🧠 Vitalik’s “Anti-Madness” Strategy on Polymarket
Vitalik Buterin revealed that last year he earned around $70,000 on Polymarket, using roughly $440,000 in capital. 💵
He describes his approach as “anti-madness mode”: identifying prediction markets driven by irrational hype and panic, then betting that the craziest outcomes simply won’t happen.
In short, when the crowd loses its mind, Vitalik calmly bets on reality — and gets paid for it. 👍
Vitalik Buterin revealed that last year he earned around $70,000 on Polymarket, using roughly $440,000 in capital. 💵
He describes his approach as “anti-madness mode”: identifying prediction markets driven by irrational hype and panic, then betting that the craziest outcomes simply won’t happen.
In short, when the crowd loses its mind, Vitalik calmly bets on reality — and gets paid for it. 👍
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📖 Will the Silver Bubble Burst?
According to Saifedean Ammous in The Bitcoin Standard (written back in 2018), the answer is likely yes — and he even anticipated today’s surge in silver prices. 🧐
Ammous argues that silver has a structural weakness: when monetary demand rises, producers can quickly ramp up supply, flooding the market. This extra supply eventually crushes prices, wiping out the purchasing power of savers in the process. 📉
In other words, silver tends to boom when capital flows in — but unlike Bitcoin, its elastic supply makes sustained price appreciation fragile. History suggests that if a “silver bubble” inflates too much, it’s only a matter of time before it pops. 🤷
According to Saifedean Ammous in The Bitcoin Standard (written back in 2018), the answer is likely yes — and he even anticipated today’s surge in silver prices. 🧐
Ammous argues that silver has a structural weakness: when monetary demand rises, producers can quickly ramp up supply, flooding the market. This extra supply eventually crushes prices, wiping out the purchasing power of savers in the process. 📉
In other words, silver tends to boom when capital flows in — but unlike Bitcoin, its elastic supply makes sustained price appreciation fragile. History suggests that if a “silver bubble” inflates too much, it’s only a matter of time before it pops. 🤷
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Crypto soothsayer
🍔 Here’s what the Bitcoin Burger menu from Steak ’n Shake looks like Steak ’n Shake has rolled out a special Bitcoin Burger, leaning fully into crypto-culture. Their promo slogan: “you wish you had three hands” — hinting at just how stacked this burger is.…
🍔 Steak ’n Shake Serves Bitcoin on the Menu
Customers of the fast-food chain Steak ’n Shake have started receiving $5 gift coupons in BTC with their Bitcoin Meal orders.
A simple burger run now comes with a taste of crypto adoption — turning fast food into a Bitcoin onboarding tool. 👍
Customers of the fast-food chain Steak ’n Shake have started receiving $5 gift coupons in BTC with their Bitcoin Meal orders.
A simple burger run now comes with a taste of crypto adoption — turning fast food into a Bitcoin onboarding tool. 👍
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⚠️ Geopolitics Rising — Bitcoin Too
Donald Trump announced that a powerful U.S. naval strike group, led by the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, is heading toward Iran — larger in scale than the forces previously sent to Venezuela. 🧐
According to Trump, the fleet is ready to act quickly if needed, but the U.S. hopes Iran will choose negotiations and a non-nuclear deal instead. He emphasized that time is running out for Tehran to make a decision. 🤔
Meanwhile… Bitcoin is already above $90,000.
Coincidence — or markets reacting to rising geopolitical risk? 👀📈
Donald Trump announced that a powerful U.S. naval strike group, led by the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, is heading toward Iran — larger in scale than the forces previously sent to Venezuela. 🧐
According to Trump, the fleet is ready to act quickly if needed, but the U.S. hopes Iran will choose negotiations and a non-nuclear deal instead. He emphasized that time is running out for Tehran to make a decision. 🤔
Meanwhile… Bitcoin is already above $90,000.
Coincidence — or markets reacting to rising geopolitical risk? 👀📈
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🏦 Fed Meeting: No Surprises, Bitcoin Dips
Yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting brought no surprises — the interest rate was left unchanged at 3.75%. 👀
Following the decision, Bitcoin slowly drifted lower overnight, slipping toward the $88,000 level. 📉
Markets took the outcome calmly, with price action reflecting a typical “no news, no momentum” reaction after a predictable Fed decision.
