๋ฌป๋”ฐ๋ฐฉ ๐Ÿ•
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(๋ฐฉ์žฅํ•œํ…Œ) ๋ฌป์ง€๋„ ๋”ฐ์ง€์ง€๋„ ์•Š๋Š” ๋ฐฉ

์€๋•๋ฒ ํ’€๊ธฐ :
https://litt.ly/mootda

Boost :
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ํด๋ฆฐ๋ฃธ :
https://t.iss.one/+rnPa_2M7WrhjMzdl
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Forwarded from Fund Easy
[Fundeasy ์ธ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ] ์šฐ์ฃผ๋Š” ๋ฐœ์‚ฌ์ฒด ์‚ฐ์—…์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ธํ”„๋ผ๊ฐ€ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: ์ œ2์˜ ์šฐ์ฃผ ์‹œ๋Œ€์—์„œ ํˆฌ์ž์ž๊ฐ€ ๋ด์•ผ ํ•  ๋ณ‘๋ชฉ

Goldman Sachs Global Institute์˜ ใ€ŒThe Second Space Ageใ€๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ ์šฐ์ฃผ์‚ฐ์—…์˜ ๋ณ€ํ™”์™€ ํˆฌ์ž์ž๊ฐ€ ๋ด์•ผ ํ•  ๋ณ‘๋ชฉ์„ ์ •๋ฆฌํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•ต์‹ฌ์€ ์šฐ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‚ฐ์—…์—์„œ ํ†ต์‹ ยท๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐยท๊ตญ๋ฐฉยท๊ถค๋„ ์šด์˜์ด ๊ฒฐํ•ฉ๋œ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ธํ”„๋ผ๋กœ ๋ฐ”๋€Œ๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ์ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

1. ๋ฐœ์‚ฌ ๋น„์šฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ์€ ์‹œ์ž‘์ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ €๊ถค๋„ ํˆฌ์ž… ๋น„์šฉ์€ 1981๋…„ ์šฐ์ฃผ์™•๋ณต์„  ๊ธฐ์ค€ ํ‚ฌ๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ๋‹น ์•ฝ 6๋งŒ5,400๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—์„œ Falcon Heavy ์•ฝ 1,500๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ˆ˜์ค€๊นŒ์ง€ ๋‚ฎ์•„์กŒ๊ณ , ์žฌ์‚ฌ์šฉ ๋กœ์ผ“๊ณผ SmallSat์ด ์œ„์„ฑ๊ตฐ ํ™•๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•˜๊ฒŒ ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

2. ์œ„์„ฑ์€ ๋ฐ˜๋ณต ๋งค์ถœ ํ”Œ๋žซํผ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Starlink ๊ฐ™์€ ์ €๊ถค๋„ ํ†ต์‹ ๋ง์€ ๊ฐ€์ž…๋ฃŒ์™€ ๋‹จ๋ง๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๊ฒฐํ•ฉํ•˜๊ณ , Amazon Leo์™€ Globalstar์˜ ๊ฒฐํ•ฉ์€ ์ง์ ‘ ๋‹จ๋ง ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ์„ ๊ฐ•ํ™”ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹ค๋งŒ ์œ„์„ฑ ์ˆ˜๋ณด๋‹ค ์ง€์ƒ๊ตญยท์•ˆํ…Œ๋‚˜ยท๊ด‘์„ฌ์œ ยท์ฃผํŒŒ์ˆ˜์™€ ๊ณ ๊ฐ๋‹น ํ˜„๊ธˆํ๋ฆ„์„ ๋ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

3. ๋‹ค์Œ ๋ณ‘๋ชฉ์€ ๋ฐœ์‚ฌ๋ณด๋‹ค ๊ถค๋„ ์šด์˜์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์œ„์„ฑ ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ๋Š˜์ˆ˜๋ก ์ถฉ๋Œ ํšŒํ”ผ, ์šฐ์ฃผ ์ƒํ™ฉ ์ธ์‹, ์ž”ํ•ด ์ œ๊ฑฐ, ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ์šฐ์ฃผ๊ตํ†ต๊ด€๋ฆฌ์™€ ๊ทœ์น™์ด ์ค‘์š”ํ•ด์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. NASA์˜ ISAM์€ ์œ ๋งํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ํ˜„์žฌ๋Š” ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ์šฐ์ฃผ ๊ณต์žฅ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ ๊ฒ€ยท๊ทผ์ ‘ ์šด์šฉยท์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ ์‹ค์ฆ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์— ๊ฐ€๊น์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

4. ๊ถค๋„ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์„ผํ„ฐ์™€ ๋‹ฌ ๊ธฐ์ง€๋Š” ํ˜„์žฌ ๋งค์ถœ๋ณด๋‹ค ์„ ํƒ๊ถŒ์— ๊ฐ€๊น์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์šฐ์ฃผ์˜ ์ „๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๊ทœ์ œ ์žฅ์ ๋งŒ ๋ณผ ๊ฒƒ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ ์ง„๊ณต์—์„œ์˜ ๋ƒ‰๊ฐ, ๋ฐฉ์‚ฌ์„ , ํ†ต์‹  ์ง€์—ฐ, ์œ ์ง€๋ณด์ˆ˜์™€ ์ž๋ณธ๋น„์šฉ์„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๋ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํˆฌ์ž์ž๋Š” ๋ฐœ์‚ฌ ์„ฑ๊ณต๋ฅ , ์œ„์„ฑ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ , ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐฑ์‹ ๋ฅ , ์ œํ’ˆ๋ณ„ ๋งˆ์ง„, ์ž๋ณธ์ ์ง€์ถœ๊ณผ ์ž์œ ํ˜„๊ธˆํ๋ฆ„์„ ํ™•์ธํ•ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ข‹์€ ์šฐ์ฃผ๊ธฐ์—…์ด ๊ณง ์ข‹์€ ์šฐ์ฃผ์ฃผ์‹์€ ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๐Ÿ”— ๋ณธ๋ฌธ ์ฝ๊ธฐ

๐ŸŒฉ ๋„์›€๋˜์…จ๋‹ค๋ฉด ๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฅฐ ๋ถ€ํƒ๋“œ๋ฆฝ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค!
๐ŸŒฉ ๋ธ”๋กœ๊ทธ์—๋Š” ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ๊ธ€์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฉ๋ฌธํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์ข‹์€ ์•„์ด๋””์–ด๋ฅผ ์–ป์œผ์‹ค ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
๐ŸŒฉ ๋ชจ๋“  ๊ฒŒ์‹œ๊ธ€์€ ํˆฌ์ž ํŒ๋‹จ์˜ ๊ทผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ์‚ผ์„ ์ˆ˜ ์—†์œผ๋ฉฐ ํˆฌ์ž ํŒ๋‹จ์˜ ์ฑ…์ž„์€ ํˆฌ์ž์ž ๋ณธ์ธ์—๊ฒŒ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๐Ÿ“ฑ ์นด์นด์˜คํŽ˜์ด, ๋„ค์ด๋ฒ„ํŽ˜์ด๋ฅผ ์ด์šฉํ•œ ์Œ๋ฃŒ ํ•œ ์ž” ํ›„์›ํ•˜๊ธฐ
๐ŸŒฉํ›„์›ํ•˜๊ธฐ
โค5
์ด๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋‹ค!!! ใ…‹ใ…‹ใ…‹
โค113๐Ÿ‘213๐Ÿ–•1
์ž ์‹คํˆฌํ‘œ์†Œ ๋ณด๋„ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ์•ˆํ•จ
์˜ฌ๊ณต ๋ณด๋„ ์™œ๊ณก ์ถ•์†Œ ๋ณด๋„
815 ๊ด‘ํ™”๋ฌธ ๋ณด๋„ ์€ํ์ค‘

