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๐Ÿ“Š Glassnode: BTC Market Structure Echoes Early May 2022

๐Ÿ”Ž On-chain analytics firm Glassnode notes that Bitcoinโ€™s current market structure โ€” particularly unrealized losses of ~16% of BTCโ€™s market cap at ~$70K โ€” resembles conditions seen in early May 2022, around the time of the Terra-Luna collapse. ๐Ÿ“‰

That period was marked by rising selling pressure and broader downside momentum, and the similarity has sparked discussion among analysts about market sentiment and potential stress points. The metric reflects how many holders are in the red and can help gauge market pain versus past correction phases.๐Ÿค•๐Ÿค’

While this doesnโ€™t guarantee a repeat of 2022โ€™s larger downturn, it highlights the importance of on-chain indicators in understanding where BTC stands in the current cycle. ๐Ÿ‘€
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๐Ÿ˜ Binance Controls 87% of Trump Family Stablecoin Supply

According to Forbes, Binance controls around 87% of the supply of the USD1 stablecoin, linked to the Trump family. Thatโ€™s roughly $4.7B out of $5.4B in circulation โ€” an unprecedented level of concentration for a major stablecoin. ๐Ÿ’ต

This comes alongside several notable developments:
โ€ข In October, Donald Trump pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao.
โ€ข The SEC dropped its case against Binance shortly after USD1 was listed.
โ€ข Following the listing, Binance began actively promoting the USD1 stablecoin.

An interesting detail: Binance US holds only 1,119 USD1, suggesting that most of the liquidity and holders are located outside the United States. ๐Ÿค”
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๐Ÿ“ Whatโ€™s Next: Bull Market or Bear Market?

After a second consecutive double-digit weekly decline, analysts at K33 Research expect Bitcoin to enter a period of stagnation between $60k and $75k. ๐Ÿ‘€

At the same time, they note a high probability that the market is approaching a bottom. Current on-chain and market metrics are hovering near levels last seen at major cycle lows in 2018, 2020, and 2022. ๐Ÿ“‰

In short, downside pressure remains, but historical data suggests BTC may be closer to exhaustion than to the start of a new deep sell-off. ๐Ÿค”
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๐Ÿ› US Banks Take a Hard Line on the Clarity Act

US banks have pushed a tough stance during White House discussions on the Clarity Act, insisting that stablecoins should not offer any yield. Their position aims to limit competition with traditional banking products and keep interest-bearing assets firmly under bank control. ๐Ÿคท

Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is being pressed toward the lower bound of its current range. A breakdown below this level could open the door to a return to February 5 price levels ๐ŸŒก
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๐Ÿฆ Goldman Sachs Holds $2.3B in Crypto

According to the latest disclosures, Goldman Sachs now holds around $2.3 billion in crypto assets. ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Portfolio breakdown:

โ–ช๏ธ BTC โ€” $1.1B
โ–ช๏ธ ETH โ€” $1.0B
โ–ช๏ธ XRP โ€” $153M
โ–ช๏ธ SOL โ€” $108M

The numbers highlight how deeply traditional finance is already exposed to crypto โ€” not just Bitcoin and Ethereum, but also major altcoins.

The real question now isnโ€™t if institutions are in crypto, but how much volatility theyโ€™re willing to sit through when markets get rough ๐Ÿค”
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๐Ÿ˜ญ SharpLink Makes $1M per Week on Ethereum Staking

SharpLink is earning around $1 million per week from Ethereum staking, proving that yield strategies can shine even in tough market conditions.

Over the past 7 days, the company added 552 ETH to its treasury as staking rewards. Since launching the program on June 2, 2025, total rewards have already reached 13,113 ETH. ๐Ÿ’ฐ

While prices may be under pressure, consistent staking income helps smooth out volatility. Turns out, a bear market feels a lot less painful when you prepared for it in advance. ๐Ÿ’ช
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๐Ÿค” Van de Poppe: Final Stage of the Bear Market

๐Ÿ•ต๏ธโ€โ™‚๏ธ Crypto analyst Michaรซl van de Poppe believes the crypto market peaked in December 2024 and is now going through the final phase of the bear market, with Bitcoin likely near its bottom.

Supporting this view, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to levels last seen during COVID-19 panic and the Terra collapse. Historically, both periods were followed by strong Bitcoin rallies. ๐Ÿง

In short, sentiment is deeply pessimistic โ€” and in crypto, that has often marked the moment when the market quietly prepares for its next major move up. ๐Ÿš€
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Binance has officially completed its $1 billion Bitcoin purchase program for the SAFU fund ๐Ÿ’ฐ

๐Ÿ’ธ As a result, the SAFU wallet now holds around 15,000 BTC, strengthening Binanceโ€™s reserve backing and risk protection buffer.

