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BTC

The analysis worked well
And I warned you)

I will soon sit down for today's analysis.

Write your reactions and I will share them with you๐Ÿ”ฅ

I trade on the BingX exchangeโ€Œโ€Œ
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Good morning โ˜€

BTC Daily Review

โŒMarket liquidations in the last 24 hours, CoinGlass: ~ 199,042 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with a total of $677.95 million in liquidations. ~88% long positions and ~12% short positions.

The new week begins with a breakout of the ascending channel into shorts and an attempt to gain a foothold under it. The situation is quite dangerous, but not yet critical, since everything looks like an ordinary drink with a subsequent return to the channel.

At the moment, I am considering a return to the ascending channel and a further trend of movement within it. I would not like the development of a global bearish flag pattern.

However, this scenario cannot be excluded and it cannot be said that it is unlikely. We are waiting for a decision on the US Federal Reserve's key rate and Powell's speech.
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All GMs

Have you read the review? There is 10/10 working out against the backdrop of yesterday's liquidation

-Warn a couple of hours in advance about a potential market decline โœ…
-Indicate potential points for catching the rebound โœ…
-Perfectly practice rebounds โœ…

#ETH +4% (overnight net movement)
#BTC +2% (overnight net movement)
#XRP +4% (overnight net movement)
#SOL +3% (net movement overnight)

There must be at least 300 reactions here to continueโ€Œโ€Œ
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๐Ÿคฉ Good morning, traders!

Monday, a new week - no rush, no expectations.

The market does not owe anything, but always leaves opportunities for those who know how to wait.

Brief context:
on older TFs, $BTC forms a structure very similar to a classic bear flag.

This is a reminder - the week can be bumpy.

We work from the reaction of the price, and do not follow emotions. Have a good start to the week ๐Ÿค
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The polymarket already has bids for the start of a new shutdown until January 31

On Wednesday, the Fed meeting, there will be a decision on the % rate and a press conference.

The % rate will most likely be left unchanged, and therefore Trump will start to wonder again.

The US military in Israel is already ready to dam Iran...


Crap, it's scary...
Today's and weekly charts are something with something...
The currency looks like crap, gold is already at 5100, without corrections.
For now, all hope is on indexes, and that is in questionโ€Œโ€Œ
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๐Ÿคฉ Since Friday's review of $BTC, the structure has become clearer

The market is completely stuck in a range. By the opening of the American session on Friday, we received a false takeout from above, and on the night from Sunday to Monday - a symmetrical takeout from below. Classic work inside the sidewall.

There is still an unclosed gap from last week hanging above in the area of 88,000โ€“89,200. After its closure, I see two basic scenarios for the development of events:
either the market will continue to move down, or they will try to turn this area into support.

If the inversion scenario goes, the next zone where I would be interested in shorting is the weekly block above, in the area of 89.8kโ€“97.8k. In this area, I expect price weakness and the formation of conditions for a new decline.

My main goal for the downward movement remains around 80.6k. Further, as always, we work based on the actual reaction, and not on expectations.
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๐Ÿค‘ Review on BTC

๐ŸŸ Fear index 19
๐ŸŸ Altseason index 41
๐ŸŸ Long/short ratio 46/54
๐ŸŸ Bitcoin dominance 59.86%

The asset tested the local loy and went for $86,000. The movement is quite predictable, I wrote about this in reviews more than once. We managed to make great money with you on this strait.

Now they have leveled off at $88,000, but there is still a possibility of a descent to $84,500 after a slight rise. News about the risks of military action in Iran is quite alarming.โ€Œโ€Œ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThe probability of a US government shutdown on Polymarket has reached 77%

Odds on the Polymarket prediction market have risen sharply following announcements by Donald Trump and Chuck Schumer.
The risk of a shutdown increases the uncertainty surrounding the consideration of the CLARITY Act bill.

The crypto industry remains divided on key regulatory issues, including the profitability of stablecoins.โ€Œโ€Œ
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โค๏ธHmmm, good afternoon. But I didnโ€™t even think that BTC would perfectly repeat yesterdayโ€™s expectations. Namely, by short impulse and subsequent long reaction.

๐ŸคOf course, there were chances for this, but I was sure that, as luck would have it, they would first create a long impulse - but, as we see, everything turned out perfect.

โœ…But yesterday I promised to touch on #ADA.

๐Ÿ‘Local situation: A bearish TDP has formed just in the area of the bearish OB, which will most likely work out liquidity from below, where the formation of TDP (0.3439) began.

๐Ÿ™‚POI of interest: bull OB 0.3416โ€“0.336.

๐ŸคBut still this is a substructural zone, and the chance of flashing it is quite high. Therefore, if you decide to work with it, ideally wait for the BOS to break in this POI on m3โ€“m5.โ€Œโ€Œ
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#THETA Implements downward dynamics

The coin continues to fall following BTC, but we are still quite far from the historical low, about 85%, so I donโ€™t think we will retest it.

The priority, of course, remains a further decline, the potential of which would be highlighted by the area of $0.18 - $0.2, since the support at $0.258 most likely will not hold the price.

If you were thinking about averaging your position, then do it no earlier than the $0.2 mark, and ideally try even lower, so that the entry point is much more pleasant. For now, all that remains is to wait for further resolution on BTC and build on that.
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There is another theory that Bitcoin will no longer update its highs; the bottom this year may be around $25,000. Do we believe?

I personally don't believe it.

There will be highs.
The bottom is possible, but I believe not lower than $35,000.โ€Œโ€Œ
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Good morning โ˜€

BTC Daily Review

โŒMarket liquidations over the past 24 hours, CoinGlass: ~ Over the past 24 hours, 203,018 traders were liquidated, the total amount of liquidations is $799.93 million. ~74% long positions and ~26% short positions.

BTC has retested the $75,000 area and is attempting a reversal, which looks extremely weak and uncertain. You can expand globally now, you donโ€™t have to go to the $72,000 area. We have a triple bottom and a weak, but still buyout of the asset.

Globally, the structure resembles a bearish cycle and I estimate the probability of a fall to $50,000 to be above 40% within a year. I donโ€™t see any point in buying back alta at the moment and I recommend just sitting in the cache.

I also donโ€™t recommend averaging positions. For now, I would like to see the $82,000 area, and then watch the buyerโ€™s reaction.