์ด์   ์–ด์ฐจํ”ผ ์ฃผ๋ฅ˜ ์–ธ๋ก ์‚ฌ๋ผ๋Š” ๊ณณ๋“ค์€ ํ•˜๋‚˜๊ฐ™์ด ์ •๊ถŒ์— ๊ตด๋ณตํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ๋ฐ˜๋Œ€ํŽธ์— ๋นŒ๋ถ™๋Š” ๊ธฐ์ƒ์„ธ๋ ฅ์ด ๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ์ง„์‹ค์„ ์•Œ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์•Œ๋ฆฌ๋ ค๋ฉด ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์Šค์Šค๋กœ ์–ธ๋ก ์ด ๋˜์–ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
๐Ÿ”ฅ99โค12๐Ÿ’ฉ2๐Ÿ‘Ž1
โ”” ์ด๋ฒˆ์— ์ขŒ๋นจ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ๋ถ€์—ญํ•œ ์–ธ๋ก ์ธ๋“ค ์‹น ๋‹ค ๊ธฐ์–ตํ•ด๋†จ๋‹ค๊ฐ€ ์ •๊ถŒ ๋ฐ”๋€Œ๋ฉด ์ ํ์ฒญ์‚ฐํ•ด์•ผ์ง€ ใ…‹ใ…‹ใ…‹
๐Ÿ‘51โค9
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์•„๋Š”๊ฒŒ ์—†์œผ๋‹ˆ ๋‹จ์–ด ํ•˜๋‚˜ ๊ฐ€์ง€๊ณ  ๊ผฌํˆฌ๋ฆฌ ์žก๋Š” ์ € ์ข†๊ฐ™์€ ์ธ์„ฑ. ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์ด ๋˜๋„ ๋ณ€ํ•˜์ง€๋ฅผ ์•Š๋ƒ.
๐Ÿ˜70๐Ÿคฃ23๐Ÿฅฐ82
Forwarded from Pluto Research
ํ™•์‹คํžˆ ํƒœ์ƒ๋“ค์ด ๋ฒค์ฒ˜๋‹ค๋ณด๋‹ˆ ๊ธฐ์ค€๋“ค์ด ์ฃผ์ฃผ์ž…์žฅ์—์„  ๊ฝค ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ๋„ˆ๋ธ”ํ•œ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€๋งŽ์€๋ฐ... ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์‹ ๊ฒฝ์จ์•ผํ•˜๋Š” ํŒ์ด์ง€๋งŒ ์—…ํ™ฉ์ด ์ด๋Ÿฌ๋‹ˆ.

https://m.inven.co.kr/webzine/wznews.php?idx=319514&fbclid=IwdGRjcATuP2BjbGNrBO4_PXBkb2YFZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQMMzUwNjg1NTMxNzI4AAEey4wZ7S9RfHXa6ihV-2sFv_kYGtmAxEnzSB7YP81WUCrITrJm4H-GnKnJt1Y_aem_KPJv0iAVpUu9CGLmh73aBg
โ”” ์ด๋Ÿฐ ๊ธฐ์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋ฉด์„œ๋„ "์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ˆ„๋ฆ„ ๋ฐฉ์ง€๋ฒ•"๊ฐ™์€ ์Œ๋ชจ๋ก ์— ์‹ฌ์ทจํ•œ ใ…„๋“ค ๋ณด๋ฉด ์ฐธ ์ง ~ํ•˜๋‹ค๋ผ๋Š” ์ƒ๊ฐ์ด ๋“ฌ.
๐Ÿ‘16โค43๐Ÿ–•1
๋‚˜์„  /
๐Ÿ”ฅ15โค3๐Ÿ˜ญ2
์ฒœ์กฐ๊ตญ ์ƒˆ๋ฒฝ
๐Ÿซก13๐Ÿ‘6โค3
โšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธ
ํญ์Šค๋‰ด์Šค์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์ด ์ด๋ž€ ํ˜๋ช…์ˆ˜๋น„๋Œ€(IRGC) ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋“ค๊ณผ ๋น„๊ณต์‹ ์†Œํ†ต ์ฑ„๋„์ด ์กด์žฌํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ™•์ธํ•˜๋ฉฐ โ€œ์„œ๋‘๋ฅด์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹คโ€๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ฐํž˜.

ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์€ ์ด์–ด โ€œ์˜ค๋งŒ์ด ๋ฐฉํ•ดํ•œ๋‹ค๋ฉด ๊ทธ๋“ค์„ X๋‚˜๊ฒŒ ํญ๊ฒฉํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค(weโ€™ll bomb the s--- out of them)โ€๋ผ๊ณ  ๊ฒฝ๊ณ .
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โค15๐Ÿ–•4
ํžˆ์–ด๋กœ์ฆˆ ์—ฌ์ฃผ ๋ณ„์„ธ

๋“œ๋ผ๋งˆ์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„๋ฌด๋ฆฌ ๋‹ค์ณ๋„ ์ฃฝ์ง€ ์•Š๋Š” ์—ญํ• ์ด์—ˆ๋Š”๋ฐ...

RIP

https://m.entertain.naver.com/home/article/382/0001288526
๐Ÿ˜ข15
Forwarded from CTRINE
์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ ์˜ ๋‚˜์Šค๋‹ฅ ๊ณต๋งค๋„
๐Ÿ‘16๐Ÿคก4โค1
๐Ÿงฟ [8/18, Conviction Calls] ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ ์šฐ๋ ค๋ฅผ ๋œ์–ด๋‚ผ ๋•Œ, Bull-Steepening Winner๋ฅผ ์ฑ„์šด๋‹ค

์œ ์•ˆํƒ€ ์ฃผ์‹์ „๋žต ๊น€์šฉ๊ตฌ(02-3770-3521)

ํ…”๋ ˆ๊ทธ๋žจ: < https://t.iss.one/ConvictionCall >

Key Takeaways:
- ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ ์ปจ์„ผ์„œ์Šค, 2ํšŒ์—์„œ 1ํšŒ ์ดํ•˜๋กœ ๊ธ‰๋ณ€
- ์‹œ์žฅ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ, Bear-Flattening์—์„œ Bull-Steepening์œผ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ ์˜ˆ์ƒ
- ๋™ ๊ตญ๋ฉด Winner๋Š” ์‹ค์  ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ๊ฒธ๋น„ ๋‚™ํญ๊ณผ๋Œ€์ฃผ: ๊ธฐ๊ณ„, ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค, ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด, IT๊ฐ€์ „, ํ™”ํ•™, ์กฐ์„ 

โ–  ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ ์ปจ์„ผ์„œ์Šค, 7์›” ๋ง 2ํšŒ์—์„œ 1ํšŒ ์ดํ•˜๋กœ ๊ธ‰๋ณ€

- ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์ค€ ์ •์ฑ…๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ปจ์„ผ์„œ์Šค๊ฐ€ 7์›” ๋ง 2ํšŒ ์ธ์ƒ('26๋…„ 12์›” ๋งŒ๊ธฐ OIS 4.2%)์—์„œ 8/17์ผ ํ˜„์žฌ 1ํšŒ ์ดํ•˜(OIS 3.9%)๋กœ ์†๋ฝ. 9~10์›” FOMC ์ธ์ƒ ํ™•๋ฅ ์€ 100%์—์„œ 50% ์ดํ•˜๋กœ ํ•˜๋ฝ. ๊ณ ์šฉ์‹œ์žฅ ์งˆ์ /์–‘์  ๋‘”ํ™” ์ง€์†, ์†Œ๋น„๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๊ธ‰๋žญ(7์›” ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค MoM -0.6%), ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์••๋ ฅ์˜ 6์›” ์ •์ ํ†ต๊ณผ์™€ ๊ทผ์› ๋ฌผ๊ฐ€ MoM +0.2%๋Œ€ ์•ˆ์ •ํ™”๊ฐ€ ๋ณตํ•ฉ ์ž‘์šฉํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ

โ–  ๋‹จ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ํ•˜๋ฝ vs Term Premium ๊ธฐ์ธ ์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ์ง, Bull-Steepening ์ „ํ™˜์— ์ดˆ์ 

