Housing and Fertility:
A recent study used Brazilian housing credit lotteries to investigate the relationship between home ownership and fertility.
20-25 year olds randomly obtaining housing increased their probability of having children by 32% and more children by 33%.
The lifetime fertility boost for 20 year old winners was double that of 30 year old winners.
The effect was stronger for men than women (other studies have found that financial/economic incentives increase male but not female TFR, see: https://t.iss.one/thuletide/8097, https://t.iss.one/thuletide/7921, https://t.iss.one/thuletide/8102)
The housing lottery had no effect on the fertility of winners over 40.
Source: Housing and Fertility (July 15, 2025)
https://ssrn.com/abstract=5046571
https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5046571
#fertility
A recent study used Brazilian housing credit lotteries to investigate the relationship between home ownership and fertility.
20-25 year olds randomly obtaining housing increased their probability of having children by 32% and more children by 33%.
The lifetime fertility boost for 20 year old winners was double that of 30 year old winners.
The effect was stronger for men than women (other studies have found that financial/economic incentives increase male but not female TFR, see: https://t.iss.one/thuletide/8097, https://t.iss.one/thuletide/7921, https://t.iss.one/thuletide/8102)
The housing lottery had no effect on the fertility of winners over 40.
Source: Housing and Fertility (July 15, 2025)
https://ssrn.com/abstract=5046571
https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5046571
#fertility
If you give women UBI, they have less children. If you give their husbands UBI, they have more children.
Caveats: Study focused on low-income women and the experiment lasted two years; possible (but unlikely) that long-term fertility effects could differ from these results.
Source: How Changes in Cash Transfers Can Affect Childbearing Among Low‑Income Women: Evidence from the Finnish Basic Income Experiment (2025)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-025-09735-9
#fertility
Caveats: Study focused on low-income women and the experiment lasted two years; possible (but unlikely) that long-term fertility effects could differ from these results.
Source: How Changes in Cash Transfers Can Affect Childbearing Among Low‑Income Women: Evidence from the Finnish Basic Income Experiment (2025)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-025-09735-9
#fertility
Cash transfers and fertility (2024):
In 2016, Poland began to give households a cash benefit of $130 USD per month per child under 18.
All families with 2+ children qualified regardless of income, as did low-income 1 child families.
The results of this policy were:
- Increased birth probability among women aged 31-35 (+1.8 percentage points) and 36-40 (+0.7 pp)
- Decreased birth probability among women aged 21-25 (-2.2 pp) and 26-30 (-2.6 pp).
- Negative effect among higher-income women (-1.1 pp).
- No significant effects for women under 21 or over 40.
Source: Cash transfers and fertility: Evidence from Poland’s Family 500+ Policy (n=87,006)
https://demographic-research.org/volumes/vol51/28/51-28.pdf
#fertility
In 2016, Poland began to give households a cash benefit of $130 USD per month per child under 18.
All families with 2+ children qualified regardless of income, as did low-income 1 child families.
The results of this policy were:
- Increased birth probability among women aged 31-35 (+1.8 percentage points) and 36-40 (+0.7 pp)
- Decreased birth probability among women aged 21-25 (-2.2 pp) and 26-30 (-2.6 pp).
- Negative effect among higher-income women (-1.1 pp).
- No significant effects for women under 21 or over 40.
Source: Cash transfers and fertility: Evidence from Poland’s Family 500+ Policy (n=87,006)
https://demographic-research.org/volumes/vol51/28/51-28.pdf
#fertility
Clown world failed mass shooting in Canada:
An incel communist tried to shoot up the HQ of a company in Montreal that operates multiple prominent pornography websites, including Pornhub.
The shooter killed a male muslim cop called Mohamed, then a female cop accidentally killed a fleeing civilian named Moshe Mizrahi, who happened to be a rabbi. The female cop was wounded, the shooter was killed (not by the female cop, obviously), and nobody else was harmed.
An incel communist tried to shoot up the HQ of a company in Montreal that operates multiple prominent pornography websites, including Pornhub.
The shooter killed a male muslim cop called Mohamed, then a female cop accidentally killed a fleeing civilian named Moshe Mizrahi, who happened to be a rabbi. The female cop was wounded, the shooter was killed (not by the female cop, obviously), and nobody else was harmed.
Rebel News uploaded the Montreal shooter's 104 page manifesto to their website. They claimed it was riddled with virulent anti-semitism, but Jews were only mentioned briefly in one footnote.
The shooter said that the "Zionist elites" are bad, but the problem in the West is "capitalism, not the Jewish race."
He then went on to praise Jews for being "some of the most renowned and effective combatants against the western bourgeois class."
https://www.rebelnews.com/manifesto_reveals_alleged_montreal_gunman_s_antisemitic_far_left_and_incel_ideology
The shooter said that the "Zionist elites" are bad, but the problem in the West is "capitalism, not the Jewish race."
He then went on to praise Jews for being "some of the most renowned and effective combatants against the western bourgeois class."
https://www.rebelnews.com/manifesto_reveals_alleged_montreal_gunman_s_antisemitic_far_left_and_incel_ideology
Early Medieval 'Slavic Period' (~600-900 AD) samples from southern Poland and northern Ukraine had variable levels of Germanic, Balkan, and Greco-Roman ancestry, as per the recent study on Slavic migrations (Gretzinger 2025). I think these early Slavs also had Scythian and minor Uralic ancestry.
