Another missile to Khotin and then Sumy

This is MLRS.

Dobropillia direction. The direction, as I reported frequently in the past, continues to remain inactive up to Rusyn Yar.
Ukrainian forces are currently exploiting this Russian inactivity to conduct evacuation and logistics missions with UGVs (ground drones).
The frontline itself remains stable, with no Russian advancements to be reported lately, and it's quite calm.
The bulk of Russia's drone attacks (fixed-wing and FPV) are directed at Druzhkivka and the Kramatorsk - Slovyansk area, and they use an unknown type of Starlink substitute to connect, which is working well for them, at least for such long-range strikes.
Drones, airstrikes and artillery, despite the front's calmness, continue to work on both sides.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Dobropillya, Omelynk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~440.
Total land area: ~2.59 km².

The second battle for Dobropillya lasted more than 1 month, 10 days.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Pryluky, Omelynk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~58.
Total land area: ~0.51 km².

The second battle for Pryluky lasted approximately 7 days.

It seems the Russians retreated from one of their bridgeheads west of the Haichur River (the one used to attack Ternuvate last week) due to the risk of encirclement.

The United States withdrew from the Tanf base on February, 11. This base was key to destabilising the Syrian government, combating the Iranian presence and allowing ISIS to strengthen for eight years. With the fall of the previous political regime and the Iranian withdrawal from Syria, the US role has ended, putting an end to its in the Syrian desert of Homs and relocating its forces to eastern Syria, where it will continue to maintain its presence to preserve control of the oil wells and supervise the fragile situation in the northeast of the country after the fall of the SDF project. This withdrawal comes just days after the Russian army withdrew from its base in Qamishli in a redeployment that aims to focus on the coast. For the time being, the Turkish presence remains unchanged, with a possible increase in the future.

As usual, all the recent map updates are available on my interactive map.

I'll probably be too busy and sleep deprived to publish ordinary map updates today, but I'll aim for getting those out tomorrow. You have to remember, this channel is ran by a single person who has other work and responsibilities to take care of outside all of this.

Naturally, this can create delays in updates, as I simply cannot cover everything while simultaneously keeping up with my day-to-day life activities.

Link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10

Just realised, it’s been nearly two years since the Ocheretyne breakthrough….

Russia is planning another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, which will take place either tomorrow night or the night after.

Russia has accumulated dozens of Iskander-M ballistic missiles and RM-48U S-400 decoy missiles over the last 1-2 weeks, and has concentrated them at various launch locations, especially Bryansk Oblast.

The highest threat is to Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv Oblasts. If anyone is in those regions right now, be extremely careful.

The highest threat is in place for tomorrow night, specifically around 12am-3am Kyiv time.

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The usual energy objects are at risk:

Kyiv Oblast: CHP-4, CHP-5, CHP-6, Trypillya TPP, Kyiv HPP, Kyiv 750 kV substation.

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Prydniprovska TPP, Kryvyi Rih TPP.

Kharkiv Oblast: TEC-5, Zmiivska TPP.

Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Dnipro HPP, Zaporizka 750 kV substation.

Yesterday afternoon, two Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from Bryansk Oblast impacted the city of Nizhyn, Chernihiv Oblast.

The target was likely Nizhyn Airbase (51.08631, 31.86978).

Also, as I've stated before, Ukraine's Patriot interceptor stockpiles are extremely low right now due to repeated Russian attacks and no recent deliveries.

During the most recent attack on Kyiv, a number of their launchers sat empty and unusable due to the shortage, with the total number of launches being less than half that of similar-sized attacks in December-January.

I expect the interception rate for this upcoming attack will be very minimal, and Russia knows this.

HIMARS launches to Belgorod

Probably targeting border areas

Apologies, when reading over this post I realised I mis-typed something.

The threat is in place for tomorrow night and the night after, with the highest threat being in place for tomorrow night. There was never any threat for tonight.

I have a feeling this whole talk about sending a second aircraft carrier is a deception tactic, and they may strike before it even arrives.

I would not be surprised if an attack on Iran is imminent, much sooner than we may believe.

Very possible. It certainly seems like we are reaching a point where the strike could happen any day.

In the Komyshuvakha direction, Ukrainian forces continued their counterattacks and have cleared large parts of the territory south of the Konka River, most of which Russia did not have a strong troop presence in.

In the west, Ukrainian forces eliminated the Russian DRG infiltration southwest of Hryhorivka and south of Richne, re-entering the eastern part of Prymorske which was also in the grey-zone. From there, they pushed deeper into Prymorske, capturing the northern and eastern streets, while other assault groups cleared the forests further the east.

To the southeast, Ukrainian forces continued advancing west of Lukyanivske, moving further southwest along the tactical heights towards the solar farm. They also cleared the treelines to the north, and re-established control over the rest of Lukyanivske plus some the positions south of the village.

To the east, the Ukrainians recaptured positions northeast of Lukyanivske and pushed the Russians out of their foothold in Novoboikivske. Additionally, they eliminated the Russian infiltration in northern Novoyakovlivka and pushed them out of their foothold in the western part of the village.

+ ~38.20 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10

In the Omelnyk direction, both Russian and Ukrainian forces are advancing on different parts of the frontline.

In the southeast, Russian forces eliminated the Ukrainian DRG infiltration south of Hulyaipole and recaptured positions at the western end of the nearby gulley.

To the west, Ukrainian forces began counterattacking southeast along the railway line. They were able to re-enter some railway windbreaks, establishing control over part of them and the adjacent treelines. Attacks were then made further southeast, securing the right flank of the formations to the east carrying out attacking towards the highway.

To the northwest, Russian forces consolidated in the section of railway line southeast of Zaliznychne, captured the warehouses on the outskirts, and infiltrated the western streets of the town. Additionally, they were able to consolidate in the northern part of the town after repeated attacks, before infiltrating the northwestern streets. They also captured positions in the treelines and forest plantations to the north.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces were able to re-enter and clear the village of Staroukrainka from Russian infantry, establishing full control over the settlement and threatening Russian supply into northern Zaliznychne.

+ ~5.04 km² in favour of Russia.
+ ~4.37 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10