However, despite such a large institutional buy, the market reaction has been muted. For now, this demand hasnโ€™t been enough to help Bitcoin confidently reclaim and hold above the $70k level ๐Ÿ˜ž
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๐Ÿ‘ป Crypto Fear & Greed Index Hits Record Lows

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5 out of 100, marking a level of extreme fear โ€” even lower than during the Terra collapse in 2022. ๐Ÿ“‰

Such readings reflect deep pessimism, forced selling, and widespread uncertainty across the market.

๐Ÿ‘€ Historically, moments of extreme fear have often appeared near major bottoms, when sentiment is at its worst and risk appetite disappears. But no one guarantees that Bitcoin won't fall even lower, even below $60,000 and get stuck there for years to come...๐Ÿคท
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๐Ÿค” Is the โ€œAge of Speculationโ€ in Crypto Ending?

๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ’ผ Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes the current downturn is more than a simple correction โ€” it may signal a structural shift in the crypto industry.

Whatโ€™s happening:


โ€ข BTC is down 21% YTD and nearly 50% from its October 2025 peak
โ€ข Thereโ€™s no single shock like FTX, though Fear & Greed is already at extreme lows ๐Ÿฅถ
โ€ข The market is still digesting the $19.3B liquidation event in October, when 1.6M traders were wiped out in a single day ๐Ÿ”ช
โ€ข Retail investors chase 10xโ€“30x returns, while institutions bring a very different, lower-risk mindset ๐Ÿฆ

Whatโ€™s next:

โž  Speculation wonโ€™t disappear, but it may fade into the background
โž  Crypto rails will increasingly support real-world assets
โž  Tokenized stocks and RWAs with more modest returns could become the new norm

Crypto may be growing up โ€” fewer moonshots, more structure, and a very different market dynamic ahead. ๐Ÿค”
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๐Ÿค” Could USDT Overtake ETH and BTC by Market Cap?

๐Ÿ”Ž Bloombergโ€™s senior strategist Mike McGlone suggests a scenario where USDT could surpass both Ethereum and Bitcoin in market capitalization.

His outlook is based on a highly bearish forecast: ETH falling to $1,500 and BTC dropping to $10,000. In such a risk-off environment, McGlone argues that capital could continue flowing into stablecoins, boosting their dominance while major crypto assets lose value ๐Ÿ˜ฌ
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๐Ÿ•ต๏ธ Crypto Conspiracy Theory: Arrests = BTC Bottoms?

Crypto Twitter has spotted a curious pattern: every local Bitcoin bottom seems to coincide with the arrest of a major โ€œcrypto CEOโ€ โ€” followed by a parabolic market rally ๐Ÿคจ

Examples often cited:
โ–ช๏ธ 2019 โ€” Alexander Vinnik (BTC-e)
โ–ช๏ธ 2022โ€“2023 โ€” Do Kwon & Sam Bankman-Fried (Terra, FTX)
โ–ช๏ธ 2024 โ€” CZ (Binance)

The latest addition to the list: Braden Karony, CEO of SafeMoon.

Of course, this is pure crypto folklore โ€” correlation, not causation. But in a market that thrives on narratives, some traders are already joking: new arrest = new bottom.

Coincidenceโ€ฆ or just another chapter in cryptoโ€™s favorite conspiracy book? ๐Ÿ‘€
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๐ŸŽข๐Ÿš€ Tom Lee Predicts a V-Shaped ETH Recovery

Market strategist Tom Lee is calling for a V-shaped rebound in Ethereum, pointing to history as his main argument.

Since 2018, ETH has already rebounded eight times after drops of more than 50%. According to Lee, the current drawdown fits the same pattern โ€” and if history rhymes, a sharp recovery could follow. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Of course, markets donโ€™t always repeat themselves. The big question remains: will this be another textbook bounce, or is this time different? ๐Ÿค”
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๐Ÿ“‰ Market Dips, Mood Shifts

Bitcoin slid again toward $66,000, and the altcoin market followed โ€” pressure is clearly back. But the most memorable moment came not from the charts.

๐ŸŸ Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, showed heโ€™s mentally ready for a bear market. At the Consensus event in Hong Kong, he appeared on stage wearing a McDonaldโ€™s uniform, turning market stress into a viral performance.

His message was blunt and symbolic:

โ€œShit is getting real.โ€ ๐Ÿ˜
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Crypto Custody Failure in South Korea ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท

Police in Gangnam District have reportedly lost 22 BTC confiscated back in 2021. ๐Ÿ˜ The bitcoins were drained from a seized hardware wallet โ€” even though the physical device itself never went missing. ๐Ÿ‘€

The disappearance went unnoticed for a long time due to a suspended investigation, and an internal probe is now underway.

The audit was triggered by an even bigger incident: 320 BTC recently vanished from the prosecutorโ€™s office in Gwangju. According to local reports, employees fell victim to a phishing attack, leaking wallet credentials after visiting a fake website.๐Ÿฅท

๐Ÿ“ In total, South Korean authorities lost confiscated BTC worth ~$48 million, exposing serious weaknesses in state-level crypto storage and cybersecurity.
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Binance in the Crosshairs: Armed Attack Linked to Crypto Crime Wave in France

An attempted armed home invasion targeted the head of Binance France in Val-de-Marne.

