the Middle East. She noted that the food crisis has been intensifying since the 2010s. Now the situation is further complicated by the "economic procedures" introduced by the US and its allies against Russia and other countries. According to the expert, these measures do little to harm the countries against which they are directed, but hurt the rest of the world, which is highly dependent on Russian wheat.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/food-security-does-hunger-threaten-russia-and-the-world/
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
On March 31, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?” The moderator was Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
🔹 Oleg Kobiakov, Director of the Moscow Office of the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations, stressed that food security is important for all of us. COVID-19 has exacerbated the situation, but the events in Ukraine have made it especially dangerous. Many of the world’s poorest countries depend, to a great extent, on Russian and Ukrainian agricultural products, primarily grain.
🔹 Aniset Gabriel Kotchofa, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Republic of Benin to the Russian Federation and the CIS countries (2012–2016), an Associate Professor of Lomonosov Moscow State University, pointed out the danger that sanctions against Russia pose for African countries. “Sanctions can kill the population of Africa, as it is directly dependent on supplies from Russia,” the diplomat said. “There is a need for cooperation between Russia and Africa in ensuring food security. It's time for the world to remember those things that are more important than the economy and political games."
🔹 Dairy farmer Oleg Sirota, Head of the Union of Russian Cheese Makers, was optimistic about the prospects for Russian agribusiness. According to him, the Russian agricultural industry often benefits from global tension. Profits rise with the value of grain, rapeseed, and soybeans. Russian agribusiness is very profitable and remains one of the driving forces of the economy, he stressed. In his opinion, the largest supplier of wheat and fertilizer, cannot be ejected from the market.
🔹 Nourhan ElSheikh, professor of political science at Cairo University, outlined the state of affairs in the Middle East. She noted that the food crisis has been intensifying since the 2010s. Now the situation is further complicated by the "economic procedures" introduced by the US and its allies against Russia and other countries. According to the expert, these measures do little to harm the countries against which they are directed, but hurt the rest of the world, which is highly dependent on Russian wheat.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/food-security-does-hunger-threaten-russia-and-the-world/
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Food Security: Does Hunger Threaten Russia and the World?
On March 31, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “A World on the Edge of Hunger: How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?” The moderator was Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
⚠️🌐 From a functional point of view, strengthening the Russian deterrence arsenal is very likely to be a key NATO activity in the near-term.
It is familiar to the alliance from the Cold War period – these are regular military exercises, the positional nature of the deployment of troops, the aforementioned development of military capabilities.
Today, two opposite processes can be observed. On the one hand, from the territory of NATO countries, first, arms are supplied to Ukraine: not only from United States, but also Germany, which changed its initial decision during the operation [Initially, Berlin refused to supply lethal weapons to Ukraine, today it is officially known that it intends to deliver 500 MANPADS Stinger and 1,000 anti-tank systems, 400 hand grenade launchers, 14 armoured personnel carriers and fuel]. Turkey does not provide military assistance free of charge, but thematic exports have increased.
Second, due to internal reshuffles, the alliance’s borders in Central and Eastern Europe – Slovakia, Poland, Romania, the Baltic States, Bulgaria, as well as the US grouping in Europe – are being strengthened. Third, on March 14, one of the largest NATO manoeuvres, Cold Response 2022, began in Norway.
On the other hand, these actions do not necessarily lower the escalation threshold. For example, there is no question of renouncing the restrictions of the Founding Act of Russia-NATO relations on the non-deployment of nuclear weapons in the “new” countries of the alliance. Moreover, as a result of mutual signals an understanding was formed of the inadmissibility of a large-scale war.
From an ideological point of view, the situation favours the development of a common threat narrative that is understandable to all as a central element of transatlantic solidarity for solving both internal (maintaining the military-industrial complex and bureaucracy, interdependence of allies) and external (passive security) tasks.
In conditions where the information field is heated to the limit, alternative points of view are subject to “cancel culture”, leaving two options – support for a common course or cautious silence. Both help rather than hinder NATO’s focus on deterring Russia in the short term, writes Julia Melnikova, RIAC Program Coordinator.
