Forwarded from 유안타증권 철강/금속 이현수
[유안타증권 철강/금속 이현수]
(12/16) 주요 상품가격 및 해외업체 주가동향
1. 중국 철강 및 원재료 가격
열연 ￥3,542/t(-0.5%, YTD -13.1%)
철근 ￥3,548/t(+0.1%, YTD -14.3%)
중국 철광석 수입 $104.4/t(-2.1%, YTD -25.7%)
호주 원료탄 수출 $207.3/t(+1.1%, YTD -36.0%)
2. 비철금속 및 귀금속 가격
구리 $9,060/t(-0.3%, YTD +5.9%)
아연 $3,088/t(+0.3%, YTD +16.2%)
니켈 $15,876/t(-1.9%, YTD -4.4%)
금 $2,676/oz(-1.2%, YTD +29.2%)
은 $30.6/oz(-1.4%, YTD +28.4%)
3. 기타 지표 및 가격
달러인덱스 107.0(+0.0%, YTD +5.6%)
WTI유가 $71.3/barrel(+1.8%, YTD -0.5%)
중국 탄산리튬 $10,449/t(-0.1%, YTD -23.1%)
중국 수산화리튬 $9,555/t(-0.1%, YTD -25.0%)
4. 해외 철강업체 주가동향
POSCO홀딩스 ADR -1.6%, Nippon Steel +0.1%, JFE Holdings -0.8%, China Steel -1.2%, Baoshan -2.0%
ArcelorMittal -2.3%, ThyssenKrupp -3.6%, Nucor -4.7%, U.S. Steel -2.2%, Nyrstar -1.7%
(12/16) 주요 상품가격 및 해외업체 주가동향
1. 중국 철강 및 원재료 가격
열연 ￥3,542/t(-0.5%, YTD -13.1%)
철근 ￥3,548/t(+0.1%, YTD -14.3%)
중국 철광석 수입 $104.4/t(-2.1%, YTD -25.7%)
호주 원료탄 수출 $207.3/t(+1.1%, YTD -36.0%)
2. 비철금속 및 귀금속 가격
구리 $9,060/t(-0.3%, YTD +5.9%)
아연 $3,088/t(+0.3%, YTD +16.2%)
니켈 $15,876/t(-1.9%, YTD -4.4%)
금 $2,676/oz(-1.2%, YTD +29.2%)
은 $30.6/oz(-1.4%, YTD +28.4%)
3. 기타 지표 및 가격
달러인덱스 107.0(+0.0%, YTD +5.6%)
WTI유가 $71.3/barrel(+1.8%, YTD -0.5%)
중국 탄산리튬 $10,449/t(-0.1%, YTD -23.1%)
중국 수산화리튬 $9,555/t(-0.1%, YTD -25.0%)
4. 해외 철강업체 주가동향
POSCO홀딩스 ADR -1.6%, Nippon Steel +0.1%, JFE Holdings -0.8%, China Steel -1.2%, Baoshan -2.0%
ArcelorMittal -2.3%, ThyssenKrupp -3.6%, Nucor -4.7%, U.S. Steel -2.2%, Nyrstar -1.7%
Forwarded from [삼성 전종규] 차이나는 투자전략 (전종규)
BCA call
중국은 여전히 "경기부진"
increased by 580 bln, nearly half the expected amount. Total social financing rose by 2.3 tln instead of the expected 2.7 tln. Finally, M2 growth slowed to 7.1% y/y from 7.5% in October.
The absence of credit growth acceleration bodes ill for China’s outlook following recent stimulus attempts. While volatile, growth in new CNY loans stands at close to -50% y/y. It is increasingly clear that China’s policy mix is not stimulative, as recent data have shown.
Growth is unlikely to meaningfully accelerate as long as real lending rates remain elevated, private sector confidence is depressed, and local governments remain wary of spending.
China’s role in the global economy motivates our defensive asset allocation, and absolute-return investors should avoid China plays for now. Prospective risk-adjusted returns on Chinese equities are poor, and the CNY will keep depreciating until US-China trade talks emerge
t.iss.one/jkc123
중국은 여전히 "경기부진"
increased by 580 bln, nearly half the expected amount. Total social financing rose by 2.3 tln instead of the expected 2.7 tln. Finally, M2 growth slowed to 7.1% y/y from 7.5% in October.
The absence of credit growth acceleration bodes ill for China’s outlook following recent stimulus attempts. While volatile, growth in new CNY loans stands at close to -50% y/y. It is increasingly clear that China’s policy mix is not stimulative, as recent data have shown.
