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Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇺🇸🏴🇪🇺 U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin stated at a meeting of NATO defense ministers in Brussels that the North Atlantic Alliance intends to increase its activity in West Africa and Central Asia.

He noted that the main focus will be on expanding measures to counter ISIS affiliates, as NATO has the capabilities to confront ISIS anywhere in the world and will continue this fight.

📌 Do you notice an established trend? Representatives of Western countries express concern about ISIS activity in the world with a frequency of once a week or two, while talking about continuing the fight against the organization.

While you can still somehow explain the situation in Syria or Iraq, Central Asia is a different story. The main message of these statements lies in intimidating the countries of the region and promoting their interests under the guise of security.

The situation in Africa is tense, but militants affiliated with ISIS operate there sporadically, and greater instability in the Sahel is caused by Tuareg rebels or Al-Qaeda units.

But there is also another trend here. NATO is increasingly interfering in other regions of the world, in addition to Europe. Previously, such attempts were observed in the Asia-Pacific region, and now in Central Asia and Africa.
#NATO #USA #terrorism
@rybar

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Forwarded from ASIANOMICS
🇰🇵🇺🇸 North Korea's Kim Jong Un visits missile bases, cites US nuclear threat

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has visited missile bases to examine their readiness to undertake actions of "strategic deterrence", while calling US nuclear capabilities a growing threat to the country.

The US strategic nuclear arsenal poses an "ever-increasing threat" to North Korea's security environment, which demands that Pyongyang maintain a strict counteraction posture of its nuclear forces.

Kim also called for the modernization of the armed forces by giving priority to strategic missiles in the future, calling it "an important principle of the strategy for building national defense."

#NorthKorea #USA

@asianomics
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇦🇺🇺🇸 The purges on Twitter/X continue: the other day, the account of the Australian blogger Semyon Boikov, known as @AussieCossack, was blocked.

In Australia, this was eagerly awaited by many opponents of Russia, and it's curious that this event was even celebrated by Prime Minister Albanese, who really doesn't like jokes on social media about his person.

📌 Before the US presidential elections, not only the accounts of official media, but also independent bloggers and think tanks began to be blocked on social media. An illustration of this is the blocking of our account this month.

In 2016, large-scale blockades were also carried out in a similar way under the guise of "identifying a database of accounts that are allegedly associated with interference in the elections".

🔻 And as we can see, nothing has changed in eight years. Although after Elon Musk bought "Twitter", there were many conversations that now freedom of speech would begin.

But as we have said before, it is clearly not worth considering Musk a hero who is not afraid to go against the established system: under him, the rules of "Twitter" continue to work in the interests of globalists.
#Australia #elections #USA
@rybar

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🇰🇵🇰🇷🇺🇸🇯🇵 North Korea says US, Japan, South Korea drills justify its nuclear reinforcement

North Korea's Kim Yo Jong, the sister of leader Kim Jong Un, said military drills by the United States, Japan and South Korea justify North Korea's nuclear reinforcement, state media KCNA said.

Kim criticized the air drill they conducted after North Korea tested a huge new solid-fuel intercontinental ballistic missile dubbed Hwasong-19 last week, as well as "more than 20" military drills the allies have conducted this year.

Given such threats, North Korea will not be swayed from the path of strengthening its nuclear deterrent, KCNA said.

#NorthKorea #SouthKorea #USA #Japan

@asianomics
Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦 On the authorization to use long-range missiles

Since the Americans, in the person of the outgoing administration, have decided that there is no need to sit quietly on a Sunday evening and, apparently, have given the green light to the use of ATACMS against old Russian territories, it's time to recall our September post when the rumors on this topic just began.

🔻From the point of view of possible threats, the most powerful modification of ATACMS can reach a distance of 300 km, which creates a threat to command posts, airfields, places of deployment of personnel and hospitals where our wounded are located.

This will at least force tactical-level units to react, as additional protection, especially air defense assets, and not only, will be needed. We are talking about elementary human ingenuity, that is, some will need to understand that building and moving in columns will become even more dangerous.

