Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Justice Department releases weaponry Cole Tomas Allen had with him when he allegedly committed the White House Correspondents' Dinner shooting:

โžก๏ธ Mossberg Maverick 88, loaded with 12-gauge shells
โžก๏ธ Rock Island Armory 1911-A1 GI Standard in a 6" barrel configuration
โžก๏ธ Ka-Bar USMC Fighting Knife
โžก๏ธ Two other knives; 21 and 22 I unfortunately could not identify
โžก๏ธ One bayonet

๐Ÿ“ He had absolutely no idea what he was doing, this is the worst possible loadout you could bring. How would you assassinate the president at mid-range with a shotgun? What makes you think the Secret Service would let you get close enough to knife somebody before they shoot you dead?
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ข - Iran brings its old oil tanker, the Nasha, out of retirement as it is running out of storage capacity for crude oil. The 30 year old tanker has been anchored empty for several years and will now be used as offshore storage. The US blockade isโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ข - Research firm Kpler estimates Iran has 12-22 days worth of oil storage left before being forced to shut down production.

President Trump, in a recent interview, provided an estimate of 3 days before Iran oil infrastructure 'explodes'. Other experts put the estimate at up to two months.
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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Foreign Minister Phuangketkeow complains about American apathy as Thailand grapples with the fallout of the US-initiated war in Iran.

โ€œI think theyโ€™re aware that there are consequences from the war,โ€ Sihasak said, referring to Trump administration officials. โ€œBut they havenโ€™t come out to talk to us about how they can help. They havenโ€™t approached us directly saying, โ€˜Oh, we understand that you have to endure the impact, and we can help you out.โ€™โ€


Thailand, long dependent on the Hormuz for energy import, is struggling to compete against wealthier countries for a limited supply of crude. It is also frantically trying to secure fertilizer for its 10 million farmers.

As a result, the US treaty ally is now turning toward Beijing and Moscow for access to critical resources.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ€“ For the first time in the history of Israel, the Jewish population of European descent (Ashkenazim) no longer constitutes the demographic majority; currently, the combined total of Israelis of North African and Middle Eastern descent (Mizrahim), along with those of Sephardic origin, represents the largest component of Israeli Jewish society, marking a significant cultural and sociological shift in the nation's identity.

@GeoPWatch
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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The GCC is holding an extraordinary summit in Jeddah today. Important development regarding the UAE.
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๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒโฌ› โ€” Malian Air Force airstrikes against ISSP in the outskirts of Menaka now.
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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ›ข- The UAE has withdrawn from OPEC and OPEC+ beginning May 1st.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump says Iran is in a state of collapse via Truth Social:
Iran has just informed us that they are in a โ€œState of Collapse.โ€ They want us to โ€œOpen the Hormuz Strait,โ€ as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!). Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Iran's Army spokesman, Brigadier General Mohammad Akraminia:
We do not consider the war to be over, and during the war and the ceasefire, we updated our target bank. Some of our equipment was being produced during the war; meaning it was produced today and used tomorrow.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Iran's Army spokesman, Brigadier General Mohammad Akraminia:
The Strait of Hormuz is being controlled in full coordination between the army and the Revolutionary Guards. The Revolutionary Guard secures the western part of the Strait of Hormuz, and we secure the eastern part of it.
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Hezbollah rocket launch towards Misgav Am, along the eastern side of the Israeli-Lebanese border.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "D9" Bulldozer using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bint Jbeil' on the 15th of April. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF "D9" Bulldozer carrying out clearance operations using a FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bint Jbeil' at 13:00.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF "NAMER" APC using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Qantara' at 15:00. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF Infantry gathering and a "Merkava" tank using FPV Drones in southern Lebanon's 'Qantara' at 13:00 and 14:00.

The IDF has acknowledged the attack and stated that the drone detonated near the soldiers and no injuries occurred.


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โฌ›โŒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” ISSP has captured the city of Menaka in its entirety, marking the first city to be captured by the Islamic State since the collapse of it's territory in Iraq and Syria, over 7 years ago.

It is worth noting that IS do not negotiate, the Russian soldiers inside Menaka Base are now surrounded with no way out.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The Iranian mission to the UN posted on X earlier reaffirming Iran's position on the Strait of Hormuz:
Iran is not a party to the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea. Therefore, it is not bound by its treaty-based provisions.

As the main coastal State within whose territorial sea the Strait of Hormuz lies, Iran has the legitimate and legal right to take necessary and proportionate measures to address emerging security threats, ensure safe navigation, and prevent the misuse of the Strait of Hormuz for hostile or military purposes.

Any disruption to maritime transport in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, and its consequences, lie with the U.S., whose unlawful actions endanger international navigation.

Lasting stability and security in the Persian Gulf and the wider region can only be achieved through a durable and permanent cessation of aggression against Iran, supplemented by credible guarantees of non-recurrence, and full respect for the legitimate sovereign rights and interests of Iran.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Russian President Vladimir Putin:
The Kiev regime and its supporters have resorted to outright terrorist methods. Kiev is losing territory every day, so it's betting on terrorism. The risks of terrorist threats in Russia are increasing. The latest terrorist acts were carried out by Kiev in the port of Tubas, which could have dire environmental consequences.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Reuters citing a US official:
There are military options on the table, including airstrikes on Iranian military and political leaders. The possibility of more ambitious military options, such as a ground invasion, currently seems less likely than it was a few weeks ago.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF "Merkava" using 2 FPV Drones in southern Lebanon's 'Taybeh' at 17:45. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF Infantry gathering using a swarm of Kamikaze drones in southern Lebanon's 'Taybeh' at 18:30.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- According to Fars News Agency, 6 transition corridors have been established between Iran and Pakistan. The Ministry of Commerce of Pakistan has issued the executive instructions for the transit of goods through its territory to Iran.

โžก๏ธ This regulation, titled "Goods Transit Order 2026," which has come into immediate effect, allows canned goods from third countries to be transported through Pakistan to Iran.

โžก๏ธ The document specifies 6 strategic corridors originating from the ports of Gwadar, Karachi, and Port Qasim to the border destinations of Taftan and Gabd.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah has published footage of the downing of an IAF "HERMES-450" UCAV using a MANPAD in southern Lebanon's 'Tyre' on the 24th of April. @GeoPWatch
#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced the shooting down of an IAF "HERMES-900" UCAV using a surface to air missile (MANPAD) in southern Lebanon's 'Qantara' at 18:10.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah announced targeting an IDF Infantry gathering using a swarm of Kamikaze drones within a newly established IDF outpost in southern Lebanon's 'Alma AlShab' at 23:20, confirming at least one direct hit.

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