Growth is unlikely to meaningfully accelerate as long as real lending rates remain elevated, private sector confidence is depressed, and local governments remain wary of spending.
China’s role in the global economy motivates our defensive asset allocation, and absolute-return investors should avoid China plays for now. Prospective risk-adjusted returns on Chinese equities are poor, and the CNY will keep depreciating until US-China trade talks emerge
t.iss.one/jkc123
Forwarded from 한국경제 (@The Korea Economic Daily)
한화에어로, 레오나르도 출신 대표 영입…그룹 글로벌 방산 사업 총괄
https://www.hankyung.com/article/2024121690395
https://www.hankyung.com/article/2024121690395
한국경제
한화에어로, 레오나르도 출신 대표 영입…그룹 글로벌 방산 사업 총괄
한화에어로, 레오나르도 출신 대표 영입…그룹 글로벌 방산 사업 총괄, 미 국무부, 국방부, 합참, NATO 등 근무 경력 "미국 등에 육해공 통합 설루션 제공"
China's November retail sales miss expectations as economic woes deepen
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/16/chinas-november-retail-sales-miss-expectations-as-economic-woes-deepen.html?__source=androidappshare
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/16/chinas-november-retail-sales-miss-expectations-as-economic-woes-deepen.html?__source=androidappshare
CNBC
China's November retail sales miss expectations as real estate slump deepens
The latest economic data out of China underscores lingering doubts about consumer spending.
Forwarded from Market News Feed
TAIWAN LEADERS SHOCKED BY SIZE OF CHINESE MILITARY DRILLS, US REMAINS MUTE ...
NOAA ENSO '24년 12월 Update
- '24년 12월 현재 중립 지속. '24년 11월~'25년 1월경 라니냐 확률 59% (전월 57% 대비 +2%p, MoM)
- 라니냐 확률 중립 지속. 약화되는 무역풍 관찰되며 관찰 수온 변화 미미한 상황. '25년 봄까지 지속될 전망.
- 콜럼비아대 IRI 전망은 동기간 52%로 중립 예상. 라니냐가 일어나더라도 약할 것이라는 CPC 전망과 동일한 방향성.
Source: CPC NOAA ENSO Diagnostic discussion
- '24년 12월 현재 중립 지속. '24년 11월~'25년 1월경 라니냐 확률 59% (전월 57% 대비 +2%p, MoM)
- 라니냐 확률 중립 지속. 약화되는 무역풍 관찰되며 관찰 수온 변화 미미한 상황. '25년 봄까지 지속될 전망.
- 콜럼비아대 IRI 전망은 동기간 52%로 중립 예상. 라니냐가 일어나더라도 약할 것이라는 CPC 전망과 동일한 방향성.
Source: CPC NOAA ENSO Diagnostic discussion
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VC Deals
Liquid AI, a startup developing AI systems based on the brain architecture of a worm, raised a $250 million Series A led by AMD that values the company at $2.3 billion.
Billd, which provides financial technology to subcontractors, raised a $144 million debt financing facility from Atlas SP Partners.
Australia-based Fleet Space, which develops satellite mineral prospecting technology, raised $100 million at a $525 million valuation in a Series D led by Teachers' Venture Growth.
Contract manufacturing startup Zetwerk raised a $70 million round led by Khosla Ventures that values the company at $3 billion.
Berlin-based Baller League, which operates a 6 vs. 6 soccer league, raised over $33 million in a combined round which includes a $25 million Series A led by EQT Ventures.
Video AI startup Twelve Labs raised $30 million from investors including Snowflake, Databricks and SK Telecom.
Neobank Current raised $30 million from investors including Andreessen Horowitz, Wellington Management and Avenir, Axios reported. The company also raised $175 million in other financing.
PE Deals
Blackstone and Bain Capital are both in talks to bid around $3.5 billion for Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, a pharmaceutical unit of Mitsubishi Chemical Group, Reuters reported.
Sixth Street bought $4 billion worth of consumer loans from Affirm Holdings, a buy-now, pay-later company.
Shore Capital Partners founder Justin Ishbia is in talks to buy MLB's Minnesota Twins, Bloomberg reported.
The Carlyle Group raised a $318 million unitranche loan in order to acquire Waste Services Group, an Australia-based waste management company, Bloomberg reported.
