π#Bitcoin scenarios for the coming week by ForeDex Author Kaan:
"The current phase is clearly accumulation and liquidity monitoring before the next move."
πFrom @ForeDex_Global
data and indicators:
πΉETF Flow has returned to positive with continued IBIT inflows
πΉFutures Buy/Sell Ratio is gradually tilting toward buying
πΉWhale Netflow remains quiet without strong selling flows from whales
πΉHeatmap shows dense liquidity above 81K and below 79K
π From a technical perspective, BTC is trying to reclaim key Fibonacci levels after a bearish change of character (CHoCH), with a clean break above $81.2K potentially opening the path toward $82Kβ$83K liquidity.
π Losing 79.5K could bring us back to test 79K and possibly 78K to flush out late positions.
View Chart
"The current phase is clearly accumulation and liquidity monitoring before the next move."
πFrom @ForeDex_Global
data and indicators:
πΉETF Flow has returned to positive with continued IBIT inflows
πΉFutures Buy/Sell Ratio is gradually tilting toward buying
πΉWhale Netflow remains quiet without strong selling flows from whales
πΉHeatmap shows dense liquidity above 81K and below 79K
π From a technical perspective, BTC is trying to reclaim key Fibonacci levels after a bearish change of character (CHoCH), with a clean break above $81.2K potentially opening the path toward $82Kβ$83K liquidity.
π Losing 79.5K could bring us back to test 79K and possibly 78K to flush out late positions.
View Chart
β€4
πͺ $BTC is holding near $80K, but Open Interest flow may be revealing what traders are really doing.π
ForeDex Author Rei Researcher breaks it down using foredex.io data:
β‘οΈ OI Netflowβs 30-day SMA is turning green and trending upward, suggesting new derivative positions are being opened continuously, with capital "charging" into the market very strongly. ππββοΈπ
β‘οΈ Volatility compression: History shows that periods of strong OI fluctuations with large amplitudes are often the precursor to a major price "shift."
β‘οΈ Sensitive price zone: At the $79.9k threshold, the increase in OI is not just excitement, but institutional confirmation of the next trend.
β‘οΈ High OI = High Leverage. Be cautious of "stop-hunts" on both sides before a clear trend is established.π¦
View Chart
ForeDex Author Rei Researcher breaks it down using foredex.io data:
β‘οΈ OI Netflowβs 30-day SMA is turning green and trending upward, suggesting new derivative positions are being opened continuously, with capital "charging" into the market very strongly. ππββοΈπ
β‘οΈ Volatility compression: History shows that periods of strong OI fluctuations with large amplitudes are often the precursor to a major price "shift."
β‘οΈ Sensitive price zone: At the $79.9k threshold, the increase in OI is not just excitement, but institutional confirmation of the next trend.
β‘οΈ High OI = High Leverage. Be cautious of "stop-hunts" on both sides before a clear trend is established.π¦
View Chart
β€4
πSimple Guide on How to set Telegram alerts on ForeDex
πYes! You can now set alerts for on-chain data such as Bitcoin Exchange Whale Netflows, BTC/Altcoin Correlation, Market Maker Netflows, and more!
1οΈβ£Log in to https://
foredex.io and open Chart from the top-left menu.
2οΈβ£Open Manage Alerts from the bottom-right corner, next to Popular Alert Indicators.
Or
You can also go to your profile in the top-right and open Alerts from the left-side panel.
3οΈβ£Click Connect Telegram.
4οΈβ£When Telegram opens, press Start to connect with the ForeDex Alarm bot. (one-click and done!)
5οΈβ£Create a new alert by choosing a popular alert or searching for an indicator by keyword.
6οΈβ£Set your trigger condition and customize the threshold based on the indicator.
Read More
πYes! You can now set alerts for on-chain data such as Bitcoin Exchange Whale Netflows, BTC/Altcoin Correlation, Market Maker Netflows, and more!
1οΈβ£Log in to https://
foredex.io and open Chart from the top-left menu.
2οΈβ£Open Manage Alerts from the bottom-right corner, next to Popular Alert Indicators.
Or
You can also go to your profile in the top-right and open Alerts from the left-side panel.
3οΈβ£Click Connect Telegram.
4οΈβ£When Telegram opens, press Start to connect with the ForeDex Alarm bot. (one-click and done!)
5οΈβ£Create a new alert by choosing a popular alert or searching for an indicator by keyword.
6οΈβ£Set your trigger condition and customize the threshold based on the indicator.
