🇺🇸👀 #Macro JPMorgan expects a decrease in the Fed’s rate by 25 B.P. In September, even taking into account the uncertainty of CPI.
Meanwhile, BlackRock believes that the Fed should reduce the interest rate by 50 basic points next week.

🇺🇸⚡️ #macro USA:
- Prominflation (ppi; Aug):
- m/m: -0.1% (before: 0.9%)
- g/g: 2.6% (before: 3.3%);
- Basic PPI: 2.8% g/g (before: 3.7%)

⚡️🇺🇸 #macro USA:
- consumption (CPI; July):
- m/m: 0.4%(prog: 0.3%; before: 0.2%)
- g/g: 2.9%(prog: 2.9%; before: 2.7%);
- basic (CPI) (g/g): 3.1%(prog: 3.1%; before: 3.1%);
- Initial Jobless Claim: 237 thousand (before: 237 thousand)

🇺🇸👀 #macro IMF: The Fed has all the possibilities to start reducing the interest rate, but should act carefully.

🇺🇸🙋‍♂️ According to the Reuters survey, 105 out of 107 economists expect that the Fed will reduce interest rates by 25 basic points to 4.00% -4.25%. Most respondents also expect another decrease in the rate in the next quarter, and the total number of abbreviations this year may reach three. #macro reuters

🇷🇺 #macro Russia. Central Bank Bet: 17%(prototype 16%; before 18%)

🇺🇸👀 #macro retail sales (Aug): 0.6% (before: 0.5%)

🇺🇸👀 #Macro Initial Jobless Claim: 231 thousand (before: 263 thousand)

🇺🇸 S&P500 closed on the new ATH 6631. #Macro

🇺🇸 #Macro USA (Saint-Chair):
- S&P Composite PMI: 53.6 (before: 54.6);
- S&P ManUFACTURING PMI: 52 (before: 53);
- S&P Services PMI: 53.9 (before: 54., 5)

🇺🇸 #Macro Powell:
- a decrease in the rate was another step towards a more neutral policy;
- economic growth has slowed down;
- uncertainty in relation to the inflation path remains high;
- long -term inflation expectations correspond to the target level of 2%;
- expects an increase in inflation due to tariffs;
- There is no risk -free path to the DCP

🇺🇸👀 #macro Powell continues:
- at the next meeting, we will consider the labor market and data on inflation to determine whether a policy is being pursued;
- It cannot be said that the labor market is now said;
- The interest rate remains at a high level

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA:
- GDP (2 kV): 3.8% (before: -0.5%);
- Initial Jobless Claims: 231 thousand (before: 231 thousand)

🇺🇸 Trump: The interest rates are still too high due to the incompetence of Powell. #macro

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA:
- PCE Price Index (Aug):
- m/m: 0.3% (prog: 0.3%; prev: 0.2%)
- y/y: 2.7% (prog: 2.7%; pre: 2.6%)
- Basic PCE (g/g): 2.9%(prog: 2.9%; before: 2.8%)

📈 #Macro gold reached a new historical maximum - $ 3870 per ounce.

🇺🇸👀 #macro number of open vacancies in the labor market Jolts (Aug): 7,2270m (before: 7,1810m).

🇺🇸👀 #Macro Adp Nonfarm Employment (Sept.): -32 thousand (before: 54 thousand)

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA (September):
- S&P ManUFACTURING PMI: 52 (before: 53);
- ISM ManUFACTURING PMI: 49.1 (before: 48)

🇺🇸👀 #macro USA (September):
- S&P Composite PMI: 53.9 (before: 54.6);
- S&P Services PMI: 54.2 (before: 54.5);
- ISM Services PMI: 50 (before: 52).