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📝ForeDex Author TariqElliot links current rally to the LTH/STH Supply Ratio:

🔸Rise in indicator means that coins are moving from weak hands (speculators) to strong hands (long-term investors +155 days)
🔸Upward movement of the indicator line implies an accumulation phase, where whales hold on to their positions, making the rally more stable
🔸In summary, we are in a phase of strategic dominance, and the price is currently driven by investment conviction rather than just temporary FOMO

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📝Possible BTC Scenarios by ForeDex Author KaanChart :

Bitcoin’s upward momentum remains intact while approaching a monthly resistance zone, supported by rising futures taker Buy/Sell ratio, positive IBIT inflows and the market sentiment (The Fear and Greed Index).

🟢Holding above 79k-80k keeps the path open toward liquidity at 83k-87k.

🔴However, losing 79k could push the market into a deeper correction and rebalancing before resuming the trend.

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📝ForeDex Author OnChainBR compares the current OTC flow with the past:

"The OTC Buy-Side Liquidity Flow sits at 5.58k on May 5th, with the 14-day SMA at 3.58k and Bitcoin at 81k."

➡️ In 2024, strong OTC flows suggested major institutional Bitcoin accumulation, supporting the rally from around $40k to $100k.
➡️ But since late 2024, OTC flow has dropped sharply and stayed low, while price corrected from 100k to 74k region.
➡️ In 2026 the flow remains low at 5.58k, but price has recovered to 81k without the OTC support that existed in the previous cycle.

⭐️ The key point is that previous strong rallies were supported by high OTC flow, while the current move is rising without that same fuel.

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BlackRock just went all-in on #BTC!!!...or...DID THEY?🧐

ForeDex_Proof explains common misconceptions about ETF settlements and Bitcoin transfers from associated wallets.

Key points:
⭐️ In the U.S., most securities trades, including ETFs, are executed on the trade date (T) and settled on the next business day (T+1).
⭐️ We can observe daily net inflows and outflows for each ETF on the same day (execution), but the actual asset movement corresponding to those trades occurs on the next business day (T+1 settlement).
⭐️ Therefore, BTC moving from IBIT/FBTC wallets before market open does not mean “BlackRock or Fidelity is buying or selling ahead of the market.”

🫡Without understanding this structure, simple settlement flows can be misinterpreted as front-running or intentional trading activity. This can lead to misinformation and repeated conspiracy narratives.

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Interesting pick from ForeDex Author G a a h :

⚠️#Bitcoin has reclaimed the STH Realized Price for the first time since losing it in October 2025⚠️

"If price holds this level as support, it's a positive sign that the bear market may have ended."

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ForeDex Author Crypto Dan alerts that we may be at the bottom of the downward cycle:

"Crypto investors need to know that this is a truly critical period right now."

➡️ Historically, whale withdrawals from exchanges have often appeared near the bottom of the downtrend cycle
➡️ When this pattern repeats, it can be suspected as whales' accumulation near the bottom

⭐️ In the current range, signs of whale accumulation are also starting to become visible.

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ForeDex Author Rei Researcher points out something that is missing from this #Bitcoin rally compare to the previous ones:

🔸 From 2023 to early 2025, major #BTC rallies were accompanied by strong and frequent spikes on Bitcoin Spot Taker Buy Volume chart, but those spikes gradually became less frequent and less intense throughout 2025.

🔸 In 2026, buy volume is clearly much lower than previous periods, with only a few moderate spikes remaining.

"Spot buying pressure is weaker than before, suggesting investors are being cautious or waiting for clearer catalysts. However, the price continues to hold firmly above the 80K zone, indicating that selling pressure is not overly aggressive yet."

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#Bitcoin Spot ETF inflow summary by ForeDex Author Kaan:

🟢Daily inflow momentum slowed to +571 BTC, but Bitcoin spot ETFs are still showing strong long-term accumulation.

"The important thing now is that institutions have not left the market."

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Follow-up on #Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Price by ForeDex Author Lukasz Wydra:

"Bitcoin (BTC) Short-Term Holder Realized Price is currently at $79,150 and is beginning to show signs of flattening."

⚠️ To speak about further upside, this level must be:
➡️ maintained on the weekly candle close,
➡️ and later retested from above as support.

Will #BTC be able to hold? 👀

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Wow! A must-read from ForeDex Author Pelin Ay on #Bitcoin Whale Exchange Netflow:

As of May in the chart:

🔴Whale inflows: ~2.57K BTC
🟢Whale outflows: ~1.85K BTC

❗️ When whale inflows exceed outflows, more #BTC is moving into exchanges than leaving, which has historically been associated with increased short-term selling pressure on Bitcoin.

❗️ Despite higher whale inflows, BTC holding around $81.5K and continued outflows of ~1.85K BTC suggest that demand is still absorbing sell pressure while some large holders continue moving coins off-exchange.

❗️ If whale outflows start to exceed inflows again, it could suggest easing sell pressure and stronger support for the uptrend.

➡️ "The current setup indicates that short-term volatility risk persists. Because whale inflow data is signalling that potential selling supply is arriving in the market. The price is inflated. It's worth keeping an eye on."

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ForeDex Author Arab Chain on Bitcoin Mining Corporate Market Cap Ratio (BMCM):

⭐️ Bitcoin mining stocks’ market-cap ratio has reached its highest level since 2023, suggesting renewed investor confidence and stronger relative performance versus #BTC itself.

"This upswing reflects a return of investor confidence in the sector, supported by improved margins or positive expectations."

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ForeDex Author Rei Researcher discusses 200 Week Moving Average (200 WMA) and possible Bitcoin scenarios:

🔸The 200 WMA remains one of Bitcoin’s strongest long-term support indicators, and the broader uptrend still appears intact after a sharp V-shaped recovery supported by improving sentiment, stable ETF inflows, rate-cut expectations, and crypto-friendly policy momentum.

"Currently, price is trading far above the 200 WMA → a correction, sideways movement, or mild pullback may occur soon to allow the WMA to catch up."

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