Read More
β€3π2
πChanges in #BTC Spot ETF flows throughout 2024, 2025 and 2026 explained by ForeDex Author Pelin Ay:
β‘οΈ ETF accumulation that began in 2024 is still holding strong, with total net flows steady near 760K $BTC, signalling that long-term institutional demand remains robust.
πΈ2024: ETF inflows were aggressive and consistent, helping support Bitcoinβs major upward trend.
πΈ2025: Flows became more sideways and volatile. New capital continued to enter, but the momentum clearly weakened compared to 2024.
πΈ2026: There have been short-term attempts at renewed positive flows, but they remain weaker than the strong inflow periods seen in previous years.
[...]
β οΈ The chart shows a clear divergence: despite historically strong ETF accumulation, Bitcoinβs failure to accelerate at the same pace suggests rising leverage and short-term speculation, which can lead to sideways movement before a sharp directional move.π
View Chart
β‘οΈ ETF accumulation that began in 2024 is still holding strong, with total net flows steady near 760K $BTC, signalling that long-term institutional demand remains robust.
πΈ2024: ETF inflows were aggressive and consistent, helping support Bitcoinβs major upward trend.
πΈ2025: Flows became more sideways and volatile. New capital continued to enter, but the momentum clearly weakened compared to 2024.
πΈ2026: There have been short-term attempts at renewed positive flows, but they remain weaker than the strong inflow periods seen in previous years.
[...]
β οΈ The chart shows a clear divergence: despite historically strong ETF accumulation, Bitcoinβs failure to accelerate at the same pace suggests rising leverage and short-term speculation, which can lead to sideways movement before a sharp directional move.π
View Chart
π₯3π1
πForeDex Recognized Author Arab Chain relates the current #Bitcoin price movement to the RHODL Ratio:
"Currently, the indicator's stability within moderate levels suggests the market hasn't yet reached a full-blown bubble and that there is still room for further upward movement."
πΈ The RHODL Ratio is moving near 1.26K while Bitcoin trades around $80,000, remaining far from overheated levels and suggesting $BTC has not yet entered the excessive speculation zone historically seen near major bull market peaks.
πΈ The indicatorβs stability at moderate levels suggests the market has not yet entered a full bubble phase, leaving room for potential further upside.
πΈ Its recent decline and stabilization appear to reflect healthy liquidity rotation rather than panic selling, while long-term holders continuing to hold supports overall price stability.
View Chart
"Currently, the indicator's stability within moderate levels suggests the market hasn't yet reached a full-blown bubble and that there is still room for further upward movement."
πΈ The RHODL Ratio is moving near 1.26K while Bitcoin trades around $80,000, remaining far from overheated levels and suggesting $BTC has not yet entered the excessive speculation zone historically seen near major bull market peaks.
πΈ The indicatorβs stability at moderate levels suggests the market has not yet entered a full bubble phase, leaving room for potential further upside.
πΈ Its recent decline and stabilization appear to reflect healthy liquidity rotation rather than panic selling, while long-term holders continuing to hold supports overall price stability.
View Chart
π₯3β€1
"ForeDex" CVD by Order Size(Spot)
(Data based on a 1-month period)
- Whales & Mega Whales Only
1. Binance
2. Bybit
3. Bitfinex(usd)
4. Bitfinex(usdt)
View Chart
(Data based on a 1-month period)
- Whales & Mega Whales Only
1. Binance
2. Bybit
3. Bitfinex(usd)
4. Bitfinex(usdt)
View Chart
π₯5β€1
To better understand #Bitcoinβs true direction:
A π§΅on liquidity layers and funding rates by ForeDex Recognized Author Kaan.
"Data doesn't lie, and liquidity is what charts the path."
1οΈβ£ Global M2 β The Macro Fuel
πΈIt always starts with "the macro." A rebound in Global M2 suggests improving macro liquidity, which can support risk assets like Bitcoin and help fuel upward momentum.
2οΈβ£ ETF Flows β Institutional Confidence
πΈCumulative ETF flows continue to show large-scale accumulation and institutional stability. Despite sideways price action, the absence of major outflows suggests the broader accumulation phase remains intact.
3οΈβ£ Funding Rate β The Short Trap
πΈNegative funding and a bearish Futures Taker Buy/Sell Ratio suggest heavy short crowding. Historically, this setup can create fuel for a sharp short squeeze higher.
π Where could price head next?π€
Kaan discusses the key scenarios in the full thread.π
Read More
View Chart
A π§΅on liquidity layers and funding rates by ForeDex Recognized Author Kaan.
