Crypto soothsayer
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Current news from the world of cryptocurrencies and market analysis. Read us and have up-to-date information! We are open for cooperation: https://t.iss.one/kryptoadv
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πŸ’₯Crypto companies Kalshi, Polymarket, and Phantom have been named among the Top 50 most innovative fintech companies worldwide by Forbes!

This marks a major milestone for the industry: prediction markets and crypto wallets are no longer niche tools, but core parts of the global fintech landscape.

πŸ“Œ Crypto infrastructure is steadily moving from the fringe into the financial mainstream β€” with institutional recognition to match.
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🐸 Vitalik vs Aliens

Vitalik Buterin placed a $148,000 bet on Polymarket that the US will NOT officially confirm the existence of aliens before 2027. πŸ‘€

This comes right after Donald Trump promised to declassify UFO-related files β€” which instantly pushed Polymarket odds from 12% to 28%.

🧠 Vitalik’s track record:

2024: $52k bet β†’ +$1.5k
2025: $25k bet β†’ +$2.7k
2026: $148k on β€œNO” β†’ potential +$16k

πŸ’¬ You can invent Ethereum, but Trump can still move the market with one sentence.

Now the question: does Vitalik double down… or is disclosure closer than we think? πŸ‘½
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Supreme Court strikes down Trump-era tariffs

🏦 The Supreme Court of the United States ruled that Donald Trump overstepped his authority by using emergency powers (IEEPA) to impose global trade tariffs. The decision covers both β€œreciprocal” and targeted import duties, some of which were justified by the administration as part of the fight against fentanyl trafficking.

The ruling opens the door to refund claims exceeding $150B in already collected tariffs β€” a serious fiscal risk. Hundreds of lawsuits seeking reimbursements are still pending, and the refund process is expected to be messy. The Court has not yet clarified who would be eligible for compensation.

Trump’s response:
β€’ Called the ruling a β€œdisgrace.”
β€’ Said he has a backup plan for tariffs.
β€’ Claimed courts need to be dealt with.

⚠️ Despite the setback, fentanyl-related tariffs remain in force. Trump says alternative, more effective tools than IEEPA will be used β€” and that the government could collect even more revenue going forward.πŸ‘€
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USDT supply is shrinking πŸ’΅πŸ“‰

The circulating supply of Tether’s USDT fell by $1.5B in February, following another $1.2B decline in January, according to Bloomberg. πŸ—ž

If this trend holds, USDT is on track for its largest monthly contraction since December 2022 β€” when investors pulled roughly $2B after the collapse of FTX. 🧐

πŸ“‰ A shrinking stablecoin supply often signals reduced risk appetite and tighter liquidity across crypto markets, as capital temporarily exits or moves to alternatives.
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πŸ—½ CZ back in the US β€” post-prison appearance

Changpeng Zhao has visited the US for the first time since serving his sentence, attending a crypto summit hosted by World Liberty Financial at Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence.

πŸ’° Earlier, Binance admitted to regulatory violations in the US and paid a $3.4B fine. Zhao personally paid $50M, served four months in prison, and received a presidential pardon in 2025. Media reports suggested possible links between WLFI and Binance around the launch of the USD1 stablecoin, but all parties deny any backroom deals.

The event was also attended by executives from major banks, exchanges, and regulators β€” signaling renewed dialogue between crypto, TradFi, and policymakers in the US.
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πŸ‹ Whales are back on exchanges β€” and in force

πŸ”Ž According to CryptoQuant, the Exchange Whale Ratio has surged to 0.64, its highest level since 2015.

This means 64% of all BTC inflows to exchanges now come from just 10 largest wallets β€” an extreme concentration not seen in 11 years. πŸ‘€

πŸ“Š Historically, such levels have often preceded increased selling pressure, as large holders move coins to exchanges ahead of distribution.

⚠️ While not a timing signal on its own, this data suggests whales are becoming active β€” a factor the market can’t ignore.
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πŸ“Š Bitcoin trading well below β€œfair value”

According to Bitwise, BTC is currently trading nearly 40% below its implied fair value, based on global ETP fund flows.

