Iskander-M/Oniks threat from Crimea

The ballistic threat from Crimea is likely due to Russian S-300 air defence activity against Ukrainian drones in the Rozdolne area.

The Tu-22m3s are likely conducting another training mission.

The Tu-22m3 bomber is returning east back to Rostov Oblast after carrying out a simulated launch maneuver.

It is being escorted by a Su-35 fighter.

A Russian Su-35 flying near Staromylnivka, Donetsk Oblast, attempted to shoot down a Ukrainian tactical aircraft flying west of Novomykolaivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with an R-37/77 air-to-air missile just now.

The attempt was unsuccessful, with the Ukrainian aircraft making a U-turn and escaping west, back past Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

A second attempt is being made now.

North of Zaporizhzhia CIty

The missile disappeared approximately in this area

It re-appeared.

This one is actually a cruise missile, not an air-to-air missile.

Flying to northern Zaporizhzhia City

Disappeared in this area

There are rumours among Ukrainian channels that a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile launcher used to attack Kyiv was struck by Ukrainian drones in Bryansk Oblast.

Remains unconfirmed for now.

Ukrainian media outlet Trukha, citing their sources in the Ukrainian military, denies rumours of a Russian Iskander-M launcher being destroyed by Ukrainian drones in Bryansk Oblast.

Russian forces have recaptured the village of Hirke, Omelnyk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Polohy District).

Pre-war population: ~68.
Total land area: ~0.72 km².

Russian forces have recaptured the village of Vilne, Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk District).

Pre-war population: ~71.
Total land area: ~0.39 km².

The 6th battle for Vilne lasted approximately 1 month, 10 days.

Russian forces have recaptured the village of Stepy, Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk District).

Pre-war population: ~68.
Total land area: ~0.46 km².

The second battle for Stepy lasted less than a week.

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village Yarova, Lyman direction, Donetsk Oblast (Kramatorsk District).

Pre-war population: ~2,018.
Total land area: ~3.28 km².

The fighting for Yarova lasted approximately 9 months.

Situation on the Orikhiv direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

Over the last five days, Russian forces have massively stepped up their assault operations towards Orikhiv from several different directions, resulting in a partial collapse of Ukrainian defences.

In the southwest, Russian forces established control over the highway intersection south of Novodanylivka and gained a foothold in the southern part of the village. From here, following the earlier Russian special forces DRG infiltrations, Russian soldiers are infiltrating northwest into the southeastern residential blocks of Orikhiv, and north towards the western streets of Mala Tokmachka.

To the southeast, the Russians cleared a number of treeline positions and 2022-era fortifications northeast of Robotyne following weeks of back-and-forth battles. Ukrainian forces are attempting to counterattack in the area of the nearby forested gulley.

To the north, Russian forces re-established control over the eastern part of Mala Tokmachka and began intense infiltrations into the northern part of the village. From there, several groups of Russian infiltrators broke through Ukrainian defences, crossing north over the Konka River to the treelines north of Mala Tokmachka, and are attempting to capture a series of trench fortifications on the nearby tactical heights by attacking from the southwest. If they are able to consolidate, a defence of Mala Tokmachka by Ukraine will become nearly impossible. Heavy fighting continues for the Mala Tokmachka prison and adjacent residential streets.

To the northeast, Russian forces achieved a tactical breakthrough north of Bilohirya, capturing a series of important Ukrainian strongpoints on the tactical heights and penetrating further west towards the forests north of Mala Tokmachka. Ukrainian forces defending the Bilohirya area are now at a high risk of being physically cut off. Heavy fighting is now ongoing for the eastern approaches to the forests, as well as the trench fortifications on the tactical heights, which are now being attacked from both the east and southwest.

Further north, the Russians improved their positions in the treelines southwest of Huliaipilske, threatening to cut off Ukrainian positions in the western part of the village. From there, assault operations are being carried out on the southeastern part of Novoselivka.

+ ~26.44 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map: amkmapping.com

Here's a closer-up view of the current approximate situation near Orikhiv, where the situation is rapidly deteriorating for Ukrainian forces.

Pro-Ukrainians labelling every claim they don't like as being Russian propaganda, and then turning around and blindly trusting every Ukrainian government claim is the funniest thing ever.

If Russia is able to sustain their infiltrations north of Mala Tokmachka, there might be some “surprising” geolocations surface in the coming days.

Especially considering the fact that I haven’t seen anyone else report on this frontline change yet.