#Croatia, presidential election (run-off):

as per 5,637/6,755 of the polling stations counted, the incumbent President Zoran Milanović, supported by the SDP-S&D led alliance has won re-election beating Dragan Primorac, supported by the HDZ-EPP led alliance.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

Turnout at 4:30 PM CET (excluding overseas turnout)

2005: 41.92%
2009: 33.87%
2014: 36.36%
2019: 38.82%
2024: 34.77%

Note: figures before 2020 reflect turnout as of 4 PM CET

Source: State Election Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

According to the Ipsos exit poll, candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) wins 22.14% of the vote occupying second place.

If the State Election Commission (DIP) confirms these results, this will be the worst result for a second place candidate since the transition to a parliamentary from a semi-presidential system in 2000.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

According to the Ipsos exit poll, candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) wins 22.14% of the vote.

If the State Election Commission (DIP) confirms these results, this will be the worst result for a HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate since the transition to a parliamentary from a semi-presidential system in 2000.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

City of Zagreb

Milanović (*-S&D): 79.4% (+19.7)
Primorac (*-EPP): 20.6% (-19.7)

+/- vs. 2019 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round):

Final turnout

2005: 51.04%
2010: 50.12%
2015: 59.03%
2020: 54.99%
2025: 44.17% (-10.82)

Source: State Election Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round):

Diaspora

Primorac (*-EPP): 66.5% (-21.4)
Milanović (*-S&D): 33.5% (+21.4)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 32% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 28% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
Most→ECR: 7% (-3)
DP~ECR: 2% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-20 December 2024

Fieldwork: 1-20 January 2025
Sample size: 993

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia: the right-wing Domovinski Pokret (DP~ECR), currently in national government with HDZ (EPP), falls to an all-time record low polling result of 1.8% in the latest Ipsos poll - the lowest polling result ever obtained by a party founded in 2020.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, 2x1 komunikacije poll:

HDZ-EPP: 35% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 26% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 9% (+1)
Most→ECR: 7% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 3%
HSU-*: 3%
DP~ECR: 2% (-2)
Centar-RE: 2%
IDS-RE: 2%
HS-ECR: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 15-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: January 2025

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Promocija plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 31% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 28% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP~ECR: 3%
DOMiNO-ECR: 3% (+1)
HSS-*: 2% (+1)
Fokus-RE: 1%
Centar-RE: 1% (-1)
IDS-RE: 1% (-1)
PP-*: 1%
NPS-*: 1%
HSU-*: 1%
HSLS-RE: 1%
RF-LEFT: 1%
HNS-RE: 1% (-1)
OiP-*: 0% (-1)
HS-ECR: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 2-5 December 2024

Fieldwork: 4-6 February 2025
Sample size: 1,300

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Promocija plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 31% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 28%
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP~ECR: 2% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 2% (-1)
Fokus-RE: 1%
Centar-RE: 1% (-1)
IDS-RE: 1%
PP-*: 1%
NPS-*: 1%
HSS-*: 1%
HSU-*: 1%
OiP-*: 1%
HS-ECR: 1%
HSLS-RE: 1%
RF-LEFT: 1%
HNS-RE: 1%
HDS-EPP: 0%

+/- vs. 8-9 January 2025

Fieldwork: 15-18 February 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 31% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 31% (+3)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 7%
DP~ECR: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 1-20 January 2025

Fieldwork: 1-20 February 2025
Sample size: 984

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia: center-left Socijaldemokratska partija (SDP-S&D) has climbed to 30.5% in the latest Ipsos poll. This is the party’s highest polling result in at least 5 years.

If repeated in a national parliament election, this would be the party's best result since 2016.

SDP-led coalition received 25.4% in the 2024 national parliament election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, 2x1 komunikacije poll:

HDZ-EPP: 33% (-2)
SDP-S&D: 27% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 9%
Most→ECR: 8% (+1)
HSU-*: 4% (+1)
DP~ECR: 2%
DOMiNO-ECR: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. January 2025

Fieldwork: 17-27 February 2025
Sample size: 1,041

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia