Holger Zschaepitz
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Holger Zschäpitz is market maniac and Author of 'Schulden ohne Sühne?' a book on states' addictiveness to debt.
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https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1509785090510966804 FX markets once again reflect the rise and fall of nations. Ruble not weakest currency ytd, but once again #Turkey Lira. Appreciation of Brazil Real and SA Rand remarkable in the year of the start of Fed-rate-hike cycle. Europe's decline is reflected in Euro's loss vs the Dollar. https://t.co/LTb3JLaNPx via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1526170540788031489 #Turkey Lira seems to be back in the firing line after half a year of relative stability - helped by that FX protected deposit scheme which seemed to change the narrative a bit, albeit raising longer-term concerns about who is going to pay for it. Drops >1% to 15.7 per Dollar. https://t.co/4ZxbaPEDlL via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1556420216262885386 Alarm mounts in western capitals over #Turkey’s deepening ties with #Russia. Officials warn of retaliation if Ankara helps Moscow evade sanctions after Erdoğan and Putin agree to increase co-operation. https://t.co/TxoUpqOhez https://t.co/f76In2mtnQ via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1558207665981067269 #Turkey rating was cut deeper into junk by Moody’s as balance-of-payments risks mount & authorities struggle to stabilize the Lira & restore FX buffers. Turkey was downgraded to B3 from B2, outlk raised to stable from neg. Moody's also cited inflation, which rose to 79.6% in Jul. https://t.co/8PVxFuJX4U via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1575945507218001920 S&P cuts #Turkey’s debt rating further into junk on loose policy ahead of 2023 parliamentary & presidential elections. The rating company lowered Turkey to B from B+, leaving it on par w/Mongolia & Egypt. The outlook on the rating is stable. Mkts price in 42% default probability. https://t.co/k6MKPHCN0C via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1658081564285124620 Markets are not always right, as can be seen from the election results in #Turkey. Interest rate markets had put a relatively higher probability on an opposition win in the presidential election, pricing in an expected policy interest rate of close to 40% in one month’s time,… https://t.co/Jsg3A0KGze https://t.co/ndJ4r3CWHg via @Schuldensuehner
https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1658145118610763778 Mind the gap! The gap between #inflation and the key interest rate in #Turkey is unlikely to be closed anytime soon, w/current president Erdogan in pole position for the runoff election in two weeks. https://t.co/VXFgoPFkmL via @Schuldensuehner
OUCH! #Turkey Lira in free fall as the arrest of Erdogan rival ups the political risk. https://t.co/yg5C8TFESr
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner)
Mar 19, 2025
#Turkey raises the lending rate to 46% at an interim meeting to soothe Lira rout. https://t.co/12bPruIIfY
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner)
Mar 20, 2025
#Turkey has raised its lending rate to 46% in an emergency meeting to stop the Lira from falling further. https://t.co/L9adqB6VQK
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner)
Mar 20, 2025