🔗 The Europe of Political Realism and the Future of NATO – Back to Basics?
#EconomicStatecraft #NATO
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
It is familiar to the alliance from the Cold War period – these are regular military exercises, the positional nature of the deployment of troops, the aforementioned development of military capabilities.
Today, two opposite processes can be observed. On the one hand, from the territory of NATO countries, first, arms are supplied to Ukraine: not only from United States, but also Germany, which changed its initial decision during the operation [Initially, Berlin refused to supply lethal weapons to Ukraine, today it is officially known that it intends to deliver 500 MANPADS Stinger and 1,000 anti-tank systems, 400 hand grenade launchers, 14 armoured personnel carriers and fuel]. Turkey does not provide military assistance free of charge, but thematic exports have increased.
Second, due to internal reshuffles, the alliance’s borders in Central and Eastern Europe – Slovakia, Poland, Romania, the Baltic States, Bulgaria, as well as the US grouping in Europe – are being strengthened. Third, on March 14, one of the largest NATO manoeuvres, Cold Response 2022, began in Norway.
On the other hand, these actions do not necessarily lower the escalation threshold. For example, there is no question of renouncing the restrictions of the Founding Act of Russia-NATO relations on the non-deployment of nuclear weapons in the “new” countries of the alliance. Moreover, as a result of mutual signals an understanding was formed of the inadmissibility of a large-scale war.
From an ideological point of view, the situation favours the development of a common threat narrative that is understandable to all as a central element of transatlantic solidarity for solving both internal (maintaining the military-industrial complex and bureaucracy, interdependence of allies) and external (passive security) tasks.
In conditions where the information field is heated to the limit, alternative points of view are subject to “cancel culture”, leaving two options – support for a common course or cautious silence. Both help rather than hinder NATO’s focus on deterring Russia in the short term, writes Julia Melnikova, RIAC Program Coordinator.
🔗 The Europe of Political Realism and the Future of NATO – Back to Basics?
#EconomicStatecraft #NATO
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
The Europe of Political Realism and the Future of NATO – Back to Basics?
In conditions where the information field is heated to the limit, alternative points of view are subject to “cancel culture”, leaving two options – support for a common course or cautious silence. Both help rather than hinder NATO’s focus on deterring Russia…
☢️🌐 Large-scale war among major powers, unthinkable a year ago, no longer is.
Conceivably the risk of such a war growing out of the violence in Ukraine may have the positive effect of introducing caution into the growing strategic rivalry between the United States and China and ease the way to a more serious strategic dialogue between them, along with efforts to better manage their nuclear relationship.
The ominous lessons of the Ukrainian conflict may also cause India and Pakistan as well as India and China to reconsider the fire they are playing with each time they engage arms.
But in what is still the most critical bilateral nuclear relationship, that between the United States and Russia, the effect almost certainly will be to halt progress on nuclear arms control and destroy the prospect of the two together acting to protect, let alone, strengthen the nuclear non-proliferation regime.
The strategic stability dialogue and its two working groups launched after the June Geneva summit are suspended. When serious negotiations between the two countries on controlling their increasingly ambitious nuclear weapons programs may begin is suddenly uncertain, and so too whether anything will be possible before the extended New START expires.
The risk of inadvertent nuclear war between Russia, the United States and NATO that had reappeared over the last decade but that still seemed remote, no longer does, writes Valdai Club expert Robert Legvold.
🔗 Nuclear Proliferation and Nuclear War
#ModernDiplomacy #nuclearweapons #nuclearwar
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Conceivably the risk of such a war growing out of the violence in Ukraine may have the positive effect of introducing caution into the growing strategic rivalry between the United States and China and ease the way to a more serious strategic dialogue between them, along with efforts to better manage their nuclear relationship.
The ominous lessons of the Ukrainian conflict may also cause India and Pakistan as well as India and China to reconsider the fire they are playing with each time they engage arms.
