🌊#Bitcoin scenarios for the coming week by ForeDex Author Kaan:

"The current phase is clearly accumulation and liquidity monitoring before the next move."

πŸ’ŽFrom @ForeDex_Global
data and indicators:
πŸ”ΉETF Flow has returned to positive with continued IBIT inflows
πŸ”ΉFutures Buy/Sell Ratio is gradually tilting toward buying
πŸ”ΉWhale Netflow remains quiet without strong selling flows from whales
πŸ”ΉHeatmap shows dense liquidity above 81K and below 79K

πŸ“ˆ From a technical perspective, BTC is trying to reclaim key Fibonacci levels after a bearish change of character (CHoCH), with a clean break above $81.2K potentially opening the path toward $82K–$83K liquidity.

πŸ“‰ Losing 79.5K could bring us back to test 79K and possibly 78K to flush out late positions.

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πŸͺ™ $BTC is holding near $80K, but Open Interest flow may be revealing what traders are really doing.πŸ‘€

ForeDex Author Rei Researcher breaks it down using foredex.io data:

➑️ OI Netflow’s 30-day SMA is turning green and trending upward, suggesting new derivative positions are being opened continuously, with capital "charging" into the market very strongly. πŸ“ŠπŸƒβ€β™‚οΈπŸƒ

➑️ Volatility compression: History shows that periods of strong OI fluctuations with large amplitudes are often the precursor to a major price "shift."

➑️ Sensitive price zone: At the $79.9k threshold, the increase in OI is not just excitement, but institutional confirmation of the next trend.

➑️ High OI = High Leverage. Be cautious of "stop-hunts" on both sides before a clear trend is established.🦈

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🌟Simple Guide on How to set Telegram alerts on ForeDex

πŸ‘€Yes! You can now set alerts for on-chain data such as Bitcoin Exchange Whale Netflows, BTC/Altcoin Correlation, Market Maker Netflows, and more!

1️⃣Log in to https://
foredex.io and open Chart from the top-left menu.
2️⃣Open Manage Alerts from the bottom-right corner, next to Popular Alert Indicators.
Or
You can also go to your profile in the top-right and open Alerts from the left-side panel.
3️⃣Click Connect Telegram.
4️⃣When Telegram opens, press Start to connect with the ForeDex Alarm bot. (one-click and done!)
5️⃣Create a new alert by choosing a popular alert or searching for an indicator by keyword.
6️⃣Set your trigger condition and customize the threshold based on the indicator.

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πŸ“ˆChanges in #BTC Spot ETF flows throughout 2024, 2025 and 2026 explained by ForeDex Author Pelin Ay:

➑️ ETF accumulation that began in 2024 is still holding strong, with total net flows steady near 760K $BTC, signalling that long-term institutional demand remains robust.

πŸ”Έ2024: ETF inflows were aggressive and consistent, helping support Bitcoin’s major upward trend.
πŸ”Έ2025: Flows became more sideways and volatile. New capital continued to enter, but the momentum clearly weakened compared to 2024.
πŸ”Έ2026: There have been short-term attempts at renewed positive flows, but they remain weaker than the strong inflow periods seen in previous years.

[...]

⚠️ The chart shows a clear divergence: despite historically strong ETF accumulation, Bitcoin’s failure to accelerate at the same pace suggests rising leverage and short-term speculation, which can lead to sideways movement before a sharp directional move.πŸ“Š

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🌟ForeDex Recognized Author Arab Chain relates the current #Bitcoin price movement to the RHODL Ratio:

"Currently, the indicator's stability within moderate levels suggests the market hasn't yet reached a full-blown bubble and that there is still room for further upward movement."

πŸ”Έ The RHODL Ratio is moving near 1.26K while Bitcoin trades around $80,000, remaining far from overheated levels and suggesting $BTC has not yet entered the excessive speculation zone historically seen near major bull market peaks.

πŸ”Έ The indicator’s stability at moderate levels suggests the market has not yet entered a full bubble phase, leaving room for potential further upside.

πŸ”Έ Its recent decline and stabilization appear to reflect healthy liquidity rotation rather than panic selling, while long-term holders continuing to hold supports overall price stability.

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"ForeDex" CVD by Order Size(Spot)
(Data based on a 1-month period)
- Whales & Mega Whales Only

1. Binance
2. Bybit
3. Bitfinex(usd)
4. Bitfinex(usdt)

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To better understand #Bitcoin’s true direction:

A 🧡on liquidity layers and funding rates by ForeDex Recognized Author Kaan.

"Data doesn't lie, and liquidity is what charts the path."

1️⃣ Global M2 β€” The Macro Fuel

πŸ”ΈIt always starts with "the macro." A rebound in Global M2 suggests improving macro liquidity, which can support risk assets like Bitcoin and help fuel upward momentum.

2️⃣ ETF Flows β€” Institutional Confidence

πŸ”ΈCumulative ETF flows continue to show large-scale accumulation and institutional stability. Despite sideways price action, the absence of major outflows suggests the broader accumulation phase remains intact.

3️⃣ Funding Rate β€” The Short Trap

πŸ”ΈNegative funding and a bearish Futures Taker Buy/Sell Ratio suggest heavy short crowding. Historically, this setup can create fuel for a sharp short squeeze higher.

πŸ“Š Where could price head next?πŸ€”

Kaan discusses the key scenarios in the full thread.πŸ‘‡

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❌Most people watch how much $BTC moved.

🫑 ForeDex also helps track *how many times* it moved.

⭐️ Institutional Custody Inflow Transactions (Exchanges β†’ IC) counts exchange-to-custody transfers, helping traders spot repeated movement of #BTC away from liquid exchange venues.

⭐️ Frequency can reveal structure that raw volume misses.

➑️ Join us today and explore our curated on-chain data and indicator alerts in one place!πŸ‘‡

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ForeDex Author Lukasz Wydra provides an update on his favorite indicator: the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized PriceπŸ“Š :

πŸ”Έ The most important indicator of this week, the Short-Term Holder Realized Price, is currently sitting at $78,920.

πŸ”ΈA weekly close above this level, followed by another week of support, would be a very bullish signal for $BTC.

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ForeDex Author G a a h is keeping track on MSTR Bitcoin Cost BasisπŸ“œ:

πŸ”Έ #Bitcoin has stayed above Strategy’s cost basis for over three weeks after being in an unrealized loss zone since February 2026

πŸ”Έ Newly announced purchases from Mr. Saylor are expected to raise that cost basis.

πŸ§™β€β™‚οΈ Do 🫡you🫡 think $BTC can stay above Strategy’s cost basis even after it rises?
πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ Let us know!πŸ‘‡

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πŸ—“Week 19, 2026
βœ…Top 5 ForeDex Recognized Analysts

πŸ₯‡@AltcoinLtd πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦
πŸ₯ˆ@DanCoinInvestor πŸ‡°πŸ‡·
πŸ₯‰@lukasz_wydra πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
4️⃣@TariqElliot πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¦
5️⃣@abramchart πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ

πŸ₯°Thank you for actively using our platform! πŸŽ‰
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"Market Liquidity Regime Index"

This index is a data metric that shows a strong correlation with actual market buying and selling activity.

However, throughout the current cycle, no meaningful "Accumulation Events" have appeared yet.

So how will this cycle ultimately unfold?

The current market structure continues to be monitored very closely.

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