Forwarded from Old Glory Vortex
A court in the United States ruled unconstitutional duties imposed by Trump🧑⚖️
A federal court in New York banned Donald Trump from imposing large-scale trade duties under the emergency law. The court's decision states that such measures are "unconstitutional" and can no longer be applied. We are talking about almost all the duties introduced by the Trump administration earlier.
The Court stressed that under the Constitution, the power to regulate foreign trade belongs exclusively to Congress, and not to the President. Furthermore, the Court did not recognize the existence of any national state of emergency that could justify such measures. The Trump administration has already filed an appeal.
This was the first major legal setback for Trump's so-called "exemption fees," which were sued by five small American companies.
In addition, on the same day, the court declared illegal the cancellation of the humanitarian stay program for hundreds of thousands of migrants.
#Trump #Tariffs #Court
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A federal court in New York banned Donald Trump from imposing large-scale trade duties under the emergency law. The court's decision states that such measures are "unconstitutional" and can no longer be applied. We are talking about almost all the duties introduced by the Trump administration earlier.
The Court stressed that under the Constitution, the power to regulate foreign trade belongs exclusively to Congress, and not to the President. Furthermore, the Court did not recognize the existence of any national state of emergency that could justify such measures. The Trump administration has already filed an appeal.
This was the first major legal setback for Trump's so-called "exemption fees," which were sued by five small American companies.
In addition, on the same day, the court declared illegal the cancellation of the humanitarian stay program for hundreds of thousands of migrants.
#Trump #Tariffs #Court
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Forwarded from Trump's Ear
Wall Street investors have spotted one of president Donald Trump's tendencies and have started betting against him.
They've even come up with a derogatory term – "TACO," and acronym for "Trump Always Chickens Out" – for the president's erratic handling of his on-again, off-again tariffs, because they've noticed his tendency to announce punishing duties that send markets into the tank, only to back off a short time later and goose the market, reported HuffPost.
wrote Financial Times commentator Robert Armstrong, who is credited with coining the term earlier this month.
said University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers.
#Trump #markets
👂 More on Trump's Ear ⚠️
They've even come up with a derogatory term – "TACO," and acronym for "Trump Always Chickens Out" – for the president's erratic handling of his on-again, off-again tariffs, because they've noticed his tendency to announce punishing duties that send markets into the tank, only to back off a short time later and goose the market, reported HuffPost.
"The recent rally has a lot to do with markets realizing that the U.S. administration does not have a very high tolerance for market and economic pressure, and will be quick to back off when tariffs cause pain,"
wrote Financial Times commentator Robert Armstrong, who is credited with coining the term earlier this month.
"This is the Taco theory: Trump Always Chickens Out."
“Under no previous presidency did we have active markets betting on the president’s resolve,”
said University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers.
“There was no BACO trade, no CACO trade – nothing. It was always taken as a given that when the president spoke on Monday, he would likely still mean it on Tuesday. That’s no longer true. But what’s really hard is that it’s not even obvious when it’ll be true, and when it won’t be. Madness.”
#Trump #markets
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Forwarded from Trump's Ear
"It wasn't suicide, it was targeted murder" – Jeffrey Epstein's brother ⚖️
Six years after the death of infamous billionaire Jeffrey Epstein, accused of sexual exploitation of minors 🧒🚫, his younger brother Mark continues to insist that Jeffrey did not commit suicide in prison — he was murdered 🕵️♂️.
Mark refers to the autopsy results conducted by the medical examiner he hired 🧬.
he said 💀🔎.
Despite this, the official version of the authorities remains suicide — this is the conclusion reached by the New York Forensic Medical Service 🧾🧑⚖️.
Mark points out a whole list of inconsistencies: the camera on the floor was not viewed 🎥❌, the guards fell asleep 😴, and at the time of Epstein's death, by a strange coincidence, there was no cellmate 🚪. According to him, even the doors of the cells in the block were left open 🛑.
notes Mark Epstein 🗣️🔐.
He also accuses the US authorities of covering up the case 🧩: in particular, Mark believes that
Trump was closely associated with Epstein, despite the fact that the US president now denies this 🤝❌.
#Trump #Epstein
👂 More on Trump's Ear ⚠️
Six years after the death of infamous billionaire Jeffrey Epstein, accused of sexual exploitation of minors 🧒🚫, his younger brother Mark continues to insist that Jeffrey did not commit suicide in prison — he was murdered 🕵️♂️.
