๐ Whatโs Next: Bull Market or Bear Market?
After a second consecutive double-digit weekly decline, analysts at K33 Research expect Bitcoin to enter a period of stagnation between $60k and $75k. ๐
At the same time, they note a high probability that the market is approaching a bottom. Current on-chain and market metrics are hovering near levels last seen at major cycle lows in 2018, 2020, and 2022. ๐
In short, downside pressure remains, but historical data suggests BTC may be closer to exhaustion than to the start of a new deep sell-off. ๐ค
After a second consecutive double-digit weekly decline, analysts at K33 Research expect Bitcoin to enter a period of stagnation between $60k and $75k. ๐
At the same time, they note a high probability that the market is approaching a bottom. Current on-chain and market metrics are hovering near levels last seen at major cycle lows in 2018, 2020, and 2022. ๐
In short, downside pressure remains, but historical data suggests BTC may be closer to exhaustion than to the start of a new deep sell-off. ๐ค
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๐ US Banks Take a Hard Line on the Clarity Act
US banks have pushed a tough stance during White House discussions on the Clarity Act, insisting that stablecoins should not offer any yield. Their position aims to limit competition with traditional banking products and keep interest-bearing assets firmly under bank control. ๐คท
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is being pressed toward the lower bound of its current range. A breakdown below this level could open the door to a return to February 5 price levels ๐ก
US banks have pushed a tough stance during White House discussions on the Clarity Act, insisting that stablecoins should not offer any yield. Their position aims to limit competition with traditional banking products and keep interest-bearing assets firmly under bank control. ๐คท
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is being pressed toward the lower bound of its current range. A breakdown below this level could open the door to a return to February 5 price levels ๐ก
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๐ฆ Goldman Sachs Holds $2.3B in Crypto
According to the latest disclosures, Goldman Sachs now holds around $2.3 billion in crypto assets. ๐ฐ
Portfolio breakdown:
โช๏ธ BTC โ $1.1B
โช๏ธ ETH โ $1.0B
โช๏ธ XRP โ $153M
โช๏ธ SOL โ $108M
The numbers highlight how deeply traditional finance is already exposed to crypto โ not just Bitcoin and Ethereum, but also major altcoins.
The real question now isnโt if institutions are in crypto, but how much volatility theyโre willing to sit through when markets get rough ๐ค
According to the latest disclosures, Goldman Sachs now holds around $2.3 billion in crypto assets. ๐ฐ
Portfolio breakdown:
โช๏ธ BTC โ $1.1B
โช๏ธ ETH โ $1.0B
โช๏ธ XRP โ $153M
โช๏ธ SOL โ $108M
The numbers highlight how deeply traditional finance is already exposed to crypto โ not just Bitcoin and Ethereum, but also major altcoins.
The real question now isnโt if institutions are in crypto, but how much volatility theyโre willing to sit through when markets get rough ๐ค
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๐ญ SharpLink Makes $1M per Week on Ethereum Staking
SharpLink is earning around $1 million per week from Ethereum staking, proving that yield strategies can shine even in tough market conditions.
Over the past 7 days, the company added 552 ETH to its treasury as staking rewards. Since launching the program on June 2, 2025, total rewards have already reached 13,113 ETH. ๐ฐ
While prices may be under pressure, consistent staking income helps smooth out volatility. Turns out, a bear market feels a lot less painful when you prepared for it in advance. ๐ช
SharpLink is earning around $1 million per week from Ethereum staking, proving that yield strategies can shine even in tough market conditions.
Over the past 7 days, the company added 552 ETH to its treasury as staking rewards. Since launching the program on June 2, 2025, total rewards have already reached 13,113 ETH. ๐ฐ
While prices may be under pressure, consistent staking income helps smooth out volatility. Turns out, a bear market feels a lot less painful when you prepared for it in advance. ๐ช
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๐ค Van de Poppe: Final Stage of the Bear Market
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Crypto analyst Michaรซl van de Poppe believes the crypto market peaked in December 2024 and is now going through the final phase of the bear market, with Bitcoin likely near its bottom.