- ๋‹จ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ปจ์„ผ์„œ์Šค ๋ณ€ํ™”์— ์‹ ์ถ• ๋ฐ˜์‘(๋ฏธ 2๋…„ 7์›” ๊ณ ์  ๋Œ€๋น„ -17.6BP)ํ•œ ๋ฐ˜๋ฉด, ์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” Term Premium์ด 80.4BP๋กœ '15๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ๊ณ ์ ๊นŒ์ง€ ์น˜๋‹ฌ์œผ๋ฉฐ(์ ์ž์žฌ์ • ์šฐ๋ คยท์—ฐ์ค€ ์†Œํ†ต ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑยท์ž ๋ณต ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ) ํ”ผํฌ์•„์›ƒ์ด ์ œํ•œ. ๋‹จ, ์œ ์•ˆํƒ€์ฆ๊ถŒ์€ ์‹œ์žฅ๊ณผ ๋‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์—ฐ๋‚ด ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋™๊ฒฐ ์ง€์†๊ณผ '27๋…„ 2ํšŒ(3์›”, 9์›”) ์ธํ•˜๋ฅผ ์ „๋ง. ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ/๊ณ ์šฉ/๋ฌผ๊ฐ€ ์„œํ”„๋ผ์ด์ฆˆ ํ”ผํฌ์•„์›ƒ์€ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๋งคํŒŒ ์ •์ ํ†ต๊ณผ์™€ Term Premium ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์•ˆ์ •ํ™”๋ฅผ ์—ญ์„คํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์‹œ์žฅ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ์€ Bear-Flattening์—์„œ Bull-Steepening์œผ๋กœ์˜ ์„ฑ๊ฒฉ ๋ณ€ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋Š” ๊ตญ๋ฉด

โ–  Bull-Steepening ๊ตญ๋ฉด Winner: ์‹ค์  ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ๊ฒธ๋น„ ๋‚™ํญ๊ณผ๋Œ€์ฃผ

- Bear-Flattening(1980๋…„ ์ดํ›„ 3๊ฐœ์›” ์„ฑ๊ณผ KOSPI +1.8%๋กœ ์ „ ๊ตญ๋ฉด Worst)๋ณด๋‹ค Bull-Steepening(KOSPI +4.8%) ํ™˜๊ฒฝ์ด ์ ˆ๋Œ€์ ์œผ๋กœ ์œ ๋ฆฌ. 2005๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ๋™ ๊ตญ๋ฉด ์ดˆ๊ณผ์„ฑ๊ณผ์™€ '26๋…„ ์‹ค์  ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€์„ ๊ฒธ๋น„ํ•œ ๋Œ€์•ˆ์€ ํ•œ๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์ค€ ๊ธฐ๊ณ„, ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค, ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด, IT๊ฐ€์ „(2์ฐจ์ „์ง€), ํ™”ํ•™, ์กฐ์„ 

*๋ณธ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ํˆฌ์ž ํŒ๋‹จ์˜ ์ฐธ๊ณ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ์žํŒ๋‹จ์˜ ์ตœ์ข…์ฑ…์ž„์€ ๋ณธ ๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋ฌผ์„ ์—ด๋žŒํ•˜๋Š” ์ด์šฉ์ž์—๊ฒŒ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
*์ž๋ฃŒ์ถœ์ฒ˜: ์œ ์•ˆํƒ€์ฆ๊ถŒ ํ™ˆํŽ˜์ด์ง€
*์ž๋ฃŒ ์›๋ฌธ: https://buly.kr/9XNr4HS
๐Ÿ’ฉ3โค2
๐Ÿ“Š ์ฃผ์š” ์‹œ์žฅ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ (2026๋…„ 8์›” 18์ผ)

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”

๐ŸŸข ๊ธ์ •

Marija Veitmane (State Street Global Markets)

๊ธฐ๊ด€ํˆฌ์ž๊ฐ€๋“ค์˜ ์œ„ํ—˜์ž์‚ฐ ์„ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๊ฐ•ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ํŠนํžˆ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฆ์‹œ์™€ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ฃผ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์„ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€.

Rory McPherson (Wren Sterling)

๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์™„ํ™”๊ฐ€ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ฃผ ๋ž ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ์ด๋Œ๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์‹ค์  ์‹œ์ฆŒ ์ดํ›„ ์ง€์ง€๋ถ€์ง„ํ–ˆ๋˜ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค์‹œ ๊ฐ•์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ถ„์„.

Mark Hackett (Nationwide)

์•ฝํ•œ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰, ์ด๋ž€ ๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ, ์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์Šน์—๋„ S&P500์ด ์‹ ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๋ถ€๊ทผ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค€๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€.
์•ฝ์„ธ๋ก ์ž๋“ค์ด ์œ„ํ—˜์„ ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์‹ค์ œ๋กœ ์ ๊ทน์ ์ธ ์ˆ ํฌ์ง€์…˜์„ ์ทจํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ง€์ .

Jan Hatzius (Goldman Sachs)

์†Œ๋น„, ๊ณ ์šฉ, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ๋‘”ํ™”๋ฅผ ๊ฐ์•ˆํ•˜๋ฉด ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ•˜๋Š” ์—ฐ์ค€์˜ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋Š” ๊ณผ๋„ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์€ ๋งค์šฐ ๋‚ฎ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ „๋ง.

Jason Stephens (Evertern Wealth)

๋ฏธ๊ตญ๊ณผ ์ด๋ž€์˜ ํ˜‘์ƒ ํƒ€๊ฒฐ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’์•„์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ์–ด ์œ ๊ฐ€๋Š” ์ƒ์Šน๋ณด๋‹ค ํ•˜๋ฝ ์œ„ํ—˜์ด ๋” ํฌ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€.

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”

๐ŸŸก ์ค‘๋ฆฝ

Laura Cooper (Nuveen)

์†Œ๋น„ ๊ด€๋ จ ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์ด ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋‘”ํ™” ์‹ ํ˜ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ผ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ํ˜„์žฌ์˜ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํšŒ๋ณต ๋‚ด๋Ÿฌํ‹ฐ๋ธŒ๊ฐ€ ํ”๋“ค๋ฆด ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ง€์ .

Tony Rodriguez (Nuveen Asset Management)

์ •๋ถ€์™€ ๊ธฐ์—… ๋ชจ๋‘ ์ž๊ธˆ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ์ด ์‹ฌํ™”๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•  ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ถ„์„.

Anthony Saglimbene (Ameriprise)

๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์žฌ์ •์ ์ž ํ™•๋Œ€์™€ ๊ตญ์ฑ„ ๋ฐœํ–‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ ์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ƒ์Šน ์••๋ ฅ์„ ๋ฐ›์„ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€.
๋‹ค๋งŒ ๊ธฐ์—… ์‹ค์ ๊ณผ AI ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€์ด ์ด๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‡„ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š”์ง€๊ฐ€ ์ฆ์‹œ์˜ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๋ณ€์ˆ˜๋ผ๊ณ  ์„ค๋ช….

Skylar Montgomery Koning (Macro Strategist)

๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•œ ์„ฑ์žฅ, ์™„ํ™”๋˜๋Š” ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜, ๋‚ฎ์€ ๋ณ€๋™์„ฑ์€ ์œ„ํ—˜์ž์‚ฐ์— ์šฐํ˜ธ์ ์ธ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ์ด๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑํ•  ์ด‰๋งค๋Š” ๋ถ€์กฑํ•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ถ„์„.

Paul Mackel (HSBC)

๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑํ•  ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์€ ๋‚ฎ์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ์•ˆํ•˜๋ฉด ์‹œ๊ฐ„์ด ์ง€๋‚˜๋ฉด์„œ ์ ์ง„์ ์ธ ๊ฐ•์„ธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ „๋ง.

