Flying south through Tambov Oblast.

The MiG-31K is conducting training within Tambov/Penza Oblasts. The alarm was declared due to the aircraft rapidly taking altitude.

Its now approaching Savasleika Airbase for landing.

The MiG-31K landed around 5 minutes ago. Here is the approximate flight path for those interested.

There are reports, including from a reliable source, that Torske in the Lyman direction has finally fallen to Russian forces.

I will wait a little to confirm this, as Torske is similar to villages like Bilohorivka and Stepova Novosilka in the sense that mappers will declare it captured multiple times before it actually is.

Holy shit...

It's far worse than what Deepstate is allowed to show by the way.

Photo from a Telegram chat reportedly showing a Russian DRG in front of the Dobropillya Bus Station. He apparently sent this to a local resident last night at 11:33pm.

(This kind of thing can easily be faked).

Coordinates: 48.456936, 37.087578

Russian forces have captured the village of Kucheriv Yar, Bilozerske direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~110.
Total land area: ~0.72km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Predtechyne, Kostyantynivka direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~377.
Total land area: ~1.11km².

In the Bilozerske direction, Russian forces continued to exploit their breakthrough and advanced even deeper through Ukrainian lines, physically cutting the Dobropillya - Kramatorsk Highway.

After securing a deep wedge between Dobropillya and Shakhove, Russian assault detachments continued to follow behind DRGs, who at that point were operating as far as 10km ahead, causing massive disruption amongst Ukrainian units. This, combined with poor Ukrainian coordination, incompetent commanders, disorganisation, and catastrophic levels of manpower shortages, resulted in the Ukrainians being completely unable to carry out any form of containment operations, despite more than two new brigades being redeployed here.

There were two main assault vectors that Russian soldiers took. The first, and most significant, was west of the Velyka Balka Gulley, where they penetrated to Zolotyi Kolodyaz and entrenched in the southern street of the village. Other forces turned west, crossing the Hruzka River and bypassed the village. They moved northwest and uphill along two separate gulleys and managed to physically cut the Dobropillya - Kramatorsk Highway at two points

The second attack vector was east of the Velyka Balka Gulley, where Russian forces captured three quarries, and bypassed the village of Kucheriv Yar from the east, moving north along the treelines on the tactical heights towards the villages of Vesele and Hruzke, which both lie on the banks of the Hruzka River. Once they reached the southern bank of the river, the Russians crossed it and establishd control over around half of Vesele, where they are accumulating reinforcements for further attacks. Other forces moved down from the heights and into Kucheriv Yar (which was largely empty), occupying it with little resistance.

As for DRGs, they have begun to turn west, infiltrating through the fields around Rubizhne, Stepy, Novyi Donbas, Vilne, Novovodyane, Vesele Pole, and Nove Shakhove, where they entered the cities of Dobropillya, and Bilozerske. Dobropillya is seeing more DRG activity than Bilozerske as Russian forces don't have to go as far through the wedge to reach the city.

Meanwhile, further south, Russian forces continued to clear positions northeast of Bilytske. They re-established control over the forest west of Nykanorivka, and advanced along the treeline to northern Dorozhnje. They also made further progress in the treelines south of Nove Shakhove.

+ ~48.31km² in favour of Russia.

I have overlayed @Playfra0's fortification map with my control map. With this, you can see that not only has the Dobropillya - Kramatorsk Highway been cut, but the Russians have also breached and captured a section of the "New Donbas Line", which is Ukraine's final line of defence in Donetsk Oblast.

This line was designed to protect Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and was actually built behind Kramatorsk and Slovyansk. It's safe to say that the Ukrainian command did not expect the front to move like this.

Wait... but I thought top military analyst David D reported that the Russian breakthrough to Pokrovsk was a trap? Now Russia is *checks notes* 40km northwest of David's map.

This is his "trap" then vs now.

Oh damn, this is the one year anniversary of the "Its a trap" tweet.

Where are all the linear/constant warfare mathematicians today?

Ukrainian artillery shelling is targeting eastern Rodynske, confirming the Russian entry into the city.

Geolocation: 48.353474, 37.212539

Russian forces have captured the village of Leontovychi, Pokrovsk direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~698.
Total land area: ~2.10km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Novoekonomichne, Northeastern flank of Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~2,763.
Total land area: ~5.24km² .

Russian forces have captured the village of Dorozhnje, Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~96.
Total land area: ~0.52km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Ivanivka, Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~54.
Total land area: ~0.27km².