Predictions on the Ukrainian Air Force claim on the interception rate tonight?

My guess is they will significantly overstate the cruise missile interceptions and slightly overstate the ballistic missile interceptions.

For reference, not a single Iskander-M or Zircon was shot down.

Ukrainian Air Force claims:

31/33 Kh-101s
6/6 Kalibrs
0/23 Iskander-Ms
0/6 Zircons

This is probably due to depleted Patriot interceptor stockpiles, which I reported on earlier.

Last night and this morning, Russia launched another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.

Missiles launched:

~25 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 5 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines over western Vologda Oblast.

~8 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers at their launch lines over western Vologda Oblast.

~9 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from ground-based installations near Manturovo, Kursk Oblast.

~6 Kalibr cruise missiles launched from a vessel at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

~11 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations in northern Kursk Oblast.

~10 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.

~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Pochep, Bryansk Oblast.

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Total missiles launched:

~33 Kh-101 cruise missiles
~23 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles
~9 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
~6 Kalibr cruise missiles

~71 missiles in total.

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Ukrainian air defence work:

As of the time of writing, it appears that Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept a *minimum* of 10 Kh-101s and 2 Kalibrs.

This is one of the lowest interception rates in a long time.

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The main targets for this strike was Ukrainian military targets in Kyiv. The following was targeted:

- Poznyaky Industrial Zone in southeastern Kyiv (50.415242, 30.604584).

- S-300 surface-to-air missile and Neptune cruise missile component plant on the southwestern outskirts of Kyiv (50.385591, 30.356629).

- Trucking enterprise in southwestern Kyiv (50.397503, 30.476097).

- "Sakhavtomat-Inzh" engineering plant in northern Kyiv (50.492788, 30.465763).

- "Rialto" Business Centre in northern Kyiv (50.484994, 30.485417).

- "Kuznia na Rybalskomu" ship-building plant in northern Kyiv (50.478623 30.528335).

- CHP-6 Thermal Power Plant in northeastern Kyiv (50.532674, 30.662889)

- CHP-5 Thermal Power Plant in southeastern Kyiv (50.393306, 30.569388)

- Kyiv Hydroelectric Power Plant in Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast (50.587355, 30.507102).

- Unknown target near Haisyn, Vinnytsia Oblast.

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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches.

Close-up video showing the massive secondary detonations in Kyiv this morning, following Russian Kh-101 cruise missile strikes on an S-300 surface-to-air missile plant.

Molniya-2 FPV drones of Russia's elite "Rubicon" drone unit struck petrol stations and fuel trucks in the towns of Mykhailo-Lukasheve, Omelnyk and Preobrazhenka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast), Prosyana and Shakhtarske (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast), as well as in Kramatorsk and Oleksandrivka (Donetsk Oblast).

A Russian operator-controlled Geran-2 drone struck a fuel tank in Zaporizhzhia City, resulting in a large fire breaking out.

At least two Russian operator-controlled Geran-2 drones struck a warehouse in the town of Bezruky, Kharkiv Oblast, reportedly being used by the Ukrainian military to store drones.

Russian Geran-2 drones struck a petrol station and a fuel truck in the city of Marhanets, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

This morning, Ukrainian drones attacked the Luga Region of Leningrad Oblast.

The target of the strikes was reportedly a training ground of the Russian 26th missile brigade.

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