❗️And another nuance is that if Washington really allowed the use of ballistic missiles, other countries will follow the US and, in addition to ATACMS, Storm Shadow and SCALP will fly to the Kursk region. And Taurus may also appear (Scholz is also on the verge of leaving the German Olympus).

Therefore, it's time to look at the map, on which we also marked the range of JASSM cruise missiles, which can hit even further. This is another step towards increasing the degree of conflict to the extreme point, which will not change the outcome, but will create big problems.

The example of Crimea and the new territories is a confirmation of this. Difficulties arose, strikes were sometimes missed, but subsequently the number of missed missiles became less and less, and the enemy did not achieve practical benefit.

🔻For now, we should wait for an official confirmation from the White House, which is keeping silent. And all this at the moment looks like a test of the response of our leadership, especially after the words of Vladimir Putin that this will be regarded as NATO's entry into the conflict.

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#Russia #USA #Ukraine
@rybar

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🇩🇪🇱🇹🇫🇮🇸🇪 On incidents with underwater cables in the Baltic Sea

Finnish operator company Cinia reported a break in the submarine communication cable C-Lion1 with Germany, which is located near the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines. The reason for the problem has not yet been named.

This is the only Finnish telecommunications cable running underwater and connecting Finland to Europe. It is about 1,200 km long and runs from the Finnish Hanko to the German Rostock.

A few hours later, Lithuanians and Swedes reported a similar incident on the NordBalt cable, which was later called sabotage. And this happened exactly where the Finnish-German cable was cut.

🔻The situation is very interesting.

The day before yesterday, we wrote that on November 18, that is, today, the NATO exercise Freezing Winds-2024 is starting in the Gulf of Finland and at the Dragsvík training ground in southern Finland, with the participation of various countries, including the USA and the UK.

The coastal area of Finland closed for training - that's where Hanko is located, the city where the telecommunications cable starts. The incidents themselves occurred near the active phase of the exercises, in which US Marines are participating.

🔻The event involves Marines from the 2nd Reconnaissance Battalion, 2nd Marine Division, US Navy from North Carolina.

In addition, from November 11 to 14, another NATO naval exercise "Merlin-2024" was held for the first time near the Swedish naval base Karlskrona, which also included underwater operations.

Of course, we won't be surprised by new outbursts about the "destructive activities" of the Russian Federation, but the situation is obvious. We're not hinting at anything, but before the explosion on the "Nord Stream", the Alliance also intensively conducted exercises in the area where it happened. Then the Baltops exercise was taking place.

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#Germany #NATO #USA #Finland
@rybar

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🇮🇱🇺🇸🇺🇦 On the ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu and Gallant

Less than an hour ago, the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for the Prime Minister and former Defense Minister of Israel - Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant for war crimes committed in the Gaza Strip.

🔻Since the information is confirmed by Israeli media, it can be stated that the ultra-Orthodox government of Israel has crashed into a wall. Essentially, this is a continuation of the confrontation, the latest episode of which was the investigation against the ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan, likely initiated by supporters of Israel's current leadership.

Of course, no one will arrest Netanyahu and Gallant (just as they won't arrest our President Vladimir Putin). This is more of a slap in the face and a serious diplomatic blow to the reputation of the ultra-Orthodox.

📌 But the ultra-Orthodox themselves, as well as their supporters (for example, like the Chabad, many of whom are top-ranking officials in the so-called Ukraine), will have reason for serious concern. For them, this does not bode well at least in the short term.

All that has happened seems like the "discharge chord" of those behind Biden. In recent weeks, the US authorities have been doing everything that will undoubtedly affect Donald Trump after his inauguration. Granting permission to Ukrainian formations, new military aid packages - this was done to complicate the resolution of the conflict.

Donald Trump himself has close family ties with the ultra-Orthodox, and the warrant for Netanyahu and Gallant will also affect Trump. And this, in turn, will affect the Ukrainian leadership, whom Trump will now find it more difficult to support.