Yesterday’s Federal Reserve meeting brought no surprises — the interest rate was left unchanged at 3.75%. 👀
Following the decision, Bitcoin slowly drifted lower overnight, slipping toward the $88,000 level. 📉
Markets took the outcome calmly, with price action reflecting a typical “no news, no momentum” reaction after a predictable Fed decision.
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📊 Glassnode: Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Are Selling Again
According to Glassnode, long-term Bitcoin holders have sold 143,000 BTC over the past 30 days, worth roughly $12.8B. 🧐
This marks the largest wave of selling since August 2025, coming as Bitcoin price performance continues to lag behind traditional markets. 💵
The data suggests renewed distribution from long-term holders, potentially adding near-term selling pressure, even as BTC remains near elevated price levels.
According to Glassnode, long-term Bitcoin holders have sold 143,000 BTC over the past 30 days, worth roughly $12.8B. 🧐
This marks the largest wave of selling since August 2025, coming as Bitcoin price performance continues to lag behind traditional markets. 💵
The data suggests renewed distribution from long-term holders, potentially adding near-term selling pressure, even as BTC remains near elevated price levels.
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📈 Silver Hits New All-Time High
Silver has reached a new ATH at $120, delivering a 29-day return that’s 4× higher than the S&P 500’s entire 2025 performance. 🚀
Yes, it’s outperforming stocks — and yes, we won’t mention Bitcoin this time 😶
But there’s an important caveat: silver supply can be ramped up relatively easily. Historically, when prices surge and capital flows in, increased production tends to follow — often cooling the rally. ❄️📉
Silver has reached a new ATH at $120, delivering a 29-day return that’s 4× higher than the S&P 500’s entire 2025 performance. 🚀
Yes, it’s outperforming stocks — and yes, we won’t mention Bitcoin this time 😶
But there’s an important caveat: silver supply can be ramped up relatively easily. Historically, when prices surge and capital flows in, increased production tends to follow — often cooling the rally. ❄️📉
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🧠 BTC’s 4-Year Cycle Is Over? A Supercycle Theory
Kim Ung-Yong believes the classic 4-year Bitcoin cycle no longer works. According to him, the market is now entering a long-term supercycle that could last a decade. 😳
💻 Kim Ung-Yong is a well-known South Korean prodigy, often cited as having one of the highest IQs ever recorded. While online myths claim his IQ reached 276, the officially recognized figure listed in the Guinness Book of Records is 210. 👀
Kim Ung-Yong believes the classic 4-year Bitcoin cycle no longer works. According to him, the market is now entering a long-term supercycle that could last a decade. 😳
💻 Kim Ung-Yong is a well-known South Korean prodigy, often cited as having one of the highest IQs ever recorded. While online myths claim his IQ reached 276, the officially recognized figure listed in the Guinness Book of Records is 210. 👀
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🏦 Bybit Is Turning Into a Crypto Neo-Bank
Crypto exchange Bybit is moving closer to traditional finance by launching bank-like accounts that allow users to hold USD and other fiat currencies.
The new “MyBank” accounts will come with IBANs, enabling transfers in 18 fiat currencies. The rollout is expected in February, pending regulatory approval, and is being done in partnership with licensed banks. 📝
This shift positions Bybit as a neo-bank-style platform, but with crypto at its core: once fiat hits the account, users can instantly move it into crypto.
In parallel, Bybit plans to launch a custody product for institutional investors, focused on banks and large players tokenizing real-world assets.
With 81M+ users globally, Bybit is expanding beyond pure crypto — while eyeing U.S. expansion and a potential future IPO. 💵📊
TradFi and crypto continue to blur 🚀
Crypto exchange Bybit is moving closer to traditional finance by launching bank-like accounts that allow users to hold USD and other fiat currencies.
The new “MyBank” accounts will come with IBANs, enabling transfers in 18 fiat currencies. The rollout is expected in February, pending regulatory approval, and is being done in partnership with licensed banks. 📝
This shift positions Bybit as a neo-bank-style platform, but with crypto at its core: once fiat hits the account, users can instantly move it into crypto.
In parallel, Bybit plans to launch a custody product for institutional investors, focused on banks and large players tokenizing real-world assets.
With 81M+ users globally, Bybit is expanding beyond pure crypto — while eyeing U.S. expansion and a potential future IPO. 💵📊
TradFi and crypto continue to blur 🚀
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🔍 Top 20 Projects That May Launch Tokens in 2026
According to WuBlockchain, there are 20 major crypto projects that could introduce their own tokens in 2026.
