S-300 launches from the southeastern outskirts of Belgorod City

The rocket(s) were likely intercepted. A drone attack continues on Belgorod.

Repeated MLRS launches to Shebekino and Belgorod.

These don't seem to be targeting Belgorod City, but rather Shebekino or areas to the north.

High threat of Kh-59/69 cruise missile launches from Su-34s in Kursk Oblast.

Correction: The threat is due to a Su-57 flying south along the border between Oryol and Lipetsk Oblasts, in the direction of its launch lines in eastern Kursk Oblast.

A Su-34 is also flying in the area of the Kursk-Belgorod border.

The Su-57 has entered eastern Kursk Oblast, approaching its launch lines.

It seems that the Su-57 was mixed up with the Su-34 (which is from Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast), and that it's the only one airborne.

Approximate path shown on the map.

Unidentified missile in southern Sumy Oblast

The Su-34 flew away from the launch lines and is now circling east of Kursk City.

Presumably it carried out a launch maneuver over eastern Kursk Oblast.

The missile (presumably Kh-69) is flying on a southwestern course past Trostyanets, Sumy Oblast, to Zinkiv, Poltava Oblast.

Changed course to Hadyach, Poltava Oblast at an altitude of ~600 metres

Flying past the southern outskirts of Hadyach in the direction of Zavodske, Poltava Oblast.

Course remains largely unchanged, around 60 km from Pyryatyn, Poltava Oblast.

It is repeatedly disappearing from radars.

It was shot down by Ukrainian air defence over northern Poltava Oblast.

The next large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine is expected this morning.

- Activity is recorded on a strategic command and control frequency.

- Multiple Kalibr carriers at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai, are equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles.

- 3 more MiG-31K fighters were redeployed to Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, presumably after being equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles

- Geran-2 drones have been launched and are active in Ukrainian airspace, although mass launches have not begun yet.

This all means that it’s likely that 3 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne from Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast, along with 2-3 Tu-160s from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast, but are just not detected yet. They should reach their launch lines in the next 8-9 hours.

The target of this attack will likely primarily be energy infrastructure in the western regions of Ukraine.

The highest threat is to Lviv, Khmelnytskyi, Ternopil, and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblasts.

The airspace in parts of southwestern Ryazan and eastern Tambov Oblasts has been closed.

These are where some of the launch lines for MiG-31K fighters are. It’s expected that they will carry out combat sorties in the next few hours.

Approximately 40 Geran-2 drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace, however a portion of these are currently striking targets in Talalaivka, Bakhmach, Shostka, Slavutych, and Berestyn, in Chernihiv, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.