I wrote about this during the previous attack, and I am doing it again now because its become clear. In recent strikes, Russia has clearly changed its tactics for carrying out large scale missile attacks on Ukraine involving Tu-95MS/Tu-160M strategic bombers.

For the past 3 to 4 years, Olenya Air Base served as the main base for combat flights, with bombers taking off from there ahead of any strike. Dyagilevo and Engels 2 were also used in combat strikes.

Now the pattern has changed. Bombers take off directly from the Far East already ready for combat and fly towards launch zones in western Russia, where they launch cruise missiles at Ukraine. After that, the aircraft land at Engels 2 to refuel and rearm before returning to the Far East.

Unidentified missile in Sumy Oblast

Flying to Poltava on a ballistic trajectory. Could be EW.

Disappeared

This was Russian S-300/400 air defence targeting Ukrainian fighter jets

No missiles have been detected in Ukrainian airspace. The launch maneuvers were simulated with electronic warfare.

I'm aware of Deepstate's update on Kupyansk, and quite frankly I don't care.

Those who map UKRAINIAN advances based off a UKRAINIAN source who is under constant pressure from the SBU are naive at best, and propagandists at worst.

I'm not saying this map isn't correct, as the situation is indeed critical for Russian forces in the city, but we will need a lot more to say for certain that this is true.

Last night and this morning, another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack was carried out on Ukraine.

Missiles launched:

~8 Kalibr cruise missiles launched from 1 "Buyan-M" corvette in Novorossiysk Bay, Krasnodar Krai.

~6 Iskander-M ballistic missiles from OTRK installations.

~4 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from OTRK installations near Kursk City, Kursk Oblast.

~4 Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles launched from 4 MiG-31K fighters at their launch lines Rasskazovsky District, Tambov Oblast.

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Ukrainian air defence work:

As of the time of writing, no interceptions are confirmed.

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The main targets for this strike were Ukrainian energy and gas infrastructure. The following was targeted:

KS-Ananyiv natural gas compressor station, Odesa Oblast (47.65324, 29.90993) by ~1 Kalibr and ~1 Kinzhal.

Kirovohrad Thermal Power Plant, Kirovohrad Oblast (48.52925, 32.24529) by ~2 Kalibrs and ~2 Kinzhals.

Mykolaiv Combined Heat and Power Plant, Mykolaiv Oblast (46.94906, 31.98705) by ~2 Iskander-Ks.

"Trykhaty" 330 kV electrical substation (47.12851, 31.81054) by ~1 Kalibr.

Odesa Thermal Power Plant (46.50294, 30.71428) by ~3 Iskander-Ms, ~2 Iskander-Ks and 1 Kalibr.

"Novoodeska" 330 kV electrical substation (46.45382, 30.38700) by ~3 Iskander-Ms and 1 Kalibrs.

"Artsyz" 330 kV electrical substation (45.99236, 29.44702) by ~2 Kalibrs.

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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is often lower than actual launches.

Clear footage showing the moment of a Russian Geran-2 drone strike on a cargo ship stationed at Odesa Port this evening.

As a result of the combined strike on Odesa, Mykolaiv, and Kirovohrad Oblasts, emergency power outages have been introduced on top of the rolling blackouts.

Many important power facilities have been switched to backup generators while work is underway to repair the damage. Power has returned to most of Odesa City for the time being.

Russian forces have captured the city of Siversk, Siversk direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~12,400.
Total land area: ~9.64 km².

The most recent fighting for Siversk lasted approximately 25 days, with the main part of the battle lasting just ~8 days.

Siversk direction ➡️ Rai-Oleksandrivka direction