"Data doesn't lie, and liquidity is what charts the path."
1οΈβ£ Global M2 β The Macro Fuel
πΈIt always starts with "the macro." A rebound in Global M2 suggests improving macro liquidity, which can support risk assets like Bitcoin and help fuel upward momentum.
2οΈβ£ ETF Flows β Institutional Confidence
πΈCumulative ETF flows continue to show large-scale accumulation and institutional stability. Despite sideways price action, the absence of major outflows suggests the broader accumulation phase remains intact.
3οΈβ£ Funding Rate β The Short Trap
πΈNegative funding and a bearish Futures Taker Buy/Sell Ratio suggest heavy short crowding. Historically, this setup can create fuel for a sharp short squeeze higher.
π Where could price head next?π€
Kaan discusses the key scenarios in the full thread.π
Read More
View Chart
π₯6β€1π1
βMost people watch how much $BTC moved.
π«‘ ForeDex also helps track *how many times* it moved.
βοΈ Institutional Custody Inflow Transactions (Exchanges β IC) counts exchange-to-custody transfers, helping traders spot repeated movement of #BTC away from liquid exchange venues.
βοΈ Frequency can reveal structure that raw volume misses.
β‘οΈ Join us today and explore our curated on-chain data and indicator alerts in one place!π
View Chart
π«‘ ForeDex also helps track *how many times* it moved.
βοΈ Institutional Custody Inflow Transactions (Exchanges β IC) counts exchange-to-custody transfers, helping traders spot repeated movement of #BTC away from liquid exchange venues.
βοΈ Frequency can reveal structure that raw volume misses.
β‘οΈ Join us today and explore our curated on-chain data and indicator alerts in one place!π
View Chart
π₯3
ForeDex Author Lukasz Wydra provides an update on his favorite indicator: the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Priceπ :
πΈ The most important indicator of this week, the Short-Term Holder Realized Price, is currently sitting at $78,920.
πΈA weekly close above this level, followed by another week of support, would be a very bullish signal for $BTC.
View Chart
πΈ The most important indicator of this week, the Short-Term Holder Realized Price, is currently sitting at $78,920.
πΈA weekly close above this level, followed by another week of support, would be a very bullish signal for $BTC.
View Chart
π₯4
ForeDex Author G a a h is keeping track on MSTR Bitcoin Cost Basisπ:
πΈ #Bitcoin has stayed above Strategyβs cost basis for over three weeks after being in an unrealized loss zone since February 2026
πΈ Newly announced purchases from Mr. Saylor are expected to raise that cost basis.
π§ββοΈ Do π«΅youπ«΅ think $BTC can stay above Strategyβs cost basis even after it rises?
π€·ββοΈ Let us know!π
View Chart
πΈ #Bitcoin has stayed above Strategyβs cost basis for over three weeks after being in an unrealized loss zone since February 2026
πΈ Newly announced purchases from Mr. Saylor are expected to raise that cost basis.
π§ββοΈ Do π«΅youπ«΅ think $BTC can stay above Strategyβs cost basis even after it rises?
π€·ββοΈ Let us know!π
View Chart
π₯4
πWeek 19, 2026
β Top 5 ForeDex Recognized Analysts
π₯@AltcoinLtd π¨π¦
π₯@DanCoinInvestor π°π·
π₯@lukasz_wydra π΅π±
4οΈβ£@TariqElliot πΈπ¦
5οΈβ£@abramchart π¦πͺ
π₯°Thank you for actively using our platform! π
β Top 5 ForeDex Recognized Analysts
π₯@AltcoinLtd π¨π¦
π₯@DanCoinInvestor π°π·
π₯@lukasz_wydra π΅π±
4οΈβ£@TariqElliot πΈπ¦
5οΈβ£@abramchart π¦πͺ
π₯°Thank you for actively using our platform! π
π₯3
"Market Liquidity Regime Index"
This index is a data metric that shows a strong correlation with actual market buying and selling activity.
However, throughout the current cycle, no meaningful "Accumulation Events" have appeared yet.
So how will this cycle ultimately unfold?
The current market structure continues to be monitored very closely.
View Chart
This index is a data metric that shows a strong correlation with actual market buying and selling activity.
However, throughout the current cycle, no meaningful "Accumulation Events" have appeared yet.
So how will this cycle ultimately unfold?
The current market structure continues to be monitored very closely.
View Chart
π3π₯2