Supporting this view, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to levels last seen during COVID-19 panic and the Terra collapse. Historically, both periods were followed by strong Bitcoin rallies. ๐ง
In short, sentiment is deeply pessimistic โ and in crypto, that has often marked the moment when the market quietly prepares for its next major move up. ๐
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Crypto analyst Michaรซl van de Poppe believes the crypto market peaked in December 2024 and is now going through the final phase of the bear market, with Bitcoin likely near its bottom.
Supporting this view, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to levels last seen during COVID-19 panic and the Terra collapse. Historically, both periods were followed by strong Bitcoin rallies. ๐ง
In short, sentiment is deeply pessimistic โ and in crypto, that has often marked the moment when the market quietly prepares for its next major move up. ๐
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Binance has officially completed its $1 billion Bitcoin purchase program for the SAFU fund ๐ฐ
๐ธ As a result, the SAFU wallet now holds around 15,000 BTC, strengthening Binanceโs reserve backing and risk protection buffer.
However, despite such a large institutional buy, the market reaction has been muted. For now, this demand hasnโt been enough to help Bitcoin confidently reclaim and hold above the $70k level ๐
๐ธ As a result, the SAFU wallet now holds around 15,000 BTC, strengthening Binanceโs reserve backing and risk protection buffer.
However, despite such a large institutional buy, the market reaction has been muted. For now, this demand hasnโt been enough to help Bitcoin confidently reclaim and hold above the $70k level ๐
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๐ป Crypto Fear & Greed Index Hits Record Lows
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5 out of 100, marking a level of extreme fear โ even lower than during the Terra collapse in 2022. ๐
Such readings reflect deep pessimism, forced selling, and widespread uncertainty across the market.
๐ Historically, moments of extreme fear have often appeared near major bottoms, when sentiment is at its worst and risk appetite disappears. But no one guarantees that Bitcoin won't fall even lower, even below $60,000 and get stuck there for years to come...๐คท
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5 out of 100, marking a level of extreme fear โ even lower than during the Terra collapse in 2022. ๐
Such readings reflect deep pessimism, forced selling, and widespread uncertainty across the market.
๐ Historically, moments of extreme fear have often appeared near major bottoms, when sentiment is at its worst and risk appetite disappears. But no one guarantees that Bitcoin won't fall even lower, even below $60,000 and get stuck there for years to come...๐คท
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๐ค Is the โAge of Speculationโ in Crypto Ending?
๐จโ๐ผ Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes the current downturn is more than a simple correction โ it may signal a structural shift in the crypto industry.
Whatโs happening:
โข BTC is down 21% YTD and nearly 50% from its October 2025 peak
โข Thereโs no single shock like FTX, though Fear & Greed is already at extreme lows ๐ฅถ
โข The market is still digesting the $19.3B liquidation event in October, when 1.6M traders were wiped out in a single day ๐ช
โข Retail investors chase 10xโ30x returns, while institutions bring a very different, lower-risk mindset ๐ฆ
Whatโs next:
โ Speculation wonโt disappear, but it may fade into the background
โ Crypto rails will increasingly support real-world assets
โ Tokenized stocks and RWAs with more modest returns could become the new norm
Crypto may be growing up โ fewer moonshots, more structure, and a very different market dynamic ahead. ๐ค
๐จโ๐ผ Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes the current downturn is more than a simple correction โ it may signal a structural shift in the crypto industry.
Whatโs happening:
โข BTC is down 21% YTD and nearly 50% from its October 2025 peak
โข Thereโs no single shock like FTX, though Fear & Greed is already at extreme lows ๐ฅถ
โข The market is still digesting the $19.3B liquidation event in October, when 1.6M traders were wiped out in a single day ๐ช
โข Retail investors chase 10xโ30x returns, while institutions bring a very different, lower-risk mindset ๐ฆ
Whatโs next:
โ Speculation wonโt disappear, but it may fade into the background
โ Crypto rails will increasingly support real-world assets
โ Tokenized stocks and RWAs with more modest returns could become the new norm
Crypto may be growing up โ fewer moonshots, more structure, and a very different market dynamic ahead. ๐ค
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๐ค Could USDT Overtake ETH and BTC by Market Cap?
