Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸 – The U.S. Forest Service Chief, Michael Boren, pressed agency staff to deploy and divert more firefighting aircraft to extinguish a 7-acre fire burning near his personal Idaho ranch last month, according to the Washington Post.

At least nine aircraft, including helicopters, air tankers and tactical planes, were deployed to fight a relatively small fire that posed no risk to lives or infrastructure, and WaPo's sources confirm some of those aircraft were diverted from other fires in Idaho.

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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱 – Trump reportedly refused to endorse Netanyahu's reelection bid for the upcoming October elections in Israel, and said the Israeli PM is "his own worst enemy", according to the Times of Israel.

Poor polling performance and policy disagreements on Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza are the main reasons Trump has politically distanced himself from the Israeli PM.

Polls in Israel show Netanyahu's Likud party Gadi Eisenkot, with Eisenkot better positioned to form a government.

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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 – IDF artillery struck the Lebanese village of Hadatha moments ago.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 – President Trump said he will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz to be "territory of the United States".

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🇾🇪❌🇾🇪 – The internationally-recognized Yemeni government, the Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), said four civilians died in today's Houthi strikes on the Mokha port.

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⚡️🇺🇸 – Trump's order to revert to steam and hydraulics instead of electromagnetic catapults on the future aircraft carrier Doris Miller (CVN-81) could "put the future fleet into a crisis", warned The War Zone.

The re-design process for Doris Miller is expected to be costly and time-consuming, and would "risk creating new delays in the delivery of new carriers, which are already running years behind schedule".

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 – Bloomberg reports the Trump administration is preparing "unprecedented economic measures" against Iran, in an effort to force a deal with the Islamic Republic before November's midterms.

📝 This move also suggests Trump is favoring economic pressure and diplomacy over a return to military strikes in Iran, despite pressure from some in the high command.

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🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 – Ukraine just launched around 480 drones into Russian airspace.

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🇧🇷🗳 – A new poll for the second round of the Brazilian presidential election, to be held 25 October, revealed right-wing Flavio Bolsonaro is closing the distance against left-wing incumbent Lula da Silva, although Lula still leads by around 4%.

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🇮🇩 – A strong magnitude 7.7 earthquake shook Indonesia a few moments ago, with powerful aftershocks felt since.

A tsunami warning was issued for most of the coast around Southern Borneo and the Flores Sea, where the epicenter was located.

Multiple buildings have collapsed and there are reports of casualties.

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⚡️🇮🇩 – Reuters, citing the EMSC, reports the magnitude of the earthquake was 7.6, and had a depth of 10 kilometers.

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🇮🇷❌🇦🇪 – The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) reported one of their vessels was attacked while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. UKMTO still hasn't confirmed the attack.

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🇺🇦❌🇷🇺-As a result of the Russian military’s success in Kostyantynivka Russian forces have finally begun to close the pocket west of Chasiv Yar with the village of Molocharka coming under their control, fighting for the southern outskirts of Stinky has also begun.

➡️ Russian personnel have also captured several dozen residential houses in the northwestern part of Kostyantynivka, the usual infiltrations into Osykove and Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka continue.

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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 – Seven people died in the Lebanese village of Ansar following IDF bombardment, Israeli media report.

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🇺🇸❌🇲🇽 – The son of the former president of Mexico, Andrés Manuel López Beltrán, had his U.S. visa revoked, sparking new tensions between both North American neighbors.

Known as 'Andy', he is one of the biggest political figures in the country, and one of the most visible politicians to face sanctions by the U.S. Department of State for alleged connections to Mexican cartels.

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⚡️🇮🇩 – At least five people have died due to the earthquake in Indonesia, local authorities confirmed, and the death toll is expected to rise in the coming days.

Update: The death roll has risen to 20.

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🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 – Russia claimed to have destroyed a staggering 598 Ukrainian drones overnight, including eight over the Moscow region, were a woman and a child were injured.

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#BREAKING
⚡️🇮🇷🇴🇲 – A bulk carrier was struck by an unknown projectile, likely an Iranian missile, earlier today in the Strait of Hormuz, according to UKMTO.

No casualties or damage were reported.

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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 – Ukraine downed overnight 127/152 Russian drones of multiple types, including 'Geran' and 'Shahed', as well as 'Bandera' loitering munitions. It also admitted to successful strikes in at least 16 locations and reported no missile interceptions.

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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 — An Israeli airstrike targeted Deir ez-Zahrani in southern Lebanon a few moments ago.
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