Possible Iskander-M launch from Kursk Oblast

No missiles are detected in Ukrainian airspace.

There is a large-scale Russian Geran-2 drone attack on Ukraine ongoing right now. More than 60 Geran-2/Gerbera drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace, most of which are flying to Kyiv Oblast.

Drones have so far attacked targets in/near Dnipro, Kyiv, and Kharkiv Oblast.

A couple of minutes ago, during an ongoing mass-bombing raid on Ukrainian positions in the Komyshuvakha direction, a Russian KAB glide-bomb failed in flight and fell in/near the town of Mykhailivka, Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

It is currently unclear if it impacted a residential area with civilians.

Regarding the upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine:

Preparations for this attack were noted 5-6 days ago, which are being finalised now. Currently, all signs are pointing towards an attack tomorrow night or the night after, although this is not a fixed prediction.

4-7 Tu-95MS strategic bombers, 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers, and Iskander-M ballistic missiles will be used. There is also a possibility of Kalibr cruise missiles being launched from the Black Sea Fleet. Hundreds of Geran-2 drones will also be used.

The highest threat is to Western Ukraine from the Kh-101 cruise missiles, and to central Ukraine from the Iskander-M ballistic missiles. Kyiv was also mentioned as a possible target a few days ago, however that may have been in relation to an attack not involving Kh-101 cruise missiles.

There is a possibility that this attack is conducted in two parts across one day, with Geran-2 drones and ballistic missiles being used between 12am and 5am, while Kh-101 cruise missiles and Kalibrs are used any time after 8am.

Hezbollah released footage showing rocket launches towards IDF positions in Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon.

Al-Bayada continues to be the main target for Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Merkava tank in the town of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon. The drone struck the closed rear hatch of the tank.

Notably, Hezbollah drone operators are getting more and more accurate with their strikes. Some of the first videos showed missed hits, however almost all of the new ones show impacts, including on moving targets (soldiers).

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli command post in a building in the town of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon.

The drone flew through the open window, before detonating against an inner wall, likely damaging any equipment inside.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Merkava tank in the town of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon.

Notably, they were able to get a reconnaissance drone over the target to film and adjust the strike. However, the drone detonated against the front of the tank's turret, likely only causing minor damage.

Three Russian Geran-2 drones struck the Pokrov Solar Substation in the city of Pokrov, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Coordinates: 47.658370, 34.148426

A Russian Su-35 conducted a launch maneuver over Kursk Oblast. It is likely trying to shoot down Ukrainian tactical aviation over Sumy Oblast with an R-37/77 air-to-air missile.

2 R-37/77s entered Sumy Oblast

Flying to Putvyl, Sumy Oblast

The Ukrainian aircraft (likely F-16) launched glide-bombs towards Tetkino, Kursk Oblast.

An interception attempt was made northwest of Putvyl.

Here is a map showing the approximate layout of the aerial engagement.

The Ukrainian aircraft (likely F-16) was able to launch their glide-bombs towards Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, before the Russian air-to-air missiles reached it. The results of the interception attempt are unclear.