But in what is still the most critical bilateral nuclear relationship, that between the United States and Russia, the effect almost certainly will be to halt progress on nuclear arms control and destroy the prospect of the two together acting to protect, let alone, strengthen the nuclear non-proliferation regime.
The strategic stability dialogue and its two working groups launched after the June Geneva summit are suspended. When serious negotiations between the two countries on controlling their increasingly ambitious nuclear weapons programs may begin is suddenly uncertain, and so too whether anything will be possible before the extended New START expires.
The risk of inadvertent nuclear war between Russia, the United States and NATO that had reappeared over the last decade but that still seemed remote, no longer does, writes Valdai Club expert Robert Legvold.
🔗 Nuclear Proliferation and Nuclear War
#ModernDiplomacy #nuclearweapons #nuclearwar
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Nuclear Proliferation and Nuclear War
Over most of the sixty years following the Cuban missile crisis, the danger of a deliberately launched nuclear war steadily declined. That, however, has been changing over the last decade. The slow deterioration at the level of major nuclear powers has now…
🌾🌐 Unfortunately, the global goal of ending hunger by 2030 is unprecedentedly elusive.
The global food crisis grew during the last decade as a result of climate change and global population growth.
The Covid-19 crisis deepened it. The pandemic had already caused mass layoffs and closures, as well as prompted massive dislocation among small businesses.
The “US+” economic procedures against Russia exacerbated it and overthrew all hopes of containing it. Russia is a pivotal country in the supply chains of grain, raw materials and energy sources.
The whole world is suffering because of the “US+” economic procedures against Russia, writes Valdai Club expert Nourhan ElSheikh.
🔗 How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?
#Norms_and_Values #sanctions #foodsecurity
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
The global food crisis grew during the last decade as a result of climate change and global population growth.
The Covid-19 crisis deepened it. The pandemic had already caused mass layoffs and closures, as well as prompted massive dislocation among small businesses.
The “US+” economic procedures against Russia exacerbated it and overthrew all hopes of containing it. Russia is a pivotal country in the supply chains of grain, raw materials and energy sources.
The whole world is suffering because of the “US+” economic procedures against Russia, writes Valdai Club expert Nourhan ElSheikh.
🔗 How Can We Overcome the Current Food Crisis?
#Norms_and_Values #sanctions #foodsecurity
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
📆 ANNOUNCEMENT: On April 5 at 16:30 Moscow time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”.
The aggravation of the Ukrainian crisis, has soured Russia’s relations with Western countries, sharply increased the level of uncertainty in the world energy market. The main drama is unfolding around the supply of Russian gas to Europe. Apparently, Brussels has adopted a long-term plan of ousting Russian fuel from its market. It was further aggravated by the freezing of the Nord Stream 2 project, sanctions against the financial, energy and other sectors of the Russian economy, the ban on Russian fossil fuels in the United States, as well as Moscow’s demand to pay for gas in rubles. The new procedure for paying for Russian gas comes into force on April 1.
The EU countries are preparing for extreme scenarios in the event that supplies from Russia are blocked. Supply diversification will require huge investments in infrastructure. It will simply be impossible to replace Russian gas in the near future. This means that the aggravation of the political crisis may well lead to an acute shortage of fuel.
❓How quickly can the EU push Russian energy out of its fuel balance?
❓What is the difference between this policy towards oil and gas?
❓Who will be able to provide the EU with additional volumes of gas, and on what terms?
❓What are the EU’s plans and possible strategies for resolving the gas issue?
❓What should Russia do with the volumes of gas that can be displaced by other suppliers?
❓What are the prospects for the reorientation to other markets?
Participants in the expert discussion will address these and other questions.
👥 Speakers:
🔹 Fu Chengyu, Dean of Carbon Neutrality, International Academy
🔹 Alexey Gromov, Chief Energy Director of the Institute of Energy and Finance
🔹 Alexander Losev, Director General, Sputnik Asset Management, member of the Council for Foreign and Defence Policy (SVOP)
Moderator:
Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
Working languages: Russian, English.
