Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "NAMER" APC's inner compartment from it's open rear-door using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bint Jbeil' on the 30th of April.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of the 2nd struck "NAMER" APC using an FPV drone on it's rear-door in southern Lebanon's 'Bint Jbeil' on the 30th of April.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช- Iranian state media, IRIB, reports that it has been conclusively proven that Emirati fighter jets were directly involved in bombing Iranian territory during the war.
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#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - "CASA CN-235" Aircraft of the US State Department appears to have canceled it's intended landing to Iraq's Kurdistan's "Sulaymaniyah" Airport.

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Geopolitics Watch
At 11:00, Hezbollah struck a Command and Control Node within an IDF Artillery position using an FPV drone, bursting it in flames in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada'.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah has published footage of the targeting of an IDF "M113 (Zelda Pikud)" Control and Command Artillery Node using an FPV Drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 22nd of April.

Hezbollah had
previously announced this operation and stated the complete destruction of the node.

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- An Iranian Mahan Air passenger aircraft was seen alongside a USAF C-17A Transport plane at Beijing Airport in China on May 1st.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Explosion in western As-Suwayda Governorate.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) is currently operating less than 110km south east of Sicily and is on it's way back to the United States.

๐Ÿ“ Coordinates:
36ยฐ07'46.7"N 16ยฐ07'30.0"E


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump announces "Project Freedom" to guide ships through the Strait of Hormuz starting May 4th [click to expand]:
Countries from all over the World, almost all of which are not involved in the Middle Eastern dispute going on so visibly, and violently, for all to see, have asked the United States if we could help free up their Ships, which are locked up in the Strait of Hormuz, on something which they have absolutely nothing to do with โ€” They are merely neutral and innocent bystanders! For the good of Iran, the Middle East, and the United States, we have told these Countries that we will guide their Ships safely out of these restricted Waterways, so that they can freely and ably get on with their business. Again, these are Ships from areas of the World that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East. I have told my Representatives to inform them that we will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation, and everything else. This process, Project Freedom, will begin Monday morning, Middle East time. I am fully aware that my Representatives are having very positive discussions with the Country of Iran, and that these discussions could lead to something very positive for all. The Ship movement is merely meant to free up people, companies, and Countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong โ€” They are victims of circumstance. This is a Humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran. Many of these Ships are running low on food, and everything else necessary for largescale crews to stay on board in a healthy and sanitary manner. I think it would go a long way in showing Goodwill on behalf of all of those who have been fighting so strenuously over the last number of months. If, in any way, this Humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

DONALD J. TRUMP PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA


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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's plane squawked emergency code 7700 and made an emergency landing in Ankara, Turkey.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's plane squawked emergency code 7700 and made an emergency landing in Ankara, Turkey. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Prime Minister Sanchez's plane had a technical malfunction, and he will be spending the night in Ankara. He will travel to Yerevan, Armenia tomorrow.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Clashes between Syrian Transitional Government forces and Suwaydan National Guard along Highway 109 at the villages of Rimat Hazm and Walgha, northwest of Suwayda City, Suwayda Governorate, Syria.

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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Beirut๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง)
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” An United Airlines Boeing 764-400 airplane wheel hit a semi-truck traveling on the New Jersey Turnpike as the plane was landing at Newark Liberty International Airport, Newark, New Jersey. Nobody on the plane was injured, and the truck driver suffered minor injuries from cuts from broken glass and is currently hospitalized.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Clashes between Syrian Transitional Government forces and Suwaydan National Guard along Highway 109 at the villages of Rimat Hazm and Walgha, northwest of Suwayda City, Suwayda Governorate, Syria. @GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Footage of clashes northwest of Suwayda City, as clashes between the Syrian Transitional Government and the Suwaydan National Guard continue.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The head of the national security commission of the Iranian parliament, Ebrahim azizi, posted on X warning the US about any interference in the Strait of Hormuz:
WARNING

Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.

The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional posts!

No one would believe Blame Game scenarios!
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Footage of clashes northwest of Suwayda City, as clashes between the Syrian Transitional Government and the Suwaydan National Guard continue. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Syrian Transitional Government has deployed reinforcements northwest of Suwayda City. Shelling and gunfire continues.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- CENTCOM has released a statement regarding the guidance of ships through the Strait of Hormuz:
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces will begin supporting Project Freedom, May 4, to restore freedom of navigation for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
The mission, directed by the President, will support merchant vessels seeking to freely transit through the essential international trade corridor. A quarter of the worldโ€™s oil trade at sea and significant volumes of fuel and fertilizer products are transported through the strait.
โ€œOur support for this defensive mission is essential to regional security and the global economy as we also maintain the naval blockade,โ€ said Adm. Brad Cooper, CENTCOM commander.
Last week, the U.S. Department of State announced a new initiative, in partnership with the Department of War, to enhance coordination and information sharing among international partners in support of maritime security in the strait. The Maritime Freedom Construct aims to combine diplomatic action with military coordination, which will be critical during Project Freedom.
U.S. military support to Project Freedom will include guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- CENTCOM has released a statement regarding the guidance of ships through the Strait of Hormuz: U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces will begin supporting Project Freedom, May 4, to restore freedom of navigation for commercial shipping through the Straitโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” A nexus of "Project Freedom" will likely be Al Dhafra Air Base, United Arab Emirates. The sixteen F/A-18C "Hornet" fighters were likely deployed there in recent days to support operations against IRGC drones and fast attack boats enforcing Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz. Several A-10C "Thundercat II" attack aircrafts are also present at Al Dhafra Air Base and will likely be used to confront IRGC Navy fast attack boats. In addition, this base is closest to the Strait of Hormuz and is the obvious best option geographically.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” A nexus of "Project Freedom" will likely be Al Dhafra Air Base, United Arab Emirates. The sixteen F/A-18C "Hornet" fighters were likely deployed there in recent days to support operations against IRGC drones and fast attack boats enforcing Iran'sโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” The other aircrafts supporting "Project Freedom" will be the ones on board the two U.S. Navy Nimitz-class aircraft carriers and one U.S. Marine Corps America-class amphibious assault ship present in the Arabian Sea, providing several dozens of additional fighters, all of the F-35B/C "Lightning II", F/A-18C "Hornet", and F/A-18E/F "Super Hornet" types.

There are also currently ~10 Arleigh-Burke class guided missile destroyers present to assist in the operation, however this will strain the ongoing blockade which has already been evaded by numerous Iranian ships.

Other bases will likely be used, but the vast majority will be handled by U.S. Navy assets and Al Dhafra Air Base.
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