Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ- Multiple explosions in Sevastopol, Crimea.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช - The Oman-mediated Saudi-Houthi de-escalation process appears to be coming under increased strain.

โ–ถ๏ธ Senior Houthi negotiators Mohammed Abdulsalam and Abdulmalik al-Ajri have both issued unusually sharp statements directed at Saudi Arabia. Abdulsalam accused Riyadh of abandoning dialogue and warned that Houthi operations against Saudi-linked targets would continue, while al-Ajri blamed the Kingdom for maintaining restrictions on Yemenโ€™s ports, airport, and access to oil and gas revenues.

โ–ถ๏ธ This suggests talks are collapsing which raises the risk that the conflict could gradually slide back toward a wider military confrontation.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Trump when asked on whether he really wants to run for a third term by a reporter:

The law is very strong on that. I'd love to run but the law is very strong. [...] Everybody wants me to do it, but the law is very strong.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The IDF declared the West Bank villages of Qusra and Jalud to be closed military zones to all non-residents, following reports of Israeli settlers invading the villages and "taking control of Palestinian homes and land".

The IDF highlighted that those activities are "illegal, reprehensible and unacceptable", strongly condemning the incidents, and stating any reservists or active-duty soldiers involved will face disciplinary action.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ China is adding more missile cells to its new frigates, satellite imagery seen by Bloomberg confirms.

The images show its third Type-054B frigate, the latest in the Chinese arsenal, and currently under construction in the Hudong-Zhonghua shipyard, has six missile cells for vertical launching, while older Type-054B vessels had only four.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Lebanese firefighters, environmental groups and residents have acused the IDF of deliberately starting multiple wildfires in southern Lebanon, according to the Guardian.

In one incident, an Israeli drone sparked a blaze with flares outside Khian, and when firefighters deployed to fight it, an armed drone struck close by and forced them to retreat.

Firefighting crews are required to coordinate their movements with the Lebanese Army, which itself passes the message to a "deconfliction group" including the IDF. They were given permission to do their work at two affected spots, while forced to stand by as other fires spread.


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๐Ÿคฌ43โค9๐Ÿ’ฉ4๐Ÿคฎ3๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ‘Ž1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1๐Ÿ–•1๐Ÿ˜ญ1
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€“ Suspected Chinese hackers launched what the Financial Times called an "unprecedented" AI cyber attack against Taiwan, which compromised multiple government websites.

The open-source AI agents used by the hackers acted over four days in July, targeted 21 government sites and compromised 85 government user accounts, evolving as measures were implemented to block them.

The attack was first uncovered by an Israeli AI company called "Dream", whose chief strategy officer previously headed cyber operations for the elite "Unit 8200".


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ The IDF targeted the area of Ali al-Taher ridge with artillery shells and white phosphorus.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ The Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have downed a whopping 502 Ukrainian drones just last night.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด โ€“ The death toll from the magnitude 7.4 earthquake that hit Colombia has risen to 254, with most casualties and damage centered around the cities of Cali and Pereira.

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๐Ÿ›ขโšก๏ธ Map of every Major oil refinery that has been struck around the world from January 1st to August 11th, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ- Ukrainian strikes against Russian oil refineries: January 31st/February 3rd- Volgograd oil refinery, April 16th- Tuapse oil refinery, May 5th- Kirishi oil refinery, May 15th- Ryazan oil refinery, May 20th/July 2nd- Kstovo oil refinery, May 21st/July 12th/August 4th/7th and 8th- Syzran oil refinery, April 29th/30th/May 7th/8th- Perm oil refinery, June 18th- Moscow oil refinery, June 28th- Slavyansk oil refinery, June 28th/ August 5th and 6th- Yaroslavl oil refinery, July 6th- Omsk oil refinery, July 13th/14th- Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat oil refinery, August 6th- Bashneft Novoil refinery, August 7 and 8th- Ilsky oil refinery, the Lukoil Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez and Novokuibyshevsk refineries were also struck. (16 Major refineries in total)

