Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:
Unfortunately, during the recent war, there is much evidence that the U.S. and the Zionist regime have used the airspace and territory of the UAE against us.

We have documents and evidence showing that the UAE has personally participated in some military operations against Iran.

The main reason for the current deterioration of relations with the UAE is the presence of the Israeli factor and the close political, commercial, and economic ties of this country with Tel Aviv.

If the UAE had pursued a different policy like other Persian Gulf countries, we could now have much better relations with this country.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ- Fighter jet activity has been reported over Mosul, northern Iraq.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Five U.S. Air Force aircraft are currently airborne over/near the Gulf region: three KC-135R Stratotankers, one KC-46A Pegasus, and one E-3B Sentry.

โžก๏ธ One KC-135R is operating over southern UAE, two KC-135Rs are over the Gulf of Oman, the E-3B Sentry is over the Persian Gulf, and the KC-46A Pegasus is over Saudi Arabia.

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต โ€” President Xi is set to visit the Democratic People's Republic of Korea at June 8-9. This is Xi Jinping's first visit to the DPRK since 2019.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” SOUTHCOM Commander General Francis L. Donovan has completed a two-day visit to Guatemala, where he met with Guatemala's President Bernardo Arรฉvalo, Guatemala's top defense officials, and the Minister of Interior & Minister of Foreign Affairs.

General Donovan's primary focus was expanding partnership with Guatemala to confront drug cartels. SOUTHCOM has also recognized Guatemala's "leading role" in confronting regional organized crime.
Consistent with President Trumpโ€™s America First Policy, and at the direction of the U.S. Department of War, U.S. Southern Command is strengthening cooperation with committed partners across Central America, South America, and the Caribbean to detect, disrupt, and dismantle the violent cartels and U.S.-designated terrorist organizations threatening our citizens, our economies, and our shared security.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” U.S. Marine Corps Aviation has retired the AV-8B "Harrier II" ground attack aircraft. USMC AV-8B squadrons have been converting to the F-35B "Lightning II" stealth fighter jet, which will retain the AV-8B's short/irregular runway capabilities while adding an array of new capabilities.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - An explosion occured near the loading berths at Oman's Mina al Fahal crude export terminal after an alleged drone attack.

All oil loading at the terminal is currently suspended.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€” President Zelensky has published an open letter written to President Putin. Notably:

Zelensky claimed that, due to increasing Ukrainian strikes deep inside Russian territory & the resulting higher gas prices, and the war allegedly having no end in sight, the Russian people are getting tired of the Russia-Ukraine war.

Zelensky claimed that Ukraine has intelligence that Russia is making plans to continue the war as long as 2028, and that Russia plans to bring Belarus and Transnistria deeper into the war. The latter has been claimed by Zelensky for a very long time.

Zelensky has proposed a meeting between the two leaders to end the Russia-Ukraine war, and that Europe and the United States must be part of the process. Zelensky has declared Ukraine's readiness for a full scale and a total prisoner-of-war exchange.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” YouGov poll finds that 68% of Americans want a deal to be made to end the Iran War as quickly as possible, including 52% of self-identified "MAGA" respondents. 75% of Generation Z also favors ending the Iran War as quickly as possible.

A plurality of those that want a deal ASAP want a deal to be made with Iran even if it results in America not seizing Iran's enriched uranium. 38% yes, 26% no, 29% unsure. 11% not asked the question.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” President Trump almost dozed off during a press conference earlier today.

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Geopolitics Watch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - An explosion occured near the loading berths at Oman's Mina al Fahal crude export terminal after an alleged drone attack. All oil loading at the terminal is currently suspended. @GeoPWatch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Operation at Oman's Mina Al Fahal oil export terminal has resumed just hours after an earlier reported explosion.

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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Israel secretly deployed special forces to Azerbaijan during the war with Iran, sources tell CNN.

The secret outposts allow Israel to extend its logistic and intelligence gathering reach hundred of miles into Northern Iran.

The spokesperson for Azerbaijan embassy in Washington has issued a statement refuting CNN's report.

In the first week of March, Azerbaijani security service claimed to have foiled terror and sabotage plots orchestrated by the IRGC.
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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ”ฅ - A naval drone explodes at the Romanian port of Constanta on the Black Sea.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Iran has engaged a hostile target off its southern coast; it is currently unknown what was targeted or exactly where. @GeoPWatch
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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโš“๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The IRGC has announced that, following warning shots using Qader anti-ship cruise missiles and kamikaze drones, US destroyers USS Truxtun (DDG-103) and USS Mason (DDG-87) withdrew from the Gulf of Oman toward the Indian Ocean.

โžก๏ธ The IRGC also stated that the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli (LHA-7) has been forced to leave the Gulf of Oman, alongside other vessels from the George W. Bush carrier strike group.

โžก๏ธ The IRGC Navy Command warned that if enemy vessels remain within range, longer-range missiles will be used if necessary, calling on US forces to cease what it described as maritime harassment and disruption of commercial shipping in the region.

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#NEW
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Overnight, U.S. forces carried out a maritime interdiction and right-of-visit boarding of the sanctioned stateless vessel MT Davina in the Indian Ocean, within the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) area of responsibility, using three SH-60/MH-60R Seahawk helicopters.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to TankerTrackers, the interdicted vessel, also known as LENORE (IMO: 9259367), formerly named DAVINA, is laden with approximately 1.9 million barrels of Iranian crude oil.

โžก๏ธ The vessel departed Iran on March 23rd, 2026, going offline from AIS tracking at that point, and spent the past six weeks hiding off Galle, Sri Lanka, having loaded its cargo at Kharg Island on March 20th. LENORE's AIS transponder came back online as a result of today's interdiction.

โžก๏ธ The vessel has transported roughly 20 million barrels of Iranian oil since 2024 and was placed under US OFAC sanctions on October 11th, 2024.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Fighter jet activity has been reported over Shahrekord, Najafabad, and Isfahan, central Iran.

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