Geopolitics Watch

⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the previously announced downing of an IAF "HERMES-450" UCAV in southern Lebanon's 'Nabatiyeh' on the 30th of April.

A "358" SHORAD was notably used.

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Geopolitics Watch

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🇮🇷 — Twelve US Marine Corps Aviation F/A-18C "Hornet" fighter jets are deploying to the CENTCOM area-of-responsibility from Lajes Air Base, Azores, Portugal. @GeoPWatch

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— Four additional US Marine Corps Aviation F/A-18C "Hornet" fighter jets have arrived at Al Dhafra Air Base, UAE. Sixteen F/A-18Cs total are present at the base.

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🇰🇼🛢- Kuwait exported zero barrels of crude oil throughout April 2026, marking the first time the country has ceased all crude exports since the conclusion of the Gulf War.

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— Several consecutive IAF airstrikes in southern Lebanon.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱❌🇸🇾- Initial reports indicate IAF airstrikes have targeted locations in the Western Swaida and Daraa Governorates. These strikes are accompanied by an intensive presence of fighter jets operating over Southern Syria.

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🇸🇾- Initial reports indicate IAF airstrikes have targeted locations in the Western Swaida and Daraa Governorates. These strikes are accompanied by an intensive presence of fighter jets operating over Southern Syria.

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❌🇸🇾- Reports indicate that the Jordanian Air Force, rather than the IAF, is responsible for the airstrikes currently taking place in the Swaida and Daraa countrysides of southern Syria and along the Jordanian border.

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🇷🇺- The Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) issued Communiqué No. 009 on May 1st, forcefully rejecting the "terrorist" label imposed by the Malian government. The FLA asserted its legitimacy as a movement for self-determination, claiming all operations adhere…

🇷🇺🇷🇺🤝🇲🇱🇲🇱- According to an official release via the Russian Africa Corps, they and the Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) continue to conduct all military operations jointly, including patrols, convoy escorts, and the defense of the capital since April 25th.

➡️ This operational alliance is built on cooperation where Russian personnel work in direct coordination with Malian infantry and pilots to neutralize thousands of insurgents across various fronts.

➡️ They emphasized that militant claims of adopting moderate or secular norms are propaganda, asserting that only the unified efforts of FAMa and the Malian people, supported by Russian forces, can restore national peace.

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🇮🇷- Reporter: Can you tell us what in the new proposal your not satisfied with? Donald Trump: They're asking me to agree to things I can't agree to. @GeoPWatch

🇮🇷🤝🇺🇸- According to Tasnim News Agency, Iran has countered a 9 point proposal from the United States with its own 14 point plan. While the US suggested a two month ceasefire to finalize details, Iran rejected the pause.

➡️ Iran's requirements emphasize ensuring no aggression towards Iran any longer, the withdrawal of US military forces from the local region, lifting the naval blockade, and releasing blocked assets alongside the payment of compensation.

➡️ The proposal further demands the lifting of sanctions, an end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, and the establishment of an order regarding the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇸🇾- Reports indicate that the Jordanian Air Force, rather than the IAF, is responsible for the airstrikes currently taking place in the Swaida and Daraa countrysides of southern Syria and along the Jordanian border. @GeoPWatch

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🇯🇴❌🇸🇾- Scenes from Sweida Province, southern Syria.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Donald Trump while speaking to reporters at Mar-A-Lago before going to Miami:

I want to eliminate what's left in Iran, of course.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Donald Trump:

Resuming strikes on Iran is a possibility.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Donald Trump:

Blockading Iran's ports is very friendly.

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🇺🇸- A USAF RC-135W Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft is currently operating with its transponder active, over the Persian Gulf.

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🇺🇸- According to Tasnim News Agency, Iran has countered a 9 point proposal from the United States with its own 14 point plan. While the US suggested a two month ceasefire to finalize details, Iran rejected the pause. ➡️ Iran's requirements emphasize ensuring…

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- US President Donald Trump has posted on Truth Social saying that he will soon be reviewing the plan that Iran has recently sent:

I will soon be reviewing the plan that Iran has just sent to us, but can’t imagine that it would be acceptable in that they have not yet paid a big enough price for what they have done to Humanity, and the World, over the last 47 years. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP

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🏳️🏴- Reports indicate that the town of Gourma-Rharous has been successfully reclaimed through a joint operation conducted by the Russian Africa Corps and the Malian Armed Forces (FAMa). This is unconfirmed so far.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸- According to the New York Times, Iranian officials have stated that they will not engage in discussions regarding the future of the country’s nuclear program until a permanent end to all hostilities has been established.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸- A significant number of United States Air Force cargo and support aircraft that were stationed across several countries in West Asia are currently departing the theater.

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— Higher activity than normal at pizza restaurants near the Pentagon.

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Geopolitics Watch

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— President Trump is staying at Trump National Doral Miami, a ten-minute drive from US Southern Command (SOUTHCOM)'s headquarters. In addition, one C-32B "Gatekeeper" aircraft with a "SAM" callsign indicating Cabinet-level officials onboard landed at Homestead Air Reserve Base, home of Special Operations Command South (SOCSOUTH). SOCSOUTH is responsible for SOUTHCOM special operations.

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— A National Iranian Tanker Company VLCC supertanker carrying at least 1.9 million barrels of oil evaded the U.S. Navy blockade against Iran, and is currently transiting Lombuk Strait, Indonesia. The tanker had originally moved through Pakistan's exclusive economic zone before moving through the Far East.

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