This gap suggests that current market prices do not fully reflect institutional demand coming through regulated investment products. πŸ‘€

πŸ“‰ In simple terms: sentiment and price are lagging behind capital flows β€” a setup that has historically appeared during periods of fear and underpricing.

Whether this turns into a rebound or stays undervalued depends on broader macro and risk appetite, but the disconnect is hard to ignore. πŸ€”
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πŸ“‰ Bitcoin starts the week with a sharp drop

BTC opened the week with a nearly 5% sell-off, briefly falling below $65,000. Major cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin lower and are trading in the red as well.

😱 Market sentiment hit extremes: the Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged to 5/100, firmly in the β€œExtreme Fear” zone β€” one of the lowest readings on record.

πŸ’₯ According to Coinglass, around $480M in positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with almost half coming from Bitcoin long positions.
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πŸ’³ Vitalik Buterin is selling ETH

Over the past two days, Vitalik has sold over $3.67M worth of ETH, and on-chain data shows he’s still swapping ETH for stablecoins.

πŸ“‰Since his sales began, ETH dropped from ~$1,988 to ~$1,875, adding fuel to speculation across crypto Twitter.

So what is it?

β–ͺ️ Selling ahead of a deeper drop?
β–ͺ️ Or just cashing out ETH for donations and expenses, as he’s done before? πŸ‘€
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πŸ“‰ Bitcoin miners under pressure

πŸ›  Mining company Bitdeer sold 943 BTC, fully liquidating its Bitcoin reserves. The move highlights growing stress across the mining sector as margins shrink and post-halving economics bite harder.

With lower block rewards and rising operational costs, miners are increasingly forced to sell holdings to maintain liquidity and cover expenses. πŸ’΅

The trend suggests that even large, well-capitalized players are feeling the squeeze β€” adding short-term sell pressure to the market and underscoring how tough this cycle has become for miners. 🀷
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πŸ† Strategy on the brink of a milestone

If Strategy buys Bitcoin again today β€” and Michael Saylor’s hint looks almost certain β€” this purchase would become the company’s 100th BTC buy in under 6 years. πŸŽ†

Put into perspective:
If you spread all Strategy’s Bitcoin purchases across that time, it means ~355 BTC bought every single day, on average.

No timing the market.
Just relentless accumulation. πŸŸ πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ₯Ά Bitcoin network activity keeps cooling

πŸ”Ž According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s on-chain activity has been declining for six consecutive months. The last time a similar drop was recorded was in 2024 β€” when BTC fell only about 30%, much less than recent moves.

That said, context matters. Historically, during prolonged price weakness, many Bitcoin holders simply go into hibernation: fewer transactions, less noise, more waiting.😴
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Crypto soothsayer
πŸ† Strategy on the brink of a milestone If Strategy buys Bitcoin again today β€” and Michael Saylor’s hint looks almost certain β€” this purchase would become the company’s 100th BTC buy in under 6 years. πŸŽ† Put into perspective: If you spread all Strategy’s…
πŸŽ‰ Michael Saylor hits a milestone

Michael Saylor just celebrated a major anniversary: Strategy completed its 100th Bitcoin purchase! πŸ’°

✊ The company added 592 BTC for $39.8M at an average price of $67,286 per coin.

πŸ“Š Current totals:
β€’ 717,722 BTC on the balance sheet
β€’ $54.56B invested in total
β€’ $76,020 average purchase price

Six years, a hundred buys, and still stacking. Conviction mode: ON. πŸš€
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πŸ“‰ Bitcoin dΓ©jΓ  vu: echoes of 2022

BTC briefly dipped below $63K overnight β€” and the move doesn’t look finished yet. Sellers remain in control as consistent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs keep pressuring the market. 🧐

Adding to the heat, Strategy is now sitting on an unrealized loss of ~$9.5B, highlighting how deep the drawdown has become for even the strongest conviction holders.