๐ Bloombergโs senior strategist Mike McGlone suggests a scenario where USDT could surpass both Ethereum and Bitcoin in market capitalization.
His outlook is based on a highly bearish forecast: ETH falling to $1,500 and BTC dropping to $10,000. In such a risk-off environment, McGlone argues that capital could continue flowing into stablecoins, boosting their dominance while major crypto assets lose value ๐ฌ
๐ Bloombergโs senior strategist Mike McGlone suggests a scenario where USDT could surpass both Ethereum and Bitcoin in market capitalization.
His outlook is based on a highly bearish forecast: ETH falling to $1,500 and BTC dropping to $10,000. In such a risk-off environment, McGlone argues that capital could continue flowing into stablecoins, boosting their dominance while major crypto assets lose value ๐ฌ
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๐ต๏ธ Crypto Conspiracy Theory: Arrests = BTC Bottoms?
Crypto Twitter has spotted a curious pattern: every local Bitcoin bottom seems to coincide with the arrest of a major โcrypto CEOโ โ followed by a parabolic market rally ๐คจ
Examples often cited:
โช๏ธ 2019 โ Alexander Vinnik (BTC-e)
โช๏ธ 2022โ2023 โ Do Kwon & Sam Bankman-Fried (Terra, FTX)
โช๏ธ 2024 โ CZ (Binance)
The latest addition to the list: Braden Karony, CEO of SafeMoon.
Of course, this is pure crypto folklore โ correlation, not causation. But in a market that thrives on narratives, some traders are already joking: new arrest = new bottom.
Coincidenceโฆ or just another chapter in cryptoโs favorite conspiracy book? ๐
Crypto Twitter has spotted a curious pattern: every local Bitcoin bottom seems to coincide with the arrest of a major โcrypto CEOโ โ followed by a parabolic market rally ๐คจ
Examples often cited:
โช๏ธ 2019 โ Alexander Vinnik (BTC-e)
โช๏ธ 2022โ2023 โ Do Kwon & Sam Bankman-Fried (Terra, FTX)
โช๏ธ 2024 โ CZ (Binance)
The latest addition to the list: Braden Karony, CEO of SafeMoon.
Of course, this is pure crypto folklore โ correlation, not causation. But in a market that thrives on narratives, some traders are already joking: new arrest = new bottom.
Coincidenceโฆ or just another chapter in cryptoโs favorite conspiracy book? ๐
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๐ข๐ Tom Lee Predicts a V-Shaped ETH Recovery
Market strategist Tom Lee is calling for a V-shaped rebound in Ethereum, pointing to history as his main argument.
Since 2018, ETH has already rebounded eight times after drops of more than 50%. According to Lee, the current drawdown fits the same pattern โ and if history rhymes, a sharp recovery could follow. ๐
Of course, markets donโt always repeat themselves. The big question remains: will this be another textbook bounce, or is this time different? ๐ค
Market strategist Tom Lee is calling for a V-shaped rebound in Ethereum, pointing to history as his main argument.
Since 2018, ETH has already rebounded eight times after drops of more than 50%. According to Lee, the current drawdown fits the same pattern โ and if history rhymes, a sharp recovery could follow. ๐
Of course, markets donโt always repeat themselves. The big question remains: will this be another textbook bounce, or is this time different? ๐ค
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๐ Market Dips, Mood Shifts
Bitcoin slid again toward $66,000, and the altcoin market followed โ pressure is clearly back. But the most memorable moment came not from the charts.
๐ Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, showed heโs mentally ready for a bear market. At the Consensus event in Hong Kong, he appeared on stage wearing a McDonaldโs uniform, turning market stress into a viral performance.
His message was blunt and symbolic:
Bitcoin slid again toward $66,000, and the altcoin market followed โ pressure is clearly back. But the most memorable moment came not from the charts.
๐ Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, showed heโs mentally ready for a bear market. At the Consensus event in Hong Kong, he appeared on stage wearing a McDonaldโs uniform, turning market stress into a viral performance.
His message was blunt and symbolic:
โShit is getting real.โ ๐
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Crypto Custody Failure in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท
Police in Gangnam District have reportedly lost 22 BTC confiscated back in 2021. ๐ The bitcoins were drained from a seized hardware wallet โ even though the physical device itself never went missing. ๐
The disappearance went unnoticed for a long time due to a suspended investigation, and an internal probe is now underway.
