Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿณ๏ธ๐Ÿด- Yesterday, Russian Africa Corps carried out airstrikes on FLA and JNIM positions in the Gao region of Mali via SU-24 bombers and achieved multiple direct hits.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Axios citing 3 US officials:
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) has prepared a plan for a "short and powerful" wave of strikes on Iran in hopes of breaking the negotiating deadlock.


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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉ โ€” The Democratic Republic of the Congo has lost control over almost all its borders, with several foreign armed forces entering, according to a Congolese parliamentary report.

The Zambian Defense Forces controls two towns in Tanganyika Province along Lake Tanganyika, the Angola-based Front for the Liberation of the Enclave of Cabinda regularly enters Kongo Central Province, anti-Central African Republic and anti-Bekala militants operate in Bas Uele Province, and the South Sudanese People's Defense Force has entered eastern Bas Uele Province.

In addition to the ongoing Rwanda-backed M23 Movement insurgency controlling the DRC's borders with Rwanda and Uganda and part of the Burundian border, it appears that only the DRC's western borders with the Republic of the Congo are under control.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- US Secretary of defence, Pete Hegseth, on the bombing of the elementary school in Minab, Iran, that killed over 168 people, most of them children:
The bombing of a school in Iran is regrettable and is still under investigation.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF infantry and armored gathering using 2 FPV Drones in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' at 19:00.

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#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง - During a visit to southern Lebanon's 'Taybeh' today, the IDF's Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir announced that there is no ceasefire in southern Lebanon, and the IDF continued and will continue to target Hezbollah.

Eyal also stated that the IDF will not withdraw from it's
"security zone" in southern Lebanon until there is no threat to northern Israel's settlements.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF infantry and armored gathering using 2 FPV Drones in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' at 19:00. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Hezbollah announced targeting two Merkava tanks with FPV drones at 18:00 near Al-Qantara's town square, impacting at least one of them.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” USS Gerald. R Ford Ford-class aircraft carrier will be leaving CENTCOM in the coming days and sail to the United States to end its 10-month deployment and undergo maintenance, according to the Washington Post.
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Hezbollah announced targeting two Merkava tanks with FPV drones at 18:00 near Al-Qantara's town square, impacting at least one of them. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announces targeting a "Merkava" tank using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Beit Lif' at 18:45.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” USS Gerald. R Ford Ford-class aircraft carrier will be leaving CENTCOM in the coming days and sail to the United States to end its 10-month deployment and undergo maintenance, according to the Washington Post.
๐Ÿ“ โ€” This isn't a downsizing of CENTCOM military assets. The USS George H.W. Bush Nimitz-class aircraft carrier entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility a few days ago almost certainly to relieve the USS Gerald R. Ford. The number of aircraft carriers present in CENTCOM remains at two.

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Forwarded from Suriyakmaps (Suriyak)
I received some information from a guy (๐ŸŽบ) about the situation in Mali. It doesn't look good for the government troops. There's talk of a major retreat from the east of the country toward the center and the capital. Russian casualties arenโ€™t as high as reported, but resources are limited, and measures are being taken for repositioning and defense (interpret that however you like). Iโ€™m updating the map based on the information Iโ€™ve received, though it will take some time. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The "TOUSKA" (9328900), is an Iranian container ship, and it was intercepted around 50km off the coast of Iran while trying to enter the Gulf of Oman. It came all the way from Port Klang, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Six crew members of the "TOUSKA" have been freed from US custody and are back in Iran. 22 members of the crew are still detained but Iranian authorities are currently trying to get them released.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump said while speaking at the White House:
Iran should surrender and its economy is collapsing.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump:
The Iranians have come a long way, and the question now is whether they will go far enough or not. There will never be an agreement with Iran unless it agrees not to possess nuclear weapons, we are having talks with Iran by phone, and I always prefer direct negotiations.


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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” Niger's Ministry of Labour has cancelled its annual May Day parades due to the ongoing security crisis in the Alliance of Sahel States.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ โ€” The United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, in collaboration with the Drug Enforcement Administration, has indicted ten current and former government/law enforcement officials of Sinaloa State, Mexico for collaborating with the Chapitos' (El Chapo's sons) faction of the Sinaloa Cartel's drug trafficking activities, including its current Governor Rubรฉn Mocha Moya.

List of the ten current & former Sinaloa State government/law enforcement officials charged:

โžก๏ธ Rubรฉn Mocha Moya, Governor of Sinaloa
โžก๏ธ Enrique Inzunza Cazarez, Senator of Mexico representing Sinaloa
โžก๏ธ Enrique Diaz Vega, Sinaloa Secretary of Administration & Finance from 2021-2024
โžก๏ธ Damaso Castro Zaavedra, Deputy Attorney General of Sinaloa State Attorney General's Office
โžก๏ธ Marco Antonio Almanza Aviles, head of Investigative Police for Sinaloa State Attorney General's Office from 2017-2022, and Alberto Jorge Contreras Nunez, who served the same position from 2022-February 2026
โžก๏ธ Gerardo Merida Sanchez, Secretary of Public Security in Sinaloa from 2023-2024
โžก๏ธ Jose Antonio Dionisio Hipolito, Deputy Director of Sinaloa State Police from 2017-2022
โžก๏ธ Juan de Dios Gamez Mendivel, Mayor of Culiacan, Sinaloa's capital city
โžก๏ธ Juan Valenzuela Millan, high-ranking commander in the Culiacan Municipal Police


It is alleged that these ten officials were bribed by the Chapitos, in exchange for letting them operate in Sinaloa with impunity, protecting their members from arrest & informing them of raids in advance, giving their members important positions in Sinaloa law enforcement, and taking control of the police department of Culiacan, Sinaloa's capital.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Iranian Army Navy Chief:
We have closed the Strait of Hormuz from the Arab Sea side, and if the enemy advances further, we will take action against them. Our ships are in constant movement to and from the country's ports.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Iranian Army Navy Chief:
Soon, the enemy will see our new weapons, which they fear, and they will be right next to them.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Florida Republican gubernational primary candidate James Fishback has announced a campaign event at a rather interesting Vietnamese restaurant called "Cafe Bich Nga", which he also claims is his black primary opponent Byron Donalds' favorite restaurant.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ โ€” Reports of C-RAM air defense activation at the U.S. Embassy Baghdad.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ โ€” Reports of C-RAM air defense activation at the U.S. Embassy Baghdad. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒโ‰๏ธ- 2 drones were engaged and at least 1 of them has been shot down.

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