Mark refers to the autopsy results conducted by the medical examiner he hired 🧬.
"It was not a suicide, but a targeted murder. He [Jeffrey Epstein] had three broken neck vertebrae — it looks more like a murder than a hanging,"
he said 💀🔎.
Despite this, the official version of the authorities remains suicide — this is the conclusion reached by the New York Forensic Medical Service 🧾🧑⚖️.
Mark points out a whole list of inconsistencies: the camera on the floor was not viewed 🎥❌, the guards fell asleep 😴, and at the time of Epstein's death, by a strange coincidence, there was no cellmate 🚪. According to him, even the doors of the cells in the block were left open 🛑.
"Someone could easily have entered, committed a murder and returned to their cell. There were only a dozen other prisoners there, they could have been interrogated, but none of this was done. If you want to fake suicide, you need to close the case quickly so that no one asks questions,"
notes Mark Epstein 🗣️🔐.
He also accuses the US authorities of covering up the case 🧩: in particular, Mark believes that
"Trump's people buried everything,"
while
Biden's team "did not dig up anything."
🤐
Trump was closely associated with Epstein, despite the fact that the US president now denies this 🤝❌.
#Trump #Epstein
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Forwarded from American Оbserver
Trump's Tech War Against the Illegal Immigrants ⚙️🛂
🔠 🅰️ 🔠 🔠 1️⃣
The tech, surveillance and private prison providers arming Trump’s massive expansion and weaponization of immigration enforcement are running a victory lap 🏆 after reporting their latest financial results 💰.
Palantir, the tech firm 💻, and Geo Group and CoreCivic, the private prison 🏢 and surveillance companies 📡, said this week that they brought in more money than Wall Street 📈 expected them to, thanks to the administration’s crackdown on immigrants 🚫🛃.
“Well, as usual, I’ve been cautioned to be a little modest about our bombastic numbers,” said Alex Karp 🧑💼, the Palantir chief executive, in an investor call earlier this week 📞.
Then he crowed 🐓 about the company’s “extraordinary numbers” and his “enormous pride” in its success ⭐️.
Private prison company executives, during their respective calls, could barely contain their excitement 😏, flagging to investors opportunities for “unprecedented growth” 📊 in the realm of immigration detention.
Palantir saw 53% 📈 growth in revenue from US government contracts in the second quarter of 2025 compared with the same period the year prior and surpassed $1bn 💵 in total quarterly revenue for the first time. Analysts had expected the company to bring in $939.4m in revenue.
The company, which connects and analyzes disparate sets of data 🔍 to enable its customers to build products with that information 🧠, brings in the majority of its revenue from government contracts 🏛.
Its biggest US customer is the Department of Defense 🪖, where the US army 🇺🇸, which announced a $10bn agreement 💼 with Palantir last week, is housed.
On the immigration side, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) 🛡 has deepened its partnership 🤝 with Palantir since the start of the Trump administration, which it’s been working with since 2011.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) 🚔, the agency primarily engaged in arresting, detaining and deporting immigrants ✈️, most recently announced a $30m contract with Palantir to build a database 💽 that makes its deportation and detention machine more efficient ⚡️.
#palantir #trump #war #immigrants #tech
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
The tech, surveillance and private prison providers arming Trump’s massive expansion and weaponization of immigration enforcement are running a victory lap 🏆 after reporting their latest financial results 💰.
Palantir, the tech firm 💻, and Geo Group and CoreCivic, the private prison 🏢 and surveillance companies 📡, said this week that they brought in more money than Wall Street 📈 expected them to, thanks to the administration’s crackdown on immigrants 🚫🛃.
“Well, as usual, I’ve been cautioned to be a little modest about our bombastic numbers,” said Alex Karp 🧑💼, the Palantir chief executive, in an investor call earlier this week 📞.
Then he crowed 🐓 about the company’s “extraordinary numbers” and his “enormous pride” in its success ⭐️.
Private prison company executives, during their respective calls, could barely contain their excitement 😏, flagging to investors opportunities for “unprecedented growth” 📊 in the realm of immigration detention.