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIsraeli + US strikes against Iranian oil refineries: March 8th- Tehran oil refinery, July 14th- Abadan oil refinery. (2 in total)

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ- Iranian strikes against Arab Gulf states + Israeli oil refineries: March 2nd- Ras oil Refinery in Saudi Arabia, March 9th- Bapco refinery in Bahrain, March 19th/ 30th- Bazan oil refinery in Israel, March 19th/20th- Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery in Kuwait, March 19th- Mina Abdullah refinery in Kuwait, March 19/20- SAMREF refinery. (6 in total)

๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Houthi strikes against Saudi Arabian oil refineries: July 25th/26th/August 9th and 10th- Jazan refinery as well as an unconfirmed strike on the Yanbu refinery. (1 or possibly 2 in total)

โ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡พ- An unknown group struck the Zawiya oil refinery in Libya on August 8/10th.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บNote: All 6 of Ukraineโ€™s major oil refineries have already been destroyed before 2026.

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Forwarded from Sahel Monitor
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซโŒ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ
The Burkinabรฉ army repelled an attack on the town of Dรฉdougou, the capital of the Bankui Region. Based on the number of motorbikes captured, JNIM must have suffered heavy casualties.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ- Footage of Russian air defense working in the port city of Novorossiysk last night

โžก๏ธThis was the largest Ukrainian drone/ missile attack on the city since the war started

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Hamas has called on the Palestinian people to register in the electoral registry in preparation for the upcoming Palestinian elections.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€” IDF artillery is actively shelling Al-Mansouri, Southern Lebanon.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Trump via Truth Social:
The U.S.A. has total control over the Strait of Hormuz. I THINK WE WILL KEEP IT! Our Naval Blockade is being called, by everyone, โ€œA WALL OF STEEL,โ€ and there is nothing Iran can do about it. They have no Navy, they have no Air Force, their remaining soldiers are unpaid, the IRGC is decimated and fleeing, and their โ€œLeadershipโ€ is uncertain, at best! They have No Money - Their country is โ€œshot.โ€ All they have is FAKE NEWS and 300% INFLATION, and getting worse! Iran is all talk and no action, the Bully of the Middle East No Longer. Praise be to Allah! President DONALD J. TRUMP.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas is currently meeting with his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip ErdoฤŸan, at the Presidential Palace in Ankara. They are currently giving a press conference highlighting the humanitarian situation in Gaza and Palestine overall.

The visit is expected to last three days.

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿฆ  โ€“ The World Heath Organization has warned the current ebola outbreak in the DR Congo is "on track to eclipse the West African Ebola outbreak of 2014 to 2016", the worst one in history, which killed over 11,000 people out of around 28,000 cases.

The current outbreak has already killed more than 2,000 people out of 4,300 cases, a much higher lethality rate, and shows no signs of slowing down.


Progress to defeat the disease is more difficult this time mainly due to two factors: it involves the rare Bundibugyo virus, with no approved treatment, and is growing in a conflict-ridden area of the border between the DR Congo, Uganda and Rwanda.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The IDF announced it killed Muhammad Sa'da, an alleged member of the al-Qassam Brigades, in northern Gaza.

It's the first assassination strike in over a week that isn't classified as an imminent threat, although IAF aistrikes in the Gaza Strip
have continued in recent weeks.

i24 correspondents also informed the strike was approved at the higher levels of the military echelon, in line with policies to reduce the number of strikes in Gaza by demanding a higher level of approval for every attack.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ โ€“ U.S. and Iraqi officials confirmed that all U.S. military forces will withdraw from Iraq by September 30, 2026, ending the military presence that began with the 2003 invasion.

This follows a 2024 agreement to wind down operations against ISIS, and now Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi declared this date the final deadline for the Global Coalition's mission. Iraqi security forces will now lead counter-terrorism efforts.

The Iraqi government also issued a September 30 ultimatum for Iran-backed militias to disarm, citing the end of foreign occupation as justification. This is unlikely to happen.


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