AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

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All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—๏ธThe Israeli leadership may launch a full-scale military operation against the Shiite Hezbollah movement in Lebanon within 6 weeks, The Jerusalem Post reported, citing its own sources.

"Winter is finally coming into play. Sources told the Post that if more than four to six weeks go by without an operation, it will be impossible or much more difficult to carry out until the spring of 2025," the newspaper writes. The newspaper's sources noted that the weather conditions in Lebanon's mountainous regions in winter are much harsher and more difficult than those the IDF encountered in the deserts of Gaza.
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Reports from reliable sources suggest that Russian forces continue to advance in the direction of the Oskil river near Kolysynkivka.

Russian forces likely advanced and entered a trench fortification (the one which is orange and blue), and contested it at some point. It is unknown whether or not they are still there and captured it, or if they were repelled by Ukrainian forces.

Meanwhile, other reports suggest that the area in the yellow was taken, which includes one field trench fortification in the north, and a series of treeline positions.

If these reports are true, then it would put the Russians just 2.3km from eastern Kolysynkivka and 3.26km from the Oskil river. To put that in perspective, before the original offensive on the village of Krokhmalne, the Russians were over 17.4km from the Oskil river.

If they reach the river, then the road resupplying the Ukrainian salient to the north will be cut, significantly complicating Ukrainian logistics as the only way to resupply the Northern bridgehead would be to use pontoon bridges across the Oskil river, which will be targeted by Russian airstrikes and artillery.
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Around 4 ballistic missiles were launched at Sumy one after another. Powerful explosions were reported.
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AMK Mapping
Around 4 ballistic missiles were launched at Sumy one after another. Powerful explosions were reported.
They reportedly targeted energy infrastructure.
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~10 Russian Geran drones were launched from Cape Chauda in Crimea and from Kursk.

As of the time of writing, there are still ~8 drones in the airspace of Ukraine. 1 returned to Kursk Oblast and another disappeared from the radar.

4 Gerans are flying northwest through Mykolaiv Oblast in the direction of Snigurivka, while the other 4 are flying to Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast and Chernihiv Oblast on a western course.
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I hate Ukrainian monitor channels. So many scams and fake links.

Everyone knows Iโ€™m the map guy (when I rarely have time lol)
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AMK Mapping
Explosions in Sumy. Geran attacks. This might be the drone which returned to Kursk.
Yeah it was. 9 Gerans were recorded over the airspace at once, up from 8.
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4 new Gerans were launched from Cape Chauda, Crimea. They are flying through Bashtanka district of Mykolaiv Oblast.

There are now ~11 drones in the airspace of Ukraine.
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Around an hour ago, ethnic Amhara militias belonging to Fano launched a new offensive into the Ethiopian city of Gondar. Gondar is the second largest city in the country.

One Fano commander claimed that his forces already control large parts of the city, with fighting ongoing.

Fano rebels were also seen moving through one of the neighbourhoods unopposed.
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Ukrainian UAVs are attacking Smolensk Oblast.
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AMK Mapping
4 new Gerans were launched from Cape Chauda, Crimea. They are flying through Bashtanka district of Mykolaiv Oblast. There are now ~11 drones in the airspace of Ukraine.
5 Gerans are all heading for Kyiv Oblast. 4 are flying from Cherkasy oblast to Bila Tserkva district, and one is flying ftom Pryluky district, Chernihiv oblast to Obukhiv.

Meanwhile one new Geran was launched from Kursk Oblast and is flying over Sumy Oblast.

The other drones either hit their targets in Kirovohrad and Vinnytsia Oblasts, were shot down by Ukrainian air defence or were downed by Electronic warfare.
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Updated death toll for the Pager explosions in Lebanon:

11 Dead
4,000+ Wounded
400 Critical Condition
500 Eye injuries/Blinded

Hezbollah has accused Israel of being behind the attacks and released a statement saying โ€œThis treacherous and criminal enemy will undoubtedly face its just retribution for this vile aggression, in ways it expects and in ways it does not.โ€
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AMK Mapping
Nothing ever happens
Iโ€™m so stupid lol
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AMK Mapping
5 Gerans are all heading for Kyiv Oblast. 4 are flying from Cherkasy oblast to Bila Tserkva district, and one is flying ftom Pryluky district, Chernihiv oblast to Obukhiv. Meanwhile one new Geran was launched from Kursk Oblast and is flying over Sumy Oblast.โ€ฆ
One of the Gerans is heading back to Cherkasy oblast. It will probably circle beteeen a Cherkasy and Kyiv until the morning, so unless anything new happens (such as successful hits or new launches) Iโ€™ll stop reporting on the drones for the day.

The probability of a large-scale missile attack involving Tu-95s also seems very low.
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AMK Mapping
2 new Gerans from Kursk are flying over Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian air defence is active in the area
Explosions in Sumy city. Two Geran drones reportedly hit their targets.
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Massive explosion in Tver Oblast, Russia, after a Ukrainian drone reportedly struck an ammunition warehouse. Secondary explosions are visible.
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AMK Mapping
Massive explosion in Tver Oblast, Russia, after a Ukrainian drone reportedly struck an ammunition warehouse. Secondary explosions are visible.
Lmfao. They are as bad as the Ukrainian officials.
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