It's currently unknown whether or not these samples represent the Proto-Slavic population, but I suspect that they don't.
They were found in close geographic proximity to the theorized Proto-Slavic homeland, but the Czechia_EarlySlav sample (also from the early Slavic Period) has significantly less Balkan, Germanic, and Scythian ancestry. I suspect that the Proto-Slavs were more similar to this sample — i.e. more Baltic-like — than those from Grodek and NW Ukraine.
It's currently unknown whether or not these samples represent the Proto-Slavic population, but I suspect that they don't.
They were found in close geographic proximity to the theorized Proto-Slavic homeland, but the Czechia_EarlySlav sample (also from the early Slavic Period) has significantly less Balkan, Germanic, and Scythian ancestry. I suspect that the Proto-Slavs were more similar to this sample — i.e. more Baltic-like — than those from Grodek and NW Ukraine.
Digital Panopticon Update: People who create a new Apple account in Texas will be asked to verify that they're over 18
"Apple will introduce age verification in the App Store for users in Texas starting on Thursday, June 4th. The move, as spotted by MacRumors, comes just days after a federal appeals court allowed Texas’ App Store Accountability Act to go into effect while a lawsuit against it proceeds."
"People in Texas who are creating a new Apple account will need to verify they’re over 18 using a credit card or government ID."
Source: Apple is bringing age verification to Texas this week
"Apple will introduce age verification in the App Store for users in Texas starting on Thursday, June 4th. The move, as spotted by MacRumors, comes just days after a federal appeals court allowed Texas’ App Store Accountability Act to go into effect while a lawsuit against it proceeds."
"People in Texas who are creating a new Apple account will need to verify they’re over 18 using a credit card or government ID."
Source: Apple is bringing age verification to Texas this week
Digital ID in America is primarily pushed by cuckservative organizations and GOP lawmakers.
After Roe v. Wade was overturned, these bible-thumping busybodies needed a new flagship "save the kids" cause to virtue signal about: The total abolition of online anonymity.
They are playing directly into the hands of the left by further throttling the only relatively free source of information available today, while laying the foundations of European-style digital tyranny and a Chinese-style social credit system.
The Digital Childhood Alliance is funded by Meta btw.
After Roe v. Wade was overturned, these bible-thumping busybodies needed a new flagship "save the kids" cause to virtue signal about: The total abolition of online anonymity.
They are playing directly into the hands of the left by further throttling the only relatively free source of information available today, while laying the foundations of European-style digital tyranny and a Chinese-style social credit system.
The Digital Childhood Alliance is funded by Meta btw.
The most absurd aspect of this cuckservative push to "protect children" online is that the entirety of modern Western civilization is riddled with filth from top to bottom.
The shit kids see in the average city, the shit they see on TV, the shit they're taught in school, etc. can hardly be more harmful than the shit they see online.
To truly protect children, you'd have to take them off grid and live in the wilderness. Even then, you're likely to drive past a degenerate billboard or two.
Why don't they campaign to bring back modesty laws or something?
The shit kids see in the average city, the shit they see on TV, the shit they're taught in school, etc. can hardly be more harmful than the shit they see online.
To truly protect children, you'd have to take them off grid and live in the wilderness. Even then, you're likely to drive past a degenerate billboard or two.
Why don't they campaign to bring back modesty laws or something?
Telegram
Thuletide
Digital ID in America is primarily pushed by cuckservative organizations and GOP lawmakers.
After Roe v. Wade was overturned, these bible-thumping busybodies needed a new flagship "save the kids" cause to virtue signal about: The total abolition of online…
After Roe v. Wade was overturned, these bible-thumping busybodies needed a new flagship "save the kids" cause to virtue signal about: The total abolition of online…
Sex bias in hiring does exist! Women are favored while men are discriminated against.
A meta analysis of real-world experiments spanning over four decades (1976-2020) found that all hiring bias against women has disappeared in the studied countries (mostly the West + China).
Since the 2000s, women have been favored for "female-type" and "gender-balanced" jobs, and since the 2010s, even "male-type" jobs have reached sex parity, meaning women are favored for "all jobs." [An odds ratio above 1 = male bias, below 1 = female bias].
The paper also surveyed US laymen and academics, who both overestimated sex bias in hiring practices to a significant degree — i.e. they hallucinated nonexistent discrimination against women.
Source: On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions (2023)
A meta analysis of real-world experiments spanning over four decades (1976-2020) found that all hiring bias against women has disappeared in the studied countries (mostly the West + China).
Since the 2000s, women have been favored for "female-type" and "gender-balanced" jobs, and since the 2010s, even "male-type" jobs have reached sex parity, meaning women are favored for "all jobs." [An odds ratio above 1 = male bias, below 1 = female bias].
The paper also surveyed US laymen and academics, who both overestimated sex bias in hiring practices to a significant degree — i.e. they hallucinated nonexistent discrimination against women.
Source: On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions (2023)