The audit was triggered by an even bigger incident: 320 BTC recently vanished from the prosecutorโs office in Gwangju. According to local reports, employees fell victim to a phishing attack, leaking wallet credentials after visiting a fake website.๐ฅท
๐ In total, South Korean authorities lost confiscated BTC worth ~$48 million, exposing serious weaknesses in state-level crypto storage and cybersecurity.
Police in Gangnam District have reportedly lost 22 BTC confiscated back in 2021. ๐ The bitcoins were drained from a seized hardware wallet โ even though the physical device itself never went missing. ๐
The disappearance went unnoticed for a long time due to a suspended investigation, and an internal probe is now underway.
The audit was triggered by an even bigger incident: 320 BTC recently vanished from the prosecutorโs office in Gwangju. According to local reports, employees fell victim to a phishing attack, leaking wallet credentials after visiting a fake website.๐ฅท
๐ In total, South Korean authorities lost confiscated BTC worth ~$48 million, exposing serious weaknesses in state-level crypto storage and cybersecurity.
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๐ซ๐ท Binance in the Crosshairs: Armed Attack Linked to Crypto Crime Wave in France
An attempted armed home invasion targeted the head of Binance France in Val-de-Marne.
๐ฅท Three masked men broke into the house looking for him, but he wasnโt home. They fled with two phones. ๐คท๐ฑ
A few hours later, the same group attacked another address, hoping to reach a different crypto entrepreneur โ but they picked the wrong house. Thanks to CCTV, the suspects were tracked down and arrested at a train station in Lyon. ๐
This is far from an isolated case. France has already gained notoriety for crypto-related kidnappings and physical extortion, where attackers try to steal assets through violence or threats.
๐ Recent examples:
โช๏ธArmed attackers tying up victims to steal crypto access devices.
โช๏ธOver 70 โwrench attacksโ globally last year, with 14+ in France alone.
โช๏ธIn 2025, David Balland, co-founder of Ledger, was kidnapped for a crypto ransom and later freed by special forces.
An attempted armed home invasion targeted the head of Binance France in Val-de-Marne.
๐ฅท Three masked men broke into the house looking for him, but he wasnโt home. They fled with two phones. ๐คท๐ฑ
A few hours later, the same group attacked another address, hoping to reach a different crypto entrepreneur โ but they picked the wrong house. Thanks to CCTV, the suspects were tracked down and arrested at a train station in Lyon. ๐
This is far from an isolated case. France has already gained notoriety for crypto-related kidnappings and physical extortion, where attackers try to steal assets through violence or threats.
๐ Recent examples:
โช๏ธArmed attackers tying up victims to steal crypto access devices.
โช๏ธOver 70 โwrench attacksโ globally last year, with 14+ in France alone.
โช๏ธIn 2025, David Balland, co-founder of Ledger, was kidnapped for a crypto ransom and later freed by special forces.
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๐ณ Whales Are Buying the Dip
Large BTC holders are aggressively accumulating coins during the price decline. Transfers to so-called accumulation addresses have reached their highest level since early 2022. ๐ง
While retail investors are locking in losses and exiting in fear, whales are treating the drawdown as a strategic entry opportunity.
๐ Historically, similar accumulation phases during periods of panic have often preceded strong market rebounds. Once again, smart money appears to be moving against the crowd.
Large BTC holders are aggressively accumulating coins during the price decline. Transfers to so-called accumulation addresses have reached their highest level since early 2022. ๐ง
While retail investors are locking in losses and exiting in fear, whales are treating the drawdown as a strategic entry opportunity.
๐ Historically, similar accumulation phases during periods of panic have often preceded strong market rebounds. Once again, smart money appears to be moving against the crowd.
