Following the Ukrainian ATACMS ballistic missile strikes on Bryansk Oblast, U.S. Special Envoy to Ukraine Keith Kellogg confirmed that Trump has authorised Ukraine to carry out long-range strikes into Russia.

Last year, after winning the election, Trump called Biden's decision to allow long-range strikes using western weaponry "stupid" and a "mistake".

HIMARS launches from western Kharkiv Oblast into Belgorod.

Threat of Storm Shadow cruise missile launches for Zaporizhzhia, Voronezh, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Rostov, eastern Crimea, and Krasnodar Krai. The Kerch Bridge has been temporarily closed. Ukrainian tactical aircraft are flying near their launch lines.

They may have received a new batch of HIMARS GMLRS and ATACMS missiles

Absolutely

They likely waited for the next big Russian missile attack to launch them after in "retaliation".

Reflections:
A year ago, Israel assassinated Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah (along with several civilians), dealing a brutal blow to the organisation after several setbacks in military and intelligence operations.
The Syrian resistance commemorated the anniversary of his martyrdom, emphasising Hezbollah's work in its fight against the Zionist entity over the years, highlighting Israel's defeat in southern Lebanon at the beginning of the 20th century.
Nasrallah's death marked a turning point in the power of Hezbollah and Iran in Lebanon. A few months later, the fall of the previous Syrian political regime made this setback even more visible. Hezbollah is currently undergoing a process of reconstruction, facing external and internal pressures to the point of displaying a passive attitude towards the Syrian terrorist authorities, something that would have been unthinkable ten years ago.
The Syrian resistance is now seeking to take over from Hezbollah as the main opposition to the state of Israel in the Levant, emphasising solidarity with the Palestinian cause and normalisation with Jolani, who has been Syria's main enemy in recent decades.
However, I believe that this position is neither correct nor favourable for a successful movement in Syria. The regional situation has changed completely. December 2024 marked the end of any Arab nationalist project and the Arab League's complete passivity towards Israel prevailed, leaving Iran as the as the only state opposing Tel Aviv. The tragic events we have witnessed in Syria in recent months have completely fractured Syrian society along identity lines, leading to the proliferation of self-determination movements on the coast & Suwayda (concretely here when under the previous political regime the Druze sought only more autonomy) with the aim of freeing themselves from the yoke of those who seek to eradicate them on sectarian grounds.
The only solution that could solve the problem (if there is a solution) is the creation of a Syrian (not Arab) civic nationalist movement capable of uniting the different confessions under a single identity. The priority of the Syrian resistance should be to continue liberating the country from terrorist groups and not to embark on external ventures such as Palestine, whose future unfortunately seems doomed.

In other words, the Syrian resistance should take as its model the liberation of southern Lebanon in 2000 & the liberation of Mount Hermon in 1973 & not the liberation of al-Quds nor the creation of a new Sunni of Shia axis. Nothing beyond Lake Tiberias should be a priority.

The Ukrainian aircraft flew away from the launch zones without launching anything.

One of the only people I know of who is truly committed to free-speech, not just free speech from people on the same side as you (which is what most people from the left and right do).

Deepstate confirms Russian control over parts of Pokrovsk for the first time ever.

As of now, my map shows that around 11.3% of Pokrovsk is under Russian control, however their presence goes further than that.

I present to you: Deepstate's spiky front.

A true work of art.

Russian forces have captured the village of Serebryanka, northern flank of Siversk, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~1,110.
Total land area: ~3.57 km²

Preparations for the next large-scale, combined Russian missile attack on Ukraine have begun.

3 Tu-160M strategic bombers have redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, to Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast. They are now being equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.

2 Tu-22M3 strategic bombers redeployed from Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast, to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. These were already equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles at Engels-2.

1 Tu-95MS strategic bomber redeployed from Olenya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.

1 Tu-95MS strategic bomber redeployed from Diaghilev Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase. It will likely be equipped with missiles, although there is a possibility that it will only take part in training missions.

1 IL-76MD military transport aircraft landed at Baltimore Airbase, Voronezh Oblast. The cargo likely consists of Iskander-M ballistic missiles for OTRK installations near Liski, Voronezh Oblast.

1 IL-78 tanker aircraft landed at Olenya Airbase. It will likely assist with redeployments/combat sorties of Tu-95MS.

Accumulation of Geran-2/3 and Gerbera drones has begun at all of the major launch sites. These drones will take part in the next major missile attack.

A Ukrainian FPV drone strike from the 59th assault brigade shot down a Russian Mi-28 helicopter in the Pokrovsk direction.

Additionally, 2 Tu-95MS bombers from Olenya and 2 Tu-95MS bombers from Engels-2 redeployed to Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast. The 2 bombers from Engels-2 were already equipped with missiles prior to taking off.

Correction: Based on the nose, I'm pretty sure this is an Mi-8.

Ukrainian Commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskyi has made a claim stating that Ukraine has recaptured around 175 km² and cleared an additional 195 km² from Russian DRGs in the "Dobropillya Counteroffensive".

I can personally confirm that approximately 110 km² were recaptured by Ukrainian forces, not including areas cleared by DRGs or areas since recaptured by Russian forces.

POV of the Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian Mi-8 helicopter.