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βοΈ Solar Activity Forecast: December 7, 2024
π On December 7, 2024, the Sun continued to show heightened activity, with 17 C-class flares and 2 M-class flares recorded. Despite the significant solar activity, most of the flares are occurring on the western edge of the Sun and are not directed toward Earth. At this moment, there is no threat to our planet.
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π X-Class Solar Flares: Increasing Activity
π On January 3, 2025, two powerful X-class solar flares were recorded from active region AR13947. These events highlight the growing intensity of Solar Cycle 25 (SC25), which has already significantly outpaced Solar Cycle 24 (SC24).
βοΈ The first flare, an X1.2 event, peaked at 11:40 UTC. It occurred in the eastern part of the solar disk, where its impact on Earth is minimal due to its remote location. At the time of the event, information about the associated coronal mass ejection (CME) was still limited.
π Less than 12 hours later, at 22:41 UTC, the same active region produced another X-class flare, rated X1.1. This flare was accompanied by a CME that, according to preliminary data, is more Earth-directed than the CME associated with the earlier event. Experts are closely monitoring to assess potential impacts on geomagnetic activity.
βΌοΈ Notably, Solar Cycle 25 has already seen 78 X-class flares β a 280% increase compared to the same stage of Solar Cycle 24. Scientists predict a high likelihood of further flares, as repeated activity in a single solar region is a key indicator of future events.
π Health Advisory: Solar flares and related geomagnetic disturbances can exacerbate symptoms such as headaches, fatigue, and irritability. It is advised to minimize stress and monitor your well-being.
These events may also impact satellite systems, radio communications, and create opportunities for auroras at high latitudes.
π Source: spaceweatherlive.com
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These events may also impact satellite systems, radio communications, and create opportunities for auroras at high latitudes.
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π The Sun remains active: third X-class flare in recent days
βοΈ On January 4, 2025, another powerful X-class solar flare was recorded, marking the third such event in recent days. This time, active region AR3947 produced an X1.8 flare that peaked at 12:48 UTC. The associated coronal mass ejection (CME) was directed eastward, similar to the CMEs from the previous two X-class flares.
π Region AR3939 also contributed to the solar activity, generating two long-duration C-class flares. The first, rated C9.3, occurred at 15:09 UTC, followed by a C7.6 flare at 19:15 UTC. Both events produced CMEs directed westward.
π These solar activities have already triggered a minor radiation storm, which may intensify in the coming days. Additionally, the CMEs associated with these events are expected to cause geomagnetic storms on Earth, potentially affecting radio communications, satellite operations, and leading to auroras visible at higher latitudes.
βΌοΈ The Sun continues to exhibit increasing activity, consistent with the current phase of its 25th solar cycle.
π Source: spaceweatherlive.com
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βοΈ Solar Flare: Long-Duration M1.1 Emission
π On January 7 at 23:05 UTC, an M1.1-class solar flare was detected in active region AR3939, located just behind the Sun's southwestern limb.
π This flare was long-lasting, making it notable for astronomers. However, the good news is that the associated coronal mass ejection (CME) is not Earth-directed.
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π Solar Flares on January 9, 2025: Activity in AR3947
π On January 9, 2025, the Sun exhibited increased activity associated with active region AR3947.
βοΈ Early in the morning, at 01:09 UTC, a minor solar flare of class M1.1 was recorded. Later, at 10:58 UTC, a long-duration C3.9-class flare occurred near the Sunβs central disk. This event was accompanied by dimming and the formation of bright loops in the Sun's corona, indicating significant energy releases into space.
π Experts anticipate possible auroras at mid-latitudes. However, data from the GOES-West satellite magnetometer has not yet confirmed significant changes in geomagnetic conditions. The effects of the solar eruption may become noticeable in the coming hours.
βΌοΈ Such solar activity highlights the importance of monitoring space weather to predict its impact on Earth, including satellite communications and atmospheric phenomena.
π Source: spaceweatherlive.com
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π Solar Filament Eruption on February 26, 2025
βοΈ On February 26, 2025, the Sun experienced a filament eruption that led to a coronal mass ejection (CME). This event was accompanied by dimming and the formation of a post-eruption arcade, with one of the CMEs directed towards Earth.
βΌοΈ Experts estimate that the CME is heading southeast and is expected to reach Earth around March 2, 2025.
π Such events can cause geomagnetic storms, potentially affecting satellite communications and triggering auroras in high-latitude regions.
Astronomers continue to monitor the situation to assess potential impacts on our planet.
π Source: Edward.Vijayakumar - X
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Astronomers continue to monitor the situation to assess potential impacts on our planet.
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βοΈ POWERFUL ERUPTION ON THE FAR SIDE OF THE SUN β CORONAL MASS EJECTION
π₯ On March 1 at 16:45 UTC, a powerful eruption was observed on the far side of the Sun, accompanied by a bright coronal mass ejection (CME). This event was preceded by a smaller eruption linked to a filament near the Sunβs western limb.
π Although this CME is not directed toward Earth, such events highlight the Sunβs high activity. Solar eruptions and coronal mass ejections can influence space weather, causing geomagnetic disturbances that may affect satellite systems and radio communications.
β οΈ Astronomers continue to closely monitor solar activity to assess potential impacts from future eruptions.
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βοΈ Solar Activity on March 7 and Forecast for March 8β10
π On March 7, several significant coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed on the Sun. One particularly impressive eruption occurred in the evening, along with an M1.6 flare from Active Region AR14016, where plasma movement was detected, potentially leading to a CME.
π Additionally, an impressive filament eruption was recorded in the southeastern quadrant of the Sun. However, preliminary data suggests that it does not have an Earth-directed component.
π Space Weather Forecast for March 8β10
π March 8β9: Increased geomagnetic activity is expected as a high-speed solar wind stream (HSS) from a coronal hole reaches Earth. Active conditions and G1 (minor) geomagnetic storms are likely, with a small chance of isolated G2 (moderate) storms.
π March 10: Unstable and active conditions will persist, with the continued influence of high-speed solar wind, bringing another chance of a G1 storm.
β‘οΈ Additionally, a large coronal hole facing Earth is already impacting the planetβs magnetic field, which could lead to further disturbances. π
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π Space Weather Forecast for March 8β10
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βοΈ Solar Eruption Heading Toward Earth: Geomagnetic Disturbances Expected βοΈ π
π On March 21, 2025, significant dimmings were observed near the center of the solar disk following an M1.2 solar flare in Active Region AR 14028, located in the southwestern (lower right) quadrant of the Sun. This phenomenon may be an example of a sympathetic eruption triggered by unseen wave-like disturbances.
βΌοΈ According to preliminary forecasts, the coronal mass ejection (CME) is expected to reach Earth late on March 23 or on March 24.
π΄ Possible effects:
β‘οΈ Bright auroras visible even in mid-latitude regions.
β‘οΈ βͺοΈ Disruptions in satellite and GPS systems.
β‘οΈ Radio communication and power grid disturbances.
π Attention, weather-sensitive individuals!
The anticipated geomagnetic storms may cause headaches, blood pressure fluctuations, fatigue, and insomnia. It is recommended to avoid stress, monitor your well-being, stay hydrated, and have necessary medications on hand.
β οΈ Residents of high-latitude regions should prepare for potential communication disruptions, while satellite system operators should take precautionary measures to minimize operational issues.
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The anticipated geomagnetic storms may cause headaches, blood pressure fluctuations, fatigue, and insomnia. It is recommended to avoid stress, monitor your well-being, stay hydrated, and have necessary medications on hand.
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