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๐งฎ The Peter Schiff Indicator at Work
If you had bought $1 worth of BTC every time Peter Schiff mentioned Bitcoin on Twitter โ 1,836 times since 2013 โ hereโs where youโd be today:
โข Total invested: $1,836
โข BTC accumulated: ~0.174 BTC
โข Portfolio value at $66,000: ~$11,500
โข Profit: +530%
For comparison ๐
If you had bought gold with the same strategy:
โข ~0.45 oz of gold
โข Current value: ~$2,280
โข Return: ~25%
Turns out one of Bitcoinโs loudest critics accidentally created a pretty solid DCA strategy. ๐
If you had bought $1 worth of BTC every time Peter Schiff mentioned Bitcoin on Twitter โ 1,836 times since 2013 โ hereโs where youโd be today:
โข Total invested: $1,836
โข BTC accumulated: ~0.174 BTC
โข Portfolio value at $66,000: ~$11,500
โข Profit: +530%
For comparison ๐
If you had bought gold with the same strategy:
โข ~0.45 oz of gold
โข Current value: ~$2,280
โข Return: ~25%
Turns out one of Bitcoinโs loudest critics accidentally created a pretty solid DCA strategy. ๐
๐7
๐ค The Best Traders of 2025โฆ in the US Congress
Turns out the most consistent alpha this year isnโt coming from hedge funds โ itโs coming from lawmakers. ๐ฆ
According to data shared by Unusual Whales, both Republicans and Democrats have outperformed the S&P 500 year over year.
The best part?
๐ Zero official insider trading cases.
Just pure talent, timingโฆ and coincidence, of course.
๐ Congress beats the market
๐ Fully legal (apparently)
๐ Still no trading courses for sale โ sadly
Retail traders can only watch and learnโฆ or vote differently ๐
Turns out the most consistent alpha this year isnโt coming from hedge funds โ itโs coming from lawmakers. ๐ฆ
According to data shared by Unusual Whales, both Republicans and Democrats have outperformed the S&P 500 year over year.
The best part?
๐ Zero official insider trading cases.
Just pure talent, timingโฆ and coincidence, of course.
๐ Congress beats the market
๐ Fully legal (apparently)
๐ Still no trading courses for sale โ sadly
Retail traders can only watch and learnโฆ or vote differently ๐
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๐ Who Pumped Gold? Central Banks Did the Heavy Lifting
Since 2020, countries have added nearly 2,000 tons of gold to their reserves, according to data from Visual Capitalist.๐
Top gold buyers since 2020:
โข China: +357 tons
โข Poland: +314 tons
โข Turkey: +251 tons
โข Italy: +245 tons
โข Brazil: +105 tons
๐ Whatโs behind it?
โช๏ธBeijing continues its long-term strategy of reducing reliance on the US dollar.
โช๏ธWarsaw is hedging against economic and political instability in the EU.
Then retail investors joined the party โ and gold prices went vertical ๐
As a side effect, silver also pumped, becoming the โcheap alternativeโ once gold started to look too expensive.
Smart money first, retail later โ classic market cycle. ๐
Since 2020, countries have added nearly 2,000 tons of gold to their reserves, according to data from Visual Capitalist.๐
Top gold buyers since 2020:
โข China: +357 tons
โข Poland: +314 tons
โข Turkey: +251 tons
โข Italy: +245 tons
โข Brazil: +105 tons
๐ Whatโs behind it?
โช๏ธBeijing continues its long-term strategy of reducing reliance on the US dollar.
โช๏ธWarsaw is hedging against economic and political instability in the EU.
Then retail investors joined the party โ and gold prices went vertical ๐
As a side effect, silver also pumped, becoming the โcheap alternativeโ once gold started to look too expensive.
Smart money first, retail later โ classic market cycle. ๐
๐5
๐ฏ๐ต Metaplanet: Japanโs โMicroStrategyโ Deep in the Red on Bitcoin
๐ Metaplanet reported an unrealized loss of ~$664M (ยฅ102.2B) from revaluing its Bitcoin holdings for FY2025. Despite the drawdown, the company massively increased its BTC stack to 35,102 BTC, up from just 1,762 a year earlier โ making it the 4th largest public Bitcoin holder, often compared to Strategy.
๐ The loss is purely on paper, but the market reacted: Metaplanet shares (ticker 3350) are now ~80% below their June peak on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
๐ At the same time, fundamentals look wild:
โข Revenue +738% YoY to ~$58M
โข Profit +1,694% YoY to ~$41M
๐ก The key driver wasnโt BTC price appreciation, but Bitcoin options trading. Because of this, Metaplanet says itโs no longer just a โBitcoin treasury,โ but a company focused on Bitcoin and derivatives operations.