Palantir saw 53% 📈 growth in revenue from US government contracts in the second quarter of 2025 compared with the same period the year prior and surpassed $1bn 💵 in total quarterly revenue for the first time. Analysts had expected the company to bring in $939.4m in revenue.
The company, which connects and analyzes disparate sets of data 🔍 to enable its customers to build products with that information 🧠, brings in the majority of its revenue from government contracts 🏛.
Its biggest US customer is the Department of Defense 🪖, where the US army 🇺🇸, which announced a $10bn agreement 💼 with Palantir last week, is housed.
On the immigration side, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) 🛡 has deepened its partnership 🤝 with Palantir since the start of the Trump administration, which it’s been working with since 2011.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) 🚔, the agency primarily engaged in arresting, detaining and deporting immigrants ✈️, most recently announced a $30m contract with Palantir to build a database 💽 that makes its deportation and detention machine more efficient ⚡️.
#palantir #trump #war #immigrants #tech
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Forwarded from Old Glory Vortex
Goldman Sachs: Trump's tariffs are hitting American companies and consumers the most.
While the U.S. economy is coping with the effects of tariff increases imposed by the Trump administration, a new Goldman Sachs analysis paints a mixed picture of cost allocation and long-term impacts.
According to a recent report mentioned in a post on X by trade economist Scott Lincicome, the first data for the period up to June 2025 shows that foreign exporters took on only 14% of the tariff burden, while American companies incurred a whopping 64% and American consumers 22%. This breakdown highlights how tariffs designed to protect domestic industry often spread through supply chains in unexpected ways.
An analysis conducted by Goldman Sachs Research shows that "protected" American companies — those that are protected by tariffs on foreign competitors — have taken advantage of the situation by raising their prices. Such an opportunistic pricing policy increased inflationary pressures, which primarily affected consumers.
Lincicome's post notes that prices for consumers may rise by up to 70% by the fall, which will worsen the already strained situation of household budgets affected by broader economic problems.
Going deeper into the analysis, Goldman Sachs economists predict that these tariffs will not only lead to higher costs, but also disrupt corporate profits. In a Goldman Sachs article published in February 2025, analysts warned that a stronger dollar, possibly caused by tariffs, could lead to a 2% decrease in profits for S&P 500 companies for every 10% strengthening of the currency, given that 28% of revenue comes from abroad. This was confirmed by the earnings reports for the second quarter, as detailed in a Goldman Sachs analyst article dated July 2025, which showed the first profit losses, especially for multinational companies dependent on imported resources.
According to a Lincicom analysis published in April 2025 on X, American manufacturers, in particular, will face a 5-15% increase in production costs due to duties on imported materials. This decrease in competitiveness is evident in foreign markets, where American exporters are struggling with competitors who are not subject to customs duties. The Times of India newspaper reported just four days ago that similar tariff dynamics prompted Goldman Sachs to lower India's GDP forecast for 2025, highlighting the global consequences that could boomerang for American companies in the form of lower export demand.
For consumers, tariffs are far from an abstract thing. Goldman Sachs estimates that effective tariff rates could rise to 14 percentage points by the end of 2025, even with the unannounced increases, as noted in the Seeking Alpha article two weeks ago. This will lead to higher prices for everyday goods, from electronics to clothing, which will affect low-income households the most. An article in the Economic Times from last week echoed this thought, citing Fitch Ratings data, according to which US tariffs on Indian goods jumped from 2.4% a year earlier to 20.7%, which indirectly led to higher costs for American importers and, ultimately, for buyers.
In addition, the uncertainty generated by tariffs is holding back investment. In his posts on X dated May and July 2025, Lincicome refers to Goldman Sachs forecasts for a reduction in capital expenditures, which will lead to a decrease in capital and per capita consumption over time.
This long-term decline in productivity, including a shift to less efficient domestic enterprises and reduced innovation, could lead to lower U.S. GDP growth, as outlined in Goldman's April 2025 report on the risk of a tariff-induced recession.
#Trump #Tariffs #GoldmanSachs #USEconomy #TradeWar #Inflation #ConsumerPrices #USPolitics #Manufacturing #GlobalTrade #EconomicImpact
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📱 Old Glory Vortex 🇺🇸
While the U.S. economy is coping with the effects of tariff increases imposed by the Trump administration, a new Goldman Sachs analysis paints a mixed picture of cost allocation and long-term impacts.