🔗 Valdai Club to Discuss Russian Gas Supplies to Europe
ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to get accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our website or call +79269307763.
A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online-platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, on Telegram and Twitter.
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
The aggravation of the Ukrainian crisis, has soured Russia’s relations with Western countries, sharply increased the level of uncertainty in the world energy market. The main drama is unfolding around the supply of Russian gas to Europe. Apparently, Brussels has adopted a long-term plan of ousting Russian fuel from its market. It was further aggravated by the freezing of the Nord Stream 2 project, sanctions against the financial, energy and other sectors of the Russian economy, the ban on Russian fossil fuels in the United States, as well as Moscow’s demand to pay for gas in rubles. The new procedure for paying for Russian gas comes into force on April 1.
The EU countries are preparing for extreme scenarios in the event that supplies from Russia are blocked. Supply diversification will require huge investments in infrastructure. It will simply be impossible to replace Russian gas in the near future. This means that the aggravation of the political crisis may well lead to an acute shortage of fuel.
❓How quickly can the EU push Russian energy out of its fuel balance?
❓What is the difference between this policy towards oil and gas?
❓Who will be able to provide the EU with additional volumes of gas, and on what terms?
❓What are the EU’s plans and possible strategies for resolving the gas issue?
❓What should Russia do with the volumes of gas that can be displaced by other suppliers?
❓What are the prospects for the reorientation to other markets?
Participants in the expert discussion will address these and other questions.
👥 Speakers:
🔹 Fu Chengyu, Dean of Carbon Neutrality, International Academy
🔹 Alexey Gromov, Chief Energy Director of the Institute of Energy and Finance
🔹 Alexander Losev, Director General, Sputnik Asset Management, member of the Council for Foreign and Defence Policy (SVOP)
Moderator:
Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
Working languages: Russian, English.
🔗 Valdai Club to Discuss Russian Gas Supplies to Europe
ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to get accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our website or call +79269307763.
A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online-platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, on Telegram and Twitter.
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Valdai Club to Discuss Russian Gas Supplies to Europe
On April 5 at 16:30 Moscow time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”.
🏰 The new security system in Europe will be based on mutual hostility.
But this will be a variant of hostility that precludes provocative behaviour. Such behaviour is possible only in a situation where no one believes that the other side will attack you. After the outbreak of hostilities on February 24, there is no such belief among the NATO countries anymore.
👉 On the one hand, this will entail an increase in the military spending of European states and a change in the geography of the forward deployment of NATO forces and assets. They will be closer to Russia's borders.
👉 But, on the other hand, there will be an increased responsibility for the use of these forces and means. Any incident will provoke a crisis that does not correspond to the vital interests of European states.
The result of the system of checks and balances will be a "cold peace" - the best possible option for today, writes Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
🔗 Towards a 'Cold Peace' in Europe
#ModernDiplomacy #coldpeace #NATO #Europe #Ukraine
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
But this will be a variant of hostility that precludes provocative behaviour. Such behaviour is possible only in a situation where no one believes that the other side will attack you. After the outbreak of hostilities on February 24, there is no such belief among the NATO countries anymore.
👉 On the one hand, this will entail an increase in the military spending of European states and a change in the geography of the forward deployment of NATO forces and assets. They will be closer to Russia's borders.
👉 But, on the other hand, there will be an increased responsibility for the use of these forces and means. Any incident will provoke a crisis that does not correspond to the vital interests of European states.
The result of the system of checks and balances will be a "cold peace" - the best possible option for today, writes Andrey Sushentsov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
🔗 Towards a 'Cold Peace' in Europe
#ModernDiplomacy #coldpeace #NATO #Europe #Ukraine
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Towards a ‘Cold Peace’ in Europe
We must admit that the new security system in Europe will be based on mutual hostility. But this will be a variant of hostility that precludes provocative behaviour. Such behaviour is possible only in a situation where no one believes that the other side…
🎥 LIVE: at 16:30 Moscow time (GMT+3), we are starting an expert discussion, titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”.
https://vk.com/video-117768947_456239338
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
https://vk.com/video-117768947_456239338
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Vk
LIVE: Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can. Expert Discussion
On April 5 at 16:30 Moscow time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion, titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”. More: https://valdaiclub.com/multimedia/video/gas-for-rubles-buy-it-if-you-can-an-expert-discussion/
Valdai Discussion Club pinned «🎥 LIVE: at 16:30 Moscow time (GMT+3), we are starting an expert discussion, titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”. https://vk.com/video-117768947_456239338 @valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club»
📷 Today, on April 5, the Valdai Discussion Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”.