๐Ÿฅท Three masked men broke into the house looking for him, but he wasnโ€™t home. They fled with two phones. ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿ“ฑ

A few hours later, the same group attacked another address, hoping to reach a different crypto entrepreneur โ€” but they picked the wrong house. Thanks to CCTV, the suspects were tracked down and arrested at a train station in Lyon. ๐Ÿš“

This is far from an isolated case. France has already gained notoriety for crypto-related kidnappings and physical extortion, where attackers try to steal assets through violence or threats.

๐Ÿ“Œ Recent examples:

โ–ช๏ธArmed attackers tying up victims to steal crypto access devices.
โ–ช๏ธOver 70 โ€œwrench attacksโ€ globally last year, with 14+ in France alone.
โ–ช๏ธIn 2025, David Balland, co-founder of Ledger, was kidnapped for a crypto ransom and later freed by special forces.
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๐Ÿณ Whales Are Buying the Dip

Large BTC holders are aggressively accumulating coins during the price decline. Transfers to so-called accumulation addresses have reached their highest level since early 2022. ๐Ÿง

While retail investors are locking in losses and exiting in fear, whales are treating the drawdown as a strategic entry opportunity.

๐Ÿ“Š Historically, similar accumulation phases during periods of panic have often preceded strong market rebounds. Once again, smart money appears to be moving against the crowd.
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๐Ÿงฎ The Peter Schiff Indicator at Work

If you had bought $1 worth of BTC every time Peter Schiff mentioned Bitcoin on Twitter โ€” 1,836 times since 2013 โ€” hereโ€™s where youโ€™d be today:

โ€ข Total invested: $1,836
โ€ข BTC accumulated: ~0.174 BTC
โ€ข Portfolio value at $66,000: ~$11,500
โ€ข Profit: +530%

For comparison ๐Ÿ‘‡
If you had bought gold with the same strategy:
โ€ข ~0.45 oz of gold
โ€ข Current value: ~$2,280
โ€ข Return: ~25%

Turns out one of Bitcoinโ€™s loudest critics accidentally created a pretty solid DCA strategy. ๐Ÿ˜
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๐Ÿค‘ The Best Traders of 2025โ€ฆ in the US Congress

Turns out the most consistent alpha this year isnโ€™t coming from hedge funds โ€” itโ€™s coming from lawmakers. ๐Ÿฆ

According to data shared by Unusual Whales, both Republicans and Democrats have outperformed the S&P 500 year over year.

The best part?
๐Ÿ‘‰ Zero official insider trading cases.
Just pure talent, timingโ€ฆ and coincidence, of course.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Congress beats the market
๐Ÿ“œ Fully legal (apparently)
๐ŸŽ“ Still no trading courses for sale โ€” sadly

Retail traders can only watch and learnโ€ฆ or vote differently ๐Ÿ˜
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๐Ÿ‘€ Who Pumped Gold? Central Banks Did the Heavy Lifting

Since 2020, countries have added nearly 2,000 tons of gold to their reserves, according to data from Visual Capitalist.๐Ÿ”Ž

Top gold buyers since 2020:
โ€ข China: +357 tons
โ€ข Poland: +314 tons
โ€ข Turkey: +251 tons
โ€ข Italy: +245 tons
โ€ข Brazil: +105 tons

๐Ÿ“Œ Whatโ€™s behind it?

โ–ช๏ธBeijing continues its long-term strategy of reducing reliance on the US dollar.
โ–ช๏ธWarsaw is hedging against economic and political instability in the EU.

Then retail investors joined the party โ€” and gold prices went vertical ๐Ÿ“ˆ
As a side effect, silver also pumped, becoming the โ€œcheap alternativeโ€ once gold started to look too expensive.

Smart money first, retail later โ€” classic market cycle. ๐Ÿ”„
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Metaplanet: Japanโ€™s โ€œMicroStrategyโ€ Deep in the Red on Bitcoin

๐Ÿ“‰ Metaplanet reported an unrealized loss of ~$664M (ยฅ102.2B) from revaluing its Bitcoin holdings for FY2025. Despite the drawdown, the company massively increased its BTC stack to 35,102 BTC, up from just 1,762 a year earlier โ€” making it the 4th largest public Bitcoin holder, often compared to Strategy.

๐Ÿ“‰ The loss is purely on paper, but the market reacted: Metaplanet shares (ticker 3350) are now ~80% below their June peak on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

๐Ÿ“Š At the same time, fundamentals look wild:
โ€ข Revenue +738% YoY to ~$58M
โ€ข Profit +1,694% YoY to ~$41M

๐Ÿ’ก The key driver wasnโ€™t BTC price appreciation, but Bitcoin options trading. Because of this, Metaplanet says itโ€™s no longer just a โ€œBitcoin treasury,โ€ but a company focused on Bitcoin and derivatives operations.

High conviction, high volatility โ€” Japanese-style Bitcoin maximalism in action.
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