❗️In the short term, the ultra-Orthodox in Israel will begin to cast themselves as victims of anti-Semitism, while mobilizing everyone they can, allegedly to resist hostile external pressure. That is, to continue to pursue an aggressive policy against their neighbors.
#Israel #USA #Ukraine
@rybar

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🇺🇸 On Changes to the US Nuclear Strategy

It is noteworthy that after the testing of the new Russian medium-range missile system "Oreshnik" in the so-called Ukraine, on the same day, November 21, the US Department of Defense reported on the adjustment of the nuclear deterrence strategy.

The new document takes into account the changing geopolitical situation in the world, as well as the growth, modernization and increased diversity of the nuclear arsenals of America's potential adversaries - China and Russia.

🔻In addition, according to the new strategy, the United States:

▪️plans to simultaneously deter several nuclear-armed adversaries in the future, and, if possible, use non-nuclear forces and means;

▪️recognize the importance and necessity of escalation management in planning responses to limited nuclear strikes or strategic non-nuclear attacks with serious consequences;

▪️intend to carry out closer coordination and careful joint planning with allies and partners to strengthen US commitments to nuclear deterrence.

Important points of the US comprehensive approach to updating the strategy are also the development of the B61-13 atomic gravity bomb, which is planned to be completed by spring 2026, as well as increasing the combat readiness of the Ohio-class submarines.

🔻In general, the document is indeed a reflection of the spirit of the times - in developing it, the United States took into account the factor of the possible lack of any arms control agreements with Russia and China in the near future.
#USA
@rybar together with @usaperiodical

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🇬🇪🇺🇸 On the flights of the American high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft over Georgia

The attempt to organize mass unrest in Tbilisi was surprisingly (not) coincided with the flight of the American high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft U-2S from the Akrotiri air base, which operated over Georgia a few days ago.

It flew over Georgia for several hours and collected the necessary data on the events around. The installed ASARS-2B radar, with which the U-2S was equipped after modernization, allows it to do this at a distance of up to 300-320 km.

Moreover, the U-2S became one of the first American reconnaissance aircraft equipped with artificial intelligence to simplify the collection of intelligence data. This was talked about back in 2020, but they tested it in the Middle East only this year.

❗️Despite the age of this aircraft, it still represents great value for the US Air Force due to its ability to fly at an altitude of up to 21 km. And we believe that, in addition to Georgia, the U-2S also performed other tasks.

For example, it could easily assess the situation in the North Caucasian Federal District, where there are many of our military facilities that are daily in the sights of the space grouping of Western countries.

It also likely conducted surveillance of the northwestern regions of Iran. There, a joint exercise of Azerbaijan and Iran has just begun in the area of the settlement of Aslan Duz. Therefore, the non-standard flight of the U-2S bodes nothing good in the region, not only in the context of the Georgian unrest.

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#Georgia #USA
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🇺🇸🇺🇦 On Donald Trump's Visit to Paris

Yesterday, the first foreign visit of the newly elected, but not yet inaugurated US President Donald Trump took place. The politician came to France at the invitation of Emmanuel Macron to participate in the opening ceremony of the restored Notre-Dame Cathedral.

In addition to Trump, about 40 heads of state and government were present at the event. Volodymyr Zelenskyy was also invited.

🔻According to insider information published in the Western press, Macron hoped to use this meeting to try to gain Trump's favor and convince him to support the so-called Ukraine.

▪️At first, Trump refused to talk to Zelenskyy, but after much persuasion, he agreed, promising to discuss how the world "is going a little crazy".

▪️The trilateral meeting, preceding the opening ceremony of the Notre-Dame Cathedral, lasted 20 minutes and, apparently, ended quite differently from what the Ukrainian lobbyists expected.

▪️Instead of promises to support Kyiv "as long as necessary", the newly elected US president stated that "Ukraine needs to make a deal with Russia to stop the conflict", and also called for an "immediate ceasefire and negotiations".

