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The official Telegram account for Europe Elects: providing polling aggregation and analysis from all over Europe.

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#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

Turnout at 4:30 PM CET (excluding overseas turnout)

2005: 41.92%
2009: 33.87%
2014: 36.36%
2019: 38.82%
2024: 36.09%

Note: figures before 2019 reflect turnout as of 4 PM CET

Source: State Election Commission

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election today (first round):

Polling stations across Croatia have now closed. Exit polls will be released in a matter of minutes, which will be posted here.

Preliminary results will be available after 8PM CET tonight.

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

7PM CET Ipsos exit poll:

Milanović (*-S&D): 51.5 % (+20.6)
Primorac (*-EPP): 19.3 % (-7.7)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.8 % (new)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.3 % (new)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 4.0 % (new)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.5 % (new)
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.6 % (new)
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.8 % (new)

+/- vs. 2019 election

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

7:50 PM CET Ipsos exit poll:

Milanović (*-S&D): 50.7 % (-0.8)
Primorac (*-EPP): 19.0 % (-0.2)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 9.3 % (+0.5)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.8 % (+0.5)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 3.9 % (-0.1)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.7 % (+0.2)
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.5 % (-0.1)
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9 % (+0.1)

+/- vs. 7PM CET Ipsos exit poll

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

Ipsos exit poll shows that the incumbent Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) is set to win a majority of the votes.

If the State Electoral Commission (DIP) confirms this result as final, Milanović has won the presidential election in the first round. This would be the first time that a candidate wins a presidential election in the first round since 1997. It would also mark the highest result for SDP (S&D)-supported candidate in Croatian history.

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

Ipsos exit poll shows that the HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate Dragan Primorac has won 19.0% of the votes.

If the State Electoral Commission (DIP) confirms this result as final, it will be the worst result for HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate since 2009. Since the transition from a semi-presidential to a parliamentary system in 2000, HDZ (EPP)-supported candidates have never won a majority of votes in the first round of Presidential elections.

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

According to the Ipsos exit poll, candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) is set to secure a second place. This is the third consecutive presidential election where HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate occupies a second place.

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round) today:

80.3% counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.9% (+20.0)
Primorac (*-EPP): 20.7% (-6.3)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.6% (new)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.1% (new)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 4.5% (new)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.8% (new)
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.4% (new)
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9% (new)

+/- vs. 2019 election

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

91.2% counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.4% (-0.5)
Primorac (*-EPP): 20.1% (-0.6)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 8.9% (+0.3)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.4% (+0.3)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 4.5% (-0.3)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.8%
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.4%
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9%

+/- vs. 80.3% counted

https://europeelects.eu/croatia
#Croatia, presidential election (first round):

96.8% counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 49.3% (-0.1)
Primorac (*-EPP): 19.5% (-0.6)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 9.2% (+0.3)
Kekin (Možemo-G/EFA): 8.8% (+0.4)
Jonjić (HSP-*): 5.0% (+0.2)
Bulj (Most→ECR): 3.8%
Lozo (DOMiNO-ECR): 2.4%
Tokić Kartelo (*): 0.9%

+/- vs. 91.2% counted

https://europeelects.eu/croatia