❗️ 🇷🇺 🪖 New command, old problems: about the Dnepr group of troops

After Colonel General Oleg Makarevich took over as commander of the Dnepr group of troops back in November, we examined the challenges inherited by Colonel General Mikhail Teplinsky. It has been two months since then, and we can now evaluate the changes and remaining issues.

✅ The situation along the left bank of the Dnieper River in the coastal zone has relatively stabilized. During the beginning and middle of autumn, Ukrainian units frequently launched attacks on settlements near the river. Although the enemy is still present in Krynki, the settlement has been turned into a sort of "corral," diminishing the offensive capabilities of Ukrainian formations (including their "elite" units), although not without losses on the Russian side.

✅ Local commanders have altered their approach to engaging units in assaults, although not completely. Suicidal orders like "recapture the Antonovsky Bridge at any cost" are no longer heard. Instead, flexibility and reasonable ingenuity have taken precedence to preserve the lives of personnel. However, it should be noted that these changes were not brought about by favorable circumstances.

❗️However, there are still numerous problems, and in some cases, the situation has even worsened.

⛔️ The air defense situation in the Kherson region is a matter of great concern. Over the past six months, the problem of repelling mass attacks by UAVs, missiles, and rockets has been addressed on a national scale and in specific areas. While there are resources available in the Kherson region, their utilization is hindered by various bureaucratic issues.

As a result, enemy planes and helicopters have become increasingly audacious, occasionally flying over Krynki and launching attacks on rear areas using guided and unguided missiles. Unfortunately, our forces have been unable to shoot them down because they are awaiting permission. To approve a target within the group, whether it is an air defense missile system position or a concentration of personnel, a slide with photo or video evidence and coordinates must be presented. Ultimately, everything depends on when the headquarters considers the information and makes a decision, which often becomes irrelevant. On some days, the number of targets can exceed a dozen. Unfortunately, on January 6, we personally witnessed how the process of coordinating a fire strike involving 5 armored vehicles, 7 self-propelled guns, and 2 tanks on the right bank of the Dnieper took half a day, only for the information to leak completely to the enemy, rendering the targets irrelevant.

⛔️ There is also a lack of electronic warfare equipment. We are unsure of the reasons, but the troops have electronic warfare systems (although not enough for everyone, efforts are being made to address this issue). Ukrainian drones operate on frequencies that are no longer a secret, and a significant number of Ukrainian Armed Forces drones fly over Russian military personnel on the front lines.

⛔️ The human factor remains the most challenging aspect. While it is possible to gradually equip the front line with various weapons and systems, dealing with the rigid thinking of decision-makers is more difficult.

Until officers understand and realize that implementing fire strike plans or relying on slide-based reporting and decisions days after the fact are not applicable in wartime, we will continue to face recurring situations.
#VSRF #Krynki #Russia #Kherson
@rybar

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🇬🇧 In Britain, another "act of the Marlezon Ballet" is underway in the fight against illegal migration: this time, the government of the country plans to negotiate an agreement with Turkey to deport Turkish illegal immigrants.

Apparently, the prototype for this agreement will be a similar deal with Albania, which was signed in December 2022 and reportedly led to a 90% reduction in the number of Albanian migrants. It is likely that Ankara will expect visa benefits for its citizens in response.

📌 The number of Turkish nationals who arrived in the UK in less than 2023 is 2,499 people, while in 2022 there were half as many - 1,127. Turks are the third largest nationality among migrants who crossed the English Channel by boat.

Of course, after the agreement is signed, the government in London will, according to the proven scheme, announce a significant decrease in the flow of illegal immigrants from Turkey, presenting it as another victory for the Conservatives.

It goes without saying that all of this is nothing more than another symbolic gesture to voters. There will be elections in the UK in the fall, and the ruling authorities are very interested in pretending to have achieved progress in this field.
#UK #migration
@rybar in collaboration with @oldGBR

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🇮🇷 🇾🇪🇺🇸 Regarding the balance of power in the shipping areas of the Indian Ocean

Amidst the Houthi attacks on cargo ships near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and the subsequent increase in activity by the United States and its allies, certain areas of the Indian Ocean are becoming tense zones with naval groups from various countries.

▪️ Currently, there are over 50 combat and auxiliary ships in the region. Most of them belong to the US Navy and the Combined Maritime Forces (CMF), a multinational regional partnership of 39 countries under American command.

▪️ Among these, 10 ships, led by the nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower, are participating in the US-led Operation Sentinel of Prosperity, which was announced in December to protect shipping. Additionally, there are three Israeli Saar-class corvettes operating in the Red Sea.

▪️ The Iranians in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait area are represented by 94 detachments of warships, and they receive support from Houthi boats, although the exact number of these boats cannot be determined. Furthermore, a PLA Navy formation consisting of two destroyers and a comprehensive supply vessel is operating in the Gulf of Aden.

How has the increase in naval activity affected the situation in the region? On one hand, the number of attacks has decreased - this year, the Houthis have not yet attempted to attack passing ships. It is possible that this is due to Ansarallah regrouping their forces in preparation for potential US attacks, and after some time, the attacks will resume.

📌 However, the fleet of ships has not yet had a significant impact on the safety of navigation - major companies do not yet plan to resume transportation through the Red Sea. The numbers speak for themselves: since November 2023, traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has decreased by 35%.

Under these circumstances, cargo ships are compelled to seek alternate routes and circumnavigate Africa, which, although not fatal, results in certain financial and time costs.

High resolution infographics
English version

#Yemen #Iran #USA
@rybar

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🇮🇱🇵🇸 As the intensity of fighting in the northern Gaza Strip subsides, more and more details are emerging about the extent of destruction resulting from the bombing and fighting in this part of the enclave. It has recently become known that the Al-Basha Palace, an archaeological heritage site from the reign of the Mamluk dynasty in the 13th century, has been destroyed.

Coordinates: 31.504347, 34.466128

Israeli sources claim that Hamas militants used the monument for their own purposes, which is why it became a target for bombing. The Palestinians deny this and also highlight that a girls' school was located near the palace.

It is now difficult to determine what actually happened there. However, this incident serves as a reminder that in times of war, historical monuments and other antiquities in the combat zone are often not spared, despite the precision of bombs and advanced reconnaissance capabilities.
#Israel #Palestine
@rybar

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❗️American journalist Peter Lavelle who hosts CrossTalk, a political talk show on the TV channel RT has been awarded Russian citizenship via a Presidential decree signed by Vladimir Putin.

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