Photo gallery of the discussion is available in our VK account.
The video of the discussion is available via this link.
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Photo gallery of the discussion is available in our VK account.
The video of the discussion is available via this link.
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🚫🌐 Sanctions Against Russian Energy Exports are a Punishment for the Whole World
On April 5, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”.
Discussion moderator Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club, invited participants to discuss the consequences of a possible exclusion of Russia from the European gas market, as well as the difference between the situation with gas and the situation with oil and coal.
💬 Alexander Losev, General Director of Sputnik Asset Management JSC, pointed out that the rejection of Russian energy resources would likely lead to a drop in living standards in Europe to the level of the middle of the last century. He also noted that the model of capitalism based on endless credit expansion has come to its end and a large-scale economic crisis awaits the world. Against this background, the “fight for democracy” and support for Ukraine can serve as a cover for a project to manage the decline in living standards.
💬 Alexey Gromov, Chief Energy Director of the Institute of Energy and Finance, stressed that Europe, as of the beginning of the Russian military operation, depends on Russia for 30–35 percent for coal, natural gas, and oil. At the same time, Europe's ultimate ability to rebuild its fuel and energy balance strongly depends on the variety of energy carriers it uses. The most difficult thing is with gas supplies, since Russian gas enters Europe mainly through pipelines, and in this sense, the Europeans have no alternative to Russia.
💬 Fu Chengyu, Dean of Carbon Neutrality International Academy, said that Western sanctions against Russia are causing a real economic shock around the world. Rising oil prices affect not only the energy industry, but also all sectors of the global economy. “We need to think about how to curb the rise in energy prices,” he said. “The easiest thing to start with is to stop imposing sanctions on the Russian energy sector.” In his opinion, the current will lead the world economy to recession. “Western countries are punishing not only Russia, but the whole world,” a Chinese analyst noted. However, as he believes, Asia will only be happy if Russia directs its energy resources to Asian markets.
💬 Abbas Maleki, a professor of Energy Policy at Sharif University in Tehran and former Deputy Foreign Minister, analysed the prospects for green energy and the green transition in the new environment, as well as the significance of nuclear energy and energy security issues. Speaking about the situation with sanctions, he suggested that Russia could cooperate with other energy suppliers. In particular, according to him, the supply of oil products from Iran to Russia looks like an extremely promising direction.
💬 Nikolay Tsvyatkov, Associate Professor, Institute of Legal, Political and Sociological Research, Academy of Sciences of Moldova (2010-2020), presented a Moldovan viewpoint. At present, Russia is the main supplier of gas to the Republic of Moldova; in many respects it has no alternative. Having lost Russian gas, the country may face a man-made disaster. So far, the situation is saved by the neutral status of Moldova, which it maintains despite the pressure of the European Union, and through its experience maneuvering between the interests of the big players.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/sanctions-against-russian-energy-exports-are-a-punishment-for-the-whole-world/
#EconomicStatecraft #sanctions
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
On April 5, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion titled “Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can”.
Discussion moderator Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club, invited participants to discuss the consequences of a possible exclusion of Russia from the European gas market, as well as the difference between the situation with gas and the situation with oil and coal.
💬 Alexander Losev, General Director of Sputnik Asset Management JSC, pointed out that the rejection of Russian energy resources would likely lead to a drop in living standards in Europe to the level of the middle of the last century. He also noted that the model of capitalism based on endless credit expansion has come to its end and a large-scale economic crisis awaits the world. Against this background, the “fight for democracy” and support for Ukraine can serve as a cover for a project to manage the decline in living standards.