Exits
Quest Global Services, an India-based engineering services firm owned by The Carlyle Group, is in talks to pursue an IPO, Bloomberg reported.
Hunan Chayue Cultural Industry Development Group, the VC-backed company behind Chinese tea shop chain Sexy Tea, is planning a US IPO instead of a Hong Kong listing, Bloomberg reported.
Turkey-based power company Aydem Enerji is considering an IPO for two of its units: GDZ Dagitim, which could be valued around $2.2 billion, and ADM Dagitim, which could be valued around $1.5 billion.
Investors
Schroders is looking to sell its Indonesian business, which has $4 billion in AUM, Reuters reported.
Bain Capital made a $1.7 billion non-binding, all-cash takeover proposal for Insignia Financial, an Australia-based wealth manager.
Liquid AI, a startup developing AI systems based on the brain architecture of a worm, raised a $250 million Series A led by AMD that values the company at $2.3 billion.
Billd, which provides financial technology to subcontractors, raised a $144 million debt financing facility from Atlas SP Partners.
Australia-based Fleet Space, which develops satellite mineral prospecting technology, raised $100 million at a $525 million valuation in a Series D led by Teachers' Venture Growth.
Contract manufacturing startup Zetwerk raised a $70 million round led by Khosla Ventures that values the company at $3 billion.
Berlin-based Baller League, which operates a 6 vs. 6 soccer league, raised over $33 million in a combined round which includes a $25 million Series A led by EQT Ventures.
Video AI startup Twelve Labs raised $30 million from investors including Snowflake, Databricks and SK Telecom.
Neobank Current raised $30 million from investors including Andreessen Horowitz, Wellington Management and Avenir, Axios reported. The company also raised $175 million in other financing.
PE Deals
Blackstone and Bain Capital are both in talks to bid around $3.5 billion for Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma, a pharmaceutical unit of Mitsubishi Chemical Group, Reuters reported.
Sixth Street bought $4 billion worth of consumer loans from Affirm Holdings, a buy-now, pay-later company.
Shore Capital Partners founder Justin Ishbia is in talks to buy MLB's Minnesota Twins, Bloomberg reported.
The Carlyle Group raised a $318 million unitranche loan in order to acquire Waste Services Group, an Australia-based waste management company, Bloomberg reported.
Exits
Quest Global Services, an India-based engineering services firm owned by The Carlyle Group, is in talks to pursue an IPO, Bloomberg reported.
Hunan Chayue Cultural Industry Development Group, the VC-backed company behind Chinese tea shop chain Sexy Tea, is planning a US IPO instead of a Hong Kong listing, Bloomberg reported.
Turkey-based power company Aydem Enerji is considering an IPO for two of its units: GDZ Dagitim, which could be valued around $2.2 billion, and ADM Dagitim, which could be valued around $1.5 billion.
Investors
Schroders is looking to sell its Indonesian business, which has $4 billion in AUM, Reuters reported.
Bain Capital made a $1.7 billion non-binding, all-cash takeover proposal for Insignia Financial, an Australia-based wealth manager.
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줄타기가 빠르시네요
- 마사요시 소프트뱅크 CEO, 트럼프와 함께 마라라고에서 1,000억 달러 투자 계획 공개
- 인공지능 등 첨단기술 위주, 트럼프 임기 끝나는 2029년까지 투자 완료 목표
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-softbank-ceo-to-announce-100-billion-investment-in-u-s-93fdb920
- 마사요시 소프트뱅크 CEO, 트럼프와 함께 마라라고에서 1,000억 달러 투자 계획 공개
- 인공지능 등 첨단기술 위주, 트럼프 임기 끝나는 2029년까지 투자 완료 목표
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-softbank-ceo-to-announce-100-billion-investment-in-u-s-93fdb920
WSJ
Trump and SoftBank CEO Unveil $100 Billion Investment in U.S.
The president-elect is set to appear with the SoftBank Group CEO at Mar-a-Lago on Monday
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Forwarded from Market News Feed
US STUDY ON LNG EXPORTS EXPECTED TO STOP SHORT OF SAYING EXPORTS ARE NOT IN PUBLIC INTEREST -TWO INDUSTRY SOURCES ...