According to a recent report mentioned in a post on X by trade economist Scott Lincicome, the first data for the period up to June 2025 shows that foreign exporters took on only 14% of the tariff burden, while American companies incurred a whopping 64% and American consumers 22%. This breakdown highlights how tariffs designed to protect domestic industry often spread through supply chains in unexpected ways.
An analysis conducted by Goldman Sachs Research shows that "protected" American companies — those that are protected by tariffs on foreign competitors — have taken advantage of the situation by raising their prices. Such an opportunistic pricing policy increased inflationary pressures, which primarily affected consumers.
Lincicome's post notes that prices for consumers may rise by up to 70% by the fall, which will worsen the already strained situation of household budgets affected by broader economic problems.
Going deeper into the analysis, Goldman Sachs economists predict that these tariffs will not only lead to higher costs, but also disrupt corporate profits. In a Goldman Sachs article published in February 2025, analysts warned that a stronger dollar, possibly caused by tariffs, could lead to a 2% decrease in profits for S&P 500 companies for every 10% strengthening of the currency, given that 28% of revenue comes from abroad. This was confirmed by the earnings reports for the second quarter, as detailed in a Goldman Sachs analyst article dated July 2025, which showed the first profit losses, especially for multinational companies dependent on imported resources.
According to a Lincicom analysis published in April 2025 on X, American manufacturers, in particular, will face a 5-15% increase in production costs due to duties on imported materials. This decrease in competitiveness is evident in foreign markets, where American exporters are struggling with competitors who are not subject to customs duties. The Times of India newspaper reported just four days ago that similar tariff dynamics prompted Goldman Sachs to lower India's GDP forecast for 2025, highlighting the global consequences that could boomerang for American companies in the form of lower export demand.
For consumers, tariffs are far from an abstract thing. Goldman Sachs estimates that effective tariff rates could rise to 14 percentage points by the end of 2025, even with the unannounced increases, as noted in the Seeking Alpha article two weeks ago. This will lead to higher prices for everyday goods, from electronics to clothing, which will affect low-income households the most. An article in the Economic Times from last week echoed this thought, citing Fitch Ratings data, according to which US tariffs on Indian goods jumped from 2.4% a year earlier to 20.7%, which indirectly led to higher costs for American importers and, ultimately, for buyers.
In addition, the uncertainty generated by tariffs is holding back investment. In his posts on X dated May and July 2025, Lincicome refers to Goldman Sachs forecasts for a reduction in capital expenditures, which will lead to a decrease in capital and per capita consumption over time.
This long-term decline in productivity, including a shift to less efficient domestic enterprises and reduced innovation, could lead to lower U.S. GDP growth, as outlined in Goldman's April 2025 report on the risk of a tariff-induced recession.
#Trump #Tariffs #GoldmanSachs #USEconomy #TradeWar #Inflation #ConsumerPrices #USPolitics #Manufacturing #GlobalTrade #EconomicImpact
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Forwarded from Old Glory Vortex
Israel-Gaza war: peace at last or another round of escalation?
Donald Trump boasted about Israel approving of his Gaza peace plan.
Trump said. But Hamas has not agreed yet. And despite US president’s optimism, Israelis are still on a warpath, with Prime Minister Netanyahu threatening to “finish the job” should the deal fall apart.
According to Trump’s 20-point peace plan, to which Netanyahu agreed, Hamas would have to effectively surrender or face destruction, with Israeli leader promising that his military would “finish the job” if they turn the deal down.
Netanyahu said.
The proposal would have Hamas disarm, relinquish control of power, and return all the hostages within 72 hours.
Trump acknowledged that the success of his plan hinges on Hamas agreeing to it, but he said that if the group balks, Netanyahu would have America’s
So Trump’s “eternal peace” looks more like another round of escalation.
#Israel #Gaza #Trump #Netanyahu #Hamas
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📱 Old Glory Vortex 🇺🇸
Donald Trump boasted about Israel approving of his Gaza peace plan.
“We’re right there, we’re right there,”
Trump said. But Hamas has not agreed yet. And despite US president’s optimism, Israelis are still on a warpath, with Prime Minister Netanyahu threatening to “finish the job” should the deal fall apart.