💬 Alexey Gromov, Chief Energy Director of the Institute of Energy and Finance, stressed that Europe, as of the beginning of the Russian military operation, depends on Russia for 30–35 percent for coal, natural gas, and oil. At the same time, Europe's ultimate ability to rebuild its fuel and energy balance strongly depends on the variety of energy carriers it uses. The most difficult thing is with gas supplies, since Russian gas enters Europe mainly through pipelines, and in this sense, the Europeans have no alternative to Russia.
💬 Fu Chengyu, Dean of Carbon Neutrality International Academy, said that Western sanctions against Russia are causing a real economic shock around the world. Rising oil prices affect not only the energy industry, but also all sectors of the global economy. “We need to think about how to curb the rise in energy prices,” he said. “The easiest thing to start with is to stop imposing sanctions on the Russian energy sector.” In his opinion, the current will lead the world economy to recession. “Western countries are punishing not only Russia, but the whole world,” a Chinese analyst noted. However, as he believes, Asia will only be happy if Russia directs its energy resources to Asian markets.
💬 Abbas Maleki, a professor of Energy Policy at Sharif University in Tehran and former Deputy Foreign Minister, analysed the prospects for green energy and the green transition in the new environment, as well as the significance of nuclear energy and energy security issues. Speaking about the situation with sanctions, he suggested that Russia could cooperate with other energy suppliers. In particular, according to him, the supply of oil products from Iran to Russia looks like an extremely promising direction.
💬 Nikolay Tsvyatkov, Associate Professor, Institute of Legal, Political and Sociological Research, Academy of Sciences of Moldova (2010-2020), presented a Moldovan viewpoint. At present, Russia is the main supplier of gas to the Republic of Moldova; in many respects it has no alternative. Having lost Russian gas, the country may face a man-made disaster. So far, the situation is saved by the neutral status of Moldova, which it maintains despite the pressure of the European Union, and through its experience maneuvering between the interests of the big players.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/sanctions-against-russian-energy-exports-are-a-punishment-for-the-whole-world/
#EconomicStatecraft #sanctions
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Sanctions Against Russian Energy Exports are a Punishment for the Whole World
On April 5, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion titled Gas for Rubles: Buy It If You Can. Discussion moderator Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club, invited participants to discuss the consequences of a possible exclusion…
⚖️ 🪙 The low monetisation of the economy essentially “kills” deferred demand within the country, and subsidising interest rates will require significantly larger cash injections than the announced 1 trillion rubles, which will actually settle in the banking system instead of being effectively used for project financing and accelerated import substitution in critical important sectors of the economy, Valdai Club expert Ekaterina Arapova writes.
🔗 Principles of Russia's Anti-Sanctions Policy Revision
#EconomicStatecraft #sanctions
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
🔗 Principles of Russia's Anti-Sanctions Policy Revision
#EconomicStatecraft #sanctions
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Principles of Russia's Anti-Sanctions Policy Revision
The low monetisation of the economy essentially “kills” deferred demand within the country, and subsidising interest rates will require significantly larger cash injections than the announced 1 trillion rubles, which will actually settle in the banking system…
🪆🕌 The dynamic development of dialogue with the Arab world becomes a promising direction for Russia.
Even before the events in Ukraine, Russia had accumulated the experience of economic contacts with a number of countries in the Middle East that were facing emergency conditions, including:
✔️ international sanctions (Iran, Sudan)
✔️ a state of armed conflict (Yemen, Libya, Syria)
✔️ crisis (Lebanon)
✔️ a difficult internal political situation (Iraq)
Moscow has something to offer its Arab partners, differentiating its approaches, taking into account the level of their socio-economic and technological development, ambitions and solvency, writes Valdai Club expert Igor Matveev.