Laura Cooper (Nuveen)

์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ง€ํ‘œ ๋‘”ํ™”๋กœ FOMC ์˜์‚ฌ๋ก์˜ ์ค‘์š”์„ฑ์€ ๋‹ค์†Œ ๋‚ฎ์•„์กŒ์ง€๋งŒ, ์—ฐ์ค€์ด ์˜๋„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค๋ฅผ ์ค„์ด๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ์ธ ๋งŒํผ ์ž‘์€ ๋ณ€ํ™”๋„ ์‹œ์žฅ์—๋Š” ํฐ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ์ค„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€.

Darrell Cronk (Wells Fargo Investment Institute)

ํ•ต์‹ฌ์€ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๋‚ด ๋งคํŒŒ๊ฐ€ ์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š”์ง€ ์—ฌ๋ถ€์ด๋ฉฐ, 9์›” ํšŒ์˜ ์ „๊นŒ์ง€ ์ •์ฑ… ๊ธฐ์กฐ ๋ณ€ํ™”๋ฅผ ์ง€์ผœ๋ด์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ถ„์„.

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”

๐Ÿ”ด ๋ถ€์ •

Laura Cooper (Nuveen)

์†Œ๋น„ ๋‘”ํ™”์™€ ๋†’์€ ์ฐจ์ž…๋น„์šฉ์ด ๊ธฐ์—… ์‹ค์  ์ „๋ง์„ ์•…ํ™”์‹œํ‚ฌ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ฆ์‹œ์˜ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•œ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์Šคํ† ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ํ”๋“ค๋ฆด ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๊ฒฝ๊ณ .

Anthony Saglimbene (Ameriprise)

์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋” ์ƒ์Šนํ•  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ๊ธฐ์—… ์‹ค์ ๊ณผ AI ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€์ด ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋ฅผ ์ถฉ์กฑํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๋ฉด ์ฆ์‹œ๋Š” ๋†’์€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ์„ ๋” ์ด์ƒ ๊ฒฌ๋””๊ธฐ ์–ด๋ ค์šธ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๊ฒฝ๊ณ .

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”

๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปจ์„ผ์„œ์Šค

๐ŸŸข ๊ธ์ •: 5๊ฐœ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ

๐ŸŸก ์ค‘๋ฆฝ: 7๊ฐœ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ

๐Ÿ”ด ๋ถ€์ •: 2๊ฐœ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ

โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”

๐Ÿ’ก ํ•œ ์ค„ ์š”์•ฝ

์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ๋Š” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฆ์‹œ์™€ AI ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๋‚™๊ด€๋ก ์ด ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์šฐ์„ธํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์Šน๊ณผ ์†Œ๋น„ ๋‘”ํ™”๊ฐ€ ํ–ฅํ›„ ๊ฐ•์„ธ์žฅ์˜ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ๋กœ ์ฃผ๋ชฉ
โค1
์ •์ƒ์ ์ธ ์ž์œ ์ฃผ์˜ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋ผ๋ฉด ์ƒ์ƒ๋„ ๋ชปํ•  ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค ์†๋ชฉ ๋น„ํ‹€๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๋‚จ์กฐ์„  ์ •๋ถ€์—์„œ ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚Œ์—†์ด ํ•˜๋Š”๊ฑธ ๋ณด๋‹ˆ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ๋„ ํ•ด๋‹ฌ๋ผ๊ณ  ์š”์ฒญํ•˜๋Š”๊ฑฐ์ง€ ใ…‹ใ…‹ใ…‹ใ…‹ ๋ป”ํ•œ๊ฑฐ ์•„๋‹ˆ๊ฒ ์–ด? ๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์ค‘์ฐจ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ผ์€ ์‹ ์ค‘ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌํ•ด์•ผ ๋˜๋Š”๋ฐ ์ž„๊ธฐ๋‚ด ์—…์  ๋‹ฌ์„ฑ์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋ฌด๋ฆฌํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋ฐ€์–ด๋ถ™์ด๋‹ˆ ํƒˆ์ด ๋‚  ์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ–์—...

https://n.news.naver.com/article/025/0003544960
20โค6๐Ÿ˜ฑ2