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The House of Saud : 사우디 방공망 요격능력 위기 심각성 보도

7월13일부터 사우디는 후티 드론 미사일 요격 중단

The coalition has not launched a single airstrike against Yemen since July 13. On that date, six Houthi ballistic missiles and drones struck Abha International Airport and King Khalid Air Base at Khamis Mushait. No retaliatory strike followed, extending a four-year air pause that had held since the 2022 UN-brokered truce.

패트리어트 미사일 재고 수준 -86% 감소 (약 400발)

Saudi Arabia’s PAC-3 interceptor stockpile has fallen to approximately 400 rounds from an original inventory of 2,800 — a drawdown of 86 percent over roughly 38 days of high-intensity combat in March and April 2026. CSIS analysts described the depletion rate as without precedent in the system’s operational history. Lockheed Martin’s Camden, Arkansas production facility cannot deliver replacement rounds before 2028. At the consumption rates observed during the March-April period, the remaining 400 interceptors could be exhausted within two to six weeks of renewed high-intensity engagement.

반면 후티 반군 아람코 정유시설까지 공격 확대 시사

Ansarullah’s political bureau has named Saudi Aramco’s oil infrastructure as a target set — oil wells, transmission lines, tankers, refineries, exporting ports, and petrochemical plants — in a statement timed to arrive when Saudi Arabia’s air defenses cannot answer the threat. Hizam al-Assad published the list on July 18, one day after Abdul Malik al-Houthi declared all Saudi oil facilities legitimate targets in a televised address, and five days after six Houthi ballistic missiles struck Abha International Airport without drawing a single coalition airstrike in response.

파키스탄 HQ-9 중국산 방공시스템 사실상 무용지물

Pakistan’s HQ-9 battery operates outside Saudi Arabia’s integrated air defense system. Yanbu, the kingdom’s only Red Sea oil export terminal bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, is running above its sustainable capacity ceiling. The threat exploits a defense vacuum that is structural, not temporary. Pakistan’s HQ-9 battery at PSAB has yet to record a confirmed combat intercept

사우디 주요 원유시설 대부분 후티의 공격 범위에 위치

The Washington Institute for Near East Policy confirmed that the Sammad-3 loitering munition can reach Saudi targets as far as 900 miles from northern Yemen, and the Zulfiqar ballistic missile — a Fateh-110 derivative — has a range of 1,400 km, placing every named category inside the engagement envelope.

Abqaiq is the world’s largest crude oil processing and stabilization plant. Its capacity — 7 million barrels per day — accounts for more than half of Saudi Arabia’s total crude output. Every barrel of Saudi crude from the Eastern Province’s Ghawar, Shaybah, and Khurais fields passes through Abqaiq before reaching an export terminal or the East-West Pipeline.

이란과 유사한 드론+미사일 섞어쏘기 따른 재고 고갈

The saturation problem compounds the stockpile problem. PAC-3 is designed to engage one target per interceptor — each incoming drone, cruise missile, or ballistic reentry vehicle requires its own round. A saturation attack combining Sammad-3 drones, Quds-2 cruise missiles, and Zulfiqar ballistic missiles across multiple Aramco facilities simultaneously would force PAC-3 operators to allocate from a finite pool across multiple axes. At 400 remaining rounds distributed across the kingdom’s entire air defense network, the arithmetic does not support sustained defense of even one major facility against a multi-vector saturation attack.

2-5월 상황과 달리 원유 공급 차질 장기화 리스크 부각

The paradox is familiar to any energy-exporting state under military threat: a strike on its own infrastructure would likely spike crude prices and increase revenue per barrel on surviving output — but only if the disruption is temporary and the market trusts the restoration timeline. A sustained disruption, or one that damages the East-West Pipeline’s Abqaiq origin point, would reduce both volume and market confidence simultaneously. The 2019 attack took weeks to repair into a benign fiscal environment. The 2026 version has no such buffer.

https://houseofsaud.com/the-houthis-named-what-saudi-arabia-cannot-defend/

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