🔗 Western Sanctions: New Horizons for Russia's Cooperation with Arab Countries
#Valdai_WorldEconomy #MiddleEast #sanctions
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Even before the events in Ukraine, Russia had accumulated the experience of economic contacts with a number of countries in the Middle East that were facing emergency conditions, including:
✔️ international sanctions (Iran, Sudan)
✔️ a state of armed conflict (Yemen, Libya, Syria)
✔️ crisis (Lebanon)
✔️ a difficult internal political situation (Iraq)
Moscow has something to offer its Arab partners, differentiating its approaches, taking into account the level of their socio-economic and technological development, ambitions and solvency, writes Valdai Club expert Igor Matveev.
🔗 Western Sanctions: New Horizons for Russia's Cooperation with Arab Countries
#Valdai_WorldEconomy #MiddleEast #sanctions
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
⛽️🐲 For China, happiness is multiple supply sources.
A new agreement with Russia providing for additional 10 bcm of natural gas sourced from Russia’s Far East (evidently from Sakhalin) serves to diversify China’s gas import portfolio with a relatively low-priced option (compared with LNG).
Even the lowest estimates for China’s future gas needs foresee an incremental 175 bcm of demand through 2030. Most forecasts for China’s domestic production converge at around 300 bcm in the 2030s, suggesting that around half of the demand increment will be met with domestic output. But this still leaves at least around 90 bcm of additional import requirements.
The deal thus comes at an opportune time from China’s perspective, with rising gas demand in China and in the context of highly volatile global LNG markets.
A new reality in which Europe is going to reduce its energy dependence on Russia as soon as possible makes China a clear winner, writes Vitaly Yermakov, Expert an the Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies, HSE University.
🔗 Russia and China Expand Their Gas Relationship: Causes and Implications
#Asia_and_Eurasia #China #gas
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
A new agreement with Russia providing for additional 10 bcm of natural gas sourced from Russia’s Far East (evidently from Sakhalin) serves to diversify China’s gas import portfolio with a relatively low-priced option (compared with LNG).
Even the lowest estimates for China’s future gas needs foresee an incremental 175 bcm of demand through 2030. Most forecasts for China’s domestic production converge at around 300 bcm in the 2030s, suggesting that around half of the demand increment will be met with domestic output. But this still leaves at least around 90 bcm of additional import requirements.
The deal thus comes at an opportune time from China’s perspective, with rising gas demand in China and in the context of highly volatile global LNG markets.
A new reality in which Europe is going to reduce its energy dependence on Russia as soon as possible makes China a clear winner, writes Vitaly Yermakov, Expert an the Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies, HSE University.
🔗 Russia and China Expand Their Gas Relationship: Causes and Implications
#Asia_and_Eurasia #China #gas
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Russia and China Expand Their Gas Relationship: Causes and Implications
On February 4th 2022 China's President Xi Jinping and Russia's President Vladimir Putin met in Beijing before the opening ceremony of the Winter Olimpics that China hosted. The summit resulted in a joint statement on the situation in global international…
📆 ANNOUNCEMENT: On April 14 at 11:00 Moscow time (GMT+3), an expert discussion will be held between the Valdai Club and the India-based Observer Research Foundation @orftg on the topic: “Conflict in Europe: Should Asia Be Able to Stay Away?”
The military-diplomatic conflict between Russia and the West, with the Ukrainian crisis at its epicentre, is, from the point of view of its participants, the main determining factor not only in regional, but also in global development. A similar point of view is shared by China, which considers the US and its allies to be the main source of problems in Europe as well as a threat to international security.
Other countries in Asia, with rare exceptions, have maintained a reserved and neutral position regarding what is happening in Eastern Europe. India is the most prominent of these states in terms of population, the size of its economy, and military capabilities; it is also connected by trade, economic ties and political relations with both Russia and the West.
For most Asian states, the events in Europe represent an obstacle to the further development and integration of the world economy, rather than a sign of its restructuring on new foundations. The purpose of the expert discussion is to compare the views of Russian and Indian experts on the nature and context of developments in Europe, to determine the origin of the most important foreign policy priorities of the parties with respect to the crisis, and to find out possible ways for developing a dialogue.
❓What is the nature and context of the crisis in Europe?