숙취 끝판왕 레드와인, 두통 원인 찾았다
- (중략)
연구진은 레드와인에만 있는 특정 물질이 ALDH를 억제해 알코올 대사의 두 번째 단계를 지연시킴으로서 아세트알데히드 수치가 상승하고 두통이 생길 수 있다고 보고 관련 물질을 찾았다. 그러다 퀘르세틴이 ALDH의 강력한 억제제라는 연구 논문을 발견했다.
https://www.donga.com/news/It/article/all/20241217/130661110/2
- (중략)
연구진은 레드와인에만 있는 특정 물질이 ALDH를 억제해 알코올 대사의 두 번째 단계를 지연시킴으로서 아세트알데히드 수치가 상승하고 두통이 생길 수 있다고 보고 관련 물질을 찾았다. 그러다 퀘르세틴이 ALDH의 강력한 억제제라는 연구 논문을 발견했다.
https://www.donga.com/news/It/article/all/20241217/130661110/2
동아일보
숙취 끝판왕 레드와인, 두통 원인 찾았다
유독 레드와인만 마시면 극심한 두통에 시달릴 때가 있다. 다른 술을 마시면 숙취가 거의 없는 사람도 소량의 레드와인을 마신 후 ‘골 때리는’ 고통을 겪을 수 있다. ‘레드와인 두…
“비즈니스는 속도다… 스피드 20% 높이면 비용 20% 줄어들어” - 사와다 히데오 HIS 창업주
- 사람의 야루키(やる氣·하고자 하는 의욕)가 가장 중요합니다.
- 비즈니스는 속도입니다. 빨리 결단하고 빨리 움직이면 경비는 20% 정도 내려갑니다.
https://economychosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2016/09/03/2016090300052.html
- 사람의 야루키(やる氣·하고자 하는 의욕)가 가장 중요합니다.
- 비즈니스는 속도입니다. 빨리 결단하고 빨리 움직이면 경비는 20% 정도 내려갑니다.
https://economychosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2016/09/03/2016090300052.html
economychosun.com
“비즈니스는 속도다… 스피드 20% 높이면 비용 20% 줄어들어” - 2012년 7월 21일자
사와다 히데오(澤田秀雄·65) HIS그룹 회장의 이름 앞에는 관행을 깨부수는 ‘혁명가’ ‘도전자’라는 수식어가 항상 따라붙습니다. 1980년 일..
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Forwarded from 한국경제 (@The Korea Economic Daily)
천연가스 존재감 커지자…GE버노바 담은 ETF '뭉칫돈'
https://www.hankyung.com/article/2024121730211
https://www.hankyung.com/article/2024121730211
한국경제
천연가스 존재감 커지자…GE버노바 담은 ETF '뭉칫돈'
천연가스 존재감 커지자…GE버노바 담은 ETF '뭉칫돈', 美 전력수요 늘며 중요성 부각 'KODEX 미국AI전력핵심인프라' 개미들 한달간 209억원 순매수
Forwarded from 전종현의 인사이트
"제조업의 시대에, 개인 1이 만들 수 있는 한계는 명확하게 물리적 시간과 노동력에 수렴한다. 1로써 10정도를 만들어내면 대단한 산출의 시대였다. 인터넷 시대에는, 천재 한명이 1로 1,000내지 10,000을 만들어냈다. 개인의 역량이 네트워크 효과와 맞물리며 폭발적인 연쇄작용을 만들어 내는 시대인 것이다. 반면 AI 시대에는 1이 100,000 내지 10,000,000 을 만들어 내는 시대일지도 모른다. 그리고 이 부가가치의 창출능력은 개인의 역량적 한계와 밀접하게 관련이 있을 것이다. 이 역량은 기존에 사회에서 요구하던 역량과는 조금 결이 다를것이다."
https://blog.naver.com/tmdejr1267/223696610467
https://blog.naver.com/tmdejr1267/223696610467
NAVER
20241217 - 효율화 트렌드와 잡생각
1.
Forwarded from 하나증권/에너지화학/윤재성
** 트럼프2.0에서 탄소포집은 원유/가스 생산량 확대와 에너지 수출 관점에서도 중요합니다. 탄소포집 다음은 블루수소/암모니아가 될 겁니다.
https://n.news.naver.com/article/014/0005283608?sid=101
https://n.news.naver.com/article/014/0005283608?sid=101
Naver
트럼프-머스크, CCUS 탄소포집 기술 '지원 유력'...韓수출 측면 강점
도널드 트럼프 대통령 당선인과 그의 측근인 일론 머스크가 탄소 포집·활용·저장(CCUS) 분야에 대한 투자를 지속 할 전망이다. 트럼프가 인플레이션감축법(IRA)을 대대적으로 수정할 가능성이 있지만, CCUS 관련
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