Notable names to watch closely include Polymarket, Tempo, OpenSea, Backpack, Gensyn, and Botanix — all large ecosystems with strong user bases and clear token use cases. 👀🚀
According to WuBlockchain, there are 20 major crypto projects that could introduce their own tokens in 2026.
Notable names to watch closely include Polymarket, Tempo, OpenSea, Backpack, Gensyn, and Botanix — all large ecosystems with strong user bases and clear token use cases. 👀🚀
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📊 Crypto trading volumes are drying up
Trading activity across centralized exchanges has dropped sharply. In January, total CEX volume reached just $1.1T, putting the market on track for its lowest monthly turnover since July 2025. 📉
🔎 CryptoQuant data also confirms a clear decline in retail participation: small on-chain transactions have fallen significantly, signaling that retail investors are stepping back.
Despite deep pullbacks across many altcoins, buyers remain cautious and are not rushing to buy the dip. For now, the market looks stuck in wait-and-see mode, with liquidity and retail demand both fading. 👀
Trading activity across centralized exchanges has dropped sharply. In January, total CEX volume reached just $1.1T, putting the market on track for its lowest monthly turnover since July 2025. 📉
🔎 CryptoQuant data also confirms a clear decline in retail participation: small on-chain transactions have fallen significantly, signaling that retail investors are stepping back.
Despite deep pullbacks across many altcoins, buyers remain cautious and are not rushing to buy the dip. For now, the market looks stuck in wait-and-see mode, with liquidity and retail demand both fading. 👀
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📉 Markets in Freefall
Global markets fell after a weak Microsoft earnings report shook investor confidence. MSFT shares dropped nearly 12%, the worst decline since March 2020, as heavy AI spending and slowing cloud growth raised concerns about returns on AI investments, dragging the entire tech sector lower. 🤷
And that wasn’t the end:
🇨🇦 Overnight, Donald Trump said the US is revoking certification for Bombardier Global Express jets and threatened 50% tariffs on aircraft made in Canada.
🇨🇺 Trump also declared a state of emergency and launched tariff procedures against countries supplying oil to Cuba.
🇮🇷 At the same time, he pinned a post on Truth Social threatening Iran, stating that “very powerful US ships are heading toward Iran.”
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin dropped to $81,000, triggering massive volatility. In just 24 hours, $1.7B in positions were liquidated, with nearly $1.6B coming from longs. 🔪
Global markets fell after a weak Microsoft earnings report shook investor confidence. MSFT shares dropped nearly 12%, the worst decline since March 2020, as heavy AI spending and slowing cloud growth raised concerns about returns on AI investments, dragging the entire tech sector lower. 🤷
And that wasn’t the end:
🇨🇦 Overnight, Donald Trump said the US is revoking certification for Bombardier Global Express jets and threatened 50% tariffs on aircraft made in Canada.
🇨🇺 Trump also declared a state of emergency and launched tariff procedures against countries supplying oil to Cuba.
🇮🇷 At the same time, he pinned a post on Truth Social threatening Iran, stating that “very powerful US ships are heading toward Iran.”
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin dropped to $81,000, triggering massive volatility. In just 24 hours, $1.7B in positions were liquidated, with nearly $1.6B coming from longs. 🔪
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🤷 Bitcoin Underperformed Traditional Markets
Since July 2025, Bitcoin has lagged behind even major stock indices in percentage returns. While global equities continued to grind higher, BTC moved in the opposite direction. 📉
📊 Performance since July 2025:
▪️ EWC (Canada equity index): +35.8%
▪️EFA (Developed markets ex-US/Canada): +27.7%
▪️ NASDAQ-100: +21.6%
▪️S&P 500: +15.7%
❗️BTCUSD: -15.3%
The data highlights a rare period where Bitcoin significantly underperformed traditional financial markets, reinforcing the current risk-off mood and investors’ preference for equities over crypto.
📌 Chart by Head of Research at Delphi
Since July 2025, Bitcoin has lagged behind even major stock indices in percentage returns. While global equities continued to grind higher, BTC moved in the opposite direction. 📉
📊 Performance since July 2025:
▪️ EWC (Canada equity index): +35.8%
▪️EFA (Developed markets ex-US/Canada): +27.7%
▪️ NASDAQ-100: +21.6%
▪️S&P 500: +15.7%
❗️BTCUSD: -15.3%
The data highlights a rare period where Bitcoin significantly underperformed traditional financial markets, reinforcing the current risk-off mood and investors’ preference for equities over crypto.