❓What is the Indian approach to the military-political dynamics between Russia and NATO?
❓How does the crisis in Europe affect Russian-Chinese relations?
❓What is the potential of the dialogue between Russia and India on issues of regional and global security?
Participants in the expert dialogue will address these and other questions.
👥 Speakers:
🇮🇳 Antara Ghosal Singh, Fellow at the Strategic Studies Programme at Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi
🇮🇳 Nivedita Kapoor, Research Fellow, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, National Research University Higher School of Economics
🇷🇺 Vasily Kashin, Director of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies, National Research University Higher School of Economics
🇷🇺 Alexey Kupriyanov, Head of the Group on South Asia and Indian Ocean of the Center for Asia Pacific Studies, Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO)
🇷🇺 Ivan Safranchuk, Director, Leading Research Fellow, Center for Eurasian Studies
🇮🇳 Kabir Taneja, Fellow with Strategic Studies programme at Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi
🇮🇳 Nandan Unnikrishnan, ORF Distinguished Fellow
Moderator:
🚩 Timofei Bordachev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
🔗 Valdai Club to Discuss Asia’s Position Amid the Crisis in Europe
Working languages: Russian, English.
ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to be accredited to the event, please fill out the form on our website or call +7 926 930 77 63.
A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online-platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, on Telegram and Twitter.
#Valdai_ThinkTank
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
The military-diplomatic conflict between Russia and the West, with the Ukrainian crisis at its epicentre, is, from the point of view of its participants, the main determining factor not only in regional, but also in global development. A similar point of view is shared by China, which considers the US and its allies to be the main source of problems in Europe as well as a threat to international security.
Other countries in Asia, with rare exceptions, have maintained a reserved and neutral position regarding what is happening in Eastern Europe. India is the most prominent of these states in terms of population, the size of its economy, and military capabilities; it is also connected by trade, economic ties and political relations with both Russia and the West.
For most Asian states, the events in Europe represent an obstacle to the further development and integration of the world economy, rather than a sign of its restructuring on new foundations. The purpose of the expert discussion is to compare the views of Russian and Indian experts on the nature and context of developments in Europe, to determine the origin of the most important foreign policy priorities of the parties with respect to the crisis, and to find out possible ways for developing a dialogue.
❓What is the nature and context of the crisis in Europe?
❓What is the Indian approach to the military-political dynamics between Russia and NATO?
❓How does the crisis in Europe affect Russian-Chinese relations?
❓What is the potential of the dialogue between Russia and India on issues of regional and global security?
Participants in the expert dialogue will address these and other questions.
👥 Speakers:
🇮🇳 Antara Ghosal Singh, Fellow at the Strategic Studies Programme at Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi
🇮🇳 Nivedita Kapoor, Research Fellow, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, National Research University Higher School of Economics
🇷🇺 Vasily Kashin, Director of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies, National Research University Higher School of Economics
🇷🇺 Alexey Kupriyanov, Head of the Group on South Asia and Indian Ocean of the Center for Asia Pacific Studies, Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO)
🇷🇺 Ivan Safranchuk, Director, Leading Research Fellow, Center for Eurasian Studies
🇮🇳 Kabir Taneja, Fellow with Strategic Studies programme at Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi
🇮🇳 Nandan Unnikrishnan, ORF Distinguished Fellow
Moderator:
🚩 Timofei Bordachev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
🔗 Valdai Club to Discuss Asia’s Position Amid the Crisis in Europe
Working languages: Russian, English.
ℹ️ Information for the media: In order to be accredited to the event, please fill out the form on our website or call +7 926 930 77 63.
A link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online-platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, on Telegram and Twitter.
#Valdai_ThinkTank
@valdai_club — The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
Valdai Club to Discuss Asia’s Position Amid the Crisis in Europe
On April 14 at 11:00 Moscow time (GMT+3), an expert discussion will be held between the Valdai Club and the India-based Observer Research Foundation (ORF) on the topic: “Conflict in Europe: Should Asia Be Able to Stay Away?”