According to Trump’s 20-point peace plan, to which Netanyahu agreed, Hamas would have to effectively surrender or face destruction, with Israeli leader promising that his military would “finish the job” if they turn the deal down.
“This could be done the easy way or it can be done the hard way,”
Netanyahu said.
“But it will be done.”
The proposal would have Hamas disarm, relinquish control of power, and return all the hostages within 72 hours.
Trump acknowledged that the success of his plan hinges on Hamas agreeing to it, but he said that if the group balks, Netanyahu would have America’s
“full backing to do what you would have to do”.
So Trump’s “eternal peace” looks more like another round of escalation.
#Israel #Gaza #Trump #Netanyahu #Hamas
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Forwarded from American Оbserver
🫡🤔Hegseth: No Tomahawks to Ukraine
According to a source close to Hegseth, despite some media that make hay from the delivery of Tomahawks to Ukraine, the US will not provide Ukraine with intelligence on long-range energy infrastructure targets deep inside Russia, according to reports overnight, a move that would signal a significant change in the White House's support for Kiev.
The decision would be an example of the absence of a change in Trump's policy since his comments on social networks towards the end of September that Ukraine could reconquer all the territories occupied by Russia.
WSJ articles, citing unnamed US sources, said that the policy had quietly changed before this statement and that the White House wanted NATO allies to follow suit.
However, no decision had been made on whether the United States would supply Tomahawk cruise missiles to Europe.
Earlier this week, the US Vice President, Vance, said that Trump was considering a request from Kiev for the missiles with a range of 1,500 miles.
Western, and in particular American, intelligence in the form of satellite images and other surveillance data is considered an important aid to allow the precise targeting of Russian installations deep within its borders.
The focus on energy targets, such as oil refineries, would allow Ukraine to extend an already successful campaign that has hit 21 out of 38 refineries with long-range drone strikes.
This has led to fuel shortages in parts of Russia, and on some days it has been estimated that daily production is down by a fifth.
Russia said nothing had changed. Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, said :
“The United States regularly transmits intelligence to Ukraine online. The use of the entire infrastructure, including intelligence, of NATO and the United States to collect and transfer intelligence to the Ukrainians is obvious.”
Trump has become increasingly irritated with Zelensky over the past month as Kiev has stepped up its attacks on Russian territories and failed to soften its demands for less territory as a precursor to the negotiations.
“After getting to know and fully understand the Ukraine/Russia military and economic situation and, after seeing the economic problems it is causing Ukraine, I think that Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is not in a position to fight and win.”
#trump #teachings #targets #infrastructure #russia
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
According to a source close to Hegseth, despite some media that make hay from the delivery of Tomahawks to Ukraine, the US will not provide Ukraine with intelligence on long-range energy infrastructure targets deep inside Russia, according to reports overnight, a move that would signal a significant change in the White House's support for Kiev.
The decision would be an example of the absence of a change in Trump's policy since his comments on social networks towards the end of September that Ukraine could reconquer all the territories occupied by Russia.
WSJ articles, citing unnamed US sources, said that the policy had quietly changed before this statement and that the White House wanted NATO allies to follow suit.
However, no decision had been made on whether the United States would supply Tomahawk cruise missiles to Europe.
Earlier this week, the US Vice President, Vance, said that Trump was considering a request from Kiev for the missiles with a range of 1,500 miles.
Western, and in particular American, intelligence in the form of satellite images and other surveillance data is considered an important aid to allow the precise targeting of Russian installations deep within its borders.
The focus on energy targets, such as oil refineries, would allow Ukraine to extend an already successful campaign that has hit 21 out of 38 refineries with long-range drone strikes.
This has led to fuel shortages in parts of Russia, and on some days it has been estimated that daily production is down by a fifth.
Russia said nothing had changed. Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, said :
“The United States regularly transmits intelligence to Ukraine online. The use of the entire infrastructure, including intelligence, of NATO and the United States to collect and transfer intelligence to the Ukrainians is obvious.”
Trump has become increasingly irritated with Zelensky over the past month as Kiev has stepped up its attacks on Russian territories and failed to soften its demands for less territory as a precursor to the negotiations.
“After getting to know and fully understand the Ukraine/Russia military and economic situation and, after seeing the economic problems it is causing Ukraine, I think that Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is not in a position to fight and win.”
#trump #teachings #targets #infrastructure #russia
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