📌 Chart by Head of Research at Delphi
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🚀 Binance Steps In to Support the Crypto Market
Binance announced plans to convert $1 billion worth of stablecoin reserves from its SAFU fund into Bitcoin over the next 30 days to support the crypto industry amid market uncertainty.
To maintain stability, Binance said it will rebalance the fund if its value drops below $800 million due to BTC price fluctuations, restoring SAFU back to $1 billion. 💰
Binance announced plans to convert $1 billion worth of stablecoin reserves from its SAFU fund into Bitcoin over the next 30 days to support the crypto industry amid market uncertainty.
To maintain stability, Binance said it will rebalance the fund if its value drops below $800 million due to BTC price fluctuations, restoring SAFU back to $1 billion. 💰
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🤖 AI “Revives” Satoshi: What Would Bitcoin’s Creator Say in 2026?
The head of CryptoQuant fed an AI model all of Satoshi Nakamoto’s writings 📝— forum posts, emails, and the whitepaper — then updated it on today’s Bitcoin reality:
• ~1.3M BTC held by ETFs
• ~700k BTC controlled by Strategy
• ~2.7M BTC sitting on exchanges
👉 Over half of the supply is now in the hands of intermediaries.
The AI-generated “Satoshi” reaction was blunt: instead of disintermediation, Bitcoin has drifted into re-intermediation. Ownership has shifted from self-custody to institutional claims, with investors holding paper exposure rather than private keys.
The verdict: the network is alive, adoption has arrived — but the focus moved from sovereignty and technology to price and speculation. 🤷
Bitcoin survived… but part of its original soul may have been lost. 😔
The head of CryptoQuant fed an AI model all of Satoshi Nakamoto’s writings 📝— forum posts, emails, and the whitepaper — then updated it on today’s Bitcoin reality:
• ~1.3M BTC held by ETFs
• ~700k BTC controlled by Strategy
• ~2.7M BTC sitting on exchanges
👉 Over half of the supply is now in the hands of intermediaries.
The AI-generated “Satoshi” reaction was blunt: instead of disintermediation, Bitcoin has drifted into re-intermediation. Ownership has shifted from self-custody to institutional claims, with investors holding paper exposure rather than private keys.
The verdict: the network is alive, adoption has arrived — but the focus moved from sovereignty and technology to price and speculation. 🤷
Bitcoin survived… but part of its original soul may have been lost. 😔
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⚠️ Bearish Signal for BTC: Below the 100 WMA 🧸
📉Bitcoin has dropped below the 100-week moving average — a level that historically signals serious trouble. Back in 2022, this breakdown marked the final confirmation of a full-blown bear market.
Bulls still have a chance to invalidate the scenario, but the task is tough: BTC needs a weekly close above $88,000. Until that happens, downside risks remain elevated and sentiment stays fragile.
Can buyers step in fast enough… or is this déjà vu? 👀
📉Bitcoin has dropped below the 100-week moving average — a level that historically signals serious trouble. Back in 2022, this breakdown marked the final confirmation of a full-blown bear market.
Bulls still have a chance to invalidate the scenario, but the task is tough: BTC needs a weekly close above $88,000. Until that happens, downside risks remain elevated and sentiment stays fragile.
Can buyers step in fast enough… or is this déjà vu? 👀
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🇺🇸 Trump Nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair
Donald Trump has officially nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
Warsh is known as a crypto-skeptic: he has repeatedly criticized Bitcoin and digital assets, warning about financial stability risks and the lack of clear regulation. He supports tighter monetary discipline and is not considered friendly to the crypto industry. 🤔
If confirmed by the Senate, Warsh is expected to officially take over as Fed Chair in 2026, marking a potentially tougher stance on both monetary policy and crypto markets.
Donald Trump has officially nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
Warsh is known as a crypto-skeptic: he has repeatedly criticized Bitcoin and digital assets, warning about financial stability risks and the lack of clear regulation. He supports tighter monetary discipline and is not considered friendly to the crypto industry. 🤔
If confirmed by the Senate, Warsh is expected to officially take over as Fed Chair in 2026, marking a potentially tougher stance on both monetary policy and crypto markets.
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