For now, momentum favors the bears β€” and the market is starting to feel uncomfortably familiar. 🌑
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πŸ•΅οΈβ€β™‚οΈ Crypto community awaits a major insider trading exposΓ©

Well-known on-chain investigator ZachXBT announced he will publish a major investigation on February 26, targeting what he calls β€œcrypto’s most profitable businesses”. According to him, project insiders allegedly abused non-public information for long-term insider trading. πŸ“Š

Speculation is already heating up. On Polymarket, the leading candidate is Meteora, currently holding ~40% probability. πŸ€”

Other names in the betting pool include Pump.fun, Axiom, Jupiter, World Liberty Financial, as well as major exchanges like Binance and MEXC.

All eyes now on February 26 β€” the reveal could shake the industry. πŸ‘€
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πŸ” How deep can BTC correct?

Traders on Kalshi are betting that Bitcoin’s low for this year could land around $44,000.

This reflects growing caution in market expectations, with participants pricing in a deeper drawdown before any meaningful recovery. πŸ“‰πŸ‘€
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πŸ‡§πŸ‡Ή Bhutan opens up to digital nomads

πŸ†” Bhutan has launched a digital nomad visa priced at $2,800 per year, allowing foreigners to live and travel across the country for 12 months.

A key condition: applicants must also invest $10,000 into Bhutan’s sovereign financial infrastructure by purchasing TER, a new gold-backed crypto asset. πŸ’°

This marks a major shift for a country that, for decades, tightly restricted tourism with mandatory guides and daily fees of $100–250. The new visa signals Bhutan’s move toward a more open, innovation-friendly model β€” blending controlled openness with crypto and long-term visitors. ✈️
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πŸ“† 26 years ago, Michael Saylor lost $6B in a single day

Back in 2000, during the dot-com bubble collapse, Michael Saylor saw his net worth shrink by roughly $6 billion in one day as tech stocks imploded. πŸ“‰

The takeaway? He’s been through far worse than today’s unrealized losses.

History suggests Saylor knows exactly what volatility feels like. 🧐
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πŸŽ‰ Another anniversary, 10 years apart

Today marks 16 years since Satoshi Nakamoto introduced an updated Bitcoin logo, placing the β‚Ώ symbol on a golden coin.

A quick throwback:

β–ͺ️2009: The very first logo featured β€œBC” on a gold coin. Discussions on BitcoinTalk even led to the birth of the BTC ticker.
β–ͺ️Feb 24, 2010: Satoshi refined the design, leaving only the β€œB” and adding two vertical strokes. Some users worried it looked too similar to the Thai baht.
β–ͺ️Nov 1, 2010: An anonymous user, bitboy, finalized history β€” transforming Satoshi’s idea into the iconic orange β‚Ώ logo we all know today.

From a simple gold coin to a global symbol of financial freedom β€” happy birthday to the Bitcoin logo 🟠
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🏦 Binance Releases Its 39th Proof of Reserves Report

Binance has published its latest Proof of Reserves snapshot, showing mixed dynamics across major assets:

BTC holdings: ~639,000 BTC
βž• +2,614 BTC (+0.41%) vs the January 1 report

ETH holdings: ~4.18M ETH
βž– βˆ’162,469 ETH (βˆ’3.74%)

USDT holdings: ~36.8B USDT
βž– βˆ’$1.16B (βˆ’3.07%)

πŸ“Š Takeaway: Bitcoin balances on Binance continue to grow slightly, while ETH and USDT reserves are declining, reflecting reduced stablecoin liquidity and lower ETH exposure from users. This likely mirrors broader market caution rather than platform-specific stress.
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πŸ“Š Retail hands over Bitcoin to institutions

Under growing pressure, individual Bitcoin holders are gradually giving way to businesses and institutional investors. What started as a retail-driven asset is increasingly consolidating in stronger hands with longer time horizons. πŸ’΅

If institutions end up winning this race, history may look back differently: those who manage to hold their coins through today’s volatility could be remembered as the β€œlegends” of this cycle. πŸ’ͺ

πŸ’­ Sometimes the hardest strategy isn’t buying β€” it’s simply not selling.
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