High conviction, high volatility โ Japanese-style Bitcoin maximalism in action.
๐ Metaplanet reported an unrealized loss of ~$664M (ยฅ102.2B) from revaluing its Bitcoin holdings for FY2025. Despite the drawdown, the company massively increased its BTC stack to 35,102 BTC, up from just 1,762 a year earlier โ making it the 4th largest public Bitcoin holder, often compared to Strategy.
๐ The loss is purely on paper, but the market reacted: Metaplanet shares (ticker 3350) are now ~80% below their June peak on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
๐ At the same time, fundamentals look wild:
โข Revenue +738% YoY to ~$58M
โข Profit +1,694% YoY to ~$41M
๐ก The key driver wasnโt BTC price appreciation, but Bitcoin options trading. Because of this, Metaplanet says itโs no longer just a โBitcoin treasury,โ but a company focused on Bitcoin and derivatives operations.
High conviction, high volatility โ Japanese-style Bitcoin maximalism in action.
๐6
Tom Lee: Crypto winter is either over or will end by April
Key takeaways from his latest podcast:
1๏ธโฃ Market Sentiment: Panic selling in crypto signals the bottom is near. Most TradFi investors are happy not to own BTC โ another sign the market is early in recovery.
2๏ธโฃ BTC vs Gold: Short-term BTC weakness vs Gold doesnโt mean structural loss. Since 2010, BTC has outpaced inflation far more consistently than Gold, even through bear markets.
3๏ธโฃ Macro Tailwinds: Cooling inflation, a dovish new Fed chair, and ISM >50 indicate the US economy is shifting from slowdown to growth โ bullish for stocks and crypto in 2026.
4๏ธโฃ Ethereum Strategy: BitMine buys ETH weekly (~4.2M ETH), stakes it, and earns ~$1M/day. Large fiat reserves ($600M) allow strategic accumulation during dips.
5๏ธโฃ Main Idea: Panic is part of the cycle; historically, BTC bottoms are sharp and V-shaped. Trying to perfectly time the bottom risks missing the move.
Key takeaways from his latest podcast:
1๏ธโฃ Market Sentiment: Panic selling in crypto signals the bottom is near. Most TradFi investors are happy not to own BTC โ another sign the market is early in recovery.
2๏ธโฃ BTC vs Gold: Short-term BTC weakness vs Gold doesnโt mean structural loss. Since 2010, BTC has outpaced inflation far more consistently than Gold, even through bear markets.
3๏ธโฃ Macro Tailwinds: Cooling inflation, a dovish new Fed chair, and ISM >50 indicate the US economy is shifting from slowdown to growth โ bullish for stocks and crypto in 2026.
4๏ธโฃ Ethereum Strategy: BitMine buys ETH weekly (~4.2M ETH), stakes it, and earns ~$1M/day. Large fiat reserves ($600M) allow strategic accumulation during dips.
5๏ธโฃ Main Idea: Panic is part of the cycle; historically, BTC bottoms are sharp and V-shaped. Trying to perfectly time the bottom risks missing the move.
๐4๐2๐1
๐ Bitcoin slips out of the Top 10 assets ๐
๐ Bitcoin has dropped out of the worldโs top 10 most valuable assets and is now valued below Tesla, once infamous for heavy losses.
Itโs a sharp contrast to recent peaks and a reminder of how fast rankings can change in risk-off markets. While BTC cools down, traditional equities are briefly taking the spotlight again.
Markets rotate โ narratives follow. The leaderboard never stays the same for long. ๐โก๏ธ๐
๐ Bitcoin has dropped out of the worldโs top 10 most valuable assets and is now valued below Tesla, once infamous for heavy losses.
Itโs a sharp contrast to recent peaks and a reminder of how fast rankings can change in risk-off markets. While BTC cools down, traditional equities are briefly taking the spotlight again.
Markets rotate โ narratives follow. The leaderboard never stays the same for long. ๐โก๏ธ๐
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