At least 50 more Geran-2/Gerbera entered Ukrainian airspace, mostly via Sumy Oblast. Most of the original ones were Gerbera decoy drones, and have since disappeared. Air defence is working in Kherson and Sumy Oblasts to thin out the groups right now, ahead of any missiles to follow.

Ukrainian intelligence certainly seems to think there will be an attack today. The highest threat is for Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. New drones are constantly entering Sumy Oblast, and more are expected to follow.

Nothing is certain yet, though, as they have been incorrect in the past.

Approximate movements of the different groups of Russian Geran-2/Gerbera drones. A minimum of 75 are detected. More are entering Sumy and Kherson Oblast.

The first groups of drones are beginning to turn west towards Kyiv Oblast.

The general routes of the ~80 drones are shown on the map.

Drone alerts in northwestern Israel

Most of the Gerans/Gerberas in Kherson Oblast have been shot down. Ukraine brought in new air defence units to Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts recently.

Helicopters are also actively working in Kherson Oblast.

2 Tu-95MS are airborne from Olenya Airbase and 1 Tu-160M is airborne from Ukrainka Airbase. They are likely carrying out a redeployment to Engels-2 Airbase, however they may conduct simulated launch maneuvers along the way.

There is no recorded activity on Russian combat frequencies right now, so the probability of Kh-101 cruise missiles being launched is low (but not ruled out).

The Tu-160M strategic bomber from Ukrainka Airbase is currently flying southeast over Rostov Oblast towards its launch lines in the Caspian Sea.

The 2 Tu-95MS are flying south from Olenya Airbase.

~60 (!) Geran-2 drones are flying west to Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytskyi Oblast. The first ones are about 20 km away.

No combined missile and drone attack was carried out on Ukraine. However, more than 400 Geran-2/Gerbera drones, as well as a few Geran-4/5 jet-drones were used, attacking targets across western Ukraine.

Targets were struck in Rivne City, Ternopil city, Dubno (Rivne Oblast), and Zhytomyr City. The hardest hit was Ternopil, which was attacked by more than 60 drones, making it the largest attack on the city since the beginning of the war.

Targets hit include electrical substations, industrial buildings, and an oil depot. The attached video shows a strike on Ternopil City.

The Ukrainian General Staff claimed that Ukrainian drones struck a Russian Su-34 bomber and Su-57 fighter at Shagol Airbase in Chelyabinsk Oblast, nearly 1,700 km from the border with Ukraine.

Satellite imagery posted by @Exilenova_plus appears to show that the aircraft were moved from their initial parking spaces after any damage was caused to them, however the resolution is too low to determine whether the material seen near the vehicles is debris from the aircraft or not.

I will be going live on YouTube to cover the frontline situation in Ukraine in around 6 hours at 1pm CEST.

A Russian Su-34 launched KAB glide-bombs at Novorais'k, Kherson Oblast. They will impact in the next few minutes.

A Russian Geran-2 drone struck the "Petropavlivka" 110 kV electrical substation in the city of Shakhtarske, eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, resulting in a large fire breaking out.

Coordinates: 48.376485, 36.366722

2 KABs impacted the Mylove area of Kherson Oblast. The Su-34 is flying away.

A daytime Geran-2/3 drone attack is ongoing on Mykolaiv City. Multiple explosions have been heard.

Geran-2 drones and Geran-3 jet-drones have been attacking targets in the city. The city was also attacked by Geran-2s overnight.

The attached image shows a large fire burning from one of the strikes last night.

Local Russian authorities have completely given up censorship efforts at the Tuapse Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai, which continues to burn after yesterday's 4th round of Ukrainian drone strikes.

The numbers of videos posted by locals is now in the hundreds.

Footage showing 4 consecutive Russian Geran-2 drone strikes on Ternopil City, including 2 which hit within less than a second of each other.

The attack was the largest on Ternopil since the beginning of the war, involving more than 60 Geran-2 drones.