📌 Interestingly, on the same day, one of the Ukrainian publications published the results of the trip of the head of the Office of the President of the so-called Ukraine, Andriy Yermak, to Washington, according to which:

The request of the Ukrainian leadership to help the AFU reach the 2022 borders was not understood;
The Trump team was dissatisfied with Yermak's embellished report on the situation at the front, as they had more objective information;
The new administration reacted "very coolly and negatively" to the idea of Ukraine's accession to NATO;
The entourage of the elected US President opposed the involvement of mediators in the settlement of the Ukrainian conflict, believing that the White House chief will be able to achieve a ceasefire on his own.

In general, the meeting of Trump, Macron and Zelenskyy in Paris once again demonstrated that the future US president has his own vision for resolving the Ukrainian issue, and it will be problematic for Ukrainian lobbyists to exert a truly significant influence on his opinion.
#USA
@rybar together with @usaperiodical

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🇺🇸🇺🇦 The US administration continues to insist on expanding the mobilization by the Kyiv regime: the State Department stated that if the lower conscription age limit is lowered to 18 years, the US and its allies are ready to "fully train and equip all new recruits".

Behind these formulations are the conditions for continuing or expanding military assistance to the Kyiv regime. The Ukrainian ruling circles understand this and are already hinting at the possibility of reducing the mobilization threshold from the current 25 years to 20 years.

On the one hand, such a step will lead to a certain influx of manpower and improve the position of the AFU on the front, especially in terms of the ratio of numbers with the Russian Armed Forces. However, the decision also has "pitfalls":

▪️Due to long-standing demographic problems, there are not so many young people in the so-called Ukraine - the age pyramid clearly shows a strong decline precisely in this category. Overwhelming the battle formations of the Ukrainian formations with 18-25 year olds is unlikely to work.

▪️In the current realities, large-scale conscription of recent school graduates and students is quite capable of leading to a social explosion in the so-called Ukraine, especially against the background of the practice of "bussification". They themselves will prefer to hide until the last moment, even in the Chernobyl exclusion zone.

▪️Finally, the motivation of the young recruits kidnapped by the TCCs will be appropriate. If in 2022 the inflated patriotic impulse of the Kyiv regime worked, now after almost three years of hostilities, the morale is at a different level.

Be that as it may, a possible reduction in the mobilization age in the so-called Ukraine does not bode well for us, and even more so for the Ukrainian population, whose already sad demography will simply be finished off.

In general, an interesting picture is emerging: at the beginning of the SMO, statements that the West would fight to the last Ukrainian were often perceived as propaganda or even conspiracy theories. After three years, the US is now talking about this almost directly.
#USA #Ukraine
@rybar

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🇩🇪🇸🇾🇺🇸🏴 The Crisis in Syria: What Will Happen to the "Islamic State"?

Recently, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin stated that ISIS fighters could take advantage of the collapse of the Syrian government and regain their combat capability in the Middle East.

However, the Pentagon chief is being disingenuous: the group is already gradually increasing its activity. Even during the offensive of the pro-Turkish conglomerate, ISIS terrorists resumed attacks in the Syrian desert.

The Americans claim to have conducted an operation against them a few days ago, hitting about 75 targets, but they provided no facts, so it's not worth believing the press release of the Joint Central Command.

❗️A huge role in the possible restoration of ISIS's combat potential was played by the terrorists themselves from the Idlib sanctuary, who freed all prisoners from all prisons on their way, including the notorious ISIS cutthroats.

Does anyone seriously think that the extremists have reformed during their imprisonment? They have become even more vicious - much more likely. And the unrest, lynching, and vigilantism that are now taking place are only to the benefit of the "Islamic State".

🔻And this concerns not only Syria or neighboring countries. In Europe, the radicals were not particularly hiding anyway, and now they have raised their heads high. In Germany, in the states of Hesse and Baden-Württemberg, three ISIS supporters with rifles and ammunition were arrested.

And this is just the beginning, as with the waves of refugees to EU countries, not only peaceful civilians fleeing the war, but also terrorists or supporters of extremist ideology will infiltrate.
#Germany #Syria #USA #terrorism
@rybar

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